Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. Ayew Serious
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Something about Payet

    1. Ayew Serious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Uh oh. No million dollars 🙁

  2. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Hi lads! Think PVA is likely to come off the bench if he doesn't start?

    Should I play:

    A) PVA (wat)
    B) Cresswell (stk)
    C) Fuchs (che)

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I went with B. I think Cresswell has a better chance of getting returns than PvA even if he starts along with the under 21s.

      1. ryacoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Good point yeah, thanks.

    2. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Why would he?
      I'm playing him. B) to come in as cover if not

      1. ryacoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I was thinking he could come on as a more attacking option if they're chasing the game.

        1. Springbank
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Mmm now that you said it..

  3. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    DDG
    Smalling Koscielny Cresswell
    Walcott Mane (c) Ozil Payet (Townsend)
    Aguero Defoe Carroll

    -4

    Good luck lads!

    1. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Walcott? Yolo!!!

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        😀

  4. Gassemannen
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    34 point lead in ML. However, have Rojo, Payet, PVA, Defoe. FT was Sturridge -> Martial (block rival).

    Defoe -> Ighalo worth -4? (block rival).

  5. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If your still debating over Tadic/Mane this may help..

    http://tinyurl.com/3nuwb77

    1. Hobolicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      So Cathcart in?

    2. nevins84
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      What have I just watched

    3. Eden Azzzar
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      What did I just watch

    4. Baby Cuties
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      hahahahhahaha!!!!

      bookmarked.

    5. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I guess he means that you can't have everyone so just make your choice and be happy?

      The video made me laugh as well. Will probably watch it again with my son for a giggle!

  6. Doylaz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Coutinho & Defoe > Tadic & Aguero for -4 sound good?

    1. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      y

    2. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Sure

  7. Team Cruel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is this worth -8?

    Cesc, Payet, Firmino > Alexis, Tadic, Mane

    Would leave me with:

    DDG
    Smalling - Gabriel - Bellerin - PVA
    Alexis (C) - Tadic - Mane - Hazard (King)
    Rooney - Kun (Defoe)

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

  8. nkhoughton
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Mané/Tadic
    B) Iwobi/Ramsey (already have Sanchez)
    C)Mata
    D)Oscar/Willian
    e)Other midfielder

    8.1M ITB already own 3 pool, wham firmino lanzini Sanchez and hazard

  9. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    @Doos are you around?

    Are these rumours about Payet have any truth in them?
    Should I take a hit to ship him?

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Oups.. Payet hasn't even travel to Stoke..
        Meaning no chance he's starting then.
        Is that a sound source?

  10. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet> Lamela/Eriksen for a hit?
    Yay or nay?

    1. Pirlø's Pen
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Mata

  11. Judas
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Rival is 17pts behind, has taken a hit, but before the Payet news so will be starting him.

    Ive Already done Coutinho ---> Tadic for free. Do I take a hit for any of these?

    A: Defoe ---> Long (-4)
    B: Lanzini ---> Mane (-4, bench Defoe)
    C: No hit. Start Payet

    My current bench is Lanzini, Simpson, Lovren

    1. ZLNR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'd say no hit Defoe looking for Euro spot
      Payet may play and Lanzini good alternative

    2. ZLNR
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      People are saying no Defoe actually

  12. Chucky
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Hazard(C) gl all 🙂

  13. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone care to wildly speculate on Defoe starting or not?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      team posted on sunderland forum suggests he won't

      1. Team Cruel
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        What about PVA?

        1. Straitpizza187
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          No PVA or Defoe

      2. Revival
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Does Big Sam pick his team based on the Sunderland fans forum do?

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          it's a team from a trusted source not a predicted lineup

          always could be wrong though

  14. Piggs Boson
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    GW39 😉

    Liverpool: will play Champions League group stage if they win the Europa League. Will play Europa League if sixth and Man City get fifth, or seventh if City get fifth AND Man United win the FA Cup. If Liverpool don’t win the Europa League and end up level on points, goal difference and goals scored with West Ham after results on Sunday (1-0 defeat for West Ham, 2-1 win for Liverpool), they could face a play-off on a neutral ground for the final European spot.

    1. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      😀 😆

      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      It could happen though. Wonder what FPL would do.

      1. Numb
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Extra week, extra wildcard

    2. Big Sum
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yeah, I'm going to save my FT

    3. Bøwstring The Carp
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Instructions not clear, got balls stuck in toaster

    4. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Damnit I just sold Payet... now I don't have him for GW39! 🙁

  15. Niemi
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet>Tadic done. Payet will surely start now.

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Wait before the deadline. We can see it

    2. Bielsa's Blue Bucket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Unlikely as he hasn't travelled

  16. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    2 WHam odds for CS? Nice

  17. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Gw 38-
    Hits vs no hits

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Hits hits hits. Go out with style!!!

      1. The Red Devil
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Meaning a green arrow, not red mist 😛

  18. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If you want to get a Striker who would be ?

    A- Kane

    B- Vardy

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      K

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I would go Vardy

    3. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Kelechi

    4. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      b

    5. Ciro Di Marzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  19. Mr Alex
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Should I start Clichy or Simpson?

    Bear in mind:

    -Clichy has better fixture, if he starts much better CS chance.
    -Rival who has exact same points as me has two playing Leicester defenders.

    1. JJO
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Leicester shoul concede so...

  20. Rich_20
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Defoe (bench risk) or CBJ (likely starting) as first sub for Payet?
    Or take an additional -4 to bring in Mane (who I think might be benched himself). Already have Smalling.

    1. Springbank
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I'm on Defoe first sub myself but tempted to bring in Mahrez for Payet

  21. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Borthwick-Jackson to start if Rojo is out?

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      seems like it

  22. FantasTic
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Hazard or KDB?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      kdb

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Having to make the same decision... Currently leaning towards KdB

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Just did Payet > KDB myself

  23. Pedram
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Am i right in thinking that if Payet is a doubt he'll either start or not play at all ?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yup

    2. jg7u
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes.

  24. The Man Pastore
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Darlow
    Kosc l Gabriel l Cresswell
    Sanchez l Hazard l Tadic l Lanzini
    Defoe l Aguero(C) l Martial

    Bench: Robles l Dann l Payet l Rojo

    Would you do Payet -> Eriksen or Mane for -4pts?

    1. fickle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Start rojo just in case

  25. Theatre_Of_Screams
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So what is going on with Payet?

    How you taken him out or left him in? He's still 100% on FPL.

    1. Eden Azzzar
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I've got him still

    2. Ciro Di Marzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I switched him to tadic with my ft

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Leave him in is my call, make sure subs are in order

  26. Eden Azzzar
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play 1
    A) cresswell
    B) Pva
    C) moreno

    1. Ciro Di Marzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  27. Lynxy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who else is like me, saving a transfer for GW39 Liverpool vs West Ham match? 😎

    1. Lynxy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I feel so smart now 😎

  28. Ciro Di Marzio
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'm playing AoA with bellerin and who else ???

    A cresswell
    B fosu mensa
    C gabriel

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      c

    2. fickle
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      C

    3. Ciro Di Marzio
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Cheers!

  29. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    since when did Defoe became a bench risk? Just did Lukaku -> Kun 🙁 for a hit

    1. FPL Daniel
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Keep Kaku he can score

  30. FPL Daniel
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Non Kun owner. Scared

    1. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Same, the fear is real 🙂