THOUGHTS ON THIS PLEASE

DDG (Henessey)
Kompany Smalling Kolsciency (Evans Simpson)
Mane Alexis Mahrez Payet (Barry)
Vardy Lukaku Kane

TV: 105.7
ITB: (just enough to swap lukaku to aguero)

Morning all. I could kiss Harry Kane after last night, looked set to be the worst ever MNF captain but came through in the end. 79 points and up to 16k, the season's getting real now!

Sterling----->Mahrez worth it this week?

I realise Sterling has Villa but have a feeling Leicester will go big this weekend.

I own Bony, KDB, and Vardy as well if that makes a difference.

Cheers 🙂

How can i get Ozil in already have
Cech - Bellerin - Sanchez

Which is better?

A- Azpi > Rojo/Bellerin with a FT

B- Bench Azpi and play AOA with Cedric and Kolarov

front 8 are ( Mahrez Yaya Payet Sanchez Mane, Vardy Pelle Kane)

Waking up to discover Kane got two bonus points was nice.

(Yes it was that bad of a GW for me these are the crumbs I have to feast on.)

So a few weeks ago we were all trying to deliberate between Martial, Lukaku, Pelle and Kane..

Who did you go for and would you deem it a success or failure?

I personally went for Pelle and although he's been outscored by Lukaku, I still feel like it was a good transfer.

Several weeks back I suggested that Kane's first goal of the season was not only "lucky", but not actually that good a finish, and that I couldn't see it sparking a run of goals. Just a prediction, one of many made throughout the season, but it seems I was right on this one at the time.

Last night's goal was different. Sheer class. Lall laid in alongside him rather than in front, so he had to check his run and shoot facing sideways on to the goal. No time to take a second touch, only the keeper to beat but reasonably well positioned. He had to bury it in a corner and picked out the top corner perfectly.

The hattrick last week may have comprised of fairly fortunate goals (I know, I know, it's about being in the right position for these strikers) but I think after seeing last night's goal we will see a string of goals from the lad, even though we face a sequence of London derby's next.

Fine margins this game sometimes.

Some say I'm a soothsayer..

Bench one?

Mane (sun) Payet (EVE) Ozil (TOT) Sanchez (TOT) KDB (avl)
Lukaku (whu) Ighalo (lei) Vardy (WAT)

play myhill or hennesey

dawson or alderwield?

D Simpson nailed, or no?

@Wild Rover - did you do it?!

Kane scored 🙁 at least Tottenham won though £

If you activate AOA, can you still cancel it before the deadline if there are any injuries or should I just wait until Sat morning?

Should i sell Darmian for Smalling?

My bench all flagged! Darmian / Westwood / Richards

BBC: Cesc Fabregas denies Chelsea players' revolt claims

So as is this norm because someone has to deny something...it must actually be true!

Hi Guys

I'm slightly upset at my tinkering for last week's transfer- was considering Kane or Lukaku for Ighalo and in the end chose Kane! Bearing that in mind pls could you advise if any changes need on the following:

Butland (Ruddy)
Cedric Kol Williams (Aldeweireld, Francis)
KDB Sanchez(C) Payet Mahrez
Kane Pelle Vardy

2.6ITB 1FT

Few options:
a) Kane back to Ighalo or Lukaku
b) Sanchez to Ozil
c) Something else
d) No transfers

Thanks in advance!

Front 8-
Sanchez/Barkley/mahrez/payet/KDB
Martial/pelle/vardy

DEF-kolarov/nyom/Toby/Francis/bassong

1FT 1.9 ITB

Sell Martial or save & bench him?

Should we use our AOAs whilst Aguero is out? Should I, it means playing Tadic(sun) instead of Bellerin(TOT)

My front 8 are really quite template and this year I swore not to have to many differentials, but we all need 1 or 2 to get ahead, so I was going to go Wijnaldum over Mahrez, but obviously that's going to be very well perceived, what differential would you add to this?

Mata Mane Payet Cabaye Sanchez
Lukaku Kane Bony

Anyone being such a pansy when it comes to captaincy this season? Had it on all Lukaku all week only to chicken out and give it to KDB.

110 points behind ML leader in just 11 gw, how the hell did this happen ? Worst thing is that I'm trying hard every gw haha

Help me with the team: 1 FT

Butland (McCarthy)
Bellerin, Smalling, Cedric (Dawson, Richards)
Sanchez, Payet, Ayew, Mahrez, KDB
Vardy, Bony, Pelle
0.1 itb
(1) Who do I bench?

(2) want to do:

(A) Dawson to Moreno
(B) Richards to Nyom
(C) selling Ayew for 4.5m -5.0m - midfielder like Dembele
(D) Save

get rid of kane or bony for vardy?

Morning all. Ticker updated. Game week 12 posted shortly. Pasqualinho?

A quick note on "coverage"

I get that you can have team coverage, and be wary of how many players you have from teams. Having 3 players from a side that could easily fall out of form is risky and it would make sense to reduce that number to 2 so your reducing the amount of transfers you would need to make to get rid of these players if they did indeed fall out of form.

So we see here there is a REAL effect this coverage as over/under coverage could result in extra transfers being used, these transfers have a "value" which in the end will likely reduce your overall score.

HOWEVER the coverage that makes no sense from a numerical point of view is coverage within in a single GW when deciding who to bench.
Let's simplify the situation and look at defenders with clean sheets, not taking into account bonus or attacking returns.
For example:
defenders A + B are from the same team and the chance of clean sheet is 50%.
Defender C is from a different team and the chance of a clean sheet is 40%

By playing A+B you can expect:
players A + B to score 4 points on average ( 2 for playing + 2 for 50% chance of clean sheet)
50% chance of scoring 4 points total
50% chance of scoring 12 points total
Average score 8 points total

For playing A+C
Player C will score 3.6 points on average (2 for playing + 1.6 for 40% chance of clean sheet)
30% chance of scoring 4 points total
50% chance of scoring 8 points total
20% chance of scoring 12 points total
Average score 7.6 points total.

So you are reducing the risk of a low score, but why does that matter for a single gameweek? It doesn't matter how well you do in a single gameweek. All that counts is the final score. There are occasions where playing A+C would be beneficial but not this early in the season. All you should be concerned about is maximising your "expected" score.

I realise this is a long post and a lot of you already knew this anyway but I feel it is important to understand and would help people score better.

Your opinion would be much appreciated;

1 FT, 2.5 ITB

Butland
Smalling / Kolarov / Azpilicueta
Payet / Sanchez / Mahrez / De Bruyne
Vardy / Martial / Pelle

Subs: McCarthy / Muniesa / Westwood / Huth

A) Martial --> Lukaku
B) Azpi --> Bellerin/Kosc
C) Sort out my horrible, injury ridden bench.