634x258 Spot the Differential
6 February 2016 1366 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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Our usual early Saturday scour for overlooked Fantasy options comes around once again this morning. Southampton and Newcastle’s new boys are joined by Swansea’s resurgent playmaker as all three prepare for a home fixture this weekend.

Charlie Austin

Having shaken off a knock that sidelined him for Southampton’s stalemate at the Emirates, Charlie Austin (7.0) is in contention for a starting berth ahead of West Ham United’s visit. Even in the event that the English marksman has to settle for a cameo role in the second half, he showcased his capacity to deliver attacking returns in reduced minutes against Manchester United, emerging from the bench at the 79-minute mark to seal a late winner.

In appreciation of Romelu Lukaku’s form, fitness and Gameweek 27 blank, many of the Belgian’s 42% ownership are scouring the market for a replacement forward. Jamie Vardy – as the second-most transferred-in player this week – represents the most popular choice because of his recent renaissance (three goals in two starts), yet, having netted 18 times for relegated QPR last term, Austin’s goal scoring pedigree suggests he could prove a viable alternative.

In terms of Austin’s immediate prospects, West Ham are in the midst of an eye-catching purple patch (one loss since Gameweek 14), but Ronald Koeman’s side will draw confidence from the Irons’ less-than-stellar stats away from the Boleyn Ground: they rank third for shots inside the box conceded (127) in road match-ups, while only five sides have conceded more big chances (20).

Gylfi Sigurdsson

The first 19 Gameweeks of the season yielded just two goals and one assist for Gylfi Sigurdsson (7.0), belying the attacking productivity (seven goals, 10 assists) that saw him emerge as a prime mid-priced asset last term. In the Swans’ last five outings, however, the Iceland international has re-established himself as a viable option on the Fantasy market, notching a pair of penalties and two goals from open play.

Although Sigurdsson’s assignment to dead-ball duties comprises a large part of his appeal, his underlying statistics across the previous four Gameweeks illustrate the depth to his game: he ranked in the top 10 among midfielders for attempts (10), while only Christian Eriksen managed more shots on target (eight) than the ex-Spurs playmaker (six).

Sigurdsson’s assist potential (one this campaign) has been limited by the pitiable form of Swansea’s forward contingent, so Alberto Paloschi’s impressive 45-minute debut stint against West Brom in midweek – in which he recorded three shots inside the box and struck the woodwork – portends an upturn in that regard. Certainly, both men will fancy their chances this Saturday as Francesco Guidolin’s unit prepare to host a Crystal Palace outfit that places second for goals conceded (10) since Gameweek 21 and rolls up to the Liberty on the back of a five-match losing streak.

Andros Townsend

Andros Townsend (5.8) was largely isolated during his debut for Newcastle United in a 3-0 loss to Everton, mustering just 59 touches by virtue of the Toffees’ territorial dominance. However, with West Bromwich Albion – a team that averages the lowest percentage of possession (39.3%) throughout the season – next on the Magpies’ agenda, the former Tottenham Hotspur winger should be afforded greater license to express himself this weekend.

The fact that Newcastle are playing host to the Baggies – who have managed just two clean sheets in 14 outings and are without Jonny Evans – is extremely pertinent, given that they’ve chalked up more than three times as many goals in home matches (19) than road fixtures (six). Indeed, the Tynesiders tasted defeat in just one of their last five match-ups at St James’ Park.

Newcastle’s blank at Goodison Park doesn’t do justice to their underlying stats over the last four Gameweeks – McClaren’s men ranked joint-fourth for attempts (55), fourth for shots inside the box (36) and second for shots on target (21). Given that Townsend’s has averaged an effort every 34.8 minutes this term, his eye for goal could prove decisive as the Magpies attempt to climb out of the bottom three.

  1. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 9 hours ago

    Firmino C ?

    Yaaay

    Naaay

    1. thattreblefeeling
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Yay but I am feeling punty on Ozil myself

    2. Takedog1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      its a risk if u have aguero or kane i feel but it could work. firmino has it in him but liverpool have to turn up which they have a habit of not doing. thought sunderland looked relatively ok against city

    3. The Curse of Falcao
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Naa, Aguero,Kane,Sanchez all better options I feel, but hey if your a brave soul go for it you never know 😉

    4. Trae44
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      I am 🙂

    5. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      feeling punty?

  2. t4thomas
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 9 hours ago

    Any changes?

    Forster
    Dawson | Williams | Daniels
    Sanchez (C) | Ozil | Payet | Alli
    Aguero | Kane (V) | Austin

    Hennessey | King | Simpson | Cathcart

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Looks good, like the capt and vc choices

    2. thattreblefeeling
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Like it

    3. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Cheers Chaps.

    4. sleecc
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Austin! I like it.

      1. t4thomas
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        I know.

        It's punty stuff, but if Lukaku doesn't start - he has 0.9% ownership.

