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11 September 2015 1268 comments
Mathematically Safe Mathematically Safe
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In what has been a largely unpredictable start to the season for Fantasy Premier League (FPL) managers, we take a look at the defensive statistics of the first four Gameweeks to review how the performance of the teams is impacting on points tallies to this point.

In many ways the importance of team form is more pronounced for the defensive positions than it is in attacking areas.

Whereas a forward can play in a largely uninspiring team but still nick a goal, the best defenders can have clean sheet points taken away by a single slip from another player. FPL managers look for attacking potential to mitigate this, but stoic central defenders can also be valuable if they are part of a solid collective unit. Therefore, it is important to look at the defence in context of the team’s strengths as well as the individual’s.

For this analysis, we will use the team data available in the member’s area. The following chart ranks the teams by Opta’s metric ‘Bad Touches’ (in ascending order), from the ‘Disciplined’ teams who make limited mistakes and have high concentration, to the ‘Own Worst Enemy’ teams who have recorded many bad touches (see data table for reference below). The size of the circles denotes the rank of teams by crosses conceded, chances conceded, and big chances conceded (small is good, large is bad).

  1. 4vets
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I really haven't read the above...

    1. Blue Lion
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Me too.

    2. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I did not think you were one to post cheeky comments like this 4vets

      1. Lingardium Leviosa.
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Sarcasm or new to this site?

        1. Ayew Serious
          • 10 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Banter

    3. Sterling Chap
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I have. Good article.

  2. abhirup780
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Kompany+Ayew
    Or, YYT+Naughton ?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      YYT + N

  3. chilli con kone
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Probably been asked to death but...

    A. Play Westwood and save FT
    B. Silva > KdB (no hit)

    1. 4vets
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Save

      1. chilli con kone
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Many thanks.

  4. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    A couple of questions if I may:

    a) Gomez or Francis

    b) Captain Aguero or Sanchez

    c) G2G?

    Butland

    Darmian - Francis - Kolorov

    Pedro - Sanchez - Mahrez - Yaya

    Wilson - Tekkers - Aguero

    Subs - Westwood - Gomez - Staylor

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      A) Fran

      B) Sanchez

    2. 4vets
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      That a "few" questions.

      1. You've got red on you.
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        You only have to answer 2 of them

  5. Petes Sake
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Any suggestions for a 4.6 or > midfielder? Also, roughly when will the cups be open for entry?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Westwood your best bet really

      1. Petes Sake
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Yeah, that's what I was thinking at least he gets 90mins.

  6. DaveVak
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    On a wildcard.
    1. Any good goalkeeper rotation or recommendation?
    2. Silva > Pedro, YYT, KdB or Sterling?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      1. Don't like rotations
      2. KdB

      1. DaveVak
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Then GK pairing of some sort?

        1. Evasivo
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          Sch & Sch

        2. chilli con kone
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 3 months ago

          I'd go Begovic + McCarthy

    2. screamer73
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      1. Schmeichel, Fabianksi?
      2. Stick. Sterling, if long term

  7. FISSH
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    lost on last post

    bench silva for Westwood or use my FT on Sterling/Yaya?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I'd only use it for KdB

    2. copps
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      im keeping silva and the transfer

  8. poppyroberts
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Please help...bench Benteke (away at Utd) or Kouyate (home to Newcastle)?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kouyate

    2. GAMBIT
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Kouyate

      Simply because if you have Benteke you should play him or sell him

  9. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Quality members article.

    1. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Ye, I love ho....... Never mind

  10. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Bench one of these pls
    A. Wilson
    B. Payet
    C. Ayew
    D. Gomis

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Tough....A

    2. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Left out mahrez but don't think I want to bench him. On Wilson at the moment

      1. screamer73
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Wilson has a superb away record

    3. screamer73
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      tough. one of the Swansea boys, may be.

      1. NobodyF*cksWithTheJesus
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Yh thanks guys. Wilson atm but if not it'll be one of the Swansea pair

    4. kalmoffit
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      A

  11. zuzuViking
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    A: Silva -> Pedro or Sanchez
    B: Bench Silva, Play Wanyama
    C:Bench Silva, Wanyama -> Sako, and play Sako
    D: Bench Silva, Play Francis (def)
    E: Bench Silva, Play Huth (def)

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      A to Sanchez or E

    2. GAMBIT
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      E

    3. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      C

  12. legendaryjordan
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Tough one to figure out. Currently got Courtois and McCarthy

    A: Take a hit to get begovic/cech/de gea
    B: Play McCarthy...

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      McCarthy

  13. screamer73
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    pick two to start
    A) Sagna
    B) Francis
    C) Cedric

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      A,C

  14. copps
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    3 swansea scout picks seems a bit excessive no? watford havent been that bad especially at home.

    1. Lingardium Leviosa.
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Gomis ahead of Wilson is an eye-opener.

  15. sinik
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    I'm just holding Silva, I don't want to take a hit..have 1.5m itb for next week to reassess..c'mon more pens for Villa!

