Paddy Says
10 December 2016 489 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Christmas might be coming and the geese tending towards morbid obesity, but Paddy doesn’t have to wait for a whole year to deliver his Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds.

Nor does he require a chimney, a sack and a carrot offering for his imaginary herd of flight-ready reindeer.

But before we unwrap this week’s glittering prices, let’s see if one of his enhanced offers to new customers could be just the thing you need.

Arsenal to beat Stoke at The Emirates looks likelier than a white Christmas at the North Pole, so 4-1 on a Gunners win is his first present of the week.

You can get the same odds on Chelsea making it nine wins in a row when they entertain West Brom and another 4-1 offer involves a Liverpool home win against West Ham. Anfield has witnessed five Reds victories this season, while the travelling Hammers’ fans have come home happy just the once, so they’ll struggle to shut down the Klopp and Kop shop.

On the blue side of the Mersey, Everton are off to Watford for the day, and you can get 7-1 on them returning with all three points, while Man City are at 5-1 to keep champions Leicester at the wrong end of the table.

And if accumulators are where it’s at for you, there’s 16-1 on offer for Arsenal, Bournemouth and Man City all to win. The Cherries are away at Burnley.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 15

PlayerTeamOdds
SanchezARS1.44
GiroudARS1.44
CostaCHE1.50
WalcottARS1.57
IheanachoMCI1.72
ManeLIV1.83
OrigiLIV1.83
FirminoLIV1.83
HazardCHE2.10
IbrahimovicMUN2.10
BentekeCRY2.10
LukakuEVE2.10
WilsonBOU2.29
DefoeSUN2.37
LongSOT2.50
De BruyneMCI2.62
KaneTOT2.75
SigurdssonSWA2.87

There’s no need for a recount in our Captain Poll this week – Alexis Sanchez won it with a landslide. Popular vote, electroral college, proportional representation; whatever the method, the Chilean came out on top.

No surprise then that Paddy has him at 1.44 to score against Stoke. Close to 350,000 FPL managers have brought him into their sides this Gameweek, so they’re hoping for instant returns, even if the Potters have kept back-to-back clean sheets.

In a Fantasy season where midfielders have caught they eye, the forwards are now striking back. The rest of the top five most transfered-in players this week are all front men, with Harry Kane, Diego Costa, Jermain Defoe and Kelechi Iheanacho all feeling the love.

Defoe is the most generously priced of that group, rated at 2.37 to score for Sunderland at Swansea. Li’l Jermain has scored four times in his last five outings, while the Swans have shipped nine goals in a fortnight. Something’s got to give, and it’s more likely to be Bob Bradley’s defence giving Defoe a chance or three.

Paddy thinks Iheanacho will be the new Sergio Aguero for the next four matches, but if his 1.72 price isn’t rich enough for you there’s always Kevin De Bruyne at 2.62 and Yaya Toure’s 2.80 to consider as Man City travel to Leicester.

Liverpool are clear favourites to beat West Ham at Anfield (more on that below), and 1.83 shots Divock Origi, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane have all seen their ownership rise this Gameweek.

But the 1.5%-owned Andy Carroll is fit again – for now – and scored after coming on as a sub in last weekend’s mauling by Arsenal. It wouldn’t be a surprise if he did something similar on his return to Liverpool.

His price of 4.00 certainly makes him an intriguing outlier.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 15

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.72
Southampton1.90
Arsenal2.10
Liverpool2.20
Manchester City2.70
Manchester United2.75
Crystal Palace2.87
Everton3.00
Bournemouth3.00

Paddy seems convinced of a Chelsea clean sheet against West Brom, offering the shortest odds (1.72) of any team to secure a shut-out this weekend. Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the Gameweek’s most popular defensive acquisition and two others from the Blues’ rearguard are in the top ten.

But two of the top four in that list are Bournemouth boys – Nathan Ake and Steve Cook. The Cherries have a decent run up to Christmas, starting at Burnley today, which explains the Fantasy buys and makes Paddy’s 3.00 an interesting offering.

Having said that, Bournemouth have managed just the one clean sheet on the road and Burnley have only failed to score twice in eight matches at Turf Moor this campaign.

The 4.50 available on Middlesbrough to blank Southampton at St Mary’s looks a far tastier prospect.

Boro’s Ben Gibson is another in the top ten defensive buys this Gameweek, one of the side’s four back men with ownership figures at 3.0% or better.

Stopping Southampton at home looked tricky for Aitor Karanka’s men until Thursday night’s Europa League debacle in which the Saints lost both the chance to qualify for the knock-out stages and their top scorer, Charlie Austin.

Boro have kept four clean sheets this season – two at home, two away – but three of them have come in the last six Gameweeks. A demoralised Southampton missing Austin’s cutting edge could struggle to stop Middlesbrough making it five on Sunday.

489 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Chrissy Waddle - 2025/26
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Interestingly, the set piece section above says that with no Cazorla or Giroud, Walcott takes the pens..!

