634x258 Dugout Discussion
5 December 2015 2127 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Saturday’s curtain-closer finds Chelsea playing host to Bournemouth at Stamford Bridge. The Blues are growing in confidence following a dreadful start to the campaign, with two clean sheets under their belt in as many fixtures. The Cherries, meanwhile, have finally discovered their scoring touch, netting five goals in their previous two match-ups.

Chelsea occupy the middle of the pack with regards to attempts (53), shots inside the box (30), big chances (four) and shots on target (14) over the last four Gameweeks. No team racked up fewer goals (two) during that time frame, though, engendering the worst shot-conversion rate (3.8%). On a more positive note, the Blues rank bottom for big chances conceded (one) and third-bottom for shots inside the box conceded (21) since Gameweek 11.

Bournemouth lead the field in terms of attempts (71) over the last four Gameweeks, having mustered nine more efforts at goal than Liverpool and Spurs. Additionally, the south-coast outfit have crafted the second-most shots inside the box (41) and the most key passes (55) across that stretch. There’s still vast room for improvement at the other end of the pitch: Villa (10) were the only team to concede more goals than the Cherries (eight) in their previous quartet of fixtures.

  1. Elfozzie 42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    What score expectations are looking respectable? I'm 69 assuming baps stay the same with just Lukaku to play on Monday.

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      really good score

      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Top 10k average is 49 with 3 to play

      1. andy85wsm
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Jeez! I thought I was doing okay this week but obviously not

        36 (-4) with 4 to go including captain

          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          *post baps, 38 pre baps.

        1. Rupert The Horse
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          That is a really poor score.

      2. Pochecinno
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        With Baps?

          • 12 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          yeah

          1. Pochecinno
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Cheers

      3. twoplustwo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        wtf

      4. Gnu
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Good job I'm not in top 10k otherwise I'd be getting a red arrow. 🙂

    2. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      On 72 or so with baps with Lukaku, Coleman, Hennessey(if he starts), and either Coutinho or Wij off the bench still to go.

  2. TheOneAndOnly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Crazy how Mahrez is barely going up in price, just shows how many active players actually have him

  3. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Assuming kun is fit, looking forward to finally ditching Francis next week....

    Who is best replacement?......Toby or moreno (don't have any lpool)

    Current defence is

    Ddg
    Kolarov vvd Dawson Francis oshea

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I'd replace VVD to be honest.

      1. Flynny
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        With Toby?....agree vvd also needs to go...

  4. how now brown cow
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Leicester v chelsea next week.

    Who will be favourites with the bookies?

    1. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Leicester I imagine

      Both will have stupidly small odds

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Chelsea wins that one, it's typical.

    3. Diva
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      If it's not Leicester I might head down the bookies.

        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        😀 seconded!

        1. how now brown cow
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          Thirded.

    4. George Sillett
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I reckon 13/8 Leicester 11/8 chelsea

  5. SweeSwee
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    I wonder how sales of Yokohama tyres are doing?

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      😀

    2. Sif
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      remember to adjust for inflation.

  6. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Mane owners who is your replacement for him? I'm hoping Coutinho to be fit for saturday.

  7. Milner4eva
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    So buying Hazard was a mistake, then

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      35 minutes left.

      But probably.

  8. andy85wsm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Ivanovic looks okay here

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I was thinking that first half.

    2. The Gambler.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      As in for a cleanie or attacking

    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Has anyone else been benching lots of Simpson points recently?

    1. andy85wsm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Benched 2 x Huth clean sheets in last 3 games

      1. TheOneAndOnly
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Morgan for me

        • 12 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Yep, these Leicester away days cleanies keep catching me by surprise

      2. Zasa
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        WoolShed & Simpson on the bench, Huth before 😎

    2. Özilla Firefox
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      yes

    3. Diva
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Yep. My ticker liked Leicester defensively this week.

      1. how now brown cow
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        I think it disliked swansea more to the point!

        1. Diva
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          Haha. That's quite possible!

    4. Pochecinno
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Defensive rotation is annoying me. Played Ake over Rose (CS) last week. Played Rose over Ake (CS) this week!

      #firstworldproblems

    5. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Simpson and Toby on bench. Berty and bell on pitch.

      Not ideal.

  9. Ayew Serious
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Everton blanking would be fekn majestic

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      NO! Barkley and Lukaku(c) here.

    2. SweeSwee
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Nothing would please me more

    3. Somalion
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Can't allow me a Deulofeu goal, no?

    4. The Gambler.
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Lukaku was made for MNF

    5. Woy of the Wovers
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      No

      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Go 'way.

  10. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Quality defending from Matic

  11. Somalion
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Very sly from Ed, making it look like United wanted Pedro just so Chelsea would buy him. 😉

    1. Holy See
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Noice (c)!

      1. Somalion
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Cheers Holy 🙂

  12. The Gambler.
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Any coutinho news guys?

    Played him over Mahrez

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      not in the squad apparently.

      1. The Gambler.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        This would be wonderful news mate

        We should beat newcastle without him and i cant see why we'd risk him

        1. Davido989
          • 15 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          agreed

    2. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I hope he comes on for a 10 minute run out 😉

      1. The Gambler.
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        I hope your next sh1ts a hedgehog!

        1. Les Bleus
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          My favorite kind.

    3. Somalion
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Might be your lucky day. Reportedly out of the squad for tomorrow (Berbinho's Forehead had the source)

  13. Davido989
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    games like this last season with hazard (c) was 22 points

  14. twoplustwo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    If a bigger number of higher-priced players were firing the Hazard tripe from this week would have been non-existent

    1. Somalion
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      If Mahrez and the likes were 10 million the Hazard tripe wouldn't have existed.

  15. Hooky
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Ighalo(c) could have been so much better today with the disallowed goal and other chances. Mustn't grumble though!

