Spot the Differential
14 May 2016 1881 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We head into Gameweek 38 with many mini-leagues still on the line, as Fantasy managers seek some last-minute inspiration. This time around, Liverpool’s midweek goal hero is joined by City’s up-and-coming young striker and Southampton’s Senegal marksman in our quest for differential success.

Christian Benteke

Understandably, Jurgen Klopp is primed to name a second-string side for Liverpool’s trip to West Bromwich Albion, given that Liverpool are schedule to clash with Sevilla in the Europa League final on Wednesday. Daniel Sturridge appears unlikely to play any part at The Hawthorns, which paves the way for Christian Benteke (8.0) to spearhead the Reds’ attack. Despite notching just 180 minutes across his previous five appearances, the Belgian frontman mustered three goals and one assist, with a last-gasp midweek leveler at home to Chelsea sure to boost his confidence.

Although Benteke was only granted a 16-minute cameo against the Blues, he charts joint-third for attempts (nine) and joint-second for shots inside the box (seven) among forwards in his last two outings. Taking the season in its entirety, Benteke’s goal frequency (one every 173 minutes) is only bettered by five counterparts who’ve amassed at least 1000 minutes of pitch time. The same can be said of his shot frequency (26.4), which places sixth under the same parameters.

Liverpool’s concluding match-up pits them against a Baggies outfit that’s recorded just five clean sheets at home all term. In addition, only six teams have conceded more big chances on their own turf (30). Liverpool’s attack on the road also measures up favourably – Tottenham Hotspur are the only team that’s chalked up more attempts (272 vs 252) than Liverpool, underlining their swashbuckling style away from home under Klopp.

Kelechi Iheanacho

In the wake of back-to-back braces against Stoke City and Southampton – which boosted his tally to seven goals (695 minutes) for the season – Kelechi Iheanacho (4.8) shot onto our radar as a tantalising budget forward. Having started each of the last three, the Nigerian marksman will be savouring the prospect of taking on a Swansea outfit that’s missing key first-team regulars such as Ashley Williams, Gylfi Sigurdsson and Lukasz Fabianski.

Razor-sharp finishing has been Iheanacho’s most striking attribute, illustrated by the fact that he ranks top among all forwards for shot-conversion rate (31.3%). Moreover, only Sergio Aguero (98 minutes) lays claim to a superior goal frequency (110.7). Illustrating how central he’s become to the Sky Blues’ attack in recent fixtures, Iheanacho ranks joint-second for touches (181) and second for touches in the final third (95) among forwards since Gameweek 35.

Swansea managed convincing victories over Liverpool and West Ham United in their last pair of outings, yet Man City will be heartened that only three teams shipped more goals (nine) in their previous quartet of league ties. The Swans also surrendered the joint-fourth-most shots inside the box (38) and the second-most big chances (13), obliging defensive form that could play into the hands of the league’s top-scoring attack.

Sadio Mane

Given that Sadio Mane (7.4) has recovered from the virus that forced him off early against Spurs, it would be remiss for us not to shine a spotlight on the 5%-owned winger.

Mane – who netted a three-minute hat-trick in the final home clash of last season – boasts five goals in four starts and next faces a Crystal Palace team that will surely be shuffled ahead of their FA Cup final date with Manchester United next weekend.

Scrutinising the underlying stats, Mane ranked joint-top among midfielders for shots on target (seven) across his previous four appearances. It’s also worth noting that, despite registering just 281 minutes, he accrued three more penalty-box touches (31) than any of his midfield rivals. In home matches, the Senegalese wide man ranks second among midfielders for shots inside the box (35) and joint-second for shots on target (18).

Mane has five double-figure hauls to his name this term, which highlights his potential for explosive returns against an Eagles rearguard that places joint-bottom for shut-outs (two) and fourth for goals conceded (31) since Gameweek 20. Alan Pardew’s men will certainly be tested by a Saints attack that bagged 10 goals in their previous trio of home encounters and placed top for goals (11) across their last four outings.

  1. JohnMcGee
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    GK- Robles, DEF - Bellerin, Gabriel, Van Aanholt, MID - Sanchez, Hazard, Mane, Mata, FWD - Aguero, Defoe, Lukaku

    Can someone rate my team please?