    Glad I didn't sell him now. 😉

    1. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      I reckon Sanchez would take it now tbh

      1. drughi
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        sanchez has taken 2 pk's for arsenal and missed both but in the form he is in I think he steps up and takes them

    2. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Sanchez took and missed one earlier in the season when I had him. As a non owner and Stoke fan him scoring a pen would be a nightmare scenario

    3. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Today is the day when Walcott confirms he's getting that bloody coffee machine for Christmas!

  2. southernpacific
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    -16 to do Austin to origi or nacho isn't worth it is it..

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      No.

    2. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Nope.

    3. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      depends on your subs

    4. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      each transfer is a -4, if your subs arent good enough Austin to Origi or Nacho for a -4 is a good move

    5. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      It's not -16, it's -4

      1. Chrissy Waddle - 2025/26
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        Yeah, how do you like them apples!

    6. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      I think the question is whether Austin to Origi/Nacho is worth a -4, not a -16. I had already taken a -8 to accommodate Sanchez and I took another -4 last night for Austin - Nacho (I was torn between the same 2) to avoid the price changes. It depends who is on your bench. For me it was Allen, Fletcher or Nyom and I don't think any of those will score more than 1 or 2 points so I went for it.

    7. Z
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 53 mins ago

      Forget about the -12.
      You have to think whether Austin > Nacho (-4) is worth it. Probably.

    8. tisza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 48 mins ago

      if the first transfers made enough sense for you to take a -12 then a -4 for a non-playing striker shouldn't be too difficult.

  3. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Defence struggling but other than that g2g?

    Heaton (Foster)

    Verts Friend* Alonso (Pieters Evans)

    KDB Pedro Firmino Siggy (DeRoon)

    Anichebe Kane Costa (C)

    2.2 itb

    1. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Looks fine.

  4. Jinswick
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    A) Austin -> Iheanacho (-4)
    B) Start Capoue (EVE)

    Sanchez, Haz, Firm, Fer, Capoue
    Costa, Kane, Austin
    Bank 0.0m, 0FT

    1. Jehstafari
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      A

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      I'd hold. Everton rubbish right now. Mind you Watford not much better

      However do you think Ihea will make up those 4 points and more?

    3. Chinu
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      In a same dilemma
      I think I am starting Capoue

  5. Dasher0303
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Repost

    Play Allen(ars) or Hojberg(MID)?

    Hojbjerg more likely to start, but has much less attacking threat, although he might get a clean sheet point. Allen has much harder fixture and might not start but is much more attacking. Or should I play Amat(SUN) over both of them??

  6. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    We will all scramble to get Carroll in next week.

    Oh, and Mkhi.

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      My plan was to bring Carroll next gw but Austin injury changed it.

      Might get Ayew instead. Mainly because of the fixtures

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      bilic says he's managing his minutes, even if he starts midweek there is a fair chance he won't start at the weekend

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        and plus you may have noticed, west ham are absolutely horrendous at home

        1. Christina.
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 1 hour ago

          i know, but burn/hull/swans/leic are far worse

    3. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Not after my Carroll triple cap failure last season

    4. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Carroll for a 3 week punt

  7. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Rondon> Caroll(-4)?
    Yay or nay?

    1. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      NAy

    2. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Nope

  8. Shaikh91
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Captain dilemma -

    Hazard
    Sanchez
    Firmino
    Costa
    Defoe
    Iheanacho

    ??

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Costaaaaa

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      I'm going for Hazard

  9. Hazardous1983
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Foster or pickford to start

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      I'm doing Pickford this week

    2. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Pickers

  10. Partick Bateman
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Putting spin on it... Kane, Iheanacho and Sigurdsson (-8) versus Pieters, McAuley and Allen. Surely that has to pay off?

  11. The Man Pastore
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Play 1 :

    A) Holebas (EVE)
    B) PVA (swa)

    1. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      A

    2. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      B

  12. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Wish Evs wouldn't be casual nowadays 🙁 He always knew who to captain.

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      +1

  13. Morgs
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Captain hazard or Costa?

    1. 50pipsDaily
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Haz for me

    2. Eden ACCOUNT CLOSED
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Haz home Costa away

  14. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Would you get Inecheo for Austin which would be -8
    Or just play Fletcher as 5th Mid?

    1. 50pipsDaily
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Get Nacho

    2. Gazpilicueta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      a single transfer is never a -8. you just have to decide if its worth the -4

      1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        True. Did -8 last GW and getting fed up with it.

  15. 50pipsDaily
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    On wc, so which best combo?

    A) Firmino+Anichebe
    B) Can+Defoe/Nacho

    1. mcrayeps
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      A

  16. mcrayeps
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    My last 4 gw cap
    Aguero (6) Aguero (2) Firmino (3) Austin (1)

    Tonight : Sanchez (C)

    Sanchez Cappers want to change your mind?

  17. Gazpilicueta
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    any advice? am I GTG?

    Pickford
    Azpilicueta, Walker, Holebas
    Hazard, Walcott, Alli, Capoue
    Costa(c) Defoe, Kane

    Heaton, Allen, McAuley, Amat
    £2.2 in the bank and 0 free transfers
    not sure on captain, and I'm losing both my leagues by 100

    1. Mithrandir, the Grey Pilgri…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Costa or Hazard out of that lot.
      No Liverpool players?

