Paddy Says
10 December 2016 489 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Christmas might be coming and the geese tending towards morbid obesity, but Paddy doesn’t have to wait for a whole year to deliver his Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds.

Nor does he require a chimney, a sack and a carrot offering for his imaginary herd of flight-ready reindeer.

But before we unwrap this week’s glittering prices, let’s see if one of his enhanced offers to new customers could be just the thing you need.

Arsenal to beat Stoke at The Emirates looks likelier than a white Christmas at the North Pole, so 4-1 on a Gunners win is his first present of the week.

You can get the same odds on Chelsea making it nine wins in a row when they entertain West Brom and another 4-1 offer involves a Liverpool home win against West Ham. Anfield has witnessed five Reds victories this season, while the travelling Hammers’ fans have come home happy just the once, so they’ll struggle to shut down the Klopp and Kop shop.

On the blue side of the Mersey, Everton are off to Watford for the day, and you can get 7-1 on them returning with all three points, while Man City are at 5-1 to keep champions Leicester at the wrong end of the table.

And if accumulators are where it’s at for you, there’s 16-1 on offer for Arsenal, Bournemouth and Man City all to win. The Cherries are away at Burnley.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 15

PlayerTeamOdds
SanchezARS1.44
GiroudARS1.44
CostaCHE1.50
WalcottARS1.57
IheanachoMCI1.72
ManeLIV1.83
OrigiLIV1.83
FirminoLIV1.83
HazardCHE2.10
IbrahimovicMUN2.10
BentekeCRY2.10
LukakuEVE2.10
WilsonBOU2.29
DefoeSUN2.37
LongSOT2.50
De BruyneMCI2.62
KaneTOT2.75
SigurdssonSWA2.87

There’s no need for a recount in our Captain Poll this week – Alexis Sanchez won it with a landslide. Popular vote, electroral college, proportional representation; whatever the method, the Chilean came out on top.

No surprise then that Paddy has him at 1.44 to score against Stoke. Close to 350,000 FPL managers have brought him into their sides this Gameweek, so they’re hoping for instant returns, even if the Potters have kept back-to-back clean sheets.

In a Fantasy season where midfielders have caught they eye, the forwards are now striking back. The rest of the top five most transfered-in players this week are all front men, with Harry Kane, Diego Costa, Jermain Defoe and Kelechi Iheanacho all feeling the love.

Defoe is the most generously priced of that group, rated at 2.37 to score for Sunderland at Swansea. Li’l Jermain has scored four times in his last five outings, while the Swans have shipped nine goals in a fortnight. Something’s got to give, and it’s more likely to be Bob Bradley’s defence giving Defoe a chance or three.

Paddy thinks Iheanacho will be the new Sergio Aguero for the next four matches, but if his 1.72 price isn’t rich enough for you there’s always Kevin De Bruyne at 2.62 and Yaya Toure’s 2.80 to consider as Man City travel to Leicester.

Liverpool are clear favourites to beat West Ham at Anfield (more on that below), and 1.83 shots Divock Origi, Roberto Firmino and Sadio Mane have all seen their ownership rise this Gameweek.

But the 1.5%-owned Andy Carroll is fit again – for now – and scored after coming on as a sub in last weekend’s mauling by Arsenal. It wouldn’t be a surprise if he did something similar on his return to Liverpool.

His price of 4.00 certainly makes him an intriguing outlier.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 15

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.72
Southampton1.90
Arsenal2.10
Liverpool2.20
Manchester City2.70
Manchester United2.75
Crystal Palace2.87
Everton3.00
Bournemouth3.00

Paddy seems convinced of a Chelsea clean sheet against West Brom, offering the shortest odds (1.72) of any team to secure a shut-out this weekend. Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the Gameweek’s most popular defensive acquisition and two others from the Blues’ rearguard are in the top ten.

But two of the top four in that list are Bournemouth boys – Nathan Ake and Steve Cook. The Cherries have a decent run up to Christmas, starting at Burnley today, which explains the Fantasy buys and makes Paddy’s 3.00 an interesting offering.

Having said that, Bournemouth have managed just the one clean sheet on the road and Burnley have only failed to score twice in eight matches at Turf Moor this campaign.

The 4.50 available on Middlesbrough to blank Southampton at St Mary’s looks a far tastier prospect.

Boro’s Ben Gibson is another in the top ten defensive buys this Gameweek, one of the side’s four back men with ownership figures at 3.0% or better.

Stopping Southampton at home looked tricky for Aitor Karanka’s men until Thursday night’s Europa League debacle in which the Saints lost both the chance to qualify for the knock-out stages and their top scorer, Charlie Austin.

Boro have kept four clean sheets this season – two at home, two away – but three of them have come in the last six Gameweeks. A demoralised Southampton missing Austin’s cutting edge could struggle to stop Middlesbrough making it five on Sunday.

489 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. HonestBlatter
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Wildcard team below and 0.1M in bank.

    Karius - Pickford
    Alonso-Amat-Barragan-Cedric-Keane
    Can-Haz-Alexis (C)-Sigurdsson-Capoue
    Costa-Kane-Nacho

    -->What would you still change to make it more solid over Christmas/new year busy period?