    1. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      robles will not play for sure

      1. JohnMcGee
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Have Mignolet if he doesnt? Any other suggestions

        1. Jimmers
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          No guarantees on Migs either

          1. JohnMcGee
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            very unlucky if both dont play which has happened a few gameweeks ago

    2. djenzio
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Robles won't play
      Mata is not nailed on
      Lukaku been in terrible form

      6.5/10

      1. JohnMcGee
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Mata has been in good form recently, have Lukaku a long time, hoping he might to something against a Norwich team who are regulated

        1. Numb
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          You only really wanted positive ratings I think

          1. djenzio
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            yeah this!

            think my rating is fair but you seem to think you're team is 10/10 which is not a bad thing, if you're happy then go with it.

            Odds are Migs won't start either so you might not have a playing keeper....

            1. JohnMcGee
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 6 months ago

              6.5 is a fair rating, but i can agrue a case for all the players I have starting I think

          2. JohnMcGee
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            No im not, I am 15 points behind my nearest rival who is first in our money league. I made 2 bold changes there, bringing out Mahrez and Countino for Mane and Mata.

        2. Del Griffiths
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          I think that Everton game might be high scoring, now they've got what they wanted and got rid of Martinez.

          1. JohnMcGee
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            I hope so

      2. JohnMcGee
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I think 6.5 is a fair comment

    3. DOG GOD IT - KEANE 15
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Rob definitely wont play, migs quite likely not also.

      Pva might be rested.

      Mids are ok.

      Defoe might be rested.

      The rest mostly still have something to play for/something to prove (im looking at you trollkaku!

      Make of that what you will

      1. JohnMcGee
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks for your comment,

        Why will Robles not play, is it Howards last game for Everton?
        Why do you think Sunderland players will be rested? I know they will not be regulated - hardly put out a youth last game of the season?

  2. KISSES
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Ladies and Gents,

    I am not used to being out of the title race in my mini-leagues at this stage of the season, my confidence I think probably developed into arrogance and ultimately stubborness which has cost me dearly. I am now after nicking second place. However in order to do so could I please seek your advice on the below situation:

    My rival has loaded up on Liverpool (Moreno, Milner & Sturridge) he also has Lingard and Defoe to which I consider rotation risks. This guy clearly will need to take a hit to field a decent 11. However he does have Sanchez which he has told me he will skipper.

    I don't own Sanchez but I do own Ozil. The only way I can get Sanchez is by transferring out Hazard for a -4.

    Shall I do it, yay or nay? Secondly should I captain Sanchez or keep with Aguero?

    Thank you very much

    1. Numb
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      If you are playing catch up,there's no point spending points to get Sanchez who he already has. Captain Aguero.

      1. KISSES
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        cheers Numb

    2. JohnMcGee
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I would keep Hazard, but you need Sanchez to cover your rival as he is in good form and playing against Aston Villa, he will surely score. Any other alternative swaps you could make for a 4 point hit?

      1. KISSES
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        unfortunately not mate, Hazards form is very good I know..

    3. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Ignore Sanchez, (c) Aguero.

      1. KISSES
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        cheer HVT, thats where Im currently at.

        1. HVT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          You've no real choice Circo-no point gifting him points at this late stage.

          1. KISSES
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            I can only desperately pray for a Sanchez blank then 🙂

            1. HVT
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              9 years, 6 months ago

              Yea!
              My only problem with this is he's my (c)!!!

        2. JohnMcGee
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Aguero a good shout, Kane - 25 goals, Aguero and Vardy 24 goal. Surely these boys will be pushing to get top goalscorer

  3. Marv87
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    How likely is a bojan start tomos?

    1. Numb
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Check hot topic

      1. Marv87
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks

  4. Gigging Order
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Darlow (Robles)
    PVA Gabriel Cresswell (Rose, Simpson)
    Payet Sanchez Hazard Iwobi (Lanzini)
    Sturridge Defoe Aguero

    A) Long in for Sturridge (FT)
    B) Giroud and Mane in for Sturridge and Iwobi (-4)
    C) Giroud, Mane and Long in for Sturridge, Defoe and Iwobi (-8)

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B looks worth a hit, but beware of Pva/Gabby rotation.

  5. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Which is better?

    A- Hazard + Giroud + Lukaku

    B- Ozil + Aguero + Carrol (-4)

    C- KDB + Lukaku + Giroud (-4)

    1. Gigging Order
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Really afraid of not owning Aguero this week. :S

  6. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Mahrez to......?