      1. Gazpilicueta
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        I Had Countinho, had to get rid.

    2. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Could punt on Siggy for Allen with the spare money if you can afford? You're basically a mid short but with money itb. Otherwise your team looks in good shape

  18. _Jane
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Sanchez getting sent off will be great

    1. King H
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      After a hatrick.

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      sent off on the players shoulders with the matchball as he scores another hat-trick

      1. _Jane
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        lol

    3. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      You getting banned would be better

      1. _Jane
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        Agree

  19. Das Phantom
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Who to bench from front 7?

    Heaton (Pickford)
    Walker Alonso Cedric (Amat Pieters)
    Siggy Hazard Sanchez Firmino Walcott
    Anichibe Kane Origi
    2.2ITB

    Anyone Amat over Walker?

    1. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Difficult choice, i d bench Walcott out of those, Walker cant be benched vs anyone

    2. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      I pick bench big vic over Theo imo

  20. King H
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Only one question I have ..

    Capoue and Holebas
    Or
    Rondon and Chadli

    Who do I start ?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Watford

    2. Radebe_5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Holebas and Chadli

      1. skodaole2
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        this

    3. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Holepoue

    4. King H
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 6 mins ago

      Thanks guys. Went with Capoue and Holebas

  21. JogaSemmedo
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Ok not seen any news on this but is Austin confirmed out and for a while? Seems to be getting shifted out by everyone who owns him on here.

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Yes confirmed out for a few weeks

  22. Art Vandelay
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Play Holebas or Walker?

    Leaning towards Holebas.

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Walker

      United aren't exactly free scoring

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        Cheers Syd.

    2. Psakhotherapy
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      same issue for me, currently on Walker but feels like it could be a mistake...who else in your def?

      1. Art Vandelay
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        Alonso, Clyne, and Amat

    3. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Walker

    4. Bushman
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Walker

    5. King H
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 5 mins ago

      United will score 100%

  23. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Would it be mad to Captain KDB

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Not at all

    2. The Fantastic Mr Fox
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Bit crazy, but no.

      I have him

    3. Arteta
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Nope. We all know he'll get double digit score sooner or later.

  24. Sz21
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Which moves here look better..
    I will do Pedro- Eriksen after this GW unless Pedro does really well.

    1. Alonso- Holebas (next GW), Anichebe- Austin (today). (-4)
    2. Just replace Austin either today or next GW with a 6.8m striker.. (Who would u choose)
    3. Save the ft and wait for more info on potential best moves etc..

    Heaton.
    Lovren, Walker, Cedric, Holebas.
    Pedro, Sanchez, Firmino, Siggy.
    Costa, Kane.
    Pickford, Amat, Whelan, Austin**
    0ft, -4 hit taken, 1.1m in account.

  25. toystory2wasok
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    morning all! play which 2 from this trio of beige?

    A Snodgrass (CRY)
    B Redmund (MID)
    C Anichebe (swa)

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      C definitely

    2. Psakhotherapy
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      b & c for me

    3. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Bench Redmond out of those

    4. Radebe_5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Tricky! Snodgrass and Anichebe for me

      1. toystory2wasok
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 1 hour ago

        thanks all! i think i will bench redmond. my logic is: with austin out maybe saints have less going forward.

  26. Vamos Los Celeste
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Courtois
    Dann Baines Koscielny
    Haz San(C)hez Siggy Firmino Barkley
    Costa Benteke

    Pickford Anichebe Amat Evans

    GTG ??

    1. Top 210 Club
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      No anichebe over Barkley

  27. Chrissy Waddle - 2025/26
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Seems like everyone has gone hits crazy this week.

    Nobody worried that spending points on players who have to play again so soon may backfire (injuries, suspensions, etc...)

    I'm thinking more slowly slowly catchy monkey. No?

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Taken my hits in the last two weeks. No hits this week especially with games midweek

    2. Radebe_5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      I agree, took a hit for Deeney to Austin last week which has definitely backfired

  28. Van der Faart
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Quick Captain poll

    Costa
    KDB
    Kane

    1. Vamos Los Celeste
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Costa if u don't have Sanchez

    2. _Jane
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      KDB

    3. Conk
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Costa

    4. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Kane

  29. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    Feeling very ill having done a -8 for Pieters+Austin > Alonso+Anichibe instead of playing Evans and doing a -4 for Austin > Iheanacho. Anichibe in for a hit, must have hit my head.

    1. Kalou
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      Will pay off mate:)

    2. InSaneMan-e
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      I did Austin-->Anichebe for -8 (was already on -4). Hopefully it pays back

  30. D0GS B0110XS FC
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 1 hour ago

    ok guys really stuck, ,can i get a vote for my captain

    a - sanchez
    b - costa
    c - hazard

    thanks

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 1 hour ago

      On b as I don't have a. But would go a if I had him