634x258 Spot the Differential
23 January 2016 960 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We call upon the services of three overlooked Fantasy options this Saturday morning as the minutes tick down to the Gameweek 23 deadline. Newcastle’s lone frontman earns the nod away to Watford, whilst we turn to Sunderland and Everton’s midfield ahead of plum home clashes with Bournemouth and Swansea respectively.

Aleksandar Mitrovic

Despite carding just one win over the last four Gameweeks, Newcastle have upped their level of performance game by game, culminating in a 2-1 victory over West Ham United in the previous round of fixtures. Excluding Georginio Wijnaldum, Aleksandar Mitrovic (6.2) has arguably been the biggest catalyst for the Magpies’ improvement in the final third.

The Serbian frontman lays claim to a solitary goal in six outings, yet his underlying statistics highlight his latent potential. Since Gameweek 19, only Harry Kane has chalked up more attempts (18) than Mitrovic (17), while the Toon recruit ranks top – ahead of Sergio Aguero (14) – for shots inside the box (15) and joint-top for shots on target (eight). Added to that, only three forwards recorded more key passes (eight) during that timeframe, illustrating his creative qualities.

Considering that the Tyneside outfit ranked second for shots inside the box (41) and top for shots on target (24) over the last four Gameweeks, they’re well placed to punish a Watford team that’s reeling in the wake of four straight defeats. Beyond the Hornets clash, Newcastle travel to face an Everton unit that’s conceded more home goals (20) than any team in the league.

Adam Johnson

Having failed to make any noise on the Fantasy scene since the 2013/14 season, Adam Johnson (5.8) has thrust himself back into relevancy with four assists in three outings, putting him well on course to surpass a career-best haul of assists (nine). Although Sunderland continue to ship goals at an alarming rate, they rank joint-top for goals (eight) since Gameweek 20, paving the way for cut-price differentials like Johnson to emerge.

Over the last four Gameweeks, only seven midfielders tallied more key passes than Johnson (nine) and only three recorded more through balls (three), underlining his pivotal role in the Black Cats’ build-up play. Certainly, if Jermain Defoe can maintain his purple patch (five goals in three), there’s every chance Johnson will be the man delivering the crucial final ball.

Next up for the Wearsiders is a home clash against Bournemouth, who rank joint-fourth for goals conceded in road fixtures (21). Moreover, only Norwich City have surrendered more big chances (35) on their travels than the Cherries (32), which suggests that Sam Allardyce’s troops will be afforded their fair share of scoring opportunities at the Stadium of Light.

Kevin Mirallas

In light of Gerard Deulofeu’s rise to prominence and Roberto Martinez’s propensity for rotation in wide areas, Kevin Mirallas (6.8) struggled for pitch time in the first half of the season, managing just two starts.

However, the illusive winger looked close to his best against Chelsea last Gameweek, expertly lashing home his second goal in three outings and employing his lively dribbling skills to outfox a dazzled Blues’ rearguard. Indeed, during yesterday morning’s press conference, Roberto Martinez lavished praise on the Belgian’s recent showings, raising hopes that he can nail down that left wing berth from here on in.

Illuminating the Belgian’s rich potential for attacking returns, Philippe Coutinho was the only midfielder that racked up more attempts (12) than Mirallas (nine) across their last two outings. Furthermore, the former Lille recruit ranks fourth for shots inside the box (five) and joint-top for shots on target (five) from that perspective. Taking the campaign as a whole, Mirallas possesses the third-best shot frequency (one every 22.1 minutes) among midfielders who’ve recorded 20 or more attempts.

For all the Toffees’ defensive travails, they netted seven goals in their last quartet of match-ups and rank second for home goals (23) ahead of a home encounter against Swansea City, who’ve posted just one clean sheet on their travels. Everton then welcome a Newcastle side that’s allowed the joint-fourth-most goals in away fixtures (21), so the stage could well be set for Mirallas to grace the scoresheet and help fire the Toffees up the table.