    A) KDB

    B) Tadic/ Mané

    1. Numb
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. Del Griffiths
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B, Mane- anything could happen!

    3. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Manè for me

    4. Gigging Order
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B

  7. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Hey guys, which of these in for Alli?

    A) Mane
    B) Tadic
    C) Ramsey

    Other mids are Mahrez, Sanchez, Payet

    1. Gigging Order
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A

  8. HVT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Defoe>
    A - Deeny
    B - Iheanacho

    1. Gigging Order
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B

    2. Numb
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A

      1. HVT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Based on ?
        - I have Kun/Kdb and minutes?
        - you fancy Deeny to do well Sunday?
        - is Deeny a poor mans long this weekend?I just can't justify any hit if I'm honest.

        1. Numb
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          You're already well covered on City, Ihenacho not nailed
          Deeney on form, main man for them lately, assured minutes

          Deeney not as good as Long for this week, but that wasn't one of your options.

          1. HVT
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            Can't afford long unless I either take a hit or sell Caroll, you seem certain on Defoes mins?

  9. HVT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    @ Numb - I went Manè if those two mate, 'go big or go home'

    I wish I could buy but Sanchez.HazKdb/Payet in the way and i want to move Defoe (5.3 + .1 itb) = Deeny/Iheanacho as above for me.

  10. TheTinman
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Hmmmm, think this was my biggest mistake this season. How does peoples compare? http://anewpla.net/fpl/

    Total Actual Captain Points as % of Highest Possible Captain Points : 48.67%

    1. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      48.3%, am 9k OR.

      What's your OR?

    2. Mo Mané Mo Problems
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      50.19%

      Possible total score if you always captained your highest scorer:

      2641

  11. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Hello folks. Few suggestions here?

    Darlow
    Valencia,Cresswel, Bellerin
    Sanchez, Hazard, Payet, Fiemino
    Sturridge, Kane, Martial

    Robles, Lanzini, Simpson, Fosu Mensah

    1ft and .3 itb.

    Sturridge likely won't play...

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Studge/Firmo > Kun/Manè
      OR Giroud/Manè.

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks exactly what I was thinking with Sturridge to Giroud. But I can't afford Aguero. Even with Firmino to Mane....

        1. FPL Blow-In
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          I'm just trying to decide if Firmino to Mane is worth a hit. If Firmino plays he could do well. Do you think he will be risked before the final?

          1. HVT
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            No, I'd sell mate. I'm hit adverse but this one could pay off.

            1. FPL Blow-In
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              9 years, 6 months ago

              Thanks HVT. Have you the armband on Sanchez ?

              1. HVT
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 15 Years
                9 years, 6 months ago

                Yea, bear in mind tho I went Caroll last week 🙁

                1. FPL Blow-In
                  • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                  • 13 Years
                  9 years, 6 months ago

                  I think I'm going to give the armband to Gru

        2. Weasel Boy
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Firmino to Tadic then studge to Kun ?

  12. john25
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Hey guys, think Defoe will start?

    Worth it to do Defoe --> Martial for 4 pt hit?

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      If you have backup -no.

  13. Skidsta
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Hey all would much appreciate any advice on my team below - i'm 9 points clear in my mini-league with 3rd place 11 behind and 4th place 15 behind. Only 4th place has Sanchez at this point - I have 1FT & £2.7m in the bank:

    De Gea
    PVA Bellerin Cresswell Simpson
    Payet Hazard Townsend (Loftus-Cheek) (Alli)
    Caroll Aguero Kane

    Would you consider any of the following?
    A) Alli to Tadic
    B) Alli & Loftus Cheek -> Arnie & Tadic (-4)
    C) Alli / Caroll / Payet -> Tadic, Long & Sanchez (-8)
    D) Something different - any suggestions?!

    Thanks

  14. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Are the pressers today? Or have they finished already?

    1. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      No pressers today.

  15. Rains of Castamere
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Who would you KEEP out of Defoe and Carroll? Think I'm ditching one.

    1. Numb
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Both

    2. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'm ditching Defoe based on gametime issues ROC.

    3. Rains of Castamere
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Cheers to you both

      1. HVT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Scrap that-Payet > Manè and hope both play!
        🙂

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Nooooooooooo!!!

    2. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      😯

    3. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Legit?

      1. hagop
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        not sure, seems like it

        1. HVT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Thanks mate-looks like I'm getting Manè!
          🙂

    4. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Oh balls.