    1. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I am angry

    2. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      I feel a bit like that, but then again he could've missed the last 1 too. That late goal was worth 12 points

      1. Scoredelario
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Or ten if we consider the yellow 😳

  16. TheOneAndOnly
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Did anybody captain Mahrez??

    1. Pochecinno
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Vader

    2. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      my good old buddy somalion

      deserves to be banned for not bragging though

      1. Pochecinno
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Reported

      2. Somalion
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        😎

  17. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Ivanovic...hmmmm

  18. KUN+10
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Chelsea are a disgrace. Are you telling me they cant score against a team that cencoded 30 goals in 14 games?

    1. Somalion
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Yes.

  19. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Chelsea are going to get destroyed by Leicester next week

    1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      they'd get destroyed by Chester.
      they need a bye in the FA Cup somehow

  20. internal error
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Hazard not involved as much with Costa now playing

  21. Hect.OR 98th
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Kane over Ighalo wasn't a good move this week. Are people sure Kane is the better bet over the next few gameweeks?

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      newcastle home up next

  22. andy85wsm
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Chelsea knocking on the door here

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Yup. The door of hell.

  23. amol
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Berbs, Firmino(c) tomorrow 😉

    1. Davido989
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      😎

  24. The Handsome Hunk
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Anybody can help- where Alli was playing ???

    CAM or CM ???

    Thanks !!!! 🙂

    1. how now brown cow
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Cam behind kane

      1. The Handsome Hunk
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Thanks !!!! 🙂

  25. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Desperately need some Utd coverage. Any real options other than DDG or Smalling?

    1. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      No, not really.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Butland > DDG worth it? Smalling just so expensive XD

        1. yemzinho
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 2 months ago

          no way

          1. Ha.
            • 10 Years
            10 years, 2 months ago

            Would have to do Bolasie > Alli and Koscielny > Smalling. Have 2FT. Worth it?

    2. Mr. Grv
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      No

    3. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Darmian looked good today. 2 baps as well.

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 2 months ago

        Hmmm, Darmian tempting.

    4. Konig Luther
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Darmian maybe

  26. Özilla Firefox
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    (C)ane next week

  27. mental
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Name the top 5 players you would want in your team for the festive period.

    1. Malcolm Tucker for England …
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      pele, maradona, messi, Best and Guy Demel

  28. Rödallegabomb ᴿᴮ
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 2 months ago

    Last week I touched on the topic of 'effective ownership'. The original post can be found here:

    http://www.fantasyfootballscout.co.uk/comment/11965699

    I thought it would be interesting to take a look at the EO of players week on week, as ownership and captaincy % changes.

    In my initial post, I detailed EO as being the following:

    Ownership % + Captaincy %

    Whilst this is true, there is a more accurate way of working out EO. This factors in the number of times a player is triple captained, but more importantly, whether they are being played or not. Of course, if a player is stuck on the bench, their points do not count. The new equation looks like this:

    Ownership % + Captaincy % + Triple Captaincy % - Benched %

    So, with this in mind, here is how the EO of players looks for this week:

    Overall:

    ‣ Vardy = 68.2%
    ‣ Mahrez = 59.7%
    ‣ Lukaku = 59.3%
    ‣ Ozil = 54.3%
    ‣ Barkley = 38.5%
    ‣ Kane = 35.9%
    ‣ Kolarov = 33.1%
    ‣ De Bruyne = 31.2%
    ‣ Cech = 30.2%
    ‣ Smalling = 29.7%

    Top 10k:

    ‣ Lukaku = 109.2%
    ‣ Ozil = 105.8%
    ‣ Vardy = 100.5%
    ‣ Mahrez = 79.5%
    ‣ Barkley = 67.5%
    ‣ De Bruyne = 61.2%
    ‣ Kolarov = 49.3%
    ‣ Ighalo = 48.5%
    ‣ Kane = 41.0%
    ‣ Cech/Smalling = 40.6%

    As one would expect, no players in the overall game have an EO of more than 100%. This is due to the number of dead teams, and dare I say 'casuals'.

    The top 10k is a different story. This week, Ozil, Lukaku and Vardy all have an EO of more than 100%. This means that for every point they score this week, you lose out, unless you captained them. Of course, if your captain outscores them you are better off, but it is interesting to note that you can still lose ground for every point a player scores, even if you own them.

    This is currently only the case for those lucky enough to occupy a place within the top 10k, somewhere we all aim to be come the end of the season.

    What I found interesting was the fact that 3 players have an EO of over 100% this week. If they were to all score hauls (Ozil and Vardy both got an assist, but not a haul), and you were to captain someone who blanked, you could well see a significant drop in rank, despite owning them.

    What I also found interesting is an obvious template emerging. There are 4 players in each position (defenders, midfielders and forwards) with significant EOs, with the rest reasonably lower.

    These players are:

    GK: Cech
    Defenders: Kolarov, Smalling, Alderweireld, Bellerin
    Midfielders: Ozil, Mahrez, Barkley, De Bruyne
    Forwards: Vardy, Lukaku, Ighalo, Kane

    Whilst it is tempting to stray from the crowd, picking punts with low ownerships, it could be costly.

    Whilst some of the players have EOs of greater than 100 (from that list), others do not. This means you still gain a significant advantage for every point they score. Many are against the 'template' team, or highly owned players, but they offer the security of rarely (or never) having a detrimental week, with lots of steady rises.

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      The most 8 owned players in my team 😀

    2. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Feel a repost coming.

    3. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Can you make this a weekly thing?
      It's very helpful

    4. Pochecinno
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      +442

      • 12 Years
      10 years, 2 months ago

      Jesus, Ozil's EO is crazy high!

      Thanks Roda.