Scout Betting

Paddy Says – Gameweek 11

Our Saturday morning ritual would not be complete without dropping in on our bookmaker friends for an assessment of their goalscoring and clean sheet odds.

Before we entertain Paddy Power’s current thinking, those without accounts should take time out to soak up another weekend of their big betting offers.

Paddy have prepared another four specials for new customers to cover the Gameweek, starting with the now customary accumulator bet. New accounts can gather huge odds of 30/1 on wins for Man City, Arsenal, Man United, Juventus and Barcelona over the weekend. This special also offers the opportunity to gain £300 in free bets when you bet £10 weekly.

Sunday will see Fantasy managers banking on returns for the likes of Graziano Pelle and Romelu Lukaku, and Paddy are offering the chance to spice things up further with a pair of specials. You can get 5/1 on an Everton victory over Sunderland (normal odds 1/2), plus another 5/1 on a Southampton win over south coast rivals, Bournemouth (normal odds 4/7).

Finally, on Monday night, you can get similar odds on a Spurs victory over basement dwellers Aston Villa – that’s 5/1 on a Spurs win at the Lane under lights (normal odds 4/9).

Be sure to check the teams and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 11

PlayerTeamOdds
BonyMCI1.83
KaneTOT1.83
IheanachoMCI1.83
De BruyneMCI1.83
LukakuEVE1.83
PelleSOU1.83
GiroudARS2.00
SanchezARS2.10
SterlingMCI2.10
CostaCHE2.37
ManeSOU2.40
MartialMUN2.40

Paddy have brought in Wilfried Bony’s odds overnight, now pricing him at 1.83 from his previous odds of 1.72. That levels the playing field at the top of the rankings, with the Manchester City striker sharing the summit with five other players.

Only two forwards notched more shots on target (four) in the last two rounds of fixtures than the Ivorian, who bagged a brace against Bournemouth in Gameweek 9. Manchester City’s opponents, Norwich, have shipped 11 goals in their previous four match-ups, ensuring that Kelechi Iheanacho and Kevin De Bruyne handed similar odds, while Raheem Sterling is also placed in the top ten, out at 2.10. Paddy’s reckoning on De Bruyne certainly reinforces his standing as the optimum captaincy candidate for the Gameweek.

Harry Kane also ranks alongside Bony and the City options. Having snapped his barren spell with a hat-trick last time out against the Cherries. No forward amassed more shots on target (12) than Spurs’ premier frontman over the last four Gameweeks, which bodes well for his attacking prospects at home to an Aston Villa outfit that conceded 10 goals in their last four road clashes.

Ahead of Everton’s home encounter against Sunderland, Romelu Lukaku is also tipped at 1.83 to score, despite back-to-back blanks. No team has surrendered more shots inside the box (103) than the Black Cats this term, which bodes well with an Everton victory, with profit for Lukaku.

Southampton play host to a Bournemouth side that’s fallen to consecutive 5-1 defeats, so it’s no surprise to see both Graziano Pelle and Sadio Mane feature in Paddy’s top ten. Pelle is another who is granted short odds of 1.83 on an anytime goal, having tallied three strikes in five league starts and netted in their midweek League Cup encounter, while Mane comes in at 2.40, sharing the Gameweek odds with Manchester United’s Anthony Martial.

Arsenal’s contingent of goal threats are placed further down the pecking order but still strongly fancied by Paddy. During the last four Gameweeks, the Gunners ranked top for goals (13), attempts (76), shots inside the box (60) and big chances (14), although injuries to Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Theo Walcott and Aaron Ramsey will no doubt cause disruption ahead of their visit to Swansea City. Even so, Olivier Giroud’s odds are strong (2.00) and he leads the way, with Alexis Sanchez following on (2.10) as the second ranked midfielder in the top ten.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 11

TeamOdds
Tottenham2.00
Manchester City2.00
Everton2.10
Southampton2.25
Manchester United2.40
Chelsea2.50
Arsenal2.62
Newcastle United2.87

Paddy can’t separate Tottenham and Manchester City at the top of the clean sheet odds rankings. No side has conceded fewer goals (four) in the previous six Gameweeks than Spurs, while City have failed to earn a shut-out in their last three home fixtures but will fancy their chances of stifling a Norwich outfit that drew a blank at home to West Brom last weekend.

