Scout Betting
15 May 2016 1849 comments
James Barnes James Barnes
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For the last time this season, we skulk outside Paddy Power’s door in an attempt to extract a final few strands of information to guide our deadline decisions.

Before we scan Paddy’s odds for Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets, a reminder that, if you’re yet to secure your own Paddy Power account, you can do so today and snap up one of several enhanced new customer offers.

Today’s acca tops the bill with odds of 25/1 on wins for Man City at Swansea, Man United over Bournemouth, Southampton against Crystal Palace and Spurs at Newcastle.

There’s also a final day double which offers the same odds of 25/1 on wins for West Ham at Stoke and Liverpool at West Brom.

If you’d rather chance your arm on individual matches, you can get 12/1 on Leicester to win at Chelsea, or 14/1 on a victory for Sunderland at Watford.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18. If you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.57
SanchezARS1.61
GiroudARS1.61
LukakuEVE1.72
LongSOT1.83
PelleSOT1.83
RooneyMUN1.83
WalcottARS1.90
IwobiARS1.90
KaneTOT1.90
DeeneyWAT2.00
RashfordMUN2.00
MartialMUN2.00
IghaloWAT2.10
SturridgeLIV2.10
BentekeLIV2.10
De BruyneMCI2.20
ManeSOT2.20
IheanachoMCI2.20

Paddy have again earmarked Sergio Aguero (1.52) as the most likely scorer in the Gameweek. Given that the former Atletico Madrid marksman has netted in his previous six starts, it’s perhaps no real surprise. He’ll be striving to breach a Swansea City back line that has conceded nine goals in four match-ups but, while Manchester City are looking to stave off United’s challenge for fourth spot, it remains to be seen if Manuel Pellegrini’s men will go for goals or settle for the point they need.

In light of Arsenal’s potentially profitable home encounter against Aston Villa, Alexis Sanchez (1.61), Olivier Giroud (1.61), Theo Walcott (1.90) and Alex Iwobi (1.90) all feature very highly in Paddy’s assessment, with goals expected at the Emirates. Although the Villains’ defensive travails are well documented, it’s worth noting that the Gunners have bagged just six strikes in their last five outings. Nonetheless, Paddy are backing them strongly to rout Eric Black’s relegated side.

Perhaps optimistically, Romelu Lukaku (1.72) ranks fourth before Everton’s Goodison Park meeting with Norwich City. The Belgium international is in the midst of eight successive blanks and is playing for a team that charted third-bottom for key passes (46) across their previous quartet of match-ups.

Southampton’s Shane Long and Graziano Pelle have all been tipped at 1.80 for Crystal Palace’s visit to Southampton. The Saints have notched more goals than any team (11) in their last four fixtures and will face an Eagles squad that is surely focused on next weekend’s FA Cup final. Sadio Mane is also included in Paddy’s top bracket, ranked at 2.20 for an anytime goal – only Arsenal’s cast of options can better those odds amongst midfielders.

Talking of midfielders, having switched to a deeper role for United, it’s surprising to see that Wayne Rooney (1.83) ranked so highly ahead of his meeting with Bournemouth at Old Trafford. Rooney has failed to grace the scoresheet since Gameweek 24 and both Marcus Rashford and Anthony Martial (2.00) look stronger prospects.

Harry Kane betters the odds of that United pair ahead of Tottenham’s trip to St James’ Park. Kane has scored an impressive six goals in his last four road trips, while Mauricio Pochettino’s men have the incentive of holding off the challenge of Arsenal for runners-up spot, ensuring that Spurs and Kane should show intent on Tyneside.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 38

TeamOdds
Arsenal1.61
Southampton1.90
Manchester United2.00
Manchester City2.62
Watford2.75
Tottenham2.80
Everton3.00
Chelsea3.50
West Ham3.60

Aston Villa have drawn blanks in six of their last nine fixtures, ensuring that Arsenal (1.61) are clear favourites for a shut-out at the Emirates with some of the shortest clean sheets odds we’ve seen this term.

Southampton (1.90) claim the silver-medal berth as they attempt to silence a Palace attack that’s registered three blanks in five league ties. The Eagles are expected to field a much-changed side for the south coast trip, while Ronald Koeman’s side are the Premier League’s in-form outfit along with champions Leicester.

Paddy clearly fancy Man United (2.00) to suppress Bournemouth, who have mustered just six goals in their last seven outings. United’s home defence is the best in the league and with David de Gea bidding for the Golden Glove, Louis van Gaal’s men have every incentive to earn a shut-out as they look to claim an unlikely Champions League berth ahead of rivals City.

City (2.62) themselves are ranked next but are some way behind in Paddy’s reckoning. Manuel Pellegrini’s side will do well to see off a Swans attack that has racked up seven goals in their previous two fixtures.

Watford’s odds have crept in from 3.20 to 2.75, no doubt as a result of talk from Sam Allardyce that he plans to play a youthful Sunderland lineup having seen his side secure top flight safety in midweek.