    5. Ziro Becomes One
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Like the Austin punt. Could be great!

  3. Tomlette Greggs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Start Hennessey (swa) or Butland (EVE)?

    A few injuries at the back for Stoke. Not sure if Butland, albeit at home, is a wise idea this week.

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Head says Butland, heart says Hennessey.

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Butland

    3. Takedog1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      hen

    4. Defcons are for Kinnear
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      I'm starting Hen but I think both will concede

    5. sleecc
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Hen

      1. Tomlette Greggs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        thanks all. Agree with DGWs are for Kinnear. Think both will concede but hope Hennessey concedes fewer. Will go with Hennessey.

    6. WINNING!
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Bookies say Butland

      1. Tomlette Greggs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        thanks for this. Any link to bookies' odds?

  4. Concrete
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Rp

    GtG?

    Butland
    Azpi Toby Daniels
    Payet Ozil Alli Sanchez
    Vardy Aguero (c) Kane

    Henn Cresswell Mahrez Simpson

    1. sleecc
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Yes

      1. Concrete
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Cheers

    2. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Kane (C)

      1. Concrete
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        I may change to him, thanks

    3. WINNING!
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Bench Payet

  5. thattreblefeeling
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Who to bench

    A)Antonio
    B)Mahrez

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Antonio

      1. thattreblefeeling
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Cheers

      2. French Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        this

  6. Dimen
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    I am thinking of doing Lukaku to Austin? stupid?

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      No
      He might not start though(Austin)

    2. Takedog1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      i think lukaku will play

    3. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      don't do it

  7. temo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Bench one
    Alli
    Mahrez
    Vardy
    Payet

    1. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Mahrez

      1. temo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Currently on Mahrez

      2. French Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        this

    2. WINNING!
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Payet

  8. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Guys who to play

    Ighalo or Moreno

    Need help guys pls

    1. Takedog1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      moreno

    2. coroar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Tottenham have the best defence in the league. Might be worth dropping Ighalo.

    3. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      moreno

    4. Artorias
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Ighalo..start the attacker, liverpool have mignolet in goal

  9. coroar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Who to replace De Bruyne with? Already have Ozil and Ali. Was thinking of either Erikson or Wijnaldum

    1. temo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Sanchez

      1. Takedog1
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        this

      2. French Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        this

    2. uhahpaulmcgrath
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      sanchez

  10. uhahpaulmcgrath
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    will Baines play today ? have lukaku and alli and beginning to worry about having 11

    1. Takedog1
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      lukaku will play

    2. Gravless wonder
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      by all accounts he was rested last game and will play today. One of Alli and Lukaku (at least) should play some part

  11. onetowatch
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Guys who do I start. Ighalo or mahrez

    1. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      tough - who are your other front 2 ?

  12. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Warm up your bingo chips.....

    1. Ziro Becomes One
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Too early don't you think?

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Never too early to practice your Bingo.....

  13. hillbillypete
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Fuchs or Huth?

    1. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      fuchs

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        He only asked for advice....

    2. Trae44
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Fuchs

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Poor Hillbilly getting pelters...

  14. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Do the stats favour Kun or Kane for the armband?

    1. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      kane

    2. Ziro Becomes One
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      I am drunk on Kun-love so Kun(c) for me irrespective of fixtures. Can't deal with missed captaincies anymore. When he was injured, I captained Lukaku Kane Ozil Mahrez all wrong choices in those respectively 'good' fixtures.

      1. Jafooli
        • 14 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Leicester have yet to concede a goal to Man City this season 😉

        1. Ziro Becomes One
          • 11 Years
          10 years, 8 hours ago

          'Due' to concede then. 😉

        2. The Raging Bull
          • 12 Years
          10 years, 8 hours ago

          Man City at home is something else, Leicester were lucky to walk away on Tuesday not having conceded a goal or two against Pool.

    3. The Raging Bull
      • 12 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Nip and tuck, Kun higher SIB at home than Kane

  15. French Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    In a pickle and need your help lads ! This week has been the hardest for transfers

    Hennesey
    Bellerin Dawson Ward
    Ozil Payet Mahrez Barkley
    Aguero Kane (C) Lukaku

    Butland - Wollscheid - Wanyama - Evans
    2FT 2.0 ITB

    A) Ozil > Sanchez
    B) Ozil + Lukaku > Sanchez + Vardy
    C) Ozil + Lukaku > Sanchez + Martial (2 week punt, get vardy post arsenal)
    D) Ozil + Lukaku + Wanyama > Sanchez + Vardy + Alli

    1. Lyonnais
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      I would sell Evans for Simpson, bench him for the next 2 and have a defender with nice fixtures from GW27 onwards.

      1. French Gooner
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        gonna bring simpson in post gw 27 - you never waste a transfer on a player you wont play.....
        thoughts on my 4 choices?

