Scout Betting

Paddy Says – Gameweek 11

Our Saturday morning ritual would not be complete without dropping in on our bookmaker friends for an assessment of their goalscoring and clean sheet odds.

Before we entertain Paddy Power’s current thinking, those without accounts should take time out to soak up another weekend of their big betting offers.

Paddy have prepared another four specials for new customers to cover the Gameweek, starting with the now customary accumulator bet. New accounts can gather huge odds of 30/1 on wins for Man City, Arsenal, Man United, Juventus and Barcelona over the weekend. This special also offers the opportunity to gain £300 in free bets when you bet £10 weekly.

Sunday will see Fantasy managers banking on returns for the likes of Graziano Pelle and Romelu Lukaku, and Paddy are offering the chance to spice things up further with a pair of specials. You can get 5/1 on an Everton victory over Sunderland (normal odds 1/2), plus another 5/1 on a Southampton win over south coast rivals, Bournemouth (normal odds 4/7).

Finally, on Monday night, you can get similar odds on a Spurs victory over basement dwellers Aston Villa – that’s 5/1 on a Spurs win at the Lane under lights (normal odds 4/9).

Be sure to check the teams and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 11

PlayerTeamOdds
BonyMCI1.83
KaneTOT1.83
IheanachoMCI1.83
De BruyneMCI1.83
LukakuEVE1.83
PelleSOU1.83
GiroudARS2.00
SanchezARS2.10
SterlingMCI2.10
CostaCHE2.37
ManeSOU2.40
MartialMUN2.40

Paddy have brought in Wilfried Bony’s odds overnight, now pricing him at 1.83 from his previous odds of 1.72. That levels the playing field at the top of the rankings, with the Manchester City striker sharing the summit with five other players.

Only two forwards notched more shots on target (four) in the last two rounds of fixtures than the Ivorian, who bagged a brace against Bournemouth in Gameweek 9. Manchester City’s opponents, Norwich, have shipped 11 goals in their previous four match-ups, ensuring that Kelechi Iheanacho and Kevin De Bruyne handed similar odds, while Raheem Sterling is also placed in the top ten, out at 2.10. Paddy’s reckoning on De Bruyne certainly reinforces his standing as the optimum captaincy candidate for the Gameweek.

Harry Kane also ranks alongside Bony and the City options. Having snapped his barren spell with a hat-trick last time out against the Cherries. No forward amassed more shots on target (12) than Spurs’ premier frontman over the last four Gameweeks, which bodes well for his attacking prospects at home to an Aston Villa outfit that conceded 10 goals in their last four road clashes.

Ahead of Everton’s home encounter against Sunderland, Romelu Lukaku is also tipped at 1.83 to score, despite back-to-back blanks. No team has surrendered more shots inside the box (103) than the Black Cats this term, which bodes well with an Everton victory, with profit for Lukaku.

Southampton play host to a Bournemouth side that’s fallen to consecutive 5-1 defeats, so it’s no surprise to see both Graziano Pelle and Sadio Mane feature in Paddy’s top ten. Pelle is another who is granted short odds of 1.83 on an anytime goal, having tallied three strikes in five league starts and netted in their midweek League Cup encounter, while Mane comes in at 2.40, sharing the Gameweek odds with Manchester United’s Anthony Martial.

Arsenal’s contingent of goal threats are placed further down the pecking order but still strongly fancied by Paddy. During the last four Gameweeks, the Gunners ranked top for goals (13), attempts (76), shots inside the box (60) and big chances (14), although injuries to Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain, Theo Walcott and Aaron Ramsey will no doubt cause disruption ahead of their visit to Swansea City. Even so, Olivier Giroud’s odds are strong (2.00) and he leads the way, with Alexis Sanchez following on (2.10) as the second ranked midfielder in the top ten.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 11

TeamOdds
Tottenham2.00
Manchester City2.00
Everton2.10
Southampton2.25
Manchester United2.40
Chelsea2.50
Arsenal2.62
Newcastle United2.87

Paddy can’t separate Tottenham and Manchester City at the top of the clean sheet odds rankings. No side has conceded fewer goals (four) in the previous six Gameweeks than Spurs, while City have failed to earn a shut-out in their last three home fixtures but will fancy their chances of stifling a Norwich outfit that drew a blank at home to West Brom last weekend.

Everton’s short odds (2.10) are a product of the fact that Sunderland have failed to net a solitary goal in their previous trio of away ties. Meanwhile, Southampton (2.25) host a Bournemouth attack that’s failed to register a single big chance in their last two outings.

Manchester United (2.40) face a road clash against an out-of-sorts Crystal Palace, who’ve drawn blanks in their of their previous six matches. While, Arsenal look good value out at 2.62, considering that they’ve chalked up five clean sheets in eight and the Swans scored in just three of the last six Gameweeks.