960 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. zizoo10
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 11 days ago

    Bench 1:
    A) Bellerin
    B) Moreno
    C) Morgan
    D) Smith

    Bench 1:
    1) Payet
    2) Mahrez
    3) Ozil

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 11 days ago

      D
      2

      1. zizoo10
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        i'm surprised at how many people have lost faith in mahrez.
        thanks for the input

        1. Concrete
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 10 days ago

          Poor stats individually and as team

          Payet and Ozil better picks this GW IMO . I'm benching Mahrez

  2. flippetyflop
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 11 days ago

    What should I do with my FT guys? Ozil to BArkley?

    De Gea Hennessey

    sagna williams moreno simpson jagielka

    kdb ozil mahrez alli wanyama

    aguero kane lukaku

  3. Rafabio
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 11 days ago

    Mirallas, Barkley (for a hit), or Henderson? Or save and bench Siggy?

  4. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 11 days ago

    Play Mahrez or Alli?

    1. Rafabio
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 11 days ago

      Alli

    2. Higuita
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 11 days ago

      Ive gone with Alli

    3. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 11 days ago

      Mahrez for me. Alli has disappointed me last week.

      1. ZeBestee
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Mahrez will come good very soon

      2. Higuita
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        How did Alli disappoint you more than Mahrez missing a pen

  5. ZeBestee
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 11 days ago

    is Targett going to start? Looks like they are getting results with him on the Wings

  6. Foreside
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 11 days ago

    This Lukaku/Aguero thing..

    1. Rafabio
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Kun and dun.

    2. AppleDunk
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      I imagine it looks worse than the Swamp thing.

    3. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      When in doubt, Aguero 🙂

    4. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Lukaku will shine with Deulofeu starting. Mirallas is a pain to Lukaku's prospects

  7. Dirty Harry
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 11 days ago

    Which two too bench.

    1. Kosc
    2. Dawson
    3. Janmaat
    4. Toby
    5. Ward

    1. Foreside
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      3, 5

      1. Dirty Harry
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Thanks

  8. AppleDunk
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Choose 1 to bench?

    A. Ozil
    B. KDB
    C. Siggy
    D. Alli
    E. Payet

    1. Gerci
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Siggy

    2. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Siggy

    3. Rafabio
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      C

  9. Gerci
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Need some help..

    butland (Henn)
    Bellerin Moreno Walker (Zouma, Rose)
    Özil KDB Payet Mahrez (Willian)
    Lukaku Kane Ighalo

    1FT, 2.6 ITB

    Really would like to get Kun or an Everton DEF

  10. And we all have legs
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Hi all, my ML leader is 40 points ahead and has a frontline of Vardy, Aguero and Kane and will be captaining Kun.

    I have Lukaku, Aguero and Kane. Should I captain Lukaku as a super differential (v him) or just go Aguero, just having Lukaku is a differential.

    1. Rafabio
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      "just having Lukaku is a differential".

      Shhh, was chided for that last week.

  11. Pigs in Blankets!!!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Good morning all. Have Yaya & Mahrez and thinking Sanchez & Alli, should this be next week though?

  12. MountainBeach
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Thinking of taking out Kolarov for the week. Dawson at home to Villa, or Baines at home to Swansea?

  13. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    That's a rogues gallery of differentials if every I see one.

  14. StoneMountain
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Gtg? 1FT and 0.5ITB

    Cech (McCarthy)
    Williams, Toby, Nyom (Wolly, Morgan)
    Ozil, Payet, Alli, Kdb (Mahrez)
    Ighalo, Aguero (c), Lukaku

  15. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Hoping for ighalo to outscore lukaku 😀

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      You seen them play lately?

      1. The Red Devil
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Yeah, more like praying, didn't have enough funds to get lukaku, didn't want to take a hit

  16. justmatt
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    g2g for this GW?

    Butland
    Toby Darmian Simpson
    Alli Ozil KdB Payet
    Kun Ighalo Lukaku(c)

    Hennessey Mahrez Smith Ward

    1. StoneMountain
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Very similar to my team above your post. Let's hope that Mahrez doesn't haunt us!

