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29 February 2016 3426 comments
Paul Paul
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We round off the day with our usual pre-Gameweek members article, as we cast an eye over the captaincy conundrum ahead of the midweek round of fixtures. As always, we analyse the Opta data for the main contenders and assess the team statistics and Rate My Team’s reckoning, before rounding off with our opinion on the current poll standings in light of the data analysis, including our view on differential captains.

The Captain Poll

Manchester City’s penalty shoot-out win over Liverpool at Wembley has perhaps had an effect on your armband decisions this week. With Sergio Aguero playing 120 minutes on Sunday ahead of an Anfield re-match with the Reds, the Argentine is – for once – amongst the chasing pack behind Jamie Vardy.

With West Brom set to pay visit on Tuesday evening, the Foxes frontman tops our Captain Poll for the second successive Gameweek due to his outstanding home consistency – Vardy has scored or assisted in 11 of 13 appearances in front of his own supporters.

At the time of writing, Romelu Lukaku and Mesut Ozil tie for second spot with 14% each. After enjoying the weekend off, the Belgian now faces a trip to Villa – he bagged a brace in a 4-0 win over the Midlands outfit earlier this season and should be fully refreshed to take advantage of Remi Garde’s strugglers.

Meanwhile, Ozil delivered a goal and assist at Old Trafford and now looks for a third double-figure haul in four at home to a Swansea side with one clean sheet on their travels.

As for Aguero, he faces a Liverpool defence with just one clean sheet in the last seven Gameweeks. The Argentine has already netted against Jurgen Klopp’s side in the league and with the Reds sweating over the availability of a number of central defenders, he could be in line for returns at Anfield in a match that City surely have to win to remain in the title race.

There’s a handful of differentials lurking further down our poll for those willing to take a punt. Diego Costa is selected by just 7% for Chelsea’s trip to out-of-sorts Norwich, though there remains question marks over his minutes after Guus Hiddink admitted he could be rested for one of the next two matches with the Champions League clash against PSG in mind.

Marko Arnautovic will be looking to replicate his weekend 15-point return at home to a Newcastle outfit that have lost five road trips on the bounce. Riyad Mahrez, Alexis Sanchez and Ross Barkley offer viable alternatives to their aforementioned team-mates, whilst United’s man of the moment, Marcus Rashford, seeks a third successive brace at Old Trafford as Watford pay visit on Wednesday night.

Next up, we now delve into the data over the last four matches to shed further light on the situation and assess the validity of the current crop of poll results.

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  1. Flying Assassins
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 9 months ago

    Vardy or Ozil for me

  2. Jay_
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez for me

    • Stephen - Robot Daniels
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Gradel 3x(c)

    • Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Lukaku is my first choice captain.

      1. Bolivian Seaman
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        He's the best pick so far

    • I Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Ozil (c)

    • FCSB
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Who is the biggest riser in FPL history??

      1. Optimus.
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Michu,Kane,Mahrez

    • Darth
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Igahlo to Lukaku for a 2 week punt?

      Have two frees and can easily get 11 fo

      1. Yank Revolution
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Sure

        1. Darth
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks

    • Yank Revolution
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Bottomed on last article

      How does

      Butland to Hart (have Kun, so I can add a City Mid or possible double up w Hart/D)
      Dawson to VVD (have Targett too)

      sound for free if nothing else too pressing?

      1. Darth
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Sounds ok, how are you set for gw30?

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Looking good w 3 Lei, 2 Soton (if I bring in VVD), 3 Spurs, 2 City (if I bring in Hart) -- have Williams (Swans) and 2 Ars also.

      2. Flying Assassins
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Probably doing the same move with Butland, surely do after the NEW game though?

        1. Yank Revolution
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          I think Newcastle can and will score...

          1. Flying Assassins
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Fair enough, sound moves if nothing urgent needs doing

            1. Yank Revolution
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              Thanks!

    • Jazz!
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Arnie or Ozil for me now.

    • Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Wow. I would never have considered captaining Shane Long. This is gonna catch the casuals out big time.

      1. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Austin*

    • Baggies defenders hate midfielders
      Bolivian Seaman
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      West Brom Defence

      Every game is different and we can make stats mean anything, but I thought I’d have a look at how West Brom concede. It is well known that West Brom hate pace, but it’s especially down the wings. Watching them is like watching 8 rugby players in a box trying to clear and block so I’m making an assumption that strikers don’t do well against them and midfielders do better.