Everton’s short odds (2.10) are a product of the fact that Sunderland have failed to net a solitary goal in their previous trio of away ties. Meanwhile, Southampton (2.25) host a Bournemouth attack that’s failed to register a single big chance in their last two outings.

Manchester United (2.40) face a road clash against an out-of-sorts Crystal Palace, who’ve drawn blanks in their of their previous six matches. While, Arsenal look good value out at 2.62, considering that they’ve chalked up five clean sheets in eight and the Swans scored in just three of the last six Gameweeks.

Chelsea’s odds have dropped from 2.72 to 2.50 overnight, as Paddy’s confidence in Jose Mourinho’s men increases. The Blues play host to a Liverpool side that’s carded just five goals in their last four outings. Finally, Newcastle United prop up the top ten: they have just one clean sheet to their name this term and have shipped 13 goals since Gameweek 7, yet are tipped at 2.87 ahead of Stoke’s visit to St James’ Park.

1,174 Comments Post a Comment
  1. dehat
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Play Mahrez or Wijnaldum ? (playing Vardy)

    1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mahrez

    2. Hiphopopotamus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Wij

    3. Pochecinno
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mahrez

    4. DameCorp
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Gini 😉

    5. _werre_
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mahrez no doubt.

  2. Raheem's perm
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Anyone else worried about KDB's gametime? Surely will go off around 60 if City comfortable to save him for midweek. Mane should play full 90 mins against a poor team. Which one to captain?!

    1. Captain Blanks
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mane imo, full week's rest as well

    2. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Hopefully the reason City are comfortable is because he scored a hat trick

  3. HNI
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Tri Captaincy Dilemma

    1) KDB-->
    +ve--Mancity will thrash Norwich and No Silva means lesser people to steal his points
    -ve--Could be hauled off early as Sevilla loss to play midweek although last time vs Bou only subbed cuz of injury

    2) Mane-->
    +ve--Most in-form of my three captaincy choices and also fresher becuz of midweek rest
    -ve--Apparent inconsistency in game and mind as shown by red card against Liverpool

    3) Pelle-->
    +ve--Striking spearhead of most of Soton chances and scores the bulk at home
    -ve--Has been subdued potency in last 2-3 matches and few shots that are on target

    This season has been tedious for me with sub 500k rank atm but is it too soon to take obvious risks with non mancity captaincy??

    Cheers and any help will be replied in kind 🙂

    1. Nobodinho
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mane(C) for me

    2. Thomas Magnum
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Definetly 1 or 3 for me only because I cant remember someone having a really good game after coming of a red so in my opinion but in my opinion I reckon KDB Norwich have the worst defensive record in the league but the UCL does scare me

      1. HNI
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        So as can only make 1 choice as captain who you think??

    3. Numb
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I think City is more likely to be a thrashing than Soton

    4. simosalminen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I think tossing a coin is probably the best alternative. I would probably go 1.KDB 2. Pelle 3.Mane, but it's anyone's guess.

      I've got that and the Kane dilemma to boot as well...can't wait for permacaptain Kun to come back. And spending some quality time with family.

  4. Nobodinho
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    On WC now,

    A) 352 with Mahrez+Ighalo
    B) 343 with Lukaku+4.3 mid

    Sanchez KDB Payet Mane xx
    Pelle Vardy xx

    1. Pochecinno
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Dude you've been on this dilemma for aaaaages. Deadline is fast approaching. Make a decision!

      1. Nobodinho
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Hi again 😆

        Had become more nervous when the deadline is approaching. Could do Vardy > Lukaku as you suggested but I think it'll be tough for me to get Aguero.

    2. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      A imo

    3. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I'd do B from them.

    4. Jax
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Everyone has those players. get in some differentials.

      1. Nobodinho
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Examples?

  5. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Play Dawson and Myhill or use my all out attack and play Ighalo ?

