We roll out the final instalment of our three-part series of Big Numbers articles, focusing on players by position over the last four Gameweeks. Having assessed the Defenders and Midfielders, it’s now time to analyse the options up front, with Leicester, Tottenham, Arsenal and Liverpool’s strikers all turning in some impressive numbers.
I came to like "Don't be silly" responses.
Sanchez unknown return date
Calf! :-/
Not a reliable source but worth a read to thicken the plot
http://www.dailymail.co.uk/sport/football/article-3321416/Alexis-Sanchez-injury-doubt-Chile-s-battle-against-Uruguay-pain-calf.html
Hmm, Wenger has more than one reason to bench him this GW..We have to wait for the presser though!
Not looking forward to playing Ighalo vs ManU
Yesterday I saw Bony was at -61%
Thought I was cool, thought I could wait for AFTER tonight's games before taking him out... And then BAM! Price drop... How?!
Because the price prediction sites have little to no clue about the price change algorithm. Possibly because FPL changes it in the course of the season to fool us.
Possibly the latter because up until now, FPL statistics have been pretty accurate about price rises and drops
Repost.
Greetings.
Assuming all are healthy, bench 1 please:-
Sanchez KDB Ozil Mane Mahrez
Lukaku Pelle Vardy
Mane
Yeah, considering him
Is that the best buy-low offer you can dig up? 😛
I don't exactly want to punt my FTs haha😆 I'm an ambitious guy
Dieng 🙁That idiot coach playing all their elderly players when they have nothing to play for and have talented youngsters...
Not as ambitious as Waputs. He wants AD and Lowry for Cousins and George
KDB probably, but you might bench anyone & it might backfire
sanchez won't be a bad shout eitherYeah can't wait to get Kun and a bench fodder
Wait for the pressers. Have a feeling Sanchez will be a major doubt
Yeah it'd be easy for me then
THE VALUE OF STAYING AHEAD
I was wondering if we take are incredibly scared of taking the odd -8 a lot and maybe underplaying the value of staying ahead in the game.
2 transfers you make now also mean 2 transfers you don't have to make in the future. Now i don't recommend going batshit crazy and taking hits every week but an occasional -8 once in 2 months is kind of underrated around these parts. How do we account for the transfers we won't make in the future because we are playing the safer game now?
For example, like i mentioned on the previous page, this is my current dilemma and it got me thinking.
If i gamble on Kolarov starting this GW, i can field this team.
Butland
Rojo Bellerin Kolarov Alderwield
KDB Sanchez Mane Deulofeu
Vardy Lukaku
McCarthy Bony Francis Westwood
Alternatively, i do Bony + Kolarov -> Aguero + Ward/Souare and be 2 transfers ahead.
Now let us say i play safe. I am most definitely going to remove Bony and Kolarov from my team next and get in Kun + a defender in the 4-5M bracket. To do Bony -> Kun i need a hit with a defensive upgrade irrespective. But not doing these moves this week also means i don't potentially do lets say a Mane -> Coutinho next week (Let us assume that Coutinho has scored again and now deserves a lot of our attention). Looking at these fixtures i am definitely considering Mane -> Cout next week but can't do it because i must cater to Bony + Kolarov first.
This circle then plays on further and further. My thinking then is if you are going to eventually make dead certain moves (Bony to Kun is a dead certain), are we underplaying staying ahead and having a healthy team so that you don't always have niggling issues to cater to and can jump on some steals?
How does one balance these out and what is your thinking?You waited for 2 full hours to post this on a new page, didn't you?
No i was just typing this out and then waited another 5 minutes to post this on a new page.
I would do the moves once in while a -8 . Once in a while doesn't hurt if you are gonna setup team for a month or two. Do the moves.
I agree with you.
If you're getting in a valid captaincy material (someone like Sanchez, Aguero, Hazard when in form), I think the hits would pay off long term, especially when you're getting rid of 2 players that you'd not want in your team because of injury/rotation. In this case, Bony's injured and Kolarov's going to be a rotation risk.
It's something I am trying to incorporate in my game this season. Change isn't an easy process though.
Yep, I agree with this entirely. Esp if you have a few players that need to be gotten rid of, take the hits early and all at once rather than waiting and losing ground. Just avoid making luxury transfers (even with a free) I reckon.
Mane-Coutinho is something you can afford to wait for though, IMO.