      Hulk mods 😕

      1. HVT
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        No mods in Deadzone it seems 😉

        1. Bøwstring The Carp
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          So can I shout "WILLY" and not get the comment removed? 🙂

          1. Bøwstring The Carp
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            It seems I can 😉

          2. HVT
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            Yup!-Seems no one is watching us-we have the Internet to ourselves 😆

    5. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Is this legit?

    6. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      OH NOOOOO

    7. McNulty
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Reliable source, followed that for ages.

    8. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Damn I just did Studge and Firmino to Giroud and Mane... How reliable is this? Payet to KDB worth another -4 or just let Lanzini come in?

  16. Scheister
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Mignolet, Robles
    Bellerin, Dawson, PvA, Lovren, Cresswell
    Mahrez, Townsend, Payet, Firmino, Ozil
    Lukaku, Aguero (C), Defoe

    A) Firmino > Tadic (bench Defoe, hope Mignolet starts)
    B) Mignolet > Howard (not sure if either keeper will start)
    C) Lukaku > Giroud (bench Firmino, should be big points for Arsenal)
    D) Defoe > iheanacho

  17. Captain Vantastic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Oh boy. Payet out apparently

  18. HVT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Scrap everything we have to deal with Payet now!
    🙁

  19. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Just as well I didn't make an early transfer

    Payet + Remond ----> KDB + Mané (-4) possibly

    Reluctant to take a hit though

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Go for it bow!

  20. Lecky Legs FC
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Repost from the other sorry if it's long guys I apologise just need some feedback & advice if I may 48 pts all chips used behind 3rd in my ML for money anybody think i can overtake him in the last GW?

    His Squad:

    Hart
    Alderweireld Daniels Van Dijk
    Mahrez Payet Iwobi Albrighton
    Aguero Lukaku Kane

    Bench Huth,Ozil,Dann & Hennessy

    My Squad:

    Gomes
    PVA,Bellerin,Gabriel,
    Sanchez(C) Payet,Noble,Lamela
    Aguero,Deeney,Carroll

    Bench:Coutinho,Daniels & Huth

    Think about doing Tadic & Mane > Coutinho & Lamela for a -4 hit (52 pts if i do make he transfer) good idea or bad idea also who would you captain for this final GW Kun or Sanchez?

  21. Milner4eva
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Could be looking at Payet and Firm to KdB and Tadic if the rumours are true...

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Noice!

    2. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      what rumours?

      1. Buck The Trent
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        just saw it

    3. northernmuppet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      what's the likelihood of us getting the payet position confirmed before the deadline? Will we know if he doesn't travel?

  22. Captain Vantastic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Mata @8.1 anyone?

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Could work, looking at Manè now tho.

  23. Ruud van Kane
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Coleman to start ahead of Cresswell?

    Looking to make up a few points. Or play Kaboul with PVA?

    I'm currently on -4 as I sold Firmino.

  24. Jøssy ⭐
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Gomes
    Bellerin - van Aarnholt - Gabriel
    Sanchez (C) - Hazard - Payet - Townsend - Tadic
    Aguero - Carroll

    Hart - Fuchs - Simpson - Sturridge

    Anyone worth a hit to replace Sturridge and bench a midfielder?

    1. HVT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      See Payet tweet above Jossy.

      1. Jøssy ⭐
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        F........!!!!

        I only did Lanzini > Tadic earlier, cos I never though on about the deadline being Sunday 🙁

        1. HVT
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Unlucky mate-wait till you hear more on this.

          1. Jøssy ⭐
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            Will do mate!!

  25. Buck The Trent
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Mane or Tadic ?

  26. HVT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Looks like those with Payet/Pool mids might be in a wee bit of trouble, add in Sunderland news and quite a few down to the bare bones now.

    1. Scheister
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Where are you getting this news from?

  27. drughi
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Payet out, looks like a hit is needed after all. Maybe I should follow the masses and go for mane/tadic

    1. Mo Mané Mo Problems
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Allegedly

  28. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Payet to

    A) KDB-4

    Or

    B) Play Lanzini

    1. Rolls-Royce
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I'd B.

    2. Robben Mee Blind
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Same dilemma here

  29. Rolls-Royce
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    After that Payet news...

    sold Lanzini already. Take a -4 or just play Defoe guys?

    1. Theatre_Of_Screams
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Play Defoe