    1. Lowe
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Dawson and myhill

  6. Pulis Ki Vardy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Pick 3

    A, Dier
    B. Sagna
    C. VVD
    D. Bellerin

    Thanks much!

    1. kalmoffit
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      ABD

      1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        This

    2. KOLASINA(C)
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Really good defensive line when VVD should be benched. Bravo

  7. Thomas Magnum
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Ok so I know this has been asked so much but i'm going to WC aguero back in and I am going to replace Sakho with 2 Mill ITB currently leaning towards Pelle but also like Bony and any others (I cant afford Kane) any help will be REALLY appreciated as to who to bring in
    My attack currently consists of Costa Sakho Ighalo
    Cheers in advance

    1. Gussy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Do you have Mane? Pelle then

      1. Thomas Magnum
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        no Mane

  8. Jimbo123
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Bony or Mane captain?

    1. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Sadio

    2. Jape
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Bony

    3. HNI
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Bonyy

  9. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    GTG?
    Butland (Ruddy)
    Bellerin, Dawson, Kolorov (Francis, Reid)
    Sanchez, KDB (C), Mahrez, Payet (Westwood)
    Ighalo, Pelle, Vardy

    No FT but loadsa cash...

  10. Jazz!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    @Rodallegabomb

    Who are you giving the armband to?

    1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Kolarov

      1. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Flair!

      2. Jazz!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Oooh

      3. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Is his attacking potential not dented by the fact that KDB can take corners and KDB and Yaya both took free kicks off him . There is a good chance a 6 pt captain will not be sufficient this week with Kane , Pelle , Bony , Lukaku all having plum fixtures .

        1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          It is somewhat, however corners aren't the biggest factor for attacking potential. I think KDB will go off around the 60 minute mark which means Kolarov could get his share of set pieces. The BAPS favour him too.

          1. Adam West - Team Serbia for…
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 3 days ago

            I have Kolarov too so I hope you get a massive haul 🙂 . Is the friendly tournament set up ?

            1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 3 days ago

              Fingers crossed!

              Yep, ready to release the fixtures following the deadline.

  11. Dynamic Duos
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Still saying it's absolute madness having Vardy and Mahrez In your team, but you can shoot me down later.

    1. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      When Leicester destroy West Brom and they both bag a brace each...

      1. Creamy Camembert
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Not gunna happen

        1. KOLASINA(C)
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          Bookmarked

    2. FISSH
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Have no choice at the moment. However they have all the chances of attacking returns. All it needs is an early goal.

    3. Jax
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      What about the past 10 gameweeks? they've not done anything in them? fool.

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Yeh I had Vardy for past 6 weeks he has been amazing, but now time to let go.

      2. Mr. O'Connell
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Everyone has those players. get in some differentials.

    4. pokern1nja09
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Not really. Both offer amazing value, plus it doesn't hurt benching one if you have to.

    5. kalmoffit
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      You won't be around.

      1. Dynamic Duos
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Don't mind being wrong.

    6. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I own neither and even I think that's a silly thing to say.

  12. McSauce
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Captain??

    A) KDB
    B) Bony
    C) Pelle

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      B

    2. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Of the three, A

    3. OneTwo
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I own a 3 of them and in going Bony

  13. Boss Hogg
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Play Evans or Cresswell?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Cresswell

    2. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Cressy

  14. Lowe
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Captain decision

    A) Pelle
    B) KDB
    C) Kolarov

    D) Or take a -4 hit and bring in Mane ?????

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      B

    2. Boss Hogg
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      B.

      I've got Mane and KDB and I'm backing the brown.

    3. OneTwo
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Definitely not D

  15. Boss Hogg
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Bench 1 of:

    Mahrez
    Payet
    Vardy

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mahrez

  16. Pat Bonner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    A play darmian, bench mahrez, aoa next week
    B play mahrez, bench darmian, aoa

    1. FISSH
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      KDB or Pelle as el capitan? What is everyone else doing?