But you see people putting off transferring Payet out to save 4 points, for example. Ridiculous!Mane to Coutinho was an example of a move i could not make next week if i did not take the double hit this week.
could wait a few weeks for, I should have said.
It's just not a wise transfer with Mane's known explosiveness and Coutinho's known tendency to have 1000 shots before eventually scoring. Mane-Ozil would make total sense this week IMO.Agreed. It is just an example..
Appreciate your comments.
If you can field a strong 11 in the upcoming gameweek despite Payet's injury then you should absolutely delay transferring him out.. Its not always madness.
Its something i do as well but this time around the 'certainties' are not as certain. Glad you are accomodating this.
By nature, i am an aggressive player but am doubting myself this time around because of the 'certainties' factor.I personally don't see Aguero starting this week. Pellegrini has always been patient with him after injury. Let's hope we know more about it in the pressers.
If he does start, I think these transfers are definitely worth it.This is one thing I really like about your game. Not afraid to change things when there are early signs of things not working. Whenever I see your team, I find it perfect for the coming week. Play your game I'd say. 🙂
I don't know those moves are staying ahead or too early.
Not about the moves though. Its about setting that team up.
I definitely agree LR. I appreciate the value of a good hit every now and again.
Problem I have is it gets addictive, and do take one too many. Half the time the pay of immediately that week in terms of points, but I've made some silly errors too.^ this is the problem with hits IMO. Thinking in terms of a one week payoff is all well and good when you want the guy in your team for the next month or two. But when its someone who you'll be looking to get rid of in 2 weeks, not so much.
Having said that last year I remember taking a hit for Calum Chambers (mainly to create funds for someone else) and having him score about 16 that gameweek....But if you get a short term pay-off, and then sell him short term, great!
If you want him longer term, and there are value issues around you either signing him or his rising value stopping you buying another future target, then there's an argument that losing a few pointsof your -4 is not the end of the world.Exactly this.
This sort of agrees with my logic that EVERY transfer is worth 4 points. Free or not. It's the value that's been assigned by FPL possibly the only known known. (The assumption is based on the fact you will never let one go to waste)
I agree completely about taking a -8 for things you will definitely do later down the line. The cost is the same and assuming it makes the team stronger for the short term then it should be done with strength. Your example is probably one of these times with only he aguero minute time the debate.
It also allows the transfers you have later to be used on he certain issues that will arise like they always do after each gameweek.
This is a valid strategy and the most difficult one to pull off. Its predicting more than a GW ahead i would say. Its trying to hit the players that will hit form rather than in form at the moment if that makes sense. Not necessarily, but you catch my drift.
I would say it really depends what you are playing for meaning, OR - ML only - FIFFSA tourney - H2H only etc etc. So, it has a lot of variables. For example if someone is high in OR at the moment and is playing that game i would say this strategy is not needed, better to play safe and try and focus on captain picks. Setting up a team early like you said might be extremely beneficial if you get it right, but if not its a devastating. For example, you took -8 and got 3 players in on a punt, something stupid happens and they dont play. Means you are in a big hole. Something along those lines.
I personally think its a good way of thinking, but it all depends how and for what you play the gameI agree with this completely. It does very much depend on the type of game you're playing.
But I guess I'm the most basic of basic terms, hits should not be used for punts but only for mid-long term stategy.
(Caveat to that is the final weeks when chasing a mini league and punts might be needed)
Great points.
Exactly thinking same. Bojan, francis & Yaya are those I dont want, so willing to take -8 to fix my team and set up for the run-in. Also getting Ozil last week has put me a bit ahead.
My rank is horrible atm, 593k overall, fell about 200k places last week.
Please rip this team apart.
Myhill
Williams - Bellerin - Rojo
KdB - Sanchez - Mane - Mahrez
Vardy - Kane - Costa
McCarthy - Westwood - Moreno - Targett
1FT, 0.7 itb
i just think costa is crap, he just is an aggressive ugly overrated player and has done nothing this season, but then noriwch are i bad bad form, personally i would get lukaku for him
I have been keeping Costa as a placeholder for Aguero, he is definitely going out next week for Aguero. Think I'd be better off keeping him against Norwich and sell for Aguero next week than getting Lukaku and selling one of Kane/Vardy for Aguero next week.
Not a lot wrong
Williams and Costa need to go IMO
Also swap Target now Christmas rotation etc is approachingThanks for the reply. Kun will come in for Costa.
🙂
There's nothing wrong with that team bar Williams and Costa.
