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The Numbers Game – Goal Threat On A Budget

4 November 2011 462 comments
Mark Mark
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In this latest Members article, we investigate the low-to-mid price striker market, examining those forwards available for 7.5 or less in the Fantasy Premier League (FPL) game. We put creativity and assists to one side, focusing solely on goal threat to examine shots per minute and shots on target per minute data, comparing the popular budget strikers to the performance of the heavy-hitters – Robin Van Persie, Luis Suarez, Wayne Rooney and Sergio Aguero.

The article helps to identify the prime long-term targets within the sub 7.5 price bracket and those who perhaps represent a sound short-term punt in the coming weeks.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

462 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. colin1201
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    given vorm

    kompany boswinga enrique simpson wilkinson

    ramsey mata silva eagles dyer

    adebayor rvp suarez

    any commenst?
    esp with regards to transferring out kompany and boswinga.
    and im considering dropping suarez after this week to bring in hernandez.

    i've 1 m in the bank

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    1. realtin
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      have a similar team:
      given ruddy
      kompany boswinga enrique s/taylor rangel
      ramsey silva moses larsson pilkington
      rvp suarez agbonlahor
      most in my league have vdv-don't know what to do
      am thinking of getting rid of boswinga (possibly for jones)
      i plan to also drop suarez after this week but am looking at rooney (have money in the bank)

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    2. UnitedAdelaide
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      suarez to hernandez?
      hmmm
      im more worried about dyer and bosingwa

      giving chelsea one last chance for a CS

      kompany….only out for 1 game, so i wouldnt worry too much there

      but yeah dyer, bosingwa are ones u should look at first

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      1. colin1201
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        yeah, cuz man u has decent fixtures, and with rooney playing mdfield, i reckon hernande might be the furthest player forward.

        oh, but kompany's next few fixtures are horrible.
        at least boswinga represnts some sort of goal threat.

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    3. Nibbsy
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Similar team to me, considering the same transfers as you and also getting rid of Given after this week. I'll probably wildcard to do it though.

      Bosingwa - Jones looks decent for you this week.

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      1. realtin
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        given a big disappointment for me this year-who are you thinking of replacing him with?

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        1. colin1201
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          hey, thanks for the replies.

          i actually was thinking more evans instead of jones.
          somehow i think jones is v susceptible to rotation.

          im thinking of doing howard for given.
          or perhaps even sunderland's backup keeper

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  2. GoonerByron
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Help please guys, don't know whether to go into this gameweek with this team or make a transfer. I only have one transfer available and wouldn't mind building it up for two next week but am also considering taking out Kompany for Jones or Wilkinson!

    I have 0.3 mil in the bank and my current team is...

    Krul (Vorm
    Boswinga Simpson Enrique (R Taylor) (Kompany)
    Arteta Petrov Nasri Walters (Dyer)
    RVP (C) Rooney Adebayor

    What do you think? Leave it as it is this week or make a change??

    Help appreciated!

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    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Arteta > Ramsey then use the cash somewhere else in MID?

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    2. AA
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      arteta to ramsey?
      you might wanna consider drenthe,sess barring the GW.

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      1. SPorting
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        hey, just giving advice on the basis of the current team. Goonerbyron obviously wanted some Arsenal cover.

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        1. GoonerByron
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          I suppose Ramsey is worth considering to free up some cash...

          Would you do anything with the defence or stick with it and put Kompany as my last sub?

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          1. SPorting
            • 14 Years
            14 years, 3 months ago

            stick with it. Komp is back for GW12.

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  3. Just_Ty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Bos, ShawX, Kompany, Barnett, Simpson - worth taking a hit to slightly fix it?
    E.g. Kompany->Jones? (haven't taken a hit this season but feel it's good move over the next few weeks)

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    1. Just_Ty
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Could also do ShawX -> Walker as I have 0.4 in the bank

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      1. SPorting
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        if you really want to, how about ShawX > Enrique?