Chelsea’s odds have dropped from 2.72 to 2.50 overnight, as Paddy’s confidence in Jose Mourinho’s men increases. The Blues play host to a Liverpool side that’s carded just five goals in their last four outings. Finally, Newcastle United prop up the top ten: they have just one clean sheet to their name this term and have shipped 13 goals since Gameweek 7, yet are tipped at 2.87 ahead of Stoke’s visit to St James’ Park.

1,174 Comments Post a Comment
  1. JacquieH
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    For a -4 point hit, transfer out Clyne for VVD?

      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      No

    1. mad_beer ✅
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      No

  2. Pooodle
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Really stuck this week guys, help me out! 4.3m ITB and still one FT to go

    DDG (Butland)
    Cedric, Nyom, Kolarov (Azpi, Targett)
    Sanchez, KDB, Ayew, Mahrez (Westwood)
    Bony, Pelle, Vardy

    1. FISSH
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Mahrez > Mane/Eriksen

    2. Psakhotherapy
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      play azpi & save the freebie?

      or

      maybe ayew to erik?

  3. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Results "prediction" for each match this weekend (based on each team's number of team goals spread bet mid-point on Spreadex)

    Chelsea 1.45 Liverpool 1
    Palace 1 Man U 1.5
    Man C 2.6 Norwich 0.8
    Newcastle 1.4 Stoke 1.15
    Swansea 1.05 Arsenal 1.85
    Watford 1.35 West Ham 1.25
    West Brom 1.2 Leicester 1.25
    Everton 2 Sunderland 0.85
    Southampton 1.95 Bournemouth 0.85
    Spurs 2.1 Villa 0.7

    Player goal minute spreads (top 10 available in captain's poll)

    Bony 34-37
    Kane 33-36
    Lukaku 32-35
    Pelle 25-28
    De Bruyne 22-25
    Sanchez 21-24
    Costa 20-23
    Mane 18-21
    Vardy 18-21
    Hazard 13-16

    Goal minutes = The spread of the total number of goalscoring minutes for the player, e.g if a player scores in the 40th and 80th minute, the make up will be 120. If a player doesn't score, make up will be zero (so basically, the higher the "higher" the numbers the better!)

    1. Gargamel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Hi Jarvish

      I've seen you post these a couple of times now and I'm curious if you did any follow up on how good an indicator they are of what will happen? I'm not particularly familiar with the goal minute spread concept. Care to elaborate a bit, because it does seem interesting?

      1. ᶠᶦˡᵗʰʸLucre $$$
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Well, none of them will happen (as a team can't score .45 of a goal, as an example), but basically if the top match) as an example) was played 100 times, Spreadex reckon Chelsea would score 145 goals and Liverpool 100 goals (so 1.45 to 1 on average).

        Goal minute explanation is at the bottom - basically, the higher the numbers, the more likely they are to score/explode, according to Spreadex.

  4. Valar(Keith)
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    WBA - Leicester game probably the toughest game to predict in a long while
    Leicester cant defend/WBA cant attack
    WBA can defend/Leicester defo CAN attack

    Another one of those early goal games.. if Leicester score early it could be a mauling. else a 0-0.. Really, really tough to call

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      This is the reason I am holding off of getting Mane in. It would make me have tho bench Mahrez.

    2. Clump
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Can't see a cleanie for Baggies today. Leicester are so good going forward.

    3. Jazz!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Well I've put my eggs in Leicester's basket. Myhill and Evans benched with Mahrez and Vardy on the field.

      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Yup.. playing Vardy in an AOA and benching Dawson and hoping for an early goal so the floodgates open

    4. OPTA FPL
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      easily 0-2 for Leicester

      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Leicester's defense is poor too.. 1-3 looks more like it 🙂 ..

  5. #NAGA5000
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Current defense,
    Darmi Kola Simpson (Williams Richards

    Use FT to do Williams to VVD snd bench Simpson?

    1. Mark-O
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Isn't Richards in trouble recently?

    2. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Yes. Or Fonté.

      Have you still got Yaya?

      1. #NAGA5000
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        I have Yaya.
        Why?

        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          Because some lunatic was telling you to sell ... I am so relieved. 🙂

          1. #NAGA5000
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 3 days ago

            LOL ok,
            I guess he was the least of my problems with my shaky defense

    3. Guru Mediation
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Seems fairly good choice. I brought him in too. Any plans to bring in bellerin?

      1. #NAGA5000
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Maybe, but after GW 13 or 14

    4. adey70
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Yes. Or Bertrand (cheaper)...

    5. #NAGA5000
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Cheers!
      Despite my slow internet

  6. Jebiga
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    captain:

    mane, kdb, pelle, yaya, bony, alexis ?

    1. Los Pollos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      bony

    2. DameCorp
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Sadio

  7. Los Pollos
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Costa --> Lukaku for -4 ??

    1. Los Pollos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Given the recent news....

      1. FPL Maldini
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        What recent news?

  8. Jonty Rhodes
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Ighalo > a) Lukaku or b) Bony for a hit or c) No change?

