Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.33
SturridgeLIV1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
BentekeCRY1.83
WalcottARS2.00
SanchezARS2.00
GiroudARS2.00
CostaCHE2.10
NolitoMCI2.10
De BruyneMCI2.10
FirminoLIV2.10
OrigiLIV2.10
ManeLIV2.10
LukakuEVE2.20
KaneTOT2.29
ToureMCI2.29
RondonWBA2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.72
Liverpool1.90
Manchester United2.20
Stoke City2.25
West Bromwich Albion2.29
Crystal Palace2.40
Everton2.62
Middlesbrough2.62
Arsenal2.75
Leicester City2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. flippetyflop
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Will Rodriguez start todays for Saints?

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      very likely
      rested last game

    2. Hakchak
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Probably yes

  2. Vman
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Morning Can I get a RMT on this please and stuck on Captain choice,

    Grant
    Klavan Jones Chambers
    Sanchez De-Roon Lallana Hazard
    Costa Aguero Zlatan

    Subs-Randolph-Coquelin-Ake-Martina

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Banging team. Aguero.

      1. Kitman
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Serious strikeforce!!

    2. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Great team. Sanchez

    3. nn11
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      That front 6 is mightly scary

      Aguero (c)

    4. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      But bench De roon

      1. Vman
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        And play Coquelin?

    5. Fat Frank
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Very good, if a little imbalanced.

      Nonetheless you have impressively managed to afford Sanchez, Hazard, Zlatan, Aguero and Costa which is an impressive feat!

      1. Fat Frank
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        And sorry captain Aguero.

        What is your TV BTW?

        1. Vman
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          106.0

        2. Vman
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Thank you for the feedback I was hoping most would say Aguero and that was the whole reason for getting him in as most in my mini league cannot afford him.

      2. Vman
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        I know I have sacrificed balance but there has been so much inconsistancy that I did not think it would make much difference so opted for max strike force, It will either work or bite me were it hurts. Cheers

        1. Fat Frank
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          The only thing really missing I'd say is a CHE def but they come at a massive premium.

          The only players I'd change LT are Randolph to a cheaper possibly non playing keeper, Klavan (as Phildagger suggested) to another def purely cos of playing time and Martina for the same reason.

    6. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      don't like Klavan Martina 4th 5th mids

      1. Vman
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        All I could afford and knowing they play most weeks unlike Amat/Holgate, had to sacrifice somewhere to get my strike force.

  3. -SB-
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Foster (Jakupovic)

    Friend | Alonso | Baines

    Sanchez | Eriksen | Alli | Zaha | Fletcher

    Ibra | Costa

    Subs: Jones | Walker | Barnes

    2.4 in bank.

    G2G?

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yes - upgrade Zaha to Lallana after the FA Cup and that is a good team

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Alternatively Zaha and Eriksen to Lallana and Phillips - very balanced then.

  4. HuttonDressedasLahm
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Crazy to sell Nacho isn't it?
    He'll surely start after City have less than 48 hours rest?

    So Carroll to Rondon or Tekkers??

    1. Phil Dagger ⭐
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      indirect meaning of your post :

      Aguero on bench

    2. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      He hardly played when Aguero was out.

      1. HuttonDressedasLahm
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        But this is exceptional circumstances

  5. TaiwanHC
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Grant or Foster? Odds say Grant.

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I've always trusted Foster.

  6. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Keep Lukaku

    1. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      was that meant to be my reply

  7. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Siggy -> Lallana for a hit?

    1. Gorbitz
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yes

    2. Rajveer
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      No brainer... Do it

  8. That Fantasy Guy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    2 Questions...
    Who would you rather have when city face spurs?:
    A. Kane
    B. Aguero

    Which scenario scores better this week?
    A. Aguero (C) and Barnes -4
    B. Kane and Origi

    Cheers

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      A
      A

  9. Gorbitz
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Dear advisors,
    Can -> Phillips worth a -4 hit ??

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Not sure if worth -4 unless phillips scores then I suppose you come out even with phillips going forward..,

    2. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I think so, yes.

  10. nn11
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Bench one of Allen, Phillips or David Luiz?

    1. Gorbitz
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Luiz

    2. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Luiz

    3. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Luiz

    4. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Nuh uh. Allen.

  11. Lecky Legs FC
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Choose one of he following options:

    A) Can & Origi > Phillips & Negredo
    B) Cedric & Can > Ake & Phillips

    1. Kitman
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      B) quite comfortabley I think

    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I like A for this week

    3. squintykid
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Depends if you think Origi will start.

  12. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Jones
    Alonso
    Friend

    Bench one ?

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Friend

    2. Rajveer
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Alonso

  13. Totti
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    GTG????
    Boruc
    walker coleman evans
    sanchez sterling lallana allen
    aguero(C) costa ibra (V)

    pickford coquelin holebas amat

    need your suggestions guys!

    1. Our Tiny Windows
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Totally

  14. ricardo_vaz
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Any chance Aguero gets rotated today? Don't want to waste the captaincy...