    ....................Butland
    .....Williams - Darmian - Kolarov
    Payet - Mahrez - Sanchez - Sinclair
    ......Gomis - Aguero(c) - Wilson

    McCarthy; Richards, Gomez, Silva

  16. Jeremiah
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Evening folks 🙂 Any update on Diouf?

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I shipped him out for Wilson...can't afford for him to miss a game.

  17. skodaole2
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Thought i could save FT but now 2 issues to solve. Diouf is flagged (1st sub Prodl) and my GKs are Myhill and McCarthy who could be both dropped. Which is better? (1 FT 1,2 itb)

    A) Diouf -> Rondon
    B) Myhill -> Speroni (or other 4.5 - 5.0 Gk)
    C) Both for -4

    1. GAMBIT
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      B to Begovic, your cheap mid is there for moments like this

      1. skodaole2
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers. My cheap mid isnt playing (Prodl vs Swansea will play if Diouf is injured) and Begovic should be replaced later again. Besides, I dont trust their defence. Any other ideas?

  18. FPL FREAK
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Captain....??

    1. Aguero.
    2. Gomis.
    3. Mahrez
    4. Haz

    ??

    1. copps
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      1

    2. kalmoffit
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I'm on Gomis. Most will say Aguero.

  19. YoungPretender
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Benching Silva;

    Play Clyne or Westwood?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Westwood

    2. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      West

      1. YoungPretender
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks fellas

  20. waltzingmatildas
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Guys, is mane to ayew for -4 worth it?

    1. Lingardium Leviosa.
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Not imo

  21. Zola
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    What do you lads think looks best? Got 2FT and 0.1 in the bank:

    A) Silva and Myhill - Pedro and Begovic
    B) Silva and Darmian - Pedro and Kolarov
    C) just Silva - Pedro, keeping 2FT for next week

    If I knew whether Lindegaard was brought in to be number 1 A would be a no brainer.

    Team is:

    Myhill, McCarthy

    Darmian, Sagna, Martin, Muniesa, Richards

    Sanchez, Silva, Payet, Mahrez, Westwood

    Aguero, Benteke, Gomis

  22. Los Pollos
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Hazard or Pedro ?

    1. chilli con kone
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Hazard

    2. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Pedro and save the cash.

    3. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Pedro all day

    4. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Hazard.

    5. copps
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      pedo

  23. Je suis le chat
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Evening folks. Play Gomez (man u), Richards (lei) or westwood (lei)? Thanks.

    1. Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Westwood

      1. Je suis le chat
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks, actually have to play 2 of the beggars with Silva out. May go with Gomez and Westwood, partly out of covering the high Liv defender ownership.

  24. DarsBars94
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Have defence of Azpi, Huth, Mert (Francis, Coates)
    Replace Mert with Kolorov or save transfer? (Have 1.3 in the bank)

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Replace.

  25. That Was Easy!
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    With Ward and Silva in my squad, I'm facing a tough decision....

    Butland - (McCarthy)
    Kolarov - Azpi - Morgan - Richards - (Ward)
    Sanchez - Pedro - Mahrez - (Silva) - (Westwood)
    Kun (C) - Wilson - Gomis (VC)

    Do I start Westwood or Richards, taking into account I have Mahrez and Morgan as starters as well.

    A tough situation...what are your opinions? Could a hit pay off somewhere?

    Cheers all and best of luck after a long and boring break!

    1. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Probably Westwood. Might be worth playing McCarthy over Butland, feel Stoke look porous without Shawcross.

  26. KeepCalm
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 3 months ago

    Still cant make my mind up...

    Captain Aguero (away) or Sanchez (home)

    1. Unconstitutional
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      I'm going with Sanchez.

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Toss a coin if you can't decide.

    3. copps
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      sanchez for me but the majority will go aguero

      1. KeepCalm
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        thats what scares me

      2. Hibbo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Good to see you are man with a pair of balls Copps.

    4. Still Unsure
        10 years, 3 months ago

        When in doubt, Kun.

      • YoungPretender
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        I was in exactly same position. On Sanchez at the moment purely because I don't think City will have it all their own way, particularly with Silva out!

      • Je suis le chat
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Tough one, Aguero being on penos and being better player and better player might shade it over extra points Sanchez gets for scores. Do feel Alexis will explode against Stoke like last year.

    5. Unconstitutional
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Which one to bench out of Wilson, Depay and Payet?

      1. screamer73
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        Depay

    6. PGR
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      My keepers are McCarthy and Courtois.

      Is McCarthy likely to start or should I take a hit to get rid of Courtois??

      1. copps
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 3 months ago

        dont take a hit

    7. Winston.
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Sakho or Wilson ? Is Sakho worth the extra over Wilson ?
      Thanks.

    8. Mr Sitter
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 3 months ago

      Other keeper/defenders are McCarthy, Kolarov, Monreal, Cook, Nyom

      A) De Gea and Gomez
      B) Courtois and Sagna