Spot the Differential
14 May 2016 1881 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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We head into Gameweek 38 with many mini-leagues still on the line, as Fantasy managers seek some last-minute inspiration. This time around, Liverpool’s midweek goal hero is joined by City’s up-and-coming young striker and Southampton’s Senegal marksman in our quest for differential success.

Christian Benteke

Understandably, Jurgen Klopp is primed to name a second-string side for Liverpool’s trip to West Bromwich Albion, given that Liverpool are schedule to clash with Sevilla in the Europa League final on Wednesday. Daniel Sturridge appears unlikely to play any part at The Hawthorns, which paves the way for Christian Benteke (8.0) to spearhead the Reds’ attack. Despite notching just 180 minutes across his previous five appearances, the Belgian frontman mustered three goals and one assist, with a last-gasp midweek leveler at home to Chelsea sure to boost his confidence.

Although Benteke was only granted a 16-minute cameo against the Blues, he charts joint-third for attempts (nine) and joint-second for shots inside the box (seven) among forwards in his last two outings. Taking the season in its entirety, Benteke’s goal frequency (one every 173 minutes) is only bettered by five counterparts who’ve amassed at least 1000 minutes of pitch time. The same can be said of his shot frequency (26.4), which places sixth under the same parameters.

Liverpool’s concluding match-up pits them against a Baggies outfit that’s recorded just five clean sheets at home all term. In addition, only six teams have conceded more big chances on their own turf (30). Liverpool’s attack on the road also measures up favourably – Tottenham Hotspur are the only team that’s chalked up more attempts (272 vs 252) than Liverpool, underlining their swashbuckling style away from home under Klopp.

Kelechi Iheanacho

In the wake of back-to-back braces against Stoke City and Southampton – which boosted his tally to seven goals (695 minutes) for the season – Kelechi Iheanacho (4.8) shot onto our radar as a tantalising budget forward. Having started each of the last three, the Nigerian marksman will be savouring the prospect of taking on a Swansea outfit that’s missing key first-team regulars such as Ashley Williams, Gylfi Sigurdsson and Lukasz Fabianski.

Razor-sharp finishing has been Iheanacho’s most striking attribute, illustrated by the fact that he ranks top among all forwards for shot-conversion rate (31.3%). Moreover, only Sergio Aguero (98 minutes) lays claim to a superior goal frequency (110.7). Illustrating how central he’s become to the Sky Blues’ attack in recent fixtures, Iheanacho ranks joint-second for touches (181) and second for touches in the final third (95) among forwards since Gameweek 35.

Swansea managed convincing victories over Liverpool and West Ham United in their last pair of outings, yet Man City will be heartened that only three teams shipped more goals (nine) in their previous quartet of league ties. The Swans also surrendered the joint-fourth-most shots inside the box (38) and the second-most big chances (13), obliging defensive form that could play into the hands of the league’s top-scoring attack.

Sadio Mane

Given that Sadio Mane (7.4) has recovered from the virus that forced him off early against Spurs, it would be remiss for us not to shine a spotlight on the 5%-owned winger.

Mane – who netted a three-minute hat-trick in the final home clash of last season – boasts five goals in four starts and next faces a Crystal Palace team that will surely be shuffled ahead of their FA Cup final date with Manchester United next weekend.

Scrutinising the underlying stats, Mane ranked joint-top among midfielders for shots on target (seven) across his previous four appearances. It’s also worth noting that, despite registering just 281 minutes, he accrued three more penalty-box touches (31) than any of his midfield rivals. In home matches, the Senegalese wide man ranks second among midfielders for shots inside the box (35) and joint-second for shots on target (18).

Mane has five double-figure hauls to his name this term, which highlights his potential for explosive returns against an Eagles rearguard that places joint-bottom for shut-outs (two) and fourth for goals conceded (31) since Gameweek 20. Alan Pardew’s men will certainly be tested by a Saints attack that bagged 10 goals in their previous trio of home encounters and placed top for goals (11) across their last four outings.

  1. 1NVINCIBLES
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    What is the priority for this lot (1 FT, £6.1 ITB)?

    Mignolet Hennessey
    Bellerin Smalling vanAanholt Simpson Azpilicueta
    Sanchez Payet Coutinho Hazard Iwobi
    Carroll Martial Vardy

    A. Hennessey > Forster (get a playing keeper)
    B. Coutinho > Tadic (punt to win ML - behind by 4 points)
    C. Carroll > Aguero (rival has Aguero)

    Cheers and good luck to all!

    1. Weeb Kakashi
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I would do both A and B

      Or B and C

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers mate. Very tempted but probably won't take the hit.

    2. grandemessi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks GM.

    3. Jazz!
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Mignolet has a chance of playing and keeper's ceilings aren't high so I wouldn't do A.

      I think I'd do B and C.

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks Jazz. I'm probably more prepared to take a hit now with the uncertainty of Payet.