    In normal circumstances I would think so, but City are struggling, they've got injuries and the other attacking players have clocked many more miles than Aguero in recent weeks

  15. ☻ Jon Snow ☻
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    any news on llorente?

  16. Jay_
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Took a -12 to bring in Phillips Brunt Aguero and Barnes (fodder and enabler)

      Feel like a man that's committed a needless murder and on death row waiting for the stay of execution. 2 o'clock the judges decision.

      1. Bellerinmondo
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        prob a good move over the next few

      2. Oven Glover
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Can always activate WC to lessen the blow

    • FPL ElasticO
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Is it worth going without Kun???? As he is not in form

      1. That Fantasy Guy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Same question pretty much as me :/

      2. ebb2sparky
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        True that he hasn't scored in city's last 6 PL games but he was suspended for 4 and the other 2 were against Chelsea and Liverpool. He scored 5 in the previous 4!

        I know it's a gamble but I expect I'll be selling Kane to afford him

    • Stockport Hatter
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      What should I do with this please?

      Heaton
      Alonso Alderweirald Brunt
      Sanchez Hazard Lallana Eriksen
      Anichebe Ibra Costs

      Pickford Kingsley De Roon Pieters

      1FT 0.3ITB

    • ☻ Jon Snow ☻
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      bench 1;

      Can
      Walker

    • TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      G2G ?

      Heaton (Robo)

      Alonso, Pieters, Brunt

      Phillips, Eriksen, Hazard, Sanchez (C)

      Carroll, Ibra, Costa

      (Cedric, Capoue, Amat)

      1.8 itb but not FT

    • Here's the manager
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Morning. Bit of advice with this shambles appreciated. Bold are red flagged

      Kosc Pieters Holebas AMAT COLLINS
      Sanchez Mane Eriksen Zara GUNDOG
      Ibra Defoe Carroll
      2FT 2.6

      Thinking of holding Amat and doing
      A Collins Eriksen/ Mane Defoe to Holgate Phillips Aguero
      B Collins and Gundogan to Holgate and Phillips

      Any takers?

    • Ben the Mee
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Feel like I want to get Kun in there somehow but don't know how.
        A part of me is telling me to keep. Thoughts?

        Heaton - Grant
        Dann - Baines - Brunt - Ake - Amat
        Haz - Sanchez - Alli - Phillips - de Roon
        Costa - Ibra - Giroud

        1. squintykid
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Pretty good team, might keep Giroud Vs Bou, if he starts good chance he'll poach a goal.

        2. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Haz to Lallana and Giroud to Aguero. Downgrade Dann to Chambers.

          1. Ben the Mee
              8 years, 11 months ago

              Still short through this method. Think I'll hold and WC if he starts banging them in. Thanks though!

        3. Bellerinmondo
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Any thought on Kun v Sanchez for (c)

          I was on Kun but after watching Arsenal yesterday have moved to San(c)hez - the man looks ready to explode (+ see arsenal away goals vs lower teams), but, on the other hand Kun v BUR is actually a differential, crazy...

          1. Legomane
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            My current lineup :
            Aguero (C)
            Ibra (v)
            Sanchez (v2)
            Mane (v3)
            Origi (v4)
            Philips (v5)

        4. derdourily
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          cedric
          williams

          Bench one ?

        5. Legomane
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Anyone else think there are similarities to Spurs interchanging front 3 to Liverpool's before they lost Couts? I've shifted Kane to Aguero this week, but planning to do Mane > Alli, doubling up with Eriksen until Couts returns.

        6. Mayo for Sam
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Any ideas or GTG?

          1ft 0.5ITB
          Heaton
          Alonso, Toby, Friend,
          Hazard, Phillips, Siggy, Sanchez(c) Lalana
          Kane, Ibra,

          Anichebe*, Evans, Amat

          1. Fernando Torres
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            I'd play Evans over Alonso

        7. SpaceCadet
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Team looking ok lads? Play Antonio over stanislas?

          Cech
          Valencia Evans azpi
          Sanchez lallana Antonio Phillips
          Kun costa rondon

          Pickford stanislas holebas Amat

        8. Fernando Torres
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Heaton/Pickford
          Amat/Chambers/Holebas/McCauley/ Pieters
          Lallana/Eriksen/Hazard/Sanchez/Phillips
          Kane/Ibra/Barnes

          0FT 2.5M ITB... would you take a hit for any defenders considering rotation? Was thinking Amat > Bellerin.

        9. Atimis
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Captain
          1)Ibra
          2)Sanchez
          Bench
          A)Jones
          B)Friend
          C)Alonso

          Cheers !

          1. Ed
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            2
            Same benching situation for me, tempted to say C.

            1. Atimis
              • 9 Years
              8 years, 11 months ago

              I know !

          2. That Fantasy Guy
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            2 B

        10. Pauntley
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Which option would you choose for your team?

          A) Pogba
          B) Mkhitaryan

          Thanks

          1. Kitman
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Pogba. His stats are quite beastly over last few

          2. Trae44
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            A for me