Tottenham (2.80) have conceded the fewest away goals (15) and match up against a Newcastle side that failed to score at Villa, while Everton (3.00) are priced somewhat generously against Norwich when you consider that they’ve managed a solitary shut-out since Gameweek 26.

  1. Judas
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I have Defoe, Payet and PVA who are a risk, my rival has taken a hit but will have Payet.

    A: Play Payet (Lanzini bench)
    B: Play Lanzini
    C: Defoe ---> Long (-4)
    D: Lanzini ---> Mane (-4)

    1. Backup Dancer
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

  2. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    What happens if Leicester gets pen. Will Vardy take it cos he is chasing golden boot or will someone who hasn't scored all season take it? Someone like simpson or Fuchs?

    1. Royal5
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Vardy

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      didn't vardy say schmeichel could take one?

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Won't happen though.

      2. Ziro Becomes One
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Did he? Any source?

        1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          well fans were chanting for schmeichel to take it, in his post match interview he probably was joking and said he would let him take one

          1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 8 months ago

            v everton

        2. Epic Fail
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          He said it in the interview after the game last week. Most likely b*ll*x though.

    3. Loonie1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Vardy

    4. TeamSteam
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Vardy`s been taking them since Mahrez kept missing so he`s gonna keep taking them

  3. Royal5
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Defoe owers, are you:

    A) Starting him
    B) Benching
    C) Selling

    1. Celt Abroad
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. XABI 15
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Benching him and playing 352

      1. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Not worried he may start? Could bag a hattrick if he does. Watford just conceded 4 against Norwich.

    3. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Starting him.

      1. Royal5
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Leaning towards this. Unless we get further indications that he won't start.

        1. TeamSteam
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          See last page.

    4. Red Wasabi
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A) Starting Him.

    5. BananaNose Maldonado
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Benching, but that's more because I have better options:

      Martial, Deeney, Hazard, Sanchez, KDB, Ozil, Mane.

  4. Your Mum's Athletic
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Pickford
    Yedlin, Kone, O'Shea, Robson,
    Larsson, Rodwell
    Watmore Lens Greenwood
    N'Doye​

    State of that, my eyes! 😯

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      tempted to get deeney/ighalo if that's the team

      1. Jazz!
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        I dunno whether to get Deeney, Long or Iheanacho!

      2. Your Mum's Athletic
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        tempted to bet heavily against Sunderland if that is the team!

        1. Burger
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          This

    2. Ziro Becomes One
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Please post source or be clear this is your opinion. 😀

      1. Your Mum's Athletic
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        my apologies, this is from Sunderland fans forum posted earlier

  5. dberb9
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Giroud in for:

    A) Lukaku
    B) Defoe

    1. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      has to be B now

  6. Valar(Keith)
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Ozil + Lanzini + 4
    B) Tadic +Giroud
    Cheers

    1. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      B for me

    2. Valar(Keith)
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A)Throw long + lanzini + 4 in there too

  7. Essrick
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    My rival had £5.5m ITB and now has £3.5m ITB after making 1 transfer.

    This is his team;

    Hart,Migs
    Belle, Toby, Monreal, Cresswell, Moreno
    Sanchez, Barkley, Lanzini, Payet, Blind
    Lukaku, Martial, Defoe

    There's no way he's bought Aguero right? If so, Aguero (C) to try and make up the 29 point deficit!

    1. MoSalah Dosa
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      More like Payet >> KdB

      1. Essrick
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        That was my first thoughts!

        Gonna keep an eye out to see if he makes any others before the deadline though...

    2. Koolswan
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      IMO Lukaku to Auguero

      1. Koolswan
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Sorry ...he would have to splurge 4m...so it most likely is KDB as ROHI suggested.

  8. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    If Payet indeed is injured he is likely completely out of the squad, no?
    I mean he wouldn't be on the bench and have a 10 min cameon if he has a knock

  9. Siggy in the Middle
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    "Darren Randolph will again deputise in the West Ham goal for Adrian, who has a calf injury.

    The Hammers otherwise have no injury concerns."

    From the BBC.

    1. Giovanni Giorgio
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      What the hell

    2. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      😯

    3. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Payet doesn't have an injury concern. More personal.

  10. JogaSemmedo
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Sorry guys if been discussed but what's latest on Defoe? He won't start?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No news.

    2. iveseenitall
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      On the bench according to a sunderland message board.

      1. Nelson Vivas Fan Club
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Source?

    3. Nelson Vivas Fan Club
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      It's based on that Big Sam has said that he would give some youngsters a start. Not specific who. He didn't mention Defoe at all.

        1. Nelson Vivas Fan Club
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 14 Years
          9 years, 8 months ago

          This is just forum where anyone could write what they want

    4. JogaSemmedo
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Thanks! May need to punt on him & hoping he comes on if benched.

  11. Railwayman
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Who tu transfer in, Tadic or Mane ? I am looking to stay in the top 10K.

    1. RoysCallerAnne
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No one knows. Stats and form are good for both. I'm going Tadic because of pens

  12. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Plan B for Defoe owner. If it looks him being out who to bring in? Chasing 21 point lead

    -4 hit

    A) Long
    B) Deeney
    C) Iheanacho

    1. Railwayman
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. Jazz!
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Exactly my dilemma. Chasing a 20 point lead here 🙁

      Leaning towards B ...