      Conceded: 34 goals
      strikers: 10
      midfielders: 19
      defenders: 5

      So strikers have scored 29% of all goals against West Brom whereas midfielders account for 56% of goals.

      It’s looks bad for strikers when we look at how many games strikers have blanked in. West Brom have kept 9 cleansheets and strikers have scored in only 7 games out of their 27 games.

      When West Brom have conceded (18 games):
      Strikers have scored in 7 games and blanked 11 times.
      Midfielders have scored in 12 games and blanked 6 times.

      The amount of games where position players have scored over 1 goal:
      Strikers: 2
      Midfielders: 5

      In conclusion, strikers have blanked in 20 out of 27 games against West Brom and scored over 1 goal only twice during the season. Whereas when West Brom concede, midfielders contributed 56% of all goals and have blanked in 15 games out of 27 and have scored over 1 goal five times.

      1. Beavis
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        How does this compare to other teams? Most attacking players are midfielders these days with most teams only playing 1 striker.

        1. Bolivian Seaman
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          scroll through goalscorers on fpl

      2. Yes Don
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        mahrez?

        1. Bolivian Seaman
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          stats suggest that way

      3. Richd
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Good write up mate.

        I think i'm on Ozil or Sanchez with the armband. Most likely Ozil for his 9 points.

        1. Bolivian Seaman
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          arsenal will create a lot of chances I think

      4. SPFC
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Mahrez not like straight games. Unlikely to play 90 minutes. Lukaku (c) Vardy (v)

      5. Elvy
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Interesting post Seaman, thanks. I wonder if Vardy plays more like a midfielder (winger) than your typical striker. His game appears to be based on extreme bursts of pace often from a wide-ish position.

        1. Bolivian Seaman
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          True

      6. Pav A Nice Day
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        This doesnt mean anything until we see what the striker and midfield goal % is for other teams. Remember there are usually 5 midfielders and 1 striker on the field for most teams that play 4-3-3. So you'd probably expect a team to concede more to midfielders than strikers.

      7. Mark-O
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        How do you explain Wickham's two goals?

      8. MrZ
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Nice insight seaman. Thought the same way too when bought players...

    • Rinseboy
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Who to play from Azpi, smith or Toby!???

      1. The Generalator
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Azpi

      2. Sterling Chap
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Azpi - It's Norwich!

      1. Piggs Boson
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        https://vine.co/v/igKtVJ39n9g

        Look how exhausted he looks... 😀

          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          😀

    • Annie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      The defensive stats table in reference to Vardy and Ozil captaincy options is pointless when you consider Leicester and Southampton are first and fourth in the table respectively.

      1. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Big chances conceded are a better factor imo

    • Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez's RMT position seems suspect seeing as though he hasn't scored in the league since October. Do the values have a heavy weighting from last season?

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I've wondered how long it takes for it to be adjusted when a player just isn't performing.

          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Hazard was still croppin up in December

    • Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez to Ozil gotta be done right?

      1. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        give it one more week. direct swap with silva/siggy if he blanks again

        1. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Yeah considering this.
          Just getting creamed in my ML cos of not owning Özil.

    • Gaffa914
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Barkley my captain atm

      1. Flying Assassins
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Have Barkley myself, don't think I can bring myself to captain him though

        1. Gaffa914
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Had a lot of rest against worst team in europe

          1. Flying Assassins
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            True, Barkley is so hit and miss though

      2. irfanrazak
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        same here.hoping to catch up ML leader at +49 pts

    • HurriKane
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Not a bad team. Future is bright.

      Januzaj Wilson Rashford
      Mensah Lingard Pereira
      CBJ Blackett Mcnair Varela
      Johnstone

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        You can't win anything with kids.

      2. Gaffa914
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Never gonna be there team ever

        1. HurriKane
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          of course captain. atleast we are giving youngsters a chance unlike the city's and chelsea's

      3. marquinhos
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Fergie could prob win stuff with that team lol

      4. Polaris - The Mortal Coil
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Gribbin over Wilson. Rashford up top 🙂

        Blackett & McNair? Lol. Fairly obvious Blackett won't make it at United. I didn't think any fans even rated him...

