Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. 1NVINCIBLES
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Probably too late now and not as good as Sarj's, but if anyone wants to take a look at some kind of team ratings for GW38:

    http://i.imgur.com/5FYjS8J.png

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      West Ham is tasty. I hope Payet plays. I also don't have Kun. 🙁

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      do the ratings take into account Liverpool fielding a very weak starting XI?

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        vs. Watford? Yes.

    3. Piggs Boson
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Since when was the Swansea defence "very strong" 😯

      1. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Probably give form too much into account, sorry. 😛

        Last 6 home games is W4 D1 L1 with 3 CS and 3 GC.

      2. GreenWindmill
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Arguably for a long time at home

      3. Daaf
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Or City's for that matter.

  2. TSILIKAFENEIAKOS
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Captain who - probably lost my ML (40 pts behind), rival will probably C Alexis.

    1. Kun
    2. Giroud
    3. Tadic

    I have Alexis too.

    1. OptimusBlack
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Kun

  3. JamesFG
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Tadic
    B) KdB

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A. Very strong attack vs. poor defence. http://i.imgur.com/5FYjS8J.png

  4. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Score prediction For
    A- Chelsea v.s Leicester
    B- Newcastle v.s Spurs

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      2-2
      0-2

  5. Sergeant Garcia
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    PvA or Fuchs to play?

    1. nkhoughton
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Pva

    2. Weasel51
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      PVA iS 100% not playing.

      1. Sergeant Garcia
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        What's your source? 😛

        1. Straitpizza187
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Team is on the Sunderland forum. Robson is playing left back.

          1. Sergeant Garcia
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Cheers! Fuchs it is then!

          2. Montezuma
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            which forum is this ? ta

            1. Straitpizza187
              • 14 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              Sunderland message board - Ready to Go

        2. Weasel51
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          I have a text from someone I trust. Also BSA has just been on goals on Sunday and confirmed young Robson is playing who is a LB

          1. Montezuma
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Well that's screwed up my plans lol

  6. nkhoughton
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Please help me fill this spot.
    Lanzini, Firmino, Sanchez, Hazard, 8.1M

    No Liverpool or west ham

    1. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Must be Tadic.

      1. nkhoughton
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Over mane

    2. Sergeant Garcia
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Tadic

  7. Kno
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    err guys, why is defoe a doubt? And if so would you do defoe or carrol -> Long?

    1. Weasel51
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Defoe isn't playing. 100%

      1. Daaf
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Source?

        1. Weasel51
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Same as above mate. Also team news is being leaked on Sunderland forum at the minute.

  8. Shrimpy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Is Dusan on pens?

  9. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Moreno, Payet and Carrol > Martina, Tadic and Giroud ?

    Yay or Nay?

  10. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I reckon there is no payet injury. West Ham let him stay at home and not travel as his kids were unwell (as reported this morning).

    If they got better and he was able to to make it on time to the hotel in stoke he would start otherwise likely to have been advised to stay at home.

    Which is why David Gold's tweet kind of makes sense, "he is a doubt" as he doesn't know if Payet will make it just yet?

    Over thinking or not? When will west ham arrive at the brittania as then we will know if payet steps off the coach? Or could Payet drive directly to the ground?

    1. Eden Azzzar
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I reckon Payet will try his best to play , I think if he does play he will come in his own car

    2. 1NVINCIBLES
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I think that is reasonable. I hope he plays. Get well soon Payet's kids.

  11. Perthite
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Fighting against taking a hit no matter whether Payet playing or not.

  12. The Sarjeant
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Big Sam has said on GoS that Duncan Watmore is starting. So maybe no Defoe.

    1. The Sarjeant
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Pickford in goal too and two other youngsters.

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Hmmm

      2. James H
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Hard to say as Watmore has always played wide in the 4-1-4-1 formation, and I'm sure Defoe would want to make one final claim to push for a spot in the England squad.

      3. 1NVINCIBLES
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Is Robson one of the other two?