Costa and Williams --------> VAn dijk and Lukaku, plus youll have some money for aguero later
Players that need to go -
Williams costa targett kdb or mane
Players to bring
Kun Soton defKDB??
I think its all downhill from here
Kun would be coming in for Costa.
KdB is someone I'd want to own when Silva and Aguero are on the pitch.
Agree with Williams. Williams to VvD or bertrand on the cards.
Cheers for the reply. 🙂
keep Costa this week against norwich and get Aguero next week for him...
Do Williams to Dann/Souare on FTThat's the plan for Costa.
Williams has Bourneouth at home though, I think I like Southampton defence more than CPL. What do you think?You have Bellerin // Rojo // Moreno...I think these 3 are sufficient for next 6 GWs...you can buy Ake for 4.4m who also has goof fixtures and you should be good defensively...
basically going for an expensive 4th defender is not required at the moment.
Makes sense, especially when Kun would be in my team and is going to take a large chunk of team budget all over again.
I'd need about 1.0 more to get Aguero for Costa and I can't see a way of doing that, don't really want to get rid of anyone bar Williams and Costa.wait on the Sanchez Situation
Cheers Moin. You've managed to fill my head with a lot of new options. 🙂
🙂
Not a lot wrong with it. Will pay off now. Be patient.
Cheers LR.
What you think about Williams? Can he buy another week into my team? It's Bournemouth at home. Might well keep a CS, but then Palace and Southampton have been better and have strong fixtures too.Yes of course wait and watch this week.
DDG - (Butland)
Bellerin - Kolarov - Alderwiered - (Evans - Moreno)
Sanchez - De bruyne - mahrez - Bolasie (Hoola)
Pelle - Vardy - kane
What are we thinking guys and girls
Bellerin (when is he back)
Sanchez, KDB?I have3.3 mil in the bank
About Sanchez we will know in the Presser..
Bellerin should start...
Why remove KDB?
I think you have overspent on defense...you should do Kolarov to Ake/Souare...becuase Bellerin // Adle // Moreno are good enough for the next 6, you have Evans as well
Nice team, a lot of options on every position.
Is this better than having 5th 4.0 defender + 4.5 mid ?
I am new and learning but i think this will save a lot of hits during a season.
Captain Lukaku or Kane?!
Kane.
Im captaining Hazzzzzaaa
I am Thinking Lukaku..not sure yet..
Cheers for the reply above guys.
The usual suspects being Costa and Williams.
Costa would become Aguero after Norwich at home.
Think Williams won't get anything against Bournemouth at home?I think he can. But remember they just lost to a hapless Norwich side.
To be fair to Norwich, they do score goals, only blanked twice this season out of 12 games which is a good record imo.
Bournemouth could and should have had a few against Newcastle though. I haven't watched the game, just saw the stats.Tell that to someone who started the season with Rudd & Ruddy 🙁 Just not my season.
Bournemouth always looked like they're going to score but they didn't. They're really missing Wilson atm.I am thinking of giving him another week. The luxury of saving a FT and getting Aguero next week with minimal damage is tempting, also, there's the Ward-Kelly situation we aren't aware of, should know more this week.
Yeah you should. Good luck with that
I think do the moves now . He might do the damage but you cannot lose anything .It doesn't matter if rank it 600k or 900k .
8.3% ownership. Shouldn't hurt a lot if he gets something this week. Cheers GRV. Think I am getting rid if I am not forced to use my FT cause of the break.
I would keep Costa 1 more week personally as Aguero will not be 100%
1 more week after the Norwich game you mean? Could do if Aguero doesn't feature at all against Pool. But I do think he starts next week at least.
Noooo...we plays Spurs after NOR...sell him at that point
You need 1.3m more to fund Costa > Aguero
Maybe , keep Williams this week ,and next week ,
KDB > Ozil ?You back 4 is perfect after this for 5 weeks with Moreno - Rojo - Bellerin
What is your team and sell value:
TV- 106.0
SV- 103.2103.8 TV
That's low but I haven't take a hit still and in the end points count not team value.TV 105.5
SV 102.6
Crucially, just enough to do Kolarov-Simpson and Pelle-Aguero with .1 to spare!If High value players start firing . I am done . I just don't have enough TV.
I just realised that I jumped on bandwagons late and pretty much stuck with players who feel in value.
TV - 104.1
SV - 101.8
No wonder I'm doing so bad, I forgot to play the Value game.