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        1. Just_Ty
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          I know Enrique is great and wished I bought him at 5.0 hwne he got transferred but wasn't sure whether he'd start that week-end... he has a good GW but not such a good run of fixtures after that

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    2. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      not worth is usually.

      you start -4, clean sheet and 90 mins only gets you +2 anyway.

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      1. Just_Ty
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Always what I say, however, on the long-run it can pay off... it's always my last priority to change def - at least if ShawX would be confirmed fit

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  4. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    This talk of Bos being dropped is worrying? As I have Kompany injured, Shawcross dodgy, and two mids injured (Cleverley/Tiote?)...

    Is this as near as certain can be or just rumour? Can't blame Villas Boas as he is shit! Come to think of it why the hell did I ever pick the fool! 🙂

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    1. Tommy J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I got rid last night even though I had 3 other doubts.

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  5. UnitedAdelaide
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    suarez to hernandez?
    hmmm
    im more worried about dyer and bosingwa

    giving chelsea one last chance for a CS

    kompany....only out for 1 game, so i wouldnt worry too much there

    but yeah dyer, bosingwa are ones u should look at first

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    1. UnitedAdelaide
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      oooops
      was meant to be a reply for colin1201

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    2. dierstraights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      reply fail

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      1. UnitedAdelaide
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        i know
        underslept and underse*ed

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  6. Timmy Cahill Rules
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Any Liverpool fans

    Hows Downing been playing normally good for a few goals and assists but nothing so far.

    Has he been poor or unlucky in most matches ?

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    1. UnitedAdelaide
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      shouldnt you be in bed?
      lol

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      1. Timmy Cahill Rules
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Im over in the UK have been for a few years

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        1. UnitedAdelaide
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          ohhhh
          well thats ok then

          but get an early night anyway ok?

          😉

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        2. SPorting
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          then shouldn't you be in the pub?

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    2. Joe
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Not really a 'pool fan, but been watching him closely...I'd say a little of both, he has had some really frustrating games from a ff perspective, not firing on all cylinders at the moment

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    3. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Hes not poor, but not unlucky either. Hes playing very conservatively and not taking on too many shots, the lack of Carroll in the box and the fact that the entire Liverpool game is built around Suarez is not helping either. Hell never be worth the money IMO, until Carroll starts playing regularly.

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      1. Timmy Cahill Rules
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Cheers i will look elsewhere

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    4. Blind
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      He started off brightly but has been really poor for the last 4 or 5 games.

      Wouldn't touch him at all at the price and he might even be dropped for Bellamy/Maxi.

      Adam is the best Liverpool mid to have as Gerrard is injured and Adam on pens, corners and free kicks.

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  7. Connor's Calling
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Obviously not ideal...but who to start out of McAuley or N.Taylor!?

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    1. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      jeez. neither really.

      what's your total defence?

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      1. Connor's Calling
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        i literally dont have any other options:
        Walker Wilkson McAuley
        (Taylor, Kompany)

        ha ha

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        1. Kostja
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          Taylor for Evans, for a quick punt?? could you afford it?

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        2. SPorting
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          ouch.

          i can't see either getting much out of their games but Naylor just edges it.

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    2. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      N taylor, Liverpool not convincing me yet, arsenal on the other hand seem poised to rip it up.

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  8. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    just watched attack the block.. the screams of "moses moses" at the end nearly put a tear in my eye thinkin about the legend moses in my team.. gonna start him defo now every week and near scream my lungs out when he finally scores.. bliss

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    1. Shakhtar Senseless
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Worst film ever. Truth bruv.

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        kinda liked it.. reminded me of good old shaun of the dead.. crazy fun

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  9. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    what's all this bosingwa being droppes nonsense? was it mentioned in AVB's press conference?