    Question is should i take -4 for this as Ighalo is doing fine

    1. Los Pollos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      c

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      I'd keep Igloo this week.
      Also leaves funds for Kun's return.

  9. Weasel Boy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Martial > Bony -4?

    Vardy and Igloo other forwards.

    Ahhh

    1. Los Pollos
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      yes

      1. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        🙂

    2. DameCorp
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Hold

  10. Drip Doctor
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Nobody else concerned with KDB gametime with a trip to Seville midweek?

    1. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Yes I am.
      He only played 61 mins against Bournemouth

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      He will play 60-70

      1. Drip Doctor
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Difficult to captain him based on that hay.

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          Well yes but he can do damage within that time too

    3. Les Bleus
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Don't think they have many choices to be honest.

    4. Clump
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Yup, probably 60 mins if City are 2 up by then. It is why Kane is my C this week.

  11. I-Taught-Danny-Welbeck-How-…
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Payet returns in the last 5 weeks have been good. Worth captaining him?

    1. Les Bleus
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      He gets steady points but not very explosive (apart from his brace against Newcastle).

    2. sambyy
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      Nah not really. I'm just happy to get his consistent 7-10 points.

  12. Pulis Ki Vardy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    2 min left

    A, Dier
    B. Sagna
    C. VVD
    D. Bellerin

    Who to bench?

    1. Les Bleus
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      1 hour left I think no?

      I'd bench Bellerin

    2. Champy
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      1 hour 2 minutes

      1. Pulis Ki Vardy
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        yikes! forgot daylight savings!

    3. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      ??

  13. Tribecca
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    I have Martin as my 3rd and last playing defender!

    A. No Hit
    B. Kompany
    C. Stones
    D. Van Dijk
    E. Dier

    1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      B

  14. Make United Great Again
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    You have 1 hour to move your (C) to KDB if you haven't already

  15. A-VB
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Bench one for KDB :

    1. Mahrez
    2. Ayew
    2. Diouf

    1. A-VB
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      * 3. Diouf

    2. FISSH
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      2

    3. Eden Hazardous
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 3 days ago

      3

  16. Golden Delicious
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 3 days ago

    Do you think Kane will play the full game on Monday as they have Anderlecht on Thursday? or do you think he will he be rested for the Europa league game?

    1. @persecuted_by_mods
        9 years, 3 days ago

        He'll play the majority of it

      • Clump
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        He'll come off at 65, following his hat trick!

    2. @persecuted_by_mods
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Worth starting Browning over Azpi in case Coleman doesn't make it? Fancy Everton to keep a cs over chelsea tbh

      • Ziro Becomes One
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Ayew easily.

      • liamhouston
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Who to Bench?

        Sakho - Watford (A)
        or
        Ayew - Arsenal (H)

      • FISSH
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Pelle or Lukaku for captain?

        1. Les Bleus
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          Lukaku

      • S.Kuqi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Planning by bets.

        Score predictions for Wba-Lei and New-Stk?

        1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          0-1
          0-2

          1. Jax
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 3 days ago

            1-1
            2-1

        2. OPTA FPL
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          1-2
          2-1

      • OPTA FPL
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        San(C)hez will get most points this week, great differential

        1. Jax
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          doubt it.

        • 11 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Phil Jones has just slipped into my wildcard team 😳

        1. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          Put Schlupp in there in place of Jones 😉

            • 11 Years
            9 years, 3 days ago

            😮 I couldn't double up alongside Simpson!

        2. Jax
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          injury prone. avoid.

        3. OPTA FPL
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          😀
          and injured already

      • Party Til You Pukki
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Mignolet OR Schmiechel in goal?

        1. Jax
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          kasper

      • tabby98
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Myhill Mccarthy
        Sagna Bertrand Darmian Bellerin Targett
        Mahrez Sanchez KDB Payet Wijnaldum
        Vardy Pelle Gomis

        1ft and 1.1 itb

        Who to change? thinking of gomis to lukaku and darmian to alderweireld
        who to bench?

      • Pulis Ki Vardy
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        A. Tired KDB vs leaky Nor
        B. Fresh Mane vs. leaky Bou

        Which?

        1. ILOVEBAPS
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          B

      • ILOVEBAPS
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        Please tell me why the love of KDB as Captain?

        City scored 11 goals over two games recently in the PL and his grand total was 3 assists.
        Not exactly explosive.

        1. Pulis Ki Vardy
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          same here.. if sterling doesn't play he would play right behind Bony then I can understand why.. so question is.. is Sterling gonna play?

          1. Pointsonthebench
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 3 days ago

            Wish I knew that!

        2. CABAYE4
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 3 days ago

          He scored 20 points in those two games!

      • Rains of Castamere
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 3 days ago

        5.50pm on Sunday

        Southampton 0-1 Bournemouth

        How many of us will be in meltdown 😀