  2. adam17
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Currently 6 points ahead in my mini-league going into the last day, who should I bench out of:

    A) Mahrez
    B) Kane
    C) Rashford
    D) Carroll

    Many thanks 🙂

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A or C

  3. AVIELD949
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    A. Mane
    B. Tadic

    1. Long
    2. Giroud

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B2

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      B2

    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    How much does everyone get under:
    "Total Immediate Points Gained from Transfers"

    Find it here: http://anewpla.net/fpl/index.php

    I've got 260. No idea if that's good or not! 🙂

    1. Jazz!
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      226 🙁

    2. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      71 :O

        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        😯 😆

    3. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      302.

        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Very impressive!

        1. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Well, then there is the matter of those 116pts I've spent on hits.....

          1. che
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            You do realise those points come off your total? 🙂

    4. Freshy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      114 - #suckatthis

    5. Ziegler1988
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      150

    6. DOG GOD IT - KEANE 15
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      241 here

    7. Konig Luther
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      71pts 🙁

    8. Cheltnamshire LaLaLa
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      only 30!

      My transfers really have been shocking!

  4. Tansey
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    This is my first season on this place... what happens to the site in the summer?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Slows down until the Euros

    2. Cpt Crunch Scott talent
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      It's the best time of the season by a mile.
      Only time you actually can engage in conversations.
      Until the masses demands rmt's then......

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Oh dear

    2. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Bugger 🙁 I may need to take a hit now!

    3. Ziro Becomes One
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Waiting till a 'current' employee tweets. 😉

    4. skeyrd
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      say it ain't so!

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        It ain't so, as far as I know. Been scouring for 15 minutes.

  5. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    What to do here?

    DArlow
    Pva Bellerin Cresswell
    Payet Sanchez Hazard Tadic
    Studge* Kane Carroll

    Robles* Darmian* Simpson Iwobi

    2.5m ITB and 0FT

    Thinking Studge out for -4

    A) Vardy
    B) Long
    C) Lukaku
    D) Benteke
    E) Kelechi

    A)

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I think you've answered it on the last line. A) Vardy. Fairy tale stuff but Ranieri will set up his team to win golden boot and golden glove for Vardy and Schmeichel.

      1. La Roja
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Well now Payet out it seems 🙁

        1. 1NVINCIBLES
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          That's too much for me too. 🙁

          Maybe play 4-4-2 with Simpson and hope Iwobi starts.

  6. Garfield1001
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    When will Payet be flagged?

  7. Jazz!
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Who would you play?

    A) PvA (wat)

    or

    B) Cresswell (stk)

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A

    2. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A)news of his attacking form

    3. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      A. Jazz could you give me your thoughts on my dilemma above please? 🙂

  8. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone tempted on bringing in vardy?

    Thinking

    Vardy mane in
    King studge out
    -4

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Looks good traded to me

      1. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks buddy

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Payet fit ot not?

      1. Jazz!
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        -_-

  9. puffingannet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Payet for Mane, KDB or Ozil for -4?

  10. Aguerrrooooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    folks I need your help chasing down a 26 point lead.

    rivals squad

    Schmeichel / DDG
    Rojo / Rose / Simpson / Bellerin / Alder
    Payet / King / Sanchez / Mahrez / Iwobi
    Rashford / Sturridge / Carroll

    I have figured out he has brough in Tadic for Iwobi.

    My Squad

    DDG / Mannone
    Smalling / Van Aanholt / Koscielny/ Cresswell / Martin
    Pedro / Barkley / Payet / Sanchez / Howson
    Defoe /Sturridge/Carroll

    I have 2FT to use. my thoughts are to take Sturridge and Pedro out for Aguero and Mane and captain Aguero. We will have 6 players the same so need my extra 5 to gain 26 points.
    Does anyone else have any better idea than what I'm planning? He will captain Sanchez for sure.

  11. KingPulis
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    In need of advice here...

    Mannone/Robles*

    Smalling Gabriel Cresswell Bellerin
    Lanzini Hazard Sanchez
    Aguero Martial Defoe*

    Bench : payet*/milner*/Simpson

    Mannone Defoe payet are all severe starting doubts and I know Milner won't feature.

    A) mannone > Forster with FT
    B) mannone > Forster/DDG and Payet > mane -4, bench Defoe in case of 1 pointer
    C) payet/Milner > mane with FT and hope Mannone plays

    Essentially it comes down Defoe v Mane -4 and/or no keeper v Forster -4 and if both are worth it

  12. JJJ
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    KDB or Ozil?

  13. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    OK. This has just been posted in the last 5 minutes - but NOT even after the tweet.

    http://www.thewesthamway.co.uk/#!Payet-set-to-miss-Stoke-City-trip/maip4/5737348e0cf2eac0f523bf02

    1. Eden Hazardous
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      So Payet out?

      1. Eden Hazardous
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Oh..you are saying that the tweet is wrong...got you! 🙂

        Quite confusing this...I am just assuming Payet is fit and hoping for the best

    2. Aguerrrooooooo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      payet is out??

    3. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      So Payet fit or not?