  17. Unsuccessful
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    A -8 to swap ighalo to lukaku is crazy, right, especially with Iggy vs NEW?!?!

    1. Rafabio
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      -8 is crazy but I actually think NEW going to win 2-1.

    2. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Bad hit

    3. Unsuccessful
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      I also think Newcastle will win. I decided before bed last night that it was a bad idea but haven't woken up completely forgetting the sensible rationale! Thanks for the steer!

  18. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Should I keep mahrez or Alli? Going to transfer one this wk. Or save?
    Also anyone benching payet v city?

    1. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      No, just tempering expectations

  19. Higuita
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Anyone else ditched KDB for Silva as well?

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      not me.

    2. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Never had kdb

  20. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Also. Play kdb or mahrez?

    1. Gerci
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Kdb

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Mahrez

  21. flippetyflop
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Is Ozil to Barkley insanity?? I think Everton are going to run riot over next few weeks and want double attacking coverage

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Not insanity no, but I'd rather keep Ozil

    2. MountainBeach
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Why do you feel they will run riot?

  22. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    A. Bellerin out for Baines

    B. Dann out for Jags

    C. Williams out for JAgs?

    1. KP02
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Who's your keeper? Cech?

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        But

      2. flippetyflop
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        the most recklessly attacking prem side coming up against some of the weakest teams at home

    2. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      C

    3. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      A

    4. Evs
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Has to be C)

      Poor Ashley...

  23. KP02
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    cresswell or baines?

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Baines

    2. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Both

  24. asif316uk
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Butland, Hennesey

    Moreno, Walker, Baines, Wolly, Targett

    KDB, Mahrez, Payet, Firmino, Alli

    Kun, Kane Lukaku

    Who would you bench ?

    1. Gerci
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Hennesey, wolly, targett, Mahrez

      1. asif316uk
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        thanks undecided on Mahrez or Alli

    2. Demel
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Nice team. Maybe Mahrez.

      1. asif316uk
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Thanks in 2 weeks gonna downgrade Lukaku or Kane and upgrade firms to Alexis

  25. Donhush
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Guys pls which 3 would you play:
    1. Bellerin
    2. Ivan
    3. Olson
    4. Moreno
    5. Dier

    Tha J's

    1. Donhush
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Thanks*

    2. Foreside
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Moreno Olsson Dier

    3. FPL Alaska
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Moreno, Dier, Ivan

    4. 1zverGGademN
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      145

  26. FPL Alaska
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Bench Mahrez or Arnautovic?

    1. Oven Glover
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Arnie

  27. Demel
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Mahrez to Miralless. Or take the ride with Mahrez to the juicy fixtures?

    1. A.T
      • 15 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      You could buy him back later. Good move

  28. manu4life99
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    A: Sagna (whm)
    B: Simpson (STK)

  29. 24 Pts
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    Bench Alli or Sigurdsson?

  30. Twelve years a slave
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 10 days ago

    I like idea of Lukaku cap as dey play second,

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Lukaku over Aguero for you then Triggerlips?

    2. King H
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      So I got a bit excited and hit the wilcard button last night. I immediately regret it.

      Please tell me if I have got this rightish ?

      Butland
      Baines Alerweird Daniels
      Ozil Barkley Payet Mahrez
      Kane Aguero Lukaku

      Hennessey Wollshield Targett Stanisas
      FlagHide (2)7 mins ago#REPLY

      1. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Fail

      2. King H
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Major fail. Just like my aeason

    3. The Suspended One
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Don't you think the hammers will get exposed at home.. Only chance at keeping anyone out has been sitting way about on the counter..

      1. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Way back *

    4. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Just checked your site... And see you are starting Ward ahead of Moragan? What am I missing?

      1. The Suspended One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        What about stoke Leicester makes you think clean sheet?

    5. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 10 days ago

      Sound logic 😉

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 10 days ago

        Faultless 😆