TV- 104.6
SV- 102.3That's awesome .Plenty of funds.
TV - 105.8
SV - 103.3
TV: 106.2
SV: 103.0TV: 107.0M
SV: 103.7MActually... made my Payet ransfer now, which I should have done last night!! 😡
So...
TV: 106.7M
SV: 103.7MVery rich.
he is the UAE Captain after all..
😆 😆 Good point!!
😆
Should be 0.1 richer!! 😡
But thanks!
Good news - you are actually 0.2 richer than you posted above! 😀
Cos it's solid cash rather than inflated budget??
Your TV IS 106.9m, not 106.7m is what I meant...
Bugger!! Hadn't confirmed the transfer, and had my numbers wrong by one anyway...
TV: 106.6M
SV: 103.6M
Fail!😆
TV: 106.3m
SV: 103.2m
what a boring table for H2H Comparison..they should partner with FFS for such articles!
Kdb to a liverpool player......firmino
Well its not exactly a key battle . A key battle would be CDM vs Can like kdb vs Henderson or loveren .
so Wardinho is no longer nailed on? 🙁
nope, Inspector Kelly is posing a threat to him.
Dam, and I thought I was a genius by drafting him 1 week early.
Might not've been 100% fit. Should know this week
I wish I can play him in the next 2 GWs.
Is Joel ward deffo playing? Also is clichy fit and a rotation risk
I couldddddd do Kolarov to ward (or 4.4 or less) and then pelle to aguero next week. HMMMMM
Is Ward nailed yet? Unused sub last game
I'd go for someone else. Ake maybe? Ward isn't nailed.
Hey Tony ,
You taking hits ? Tell me so we both can take one if we need 😛Why have you all turned on KDB? I think he played his best games when Aguero/Silva were around and they're back now...
I think only I have turned on him because
1) I never owned him
2) He is costly to buy now
3) He hasn't played well since United game.
4)kun is a strikerbut when he did play rm with aguero and silva he was at the best form
But we don't know how he will play now . He was new in the team everyone was passing the ball to him , looking for him well some of the goals like the volley one were fantastic but I don't think he will keep those returns up .
He's trash
Not selling him or Sanchez. Have way too much value tied up in there.
I completely agree with you. KDB is playing great in an advanced position and looks a threat of scoring every game. Silva and Aguero back will only improve his output.
The only reason to get rid is if you're stuck with a low team value and can't downgrade anyone else to get Aguero, but surely that can wait til at least next week?If you see him play , you will understand that he is very wasteful BUT the shear amount of attempts he produces is very good
Don't sell/buy/captain him atm
I need to take a cheap (4.4m or under) defender for kolarov
Bellerin -- Alderwerield -- Evans -- Moreno -- ???
Need him to play this weekNyom/Ward
Britos..
Simpson?
Why is everyone loving watford defences? Plus man u next match, but after that they have alright fixtures, but away at like villa with a new manager theyll probably concede
they're very good defensively! can easily get 2 CS out of next 4 IMO
Nyom is not 4.4m or under, and is Ward nailed?
Delaney?
Not sure which of Delaney or Hangeland is first choice.
I think Delaney is, I'm pretty sure he was injured when Hangeland was starting. Don't quote me on that though.
Yes, I know this too. But I am really not sure who is the first choice between them.
I think I will punt on Sako starting this week and bench Ighalo.....dangerous game 😉
I would do the same.
MNF and Manu are the main reasons for me
Big punt that! Good luck
😀
I'm benching Ighalo too
I noticed Otamendi isn't so popular on here. Can't be the price alone cos Smalling is more expensive and he's everyone's favorite, somewhat
Smalling is the only nailed United defender.
You can get a nailed Kompany (and previously Kolarov) for alot cheaper then Otamendi.A lot cheaper? Kompany is 6.4 while Otamendi is 6.5...
Its not that it's that everyone has had Kolarov or Kompany since very early on and hence isn't doubling up on MCI defence..
Play soare or Hennessey ?
Both...your GK selection and def selection should be independent of each other imo
Not for me . If it was wba united city arsenal .I would have doubled up and have done it already but my other keeper is myhill playing arsenal and we all know what wba can do.
Ha! Never discount WBA but they have been vulnerable against the top team ....conceded 3 against Leicester , Arsenal and City and 2 against Manu . Now they face the second best attack in the league
Hennesey is a better choice regardless of Souare*Chelsea
Thanks Fitzy
Cant associate Chelsea as good atm 😆
this
I am playing both as I think that individually, they will do better than my other options
Fair enough . I might distribute the risk factor.