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    1. UnitedAdelaide
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      well, bugger all CS is a bit of a worry, so it wouldnt surprise me completely

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        agree with that.. but we knew that all week.. now all of a sudden there are a lot of mentions of him bein dropped.. would love to give him a final goodbye vs blackburn b4 i rid for wilkinson.. or do i do that transfer this week as it is part of my two transfer plan for next week anyhow

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        1. UnitedAdelaide
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          stick with him against blackburn
          make sure u have subs ready 2 go thou
          if no CS this week and/or a sub par performance then transfer

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    2. zoltar74
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      hehehe me too, as hard as i try to get rid of him, it just happens that i dont end up doing it.

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      1. futbolnotsoccer
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        OH MAN GREAT GRAV!!!

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        1. zoltar74
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          thankyou futbolnotsoccer..

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  10. Flubber
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    I need some help with my team too many players who might not be involved.

    Krul (Vorm)
    Simpson , Brown , Bosingwa (De laet, Kompany)
    Modric, Vaart , Walters, Silva (Dyer)
    Sturridge, RVP, Suarez

    1.4m in Bank

    De Laet - Modric -> Evans - Walcott

    Yay or Nay?

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    1. Shakhtar Senseless
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I'd go for someone more nailed on that Evans, as you need to make sure that your subs are definite starters. Think BAE, Jags, Wilkinson.

      Modric to Walcott could be good. He looked decent last week

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  11. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Anyone want to have a bet Rooney Scores and gets a decent score vs SUN this weekend?

    😉

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    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      i'm gettin him next week.. brilliant fixtures and i kinda missed the rvp boat(by the time i go to get him end of next week he'll prob be 13).. would'nt bet against him scorin a brace tomorrow either

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      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        So who do you have up top if you don't have Robin or Roonpig?

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        1. Valar(Keith)
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          aguero suarez sturridge

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    2. futbolnotsoccer
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I'm making the same bet....those who dropped Rooney are going to be kicking.

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      1. futbolnotsoccer
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        themselves**

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    3. UnitedAdelaide
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      money bet?

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    4. Shakhtar Senseless
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I think Rooney will come good again. Although is anyone else considering Welbeck?

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    5. Scroobius Mac
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I'm tempted to get him in! He's still first/second favourite scorer at the bookies who are generally more correct and less bandwagon driven than we are.

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    6. SPorting
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      i woke up this morning, did Rooney > RvP.

      i'll take your smugness and raise you a sleepless night.....

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      1. Christina.
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        ha, I have have both so i won't mind if I win or lose the bet....I have a feeling BOTH will come good this weekend.

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        1. UnitedAdelaide
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          a bet is not a bet without a few £

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        2. Fratboy
          • 15 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          AGREED 😀

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  12. berttbert
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Team for this week is

    Given
    jones, enrique, simpson,
    ramsey, sinclair, silva, vdv
    RVP (c), Suarez, Ballotelli.

    1FT and 0.8

    Is it worth doing ballo to welbeck.
    Can anyone recommend any other good transfer for ballotelli for this week

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    1. zoltar74
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I have 'why always me' too and have decided to sit it out with him.... anything can happen with that bloke even in a short 20min

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  13. BK
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Given (Vorm)
    Woodgate Simpson Ward (Kompany, Barnett)
    VDV Moses Dyer Silva (Tiote)
    Suarez Rooney RVP

    I have one free transfer.

    a) J Evans in for Ward
    b) Aguero in for Rooney
    c) Both (a and b)
    d) Other

    Thanks in advance!

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    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I would save the transfer. Was thinking about Rooney -> Aguero myself but looking at the following week, Rooney isn't going to be playing for England so will be fresh going into Swansea away and Aguero has 2 games in south America so may be rested. Stick with Rooney!

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      1. BK
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        ok thanks.

        So you would save transfer rather than get Ward out for Johnny Evans?

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        1. Pat Bonner
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          I would save it mate but Evans could be a good short term pick. Just worry he would be rotated?