    2. Concrete
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      I'd keep iIl for one more week and Lukaku may start

      I think Evans to Simpson is a decent shout

      1. Concrete
        • 11 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        *ozil

  16. GAMBIT
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Is it really the best idea to captain Aguero in the early kick off against a team he's never scored against before and has a good defensive record of late...

    1. shirtless
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      No

    2. Uppercut Panda - A legend i…
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      aguero had never scored against palace before.. look what happened next.... never scoring against a team is not a good enough argument

  17. Lyonnais
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Hennessey
    Ivanovic, Alderweireld, Moreno
    Özil, Payet, Mahrez, Alli
    Agüero (C), Kane (VC), Lukaku

    Schmeichel | Bellerin, Gosling, Muniesa

    G2G ? Not sure I've the right players on the bench.

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      I would start Bellerin ahead of Moreno.

      Kane captain. 😉

      1. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        thanks!

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      I'd be playing Bellerin instead of Moreno

      1. Lyonnais
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        thanks!

        Moreno really did let me down but I'm worried the moment I bench him he'll score...

        1. Van der Faart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          10 years, 8 hours ago

          I got rid of him weeks ago. Best move all season. I don't care if he scores points or not at this stage because his replacements have served me well.

  18. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Play Dawson or Ward?

    1. Ziro Becomes One
      • 11 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Dawson for me. Always looks like he could get some attacking points in addition to the long overdue CS points.

      1. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Cheers!

    2. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Ward

      BTW, you are a legend for presser news

      1. Arteta
        • 10 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Thanks man! 😛

  19. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Who to bench ??

    Butland

    Forster

    Arnautovic

    Deulofeu

    Is it good to bring in Firmino for a hit ??

    1. King H
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      For a hit ??? It's Firmino not Neymar.

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Butland and Arnie

      Dont take a hit for Firmino

  20. Uppercut Panda - A legend i…
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    who is refereeing the bou v ars game? big chance for a pen being awarded for bou in that game?

  21. Kroos Kontrol
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Good to go? Got an FT and 0.0 in the bank (thanks Lukaku -> Kane)

    Butland
    Toby Dawson Moreno
    Mahrez Alli Ozil Payet Hazard(don't laugh)
    Kane Aguero

    4.0 Ighalo Dann Simpson

    Any changes in the starting lineup or in the overall squad?

  22. King H
    • 14 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    The Watford defence will.not be able to handle Kane. He is a Afternoon kick off and is bang on form. All that said I am captaining Sanchez !!

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Sanchez is a great option. I have him but Kane has been my captain every week for the last four. I'm not changing that just yet.

  23. hillbillypete
    • 16 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    bench Payet or Mahrez?

    1. WINNING!
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Payet

  24. 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    I had a dream and Sanchez scored against Bournemouth but I didn't have him 🙁

    1. hillbillypete
      • 16 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      i dreamt he scored an own goal last week...

    2. Kroos Kontrol
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Better than waking up, seeing Alli assisting and scoring, then looking at your team to see you forgot to save the bench where you got him from the bench to the starting lineup.

      1. Kroos Kontrol
        • 13 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        save the change*

  25. edwardsjon96
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Ozil to Ayew a good idea? Preping for future transfers and fancy him doing well vs palace...

  26. You've got red on you.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Going to captain Sanchez and then if it all goes wrong I will never take the armband off Aguero again.

  27. prichardson100
    • 10 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Will Austin start today?

    1. t4thomas
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      He will certainly get minutes - my belief is that he starts.

  28. simosalminen
    • 12 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    Start

    A) Dawson (new)
    B) Cresswell (sou)

    The bookies heavily favor Dawson, which I find a bit strange...

    1. 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Why is that strange

      1. simosalminen
        • 12 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Somewhat instinctively think that WHM is the better defensive team, West Brom have been really shaky the last few games and Southampton is really clicking.

        And I always see Newcastle as a gung ho team willing to concede goals to score goals. Can't shake the Norwich Newcastle game from my head, was it like 6-5 or something like that and it could've ended 10-10.

  29. #Swish41
    • 15 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    What to do with this lot guys - 2FT:

    Butland (Begovic)
    Toby Sagna Bellerin (Simpson Dummett)
    Ozil Mahrez Payet Alli (Stanislas)
    Aguero Kane Lukaku

    A) plan ahead so Dummett > cresswell /azpi
    B) A plus Luk > Rooney
    C) Begovic > Forster and play him
    D)Something else?

    Preference is to roll 1 FT

    Cheers in advance folks

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      10 years, 8 hours ago

      Go with A, although you've got a lot of cash tied up in defence already so a cheaper option might be better there, Targett maybe? Save the rest I reckon it looks solid. Maybe do C with a FT next week. No need this week I feel.

      1. #Swish41
        • 15 Years
        10 years, 8 hours ago

        Thanks VDV, all sensible there

  30. Uppercut Panda - A legend i…
    • 11 Years
    10 years, 8 hours ago

    if i do ozil to sanchez now it will really put a squeeze on a possible valencia to vardy move in gw27-28