    1. dush64
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Looks great, tbh.

      I would figure out Nacho exit plan, especially if you're getting in Aguero, and look to make defence rotate well longer term. Can may not be a permanent source of points too, so would possibly look to get rid after his purple patch.

    2. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Not sure about Karius, like it apart from that.

      1. HonestBlatter
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        That is risk for sure. Understood that he is still the #1 for Pool based on Klopp and cheapest GK from top-4 teams

    3. HonestBlatter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Would like to replace Capoue but can not find any decent MID prospect with 5.1M.

      1. thevikings
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Fer? But maybe overkill with Siggy in there too

        1. HonestBlatter
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          Bit heavy to get 3 SWA player even they have good fixtures

          1. thevikings
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 12 months ago

            Yeah, I'm on a wildcard too now.

            Have Son instead og Siggy and Fer instead of Can. Need some lucky differentials to catch in other template people..

  2. dush64
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Trying to figure out if I should do Austin --> Anichebe (-4) and Allen --> Firmino (-4).

    Essentially, which of the following do you think will score more highly this week?
    1) Allen + Capoue
    2) Anichebe + Capoue (-4)
    3) Firmino + Anichebe/Capoue (-8)

    1. WVA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Im still debating the exact same, think I'm going to pull the trigger, Firmino and Anichebe have the potential to score high this week, Austin and Allen definitely don't!

  3. Carcetti
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Wasn't planning on taking a hit this week..

    Austin to Defoe (-4)?

    Don't really wanna play Amat or Capoue.

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I'd play Capoue

    2. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Defo

    3. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I would

    4. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      do it

    5. All Hail K
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Why not Capoue? He scored against bigger teams than Everton plus he's at home.

    6. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      That was my move even before Austin got injured

    7. WVA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Defoe!

    8. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Capoue is alright to play if you want to avoid the hit, could get something at home to an out of form Everton side.

  4. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Pick One
    A Rose
    B Amat

    Snoddy > Pedro /Siggy(-4)......Worth it?!

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Rose. Shouldn't even be a question

  5. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    if luiz misses out what does it mean for conte's tactics, will they continue to play wing backs or who could come in at cb?

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      ivanovic CB imo

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        thanks

    2. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Zouma or Terry?

      1. Sailboats
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        both injured/not 100% fit

      2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        both injured currently

  6. Jonny Sutt
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Best 4.7 defender? I'm on smith ATM!

    1. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Phil Jones

    2. *sigh*
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Stay Smith if you have Holebas

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Read the article above, get a Boro defender like Barragan

  7. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    This article has convinced me to keep Firmino over Hazard for one more week. What about:

    Foster & Walker to Grant and Alonso (-4)?

    I'll be playing Heaton in goal anyway, Grant is the enabler for Alonso.

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I'm playing foster this week. Taking a hit on a keeper is unnecessary and he is likely to get a few save points today !

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Yeah, know what you're saying, just think Alonso could do well this week. Hmmm...

        Thanks!

    2. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Don't sell Walker. I got Alonso so have both. Walker chance of CS this game then 3/4 great fixtures

      1. Lumberjack
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        I'd love to keep both, not sure how I can. Might just save for this week and see what happens...thanks

        1. Lumberjack
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          *have both...

  8. FPLEL
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Defense picks itself, right...?

    Alonso, Holebas, Amat (Pieters, Evans)

    1. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Yep

  9. CostaCoffee
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Who to captain

    A)lexis
    B)Hazard
    C)osta
    D)Mane
    E)Kane

    Really tempted by Mane against hammers

    1. CostaCoffee
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Top of my league by a tiny margin.. Play it safe or risk it

      1. The Cloud
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Play it safe, its easier to lead from the front than to chase, make them take the risks

        1. All Hail K
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          Agreed. Make them gamble.

    2. dush64
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Mane is tempting. I think Hazard is safest (flat track bully at home to WBA).

    3. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Mane. He's my captain too

    4. WVA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I'd captain mane if i had him, west ham are so so bad atm.

    5. Amsterhammer
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      B for reasons stated

  10. drughi
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    For people asking who to captain I think it's very simple, if you sanchez you gotta go with him. Great form and home to stoke. If dont have him like me, hazard or costa. Chelsea has the best form in the league and pulis have nothing against conte as far as tactics goes.

    1. The Bandit
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Not very helpful for the Cool Kids who have both sanchez and Hazard ;

      1. Syd.
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        I am a cool Kid 😯

      2. drughi
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Then go sanchez

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          I'm going Hazard, but thanks 🙂

          1. drughi
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 12 months ago

            Hope it works out for you, going hazard also in my sanchezless team

          2. FPL Blow-In
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 12 months ago

            I have both and doing the same also. Feel like Wallcot could steal the points today

    2. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Unless you have Mane

    3. WVA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Got both, went Sanchez last week but it's hazard for me this week with that home form!