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  14. J.A.R.V.I.S
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Ive been sat staring at my M Petrov to Drenthe transfer all week and just as im about to confirm it i'm filled with the sudden urge to do Nasri to Tony V instead (inspired or crazy????)

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  15. Timmy Cahill Rules
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Are there price drops tonight ?

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    1. dierstraights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      should be

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      1. Timmy Cahill Rules
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        cheers

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  16. tommoeommo
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Given, Ruddy,
    Walker, Enrique, Simpson (Kompany) (Rangel)
    Silva, Ramsey, VDV, Moses (Dyer)
    RVP, Adebayor, Suarez

    have 0.2 million in the bank, any ideas people?

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  17. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Team is
    Ruddy
    Enrique BOSINGWA Simpson
    Silva Vdv NANI PETROV
    Aguero SUAREZ STURRIDGE
    0.1 in bank
    Vorm Moses Brown Kompany

    plan was to save my transfer this week and do a double or triple transfer next week to get RVP and Ramsey in for 2/3 of the highlighted players after monitorin em this week.. with Silva and Bosingwa a doubt though is it better i just do
    A) Bosingwa to Wilkinson this week and keep money in the bank for Ramsey(or prob take a hit next week and get rvp for suarez/sturridge)
    B)Bosingwa to Jones this week (and get rid of nani and suarez for ramsey and rvp for a hit next week)
    C)Save transfer and play a sub par side this week.. will be able to monitor highlighted players better one more week

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    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      eh screw that.. too long to expect anyone to read.. long story short..
      Bosingwa to wilkinson this week.. free transfer.. good move?

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      1. Shakhtar Senseless
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        I got Wilkinson in this week. Good attacking threat and hopefully clean sheets galore. Also gives you a load of dosh to play around with. Can you look at my post below and see if you'd do anything different?

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      2. Kostja
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        No, keep Bos for this week, since he has a good fixture and WIlkinson has a bad one. Do the transfer next week.

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        1. Valar(Keith)
          • 16 Years
          14 years, 3 months ago

          that's what i was thinkin.. easy to get caught up in this/that player not startin for sure etc on here

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  18. dierstraights
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    kompany -> evans
    adebayor -> hernandez

    worth a 4pt hit?
    want to get rid of adebayor because i have vdv and feel both is too much

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    1. Scroobius Mac
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Nada.
      Hernandez isn't quite nailed on, Ade is. Both have good fixtures. Ade is playing in a team that are on good form Man U are slightly out of sorts (not exactly in poor form but not setting the world on fire) and Kompany > Jevans is too much of an downgrade.

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  19. Shakhtar Senseless
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Hey guys, I just wildcarded as I had so many injuries/doubts. What do people think of these transfers? I'm going mental!

    Kompany-Jones (standard)
    Shawcross-Evans
    Simpson- Wilkinson
    Sinclair (after the rise)- Drenthe
    Aguero-Rooney
    Suarez-RVP

    Already have VDV, Enrique, Silva and Sturridge. Rip my team to shreds, I've still got 0.9 to play with. I got lucky with team value

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    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      like all of em transfers.. keep aguero this week imho though

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      1. Shakhtar Senseless
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks pal

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  20. sotothemightygreek
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Quick question:
    Hennessey at home to Wigan
    or
    Begovic at Bolton?

    Currently have Hennessey starting.

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    1. dierstraights
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      henn

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  21. The Gambler.
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Just heard Scoutcast!

    Mark - Bent doesnt play for Sunderland!

    Mark - ANDREW JOHNSON!!!

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  22. Timmy Cahill Rules
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Which combo would you pick long term form week 12 onwards ?

    Dempsey and Sess

    or

    Nani and Allen

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    1. sotothemightygreek
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Much as I like Dempsey, Fulham's fixtures aren't great, therefore probably Nani and Allen, even though I don't like the Nani situation at the moment. I'd probably be in favour of something like Ramsey/Drenthe and Sess and upgrade elsewhere.