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          yes

          1. 1NVINCIBLES
            • 10 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Cheers Jazz. *starts Azpi ahead of PVA

      4. ZLNR
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Pickford, Gooch and Beadling perhaps

        Watmore couldn't play lone striker I think that says Khazri/ Borini rested more than Defoe

        1. ZLNR
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Or Robson not Beadling*

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      He's basically a wide striker. I think he'll start RW, can't lead the attack.

      1. The Sarjeant
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I might just bench him anyway.

    3. Weasel51
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Watmore is playing in a wing I believe. Defoe on bench.

    4. Hobolicious
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Or no Borini? But yeah, the rumour has it that N'Doye will play up top for Defoe.

      1. Straitpizza187
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Pickford
        Yedlin Kone Oshea Robson
        Larsson Rodwell
        Watmore lens Greenwood
        N'Doye

        1. Jazz!
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Predicted?

          1. Straitpizza187
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            Been posted on our forum by a guy who names it most weeks.

            Always spot on.

            1. Jazz!
              • 11 Years
              9 years, 8 months ago

              Thanks

        2. ZLNR
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          Incoming 3-1 or 4-1 Watford

  13. odannyboys
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    bench milner and moreno?

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Yes

    2. andymck
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      They won't play so yes

  14. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Start Borthwick-Jackson over PvA.....or I am suffering last GW madness?

  15. Stats Don\'t Lie
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Aoa with Townsend
    B) play pva

    1. jg7u
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

  16. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Gomes
    Bellerin gabs Rose
    Sanchez(c) haz Payet Mahrez Tadic
    Kun ighalo

    Subs Carroll Cresswell fuchs

    A stick
    B Payet to Arnie -4
    C Payet to Mane -4 (blocking move in ML)
    D Cresswell to valencia -4 (blocking move in ML)
    E Carroll to Long -4

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      C

  17. The Sarjeant
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    With Robles and Mannone, I have no keeper! 🙁

  18. Theatre_Of_Screams
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Start Lanzini over Defoe?

    1. Daaf
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I am thinking about it. No Payet and No Defoe could make it a decent option.

  19. OptimusBlack
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Really Want to get one of Those

    A- Vardy

    B- Kane

    1. Stats Don\'t Lie
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

      1. OptimusBlack
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers Who else want to advice me 🙁

    2. Daaf
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I would go A but both great options.

  20. Scoredelario
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any reason I shouldn't captain Payet?

    1. Sneaky Pete
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Good chance he wont play

  21. Lynxy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any reports on a yellow lamborghini being booked on the highway for speeding towards Stoke? XD

    1. Milner4eva
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      😉

  22. StoneMountain
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Defoe & Payet > Long & KDB for a hit?

    1. My neck my back my Saed Kol…
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Depends on your bench. Last day hits are a bad call in my opinion

  23. FPL ElasticO
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    What transfers are best??

    a) Defoe to Long & bench Milner
    b) Milner & Payet to Mane & Tadic
    c) Mignolet to DDG

  24. odannyboys
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Only monreal and mahrez have survived from my gameweek 1 team!

  25. Sergeant Garcia
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who to play:

    A) Forster + Smalling
    B) DDG + Smalling

    1. 1314
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      tough one , B imo

    2. Rich_20
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A. Wilson getting a sneaky goal towards the end.

  26. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Seriously though I would be highly embarrassed if my ML opponents found out that the reason I lost Payet for a hit was because I saw a selfie of him with some random in Essex filling up his gas tank when he should have been in Stoke, little do they know how deep I am in(FFS wise)

    If it works out though I think I'll tell them I transfered out Payet instead of Firmino by mistake

    1. Scoredelario
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Just say you heard a rumour he was injured. Maybe don't divulge the fact you were up a tree with binoculars spying on him.

  27. fickle
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Anyone know Payets phone number? I want to text him to ask if he's playing cheers

  28. Jazz!
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Big Sam just confirmed Jordan Pickford, Tom Robson, Rees Greenwood and Duncan Watmore all to start today.

    1. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Does this mean PvA won't start then?

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Most probably. But Robson can play centre half too I hear.

  29. nkhoughton
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    mane or Tadic

  30. 1314
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    close rival has Defoe , bench Defoe or Carroll ?