    3. FAITHNOMORENO
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      I just went with vardy

  13. Mart11
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Would people get

    A) Davies(free)
    Or
    B) tadic(-4)

  14. Gastar
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Bottomed!

    Morning folks!!

    ------------------------| de Gea | ------------------------
    ---------------| Cresswell | Bellerín | Gabriel | ------------
    ---| Hazard | Payet | Sánchez (C) | Fabregas |--
    --------------| Agüero | Carroll | Defoe |----------------

    Subs: | Darlow | Milner | Simpson | PVA |

    £2.3M in the bank, 1FT

    I'm chasing a 17 point lead. The difference just now is:

    PVA/Bellerín/Gabriel/Hazard/Fabregas/Carroll
    vs
    Koné/Alder/Cresswell|/De Bruyne/Sissoko/Kane

    Rival has made 2 transfers for -4.

    Given what we know now regarding Sunderland and Payet, what is the best option you reckon?

    A) Milner --> Mané
    B) as above, but also Milner --> Tadic and bench Defoe (-4)
    C) Payet + Defoe --> Mané + Vardy (-4)
    D) Something else?

    Cheers!!

  15. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Darlow
    Bellerin Gabriel PVA
    Hazard sanchez Mane Tadic
    Kun (C) Carroll Lukaku

    Payet Cresswell Martin

    G2G??

    1. XABI 15
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Play Creswell over PVA

  16. XABI 15
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Would appreciate your thoughts guys. Should I:
    1. Play Simpson (rest of defence Bellerin Creswell Martin PVA)
    2. Simpson to anyone (-4)

    A. Play Lanzini Townsend Defoe (no cover)
    B. Play Lanzini Townsend and do Payet to Ozil and bench defoe (-4)

  17. SweeSwee
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Given that almost everyone has Payet, transferring him out on the basis that one person said he didn't travel seems a bit silly.

    1. Red Wasabi
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Indeed. I'm skeptical about the validity of the source as well.

  18. dberb9
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Payet and Defoe/ Lukaku --->> Giroud Tadic/Mane ??

  19. Nelson Vivas Fan Club
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So any new (reliable) updates on Payet? Aside from yesterdays news, which is based on that he wasn't spotted on the bus to Stoke and that his yellow Lamborghini was missing from the parking lot on Friday.

    1. SweeSwee
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Which just means he drive himself there

      1. Nelson Vivas Fan Club
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 8 months ago

        Haha

  20. Teddy Brewski
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Looks like I've got 6 players not playing! So need to take -4 to get 11 out.

    Darlow
    Smalling Bellerin Gabriel
    Sanchez(c) Hazard KDB
    Kane Carroll

    Robles Moreno PVA Payet Milner Defoe

    Which move?
    A. Tadic & Arnie
    B. Mane & Arnie
    C. Tadic & Martial

  21. Back on the horse
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Any update on Payet? On the coach or not?

  22. drew84
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    IS PAYET INJURED??? If so

    payet out for who? 8.5m or less (-4)

  23. JamesFG
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    A) Payet-> KdB (-4)
    B) Hold

  24. Siggy in the Middle
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Firminio and Payet > Tadic and Sanchez (-4) Or will Payet play?

    1. Koolswan
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      No confirmation on Payet yet

  25. Cantonascollar7
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    I'm currently second in ML and 41 points adrift from top spot! I've still got AOA chip to play...

    My team

    Robles Darlow Bellerin Sakho Smalling Kirchoff Simpson KDB Sanchez Payet Fabregss Milner Defoe Carroll Aguero

    0.7 mill in the bank.

    Top spot rival in ML has:
    Schmeichel Robles Simpson Gabriel Rojo Kirchoff lovren Coutinho Sanchez Payet king Hazard
    Carroll martial Defoe

    1ft

    Should I do....

    A) Milner and Defoe to Tadic and Long and play AOA - 4 and play Smalling Bellerin at the back.

    OR

    B) Milner to Tadic and play 3 at the back.

    And captain Aguero/Tadic over Sanchez as he doesn't have him?
    Long shot trying to catch him, but worth a shot.
    Any help would be much appreciated!
    Thanks

  26. UnitedFan
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Play Mahrez over Defoe?

    Also have Payet though, so Defoe or Fuchs first on bench if play Mahrez?

  27. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    So finally going into GW38 with a -8pts..

    Payet > KdB
    PvA > Bertrand
    Milner > Tadic

    Did I do the right moves?

  28. LABILLEPOGBATHEGOAT
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 8 months ago

    Guys need some opinions, i'm 4 points behind first place in my league, who would you captain?
    Martial - BOU (H)
    Aguero - SWA (A)
    Tadic - CRY (H)
    Bellerin - AVL (H)
    DDG - BOU (H)

    btw I think the guy in first place is putting Aguero as captain

    Thanks

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      Kun

    2. FFSbet.com
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 8 months ago

      You dont have Sanchez?