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  23. Just_Ty
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    OK, might do Bos -> Walker/Jones for a hit (after doing Sturridge->VP)
    **lost**

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    1. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Hes going up against BBurn, keep for 1 more fixture. There is a good chance of cleanie plus attacking returns.

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  24. everyday, i'm shufflin…
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Any transfer worth 4-pts hit?

    A: Ade > Dzeko B: De Laet > Evans and play him instead of Naylor

    Team now..

    Krul (Vorm)
    Simpson - Richards - Naylor (Brown , De Laet)
    Silva - Nani - Mata - VDV (Dyer)
    RVP - Adebayor - Bendtner

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    1. everyday, i'm shufflin…
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I guess none is worth then... 😕

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      1. King Nil Miss ✩
        • 14 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        B looks good short-term and gives you one more player that actually as chance to play.

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  25. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    cant access totalfpl or crackthecode from college.. can anyone tell me if these players are dropping/rising tonight
    Bosingwa
    Sturridge
    Petrov
    Nani
    Rooney
    RVP
    Ramsey
    Sessegnon
    Wilkinson
    Jones

    please

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    1. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      if drop and rises happen at all than it will still be hard to tell because half of the world is still asleep.

      Looks like none of these players will take a drop dough.

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      1. Valar(Keith)
        • 16 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        thanks.. phew.. cant even use a proxy to check. got panicky

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    2. Kostja
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Rooney actually may drop ,Petrov, Bos and Sturr are also close, but not close enough IMO

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  26. waddles mullet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Playing my wildcard this week... any advice much appreciated. Struggling as I can't include Chelsea or Arsenal (it's a Spurs league....sorry....)

    RMT please....

    Begovic, Vorm

    Kompany, Enrique, P.Jones, Evans, Simpson

    VDV, Silva, Sessegnon, Walters, J.Allen

    Rooney, Suarez, Ba

    What's doing my head in is that I'm massively tempted to squeeze Nani in as another midfield big hitter, but means Beg>Ruddy, Sessegnon>Nani, Evans>Wilkinson AND Walters>Moses/Johnson.....

    Worth the re-jig or stick with a more balanced team???

    Cheers guys

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    1. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Ba to Bendtner along with all those transfers you mentioned gives you a better team imo

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      1. waddles mullet
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        14 years, 3 months ago

        Thanks mate, Sunderland's fixtures do look sweet after Utd, maybe a better bet short term. Just means being a bit more reliant on the big players scoring heavily. And two weak keepers. Nani has to come back into form though right?

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  27. Shakhtar Senseless
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Guys has anyone seen Zlatan attacking Pep and Messi in his new book?

    Check it out

    http://www.rossoneriblog.com/2011/11/03/ibrahimovic-attacks-guardiola-in-autobiography/

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  28. jamsiep
    • 16 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    A word of caution to all those considering R. R. Drenthe of Everton. Make sure you don't accidentally transfer in one of the many other R. Drenthe's at Everton. That wouldn't be good.

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    1. andy85wsm
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 15 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      I don't get it.

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    2. Timmy Cahill Rules
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      lol

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  29. shirtless
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    The Scout reckons Bos is in danger of being dropped for Ivanovic to counteract the threat of Hoillet. Going to have to sell him, and take the risk that one of Tiote/Shawcross make it with only Naylor to sub in to get 11 on the pitch. Looks like Evans it is then... good god did I really just say that! Keeps funds back for Shawcross>Baines in future weeks if deemed necessary 🙂

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    1. Shakhtar Senseless
      • 14 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Is ShawX starting this week?

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  30. Timmy Cahill Rules
    • 14 Years
    14 years, 3 months ago

    Is having Adam Johnson as first sub a good idea.

    Just thinking when he does play he scores big so would be a handy sub and could score useful points if any of my big hitters are unavailable in some games.

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    1. Surfreak
      • 16 Years
      14 years, 3 months ago

      Good chance he will start if Silva's not risked, could do well imo

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