        You've left out possibly the best talent at the club in Axel Tuanzebe (CB).

        RoShaun Williams (CB) is also one of the best youth talents at the club.

      5. The Mighty One
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        How about Martial up top? Not an academy product but only 19yo!

    • FFPro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Was on Vardy but after the weekend games it has to be Ozil now

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Doesn't have to be.

        1. Yes Don
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          HAS to be

          1. Epic Fail
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            My mistake.

    • Yes Don
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      when are we expecting some DGW action?

      1. Bøwstring The Carp
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        GW34 most likely, and perhaps again in either GW35 and/or GW37

        1. Yes Don
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          exciting times!
          which of the three brucie bonus chips are best suited to maximise DGW points?
          Triple captain & Bench boost?

          1. Bøwstring The Carp
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Opinion is split but I'll be using my WC on GW33 if the DGW is on GW34

            Going to have 12/13 DGW players and use Bench Boost, with 2/3 single week players which will probably be Leicester/ Tottenham players

            Then for the 2nd DGW I'll use my triple (C) since it will likely involve Aguero

    • Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Right I've decided.

      Arnautovic (C) again. Armband isn't budging unless he gets injured before tomorrow's deadline.

      1. Yes Don
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Bold. But not outrageous.

      2. Sterling Chap
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        I so want to do this but Vardy's high ownership is worrying.

      3. Weasel Boy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Good choice imo

    • The Generalator
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Lingard or Ali ?

      1. Bøwstring The Carp
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Lingard, imo

      2. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Alli

      3. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Lingard this GW

      4. Sterling Chap
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Alli is more dangerous. But he's flagged at the mo.

      5. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        have both. has to be alli no ? westham were shaky at the back against sunderland this gw

    • Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Team for the GW

      Butland (Ruddy)
      Bellerin, Ivan, Bertrand (Toby, Dann)
      Mahrez, Ozil, Payet, Alli (Ayew)
      Kun, Kane (Ighalo)

      Do I do??

      A Ayew to Arnie
      B Dann to Daniels
      C Dann to Huth
      D Ighalo to Rashford
      E A, B/C and D for -4pts

      1. bennyp
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Ayew -> Lingard?

        1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Lingard not playing GW30

          1. bennyp
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 9 months ago

            Maybe Siggy then. Arnie is a good shout but after Newcastle im not so sure on stoke

            1. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 9 months ago

              Can't afford Siggy atm...got to downgrade a few players

      2. n-doggg
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        C

      3. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        A

    • bennyp
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Hey all can I get some advice here please.

      Forster - (Hen)
      Toby - Fuchs - Wolls - (Moreno - Cresswell)
      Ozil(c) - Mahrez - Lingard - Payet - (Firmino)
      Vardy - Kane - Kun

      1 FT & 2.3 ITB.
      No idea what transfers to do...or just hold?

    • Sterling Chap
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Cheeky punt on Payet to...

      A) Barkley

      B) Willian

      Rest of team:
      Butland*
      Monreal* Fuchs* VVD*
      Arnie* Payet Mahrez* Ozil*
      Kane* Vardy(c)* Aguero(vc)*
      Subs: McCarthy Alli* Alderweireld* Francis*
      1FT / £0.9 ITB / * = GW30 players

      1. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        A

        1. Sterling Chap
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Cheers

      2. Kun Tozser
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        b or yaya

        1. Sterling Chap
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Yaya is an interesting shout

      3. goran
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        b

        1. Sterling Chap
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Thanks

    • JoJoRed
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      How many points do we think Harry will get v Hammers?
      I want to sell Ighalo!
      Who to get?

      1. HurriKane
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Austin for next 3. thank me later

        1. JoJoRed
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 9 months ago

          Will Charlie get many minutes?
          Has Long hamstring concerns?

    • Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      Sanchez 2nd on RMT, I think the algorithm needs tweaking

      1. fickle
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        hes had plenty of chances to be fair, he just has his boots on the wrong way around

    • Messiah Hazard
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      tomorrow or on the weekend to have a better chance of being fit for PSG???

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 9 months ago

        Tomorow. Norwich are mess

    • FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 9 months ago

      It's Costa don't need to read the article at all but the curse is unbreakable this year of course he's gonna be rested 🙁