      1. Pat Bonner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Kdb

  17. Shifty
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Is sterling fit to start?

  18. Blame it on Traore
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Still wrestling with the captaincy decision. Kane or KDB? Thanks a lot guys.

    1. Part-time Scout
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Kane

    2. FISSH
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I would probably go for Kane...

    3. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Kane

    4. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I'd go Kane happily if I had him

    5. _Gunner
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Kane

    6. simosalminen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Same dilemma, currently on KDB but Kane looks mighty enticing. Only problem is that Norwich is either the worst or second worst defensive team in the league and Villa is surprisingly good compared to their lowly position in the table. Norwich as conceded more than twice as much Big Chances as Villa....

      1. Blame it on Traore
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Thanks a lot guys. I'm going with Kane. Decision made!

  19. KOLASINA(C)
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Nobody is aware of KDB being subbed off in the 60' because of Sevilla next week?

    1. Jax
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      obviously not

    2. Numb
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I think most people have taken that into account (60-70 mins)

    3. Lowe
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      VVD (C) ?

      1. KOLASINA(C)
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        No brainer mate

      2. OneTwo
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        No. Only BC the they give up too many goals

  20. Numb
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Triggerlips' captain poll tends to be a better indicator of the "hardcore" players than the one on here:

    KDB 47%
    Pelle 15%
    Mane 10%

    1. A-VB
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Effort appreciated. +1
      I agree to what you said.

    2. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mané differential!

      1. Numb
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Which could be a good thing (if he scores more than KDB) or a bad thing...

    3. Pasqualinho
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      It's also been a complete disaster to captain the leader of TL's poll - with the Aguero week being the only exception out of 10 so far.

  21. pokern1nja09
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Play mahrez or ighalo?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mahrez

  22. bodgejob
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Are people captaining City players even if they have 3 of them?

    1. FISSH
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      you have seen what city can do

    2. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      What does having 3 of them have to do with it? Just captain who you think will score the most 🙂

  23. NATSTER
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Play Dawson (LEI) and bench Simpson (wba).

    I hope I choose the right one to play once in a while.

    I missed 7 points from Simpson last GW as I was convinced Richards has more attacking threat.

    1. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I think Leicester will beat WBA with both teams to score but Dawson has great goal threat and Leicester can't defend headers.

      1. NATSTER
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Thanks. I hope I pick the right time to bench/play Simpson.

    2. HNI
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Play Dawso

  24. Crash
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Need help!! Backline is screwed up : ward jaanmaat darmian richards gomez

    A. Hope that three will play and leave as it is
    B. Get someone in for gomez for a hit
    C. Play AoA (if not i bench one of mahrez/ighalo)

  25. FISSH
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Sanchez' points in the last few weeks

    20
    16
    10
    2

    he is going to get -8 this week.

    1. KOLASINA(C)
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Feck

    2. NATSTER
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      😯

      That looks the way it is.

    3. HNI
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Only if he is confident in arithmetics

  26. camarozz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Hav a problem guys. Who to bench? Pick one
    one

    Kdb-Sanchez- wijnaldum - mahrez -payet
    Vardy - pelle - lakaku

    Or play AOA
    Will only hav triple capt chip left then tho

  27. _Gunner
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    REPOST
    Who to bench ?

    A- Mahrez
    B- Vardy
    C- Payet

    or play AOA? currently playin Azpi, Cedric and Kolarov ... bench Azpi if AOA

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Bench mahrez and use aoa next week

  28. Gussy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Anyone else tempted to C VvD?

    1. HNI
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      He isnt kolorov 😉

  29. Buck The Trent
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Kola VVD Moreno
    Sanchez KDB Payet Mane Mahrez
    Pelle Bony Vardy

    Use AoA and bench Moreno ?

    1. _Gunner
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Currently on the same situation , leaning towards benching Mahrez, but still AOA is tempting

  30. Blue Lion
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    @Valar.
    I am in Bambolim right now. 🙂

    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      😯 .. what you doing in Goa? i'm like 5 kms away in Miramar