  11. Phil Dagger ⭐
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Costa flag removed back to 0% 😛

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      *imminent

    2. dhamphiir
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Now it is Heaton turn

  12. Kun Tozser
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    How are Stoke likely to line up at the back today? Looks like a few injuries

    Tempting to move the armband from Haz to Sanchez

    1. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      5 at the back.

      Diouf right wing back, Johnson right centre back, Indi central, Muniesa left centre back, Pieters left wing back.

  13. Toby Lerone
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Any Firmino captainers here? I have haz Sanchez and siggy too but he's got it... For now

    1. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      If you've got Sanchezyou Captain Sanchez

    2. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Good punt
      Just not ballsy enough in case one of Haz/Sanchez explode

    3. Singforleeds
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I heard Ya.

      1. Singforleeds
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Firmino (C) Sanchez Hazard,
        Decisions?

        Arsenal away in Europe mid week -
        Firmino doesn't take pens -
        West Brom in good form plus it's Tony Pulis -

        Any help / advice please.

    4. Toby Lerone
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I'm going firmino! Balls to it

  14. Lizard Lips
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    What would you have done?

    (a) Pieters+Austin > Alonso+Anichibe -8
    (b) Play Evans and Austin > Iheanacho -4

    1. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I did A but with Morgan instead of pieters. Allow me to get Siggy and can as 4th and 5th mid for next week.

  15. NestorC
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Play

    A) Brunt
    B) Barragan

  16. The Cloud
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Do I transfer firmino out for mane

    Firmino on the left looked useless against bournemouth

    1. Optic1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Mane very short term option with Africa coming up.

      I was at the Bmth game, Firmino had plenty opportunities to score, just didn't take his chances.

      1. The Cloud
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Its gonna be a 4 point hit
        do you think i should just stick then

        1. Optic1
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          Yeah i would.

          You'd also have to factor in you will need to waste a FT on swapping him out when he goes to Africa, or even have to take a hit. Meaning it could already be a -8. Small margins. You would be sour if Firmino scores and Mane blanks!

    2. Van der Faart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Stick. Very sideways for a hit

  17. *sigh*
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Any Liverpool experts reckon Firmono will play up top again with Lallana back?

    1. TokyoRisingSun
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      It's possible Lallana might play on the wing. However I reckon it's more likely that Wijnaldum drops and Origi plays up front with Lallana in midfield and Firmino on the left wing

    2. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I'm no Liverpool expert but I can't see Lallana playing as a back

  18. Optic1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Captain:

    A) Hazazrd

    B) Costa

    Currently on Hazard.... but not certain.

    1. Sailboats
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      a

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Nobody is. Go with your gut.

      1. Optic1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        My gut says ''i should have Sanchez''.

        1. Chris_White
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 12 months ago

          😀

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Haz on penalties and Mike Dean is the ref

    4. Fpl orynx
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Im going captain defoe

    5. Optic1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Thanks Lads.

      Going to stick.

  19. FPL Blow-In
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Ready to roll folks

    Foster
    Alonso, Cedric, Kone
    Sanchez, Hazard(c), Firminio, Walcott
    Costa, Defoe, Nacho

    Jak, Phillips, Vertonghen, Amat

    Logging off. Best of luck!

  20. Dasher0303
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Bottomed

    Play Allen(ars) or Hojberg(MID)?

    Hojbjerg more likely to start, but has much less attacking threat, although he might get a clean sheet point. Allen has much harder fixture and might not start but is much more attacking. Or should I play Amat(SUN) over both of them??

    1. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      I would play Amat, but its just me

    2. Toure The Route
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Amat

  21. seanie3
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    need help guys, which is the best option

    a) Austin to Costa for -4 and have allen play as 4th mf
    b) Austin & Allen to Costa & Siggy for -8

    thanks

    1. Dasher0303
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      B

  22. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Just noticed that I got a grey arrow in the FFS Old Farts League 🙂

  23. bakayoko
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    This is killing me. I've had the armband on Hazard all week, but every article here is pointing me towards Sanchez. I know I should go with my gut, but my gut is slowly changing its opinion due to FFS influences. Help.

  24. rashFord Fiesta
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Already on -4

    Worth Austin to Iheanacho, or play Capoue?
    Other consideration is I have exact cash.

  25. thevikings
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    How likely are Ake to start the next GWs?

  26. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Lads data roaming in Italy on a break with the misses. Please can pick a captain my rival has Costa.

    A) Firmino
    B) Kane
    C) Nacho
    D) Mane
    E) Costa
    F) Siggy

    Thank you.

    1. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 12 months ago

      Costa

      1. Ange Ball
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 12 months ago

        Thank you for comment

  27. thevikings
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Currently on WC, 0,5m its:

    Foster/Pickford
    Walker/Ake/Alonso/Cedric/Amat
    Sanchez/Hazard/Son/Fer/de Roon
    Kane/Costa/Nacho

    What would you still change to make it more solid over Christmas/new year busy period?

  28. seanie3
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    need help guys, which is the best option

    a) Austin to Costa for -4 and have allen play as 4th mf
    b) Austin & Allen to nacho & siggy for -8

  29. aaroncfc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 12 months ago

    Should I transfer out Austin for a -4 or bring in McArthur off the bench and save the transfer?