    4. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Okay... but that's just repackaging one piece of outlier information. Doesn't mean a thing officially.

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        This ^^^.

    5. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I doubt this very much. The person in question has been wrong before, and has only just joined TWHW.

      Corporal jones says: "Don't panic!!!" 😉

  14. Henryyy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Play iwobi for payet or get mane for a hit?

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      ask again tomorrow

      Payet for now

  15. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Payet out. Lanzini 5th mid. Could be worse I guess

    1. Larry Legend
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Carroll in for me... could be worse

  16. Fergietime
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Payet out solves all my benching problems, joys of not transferring early

  17. Heels_Over_Head
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Will you remember where you were during the great Payet panic of 2016?

    1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Not if I can get enough to drink ... 😉

      1. Heels_Over_Head
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        😆

  18. dhamphiir
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Alli + Milner for ?
    A. Mane + Tadic -4
    B. Mane + Arnautovic -4
    C. Tadic + Ramsey -4
    D. Alli for Mane / Tadic

  19. Bøwstring The Carp
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    In fairness why would a well-known West Ham account claim that their own player was out if he wasn't?

    I see a lot of people saying it's unreliable in the past, but that was about Klopp and Lacazette. Rumours about managers/players outside of your own club are a lot more likely to be wrong than those about your own club.

    Obviously it's not official, and to err on the side of caution but I reckon it might be true. Payet might be carrying a knock, but Bilic might want to risk him considering Europe is at stake. Time will tell I guess.

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      +27

    1. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      If he's injured Lanzini will come on for me, not a big deal

      1. walkman666
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Same here, yet I have more confidence in Payet scoring over Lanzini, and if it was certain that Payet was out, I would then consider more thoughtfully the cost/benefit of selling Payet to someone like Tadic or mane for a hit. Lanzini is simply not at the same level of Payet, mane or Tadic, production wise.

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      traffic to your own social media. Don't ask me why but Arsenal twitter start rumours of Ozil out every single week. Occasionally they luck out and get it right but even a stopped clock is right twice a day.

  20. Aguerrrooooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    could someone be a legend and help me out?
    folks I need your help chasing down a 26 point lead.

    rivals squad

    Schmeichel / DDG
    Rojo / Rose / Simpson / Bellerin / Alder
    Payet / King / Sanchez / Mahrez / Iwobi
    Rashford / Sturridge / Carroll

    I have figured out he has brough in Tadic for Iwobi.

    My Squad

    DDG / Mannone
    Smalling / Van Aanholt / Koscielny/ Cresswell / Martin
    Pedro / Barkley / Payet / Sanchez / Howson
    Defoe /Sturridge/Carroll

    I have 2FT to use. my thoughts are to take Sturridge and Pedro out for Aguero and Mane and captain Aguero. We will have 6 players the same so need my extra 5 to gain 26 points.
    Does anyone else have any better idea than what I'm planning? He will captain Sanchez for sure.

  21. Koflok
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Any of these moves worth the hit?

    A) Mahrez > Tadic
    B) Defoe > Long
    C) Carroll > Long

    1. HNI
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      I like b as defoe maybe rested...thoughts below?

  22. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    What has happened today? What news?

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      there's a lame not validated rumour that Payet is out

      the Guardian has an absurd Sunderland lineup predicted

      that sort of thing

      1. Evs
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        Defoe in it?
        PVA ?

          • 12 Years
          9 years, 6 months ago

          Nope x2.
          https://www.theguardian.com/football/2016/may/13/watford-sunderland-match-preview

          They've just taken BFS's comments and are like the kid in the playground trying to be clever. "Look how many Sunderland U21 players we know."

          1. Evs
            • Has Moderation Rights
            • 16 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            Hmmm ok, thanks.

          2. sinik
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 6 months ago

            so not worth any credence? wasn't going to start PvA but was planning on starting Defoe

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Payet out.

    2. Numb
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Reports that Payet is out - that's about it, quiet day

  23. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    I need a defender for £4.9m or less to sit on the bench incase PvA doesn't play. It can't be Gabriel. Any suggestions?

    I'm thinking maybe Gareth McAuley?

    1. Heels_Over_Head
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Jonny Evans perhaps if you're gonna go WBA

      sure

      1. Rhys85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 6 months ago

        I thought about him, but he's flagged as injured.

  24. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Has there been a Liverpool presser? Safe to sell Sturridge now?

  25. JK - Cønt ⭐
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Unless we hear from an official source I will keep, and play Payet

    if he misses out Cresswell comes in

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 6 months ago

      Agreed. Bilic press conference said nothing about this, so no need for panic.

  26. HNI
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    From the alternatives which looks best?
    1)Pva + Tadic
    2) PVA + Long
    3) PVA + Martial
    4) Smalling + Lanzini
    5) PVA + Mane

    • 12 Years
    9 years, 6 months ago

    Ronaldo 1-0