I would actually have Hazard over Sanchez right now...
😆 Even I wouldn't !
Sanchez being tired, etc.
Hazard has great fixtures. Even Chelsea can't get any worse... They will start scoring soon with those fixtures. Not a bad puntI'm not sure I want either tbh...
Giving Sanchez another 2 weeks but he's definitely not worth 11m if he keeps up this "consistency", I don't care how explosive he is.Sanchez is a beast , he will be fine
Even I would if sanchez isn't playing
same
Logic
Do i risk ward...
go for Ake
How nailed is Ake? I am also interested on Ake.
I think he is nailed on..
Cheers.
Willian, Mane or Eriksen
Eriksen is a differential
Which one to sell??
to buy
Sorry mate. Just being sarcastic.
Not keen on any if I'm honest. Probably Mane at a push. I've just sold him as I got frustrated with his inconsistency, but I'm sure he's about to explodelol, sarcasm can be hard to tell online, really i am just trying to find a replacement for payet, but struggling. Got KDB, Sanchez, Mahrez and Ayew (who i will eventually sell), but may just switch to 3 up top
Yeah, I know.
Also inconsistent, but could potentially do great against SUN & NEW in the next two games.
Or, as you say, go much cheaper (if you can afford them not to play this week) and upgrade Ayew next week.
Willian - best fixtures, worst team
Mané - Good player, good fixtures, inconsistent.
Eriksen - Differential, good fixtures, best player, inconsistent.
Soooo.... Probably one of the last two.Mane / Eriksen
Wouldn't touch Willian in a million yearsThat's because you are a Chelsea fans.
Yup yup...he is a good player for the team , not for FPL
I think he has been lucky with his goals.
Jammy Freekicks 😆
Probably Chelsea's best player this year 😛
Yes but that has been defensively not offensively.....he has not scored even 1 goal from open play
he looked like one of the only ones to do something in Chelsea. And i reckon they will bounce back now.
Best Palace def except Dann?
Souare
So I see Belgium v Spain has been called off. Obviously sad and not a good thing to have to happen, but the FPL consequences is good for the sizeable Belgian and Spanish contingents in our teams.
2 free transfers, 1.2 in the bank.
Schmeichel
Kolarov, Azpi, Francis
Sanchez, KDB, Mane, Mahrez
Lukaku, Pelle, Vardy
Butland, Ayew, Dawson, Richards
Looking at just Francis to Souare and saving the other transfer. Any other suggestions?I could also do Pelle to Kane or Mane to Ozil but thinking save?
I did Pelle + Yaya -> Ozil + Lukaku for a hit if that helps anything..
I think Ozil is making himself pretty "essential"Yeah good fixtures as well, just not sure if anyone is worth getting rid of this week in my midefield. They all have decent fixtures themselves
Yep you should probably look to upgrade one of Francis / Dawson / Richards alright.
Not too pushed on Ayew either but he's not a huge priority.Good choice.
Would appreciate some expert advice.
Save or use fts
3.0 itb
Butland
Azpli Kolarov Vvd
Sanchez Mahrez Ozil PAYET
Kane Martial Vardy
McCarthy Morrison Richards Saylor.Payet to coutinho or a mid priced around 6 ish so you can bring Aguero in for Martial next gameweek
I only have 6.0 to spend on a 4mid if I plan to.bring in Kun.
Tempted to do Payet to Silva and Martial to Lukaku.
So you plan on going without Aguero?
This is my question. Do I do Silva and lukaku or.Aguero and a 6.0 mid. I am 0.2 short for Dfeo
Prediction for Man City vs Liverpool?
If ya forced me to guess, 2-1 imo, but I really can't call it.2-0
1-1. Klopp has had the likes of cout and firmino all week.
Pelle had Aguero and Silva tho..... 😉
Who arent 100%
Just having a laugh mate 🙂
Nah, you are right though. I just have to back my boys
Firmino (2x own goals) - Firmino
What did i tell you about pouring vodka all over your cornflakes instead of milk?
Liverpool will be beaten very easily.
Pelle to Lukaku worth -4pts?
I thought so.
Yeah. Will pay off mid to long term
I wouldn't sell Pelle for a hit before Stoke at home.
Sanchez > Firmino (-16) ?
😯
All night long.
