Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.33
SturridgeLIV1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
BentekeCRY1.83
WalcottARS2.00
SanchezARS2.00
GiroudARS2.00
CostaCHE2.10
NolitoMCI2.10
De BruyneMCI2.10
FirminoLIV2.10
OrigiLIV2.10
ManeLIV2.10
LukakuEVE2.20
KaneTOT2.29
ToureMCI2.29
RondonWBA2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.72
Liverpool1.90
Manchester United2.20
Stoke City2.25
West Bromwich Albion2.29
Crystal Palace2.40
Everton2.62
Middlesbrough2.62
Arsenal2.75
Leicester City2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    siggy to sterling viable?? not quite sure how much playing time he'll get but that fixture against Burnley is unignorable... if that's even a word

    1. Yome
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      sterling will be rested, Nolito to play

    2. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      No, only as if keep Siggy

  2. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Who will score more points over the rest of the season?

    (i) Costa - Ibra - Lukaku; or
    (ii) Aguero - Costa - Benteke; or
    (iii) Aguero - Ibra - Rondon.

    Siding with (i) myself

    1. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Probably i

      Utd are built around Zlatan, and Costa has been very consistent so far this season.
      Lukaku I would think outscores Tekkers and Rondon, who play for more defensive minded managers

    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      iii

      1. That Fantasy Guy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        sorry didnt see rest of the season part

        1. diesel001
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          I prefer playing the long game. No point tinkering too much.

    3. Krionos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Any of the options with aguero of course. But there are many factors. Injuries, suspensions, rotation...

      Aguero is the best and most explosive of the three and will score most. And there will be tinkering. Have you kept costa/ibra for the entirety of the season so far?? Doubt it

  3. NestorC
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Defoe to Benteke, yey or nay? Have 2ft could burn one.

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I like it. Rondon would be an option also

    2. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yes for me

    3. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      No,
      What's pulling you towards Benteke? His missed penalties or general poor finishing and limited chances?

      1. NestorC
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Fixtures, has some easy ones

    4. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Cheers

  4. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Repost

    Hey lads what you think

    Foster
    Evans Williams Pieters
    Sanchez Lallana Eriksen Hazard
    Costa Ibra Carroll

    Jaku Jones Capoue Amat 1 FT 0.5 ITB

    A) Save
    B) Eriksen --> Zaha/Phillips

    Cheers

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Save. Would rather do Carroll to Rondon tbh. Then you have Arsenal (Sanchez), Liverpool (Lallana), Spurs (Eriksen), Chelsea (Costa), Utd (Ibra), and WBA (Rondon). If you were a gambler you could do Hazard to KDB then you would have coverage over 7 of the best 8 teams in the PL (missing Everton).

      1. diesel001
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Quite like this for you actually:

        Foster - Jaku
        Chambers - Williams - Pieters - Jones - Amat
        Sanchez - Lallana - Eriksen - KDB - De Roon
        Costa - Ibra - Rondon

  5. HamezMace
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    If Burnley are so bad defensively, why do we all own Heaton?

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Save points

    2. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Not at home they are not... and a team has 19 home games soo....

      1. HamezMace
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        To clarify, I don't think they are bad defensively, but lots of people are saying they want to get someone in from City this week as Burnley is such a great fixture for them

  6. smix
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Whom to transfer first Holebas on 9 YC or Cedric a perennial rotation risk ?

    1. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Holebas.
      Cedric isn't really a rotation risk, only been rested twice this season, once after the europa league game, and over Christmas fixtures when there's a lot of rotation for most teams.
      Cedric is first choice for sure.

  7. white lightning
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Thoughts on my wc team with 0.5itb:

    Foster (Valdes)
    Lovren, Jones, Pieters (Alonso, Rose)
    Sanchez (c), Alli, Lallana, Phillips (Allen)
    Ibra (vc), Costa, Giroud

    Thoughts & thanks.

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Very nice

    2. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Solid team

  8. Fernando Torres
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Sanchez or Ibra captain?

    First to 3

    1. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sanchez

    2. Vman
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Chez x 3

    3. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sanchez

    4. HuttonDressedasLahm
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Alexis

    5. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sanchez

  9. That Fantasy Guy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    2 Questions...
    Who would you rather have when city face spurs?:
    A. Kane
    B. Aguero

    Which scenario scores better this week?
    A. Aguero (C) and Barnes -4
    B. Kane and Origi

    Cheers.

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      A
      B

      1. That Fantasy Guy
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers so tempting though

        1. BERGKOP
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          It really is. But I'm not sold personally.

    2. Vman
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      A+B

    3. Krionos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Nah mate. Its aguero time

  10. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Antonio > Pedro for -4?

    Y or N ???

    1. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      N

    2. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      No way

    3. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      N

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        thanks lads.

        Just play Antonio then yeah?

  11. v12w12
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    A: Walcott - Alli and Llorente - Rondon
    B: Walcott - lallana and Llorente - Benteke
    Both -4, cheers

    1. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Keep wally

      1. v12w12
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        You reckon he'll start tomorrow?

    2. That Fantasy Guy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Tough, maybe B for this week

      1. v12w12
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers

  12. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Will De Bruyne be rest today?

  13. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Any CP milfs an option?

    1. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      At least 2

    2. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I like Puncheon, but in the price bracket, Phillips and Snodgrass probably better choices currently

  14. BERGKOP
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Do we think WBA will romp Hull?

    1. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Yeah, reckon so

      1. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        More direct Q.

        Eriksen -> Phillips for -4?

        1. Yome
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          I am willing to do this move as well, cannot decide

          1. BERGKOP
            • 14 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Toughie. I'm leaning yes 😛

  15. thegrimreaper
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Help me guys. I'm seriously slipping down in my mini league.

    Not sure if I should being in Kun or Kane

    Van Aonholt - Alonso - ake - barragan

    Lallana - Sanchez - hazard - capoue

    Ibra - costa

    (Pickford - can - anichebe - amat)

    HELP!!

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Money ITB? how many FT's?

      1. thegrimreaper
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        1ft 0.3m

        1. BERGKOP
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          I'd hold. Play Can instead of Capoue.

          Then use 2FT next GW.

          1. thegrimreaper
            • 10 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            Cheers. I have captain Sanchez and vice Costa

  16. Siva Mohan
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    why was Rondon on bench last game?

    1. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Rotation as a guess

    2. Yome
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Rested

    3. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      cheers

  17. ♤TeddyBear♤
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Rondon for Carrol or Valencia to Brunt with FT?

  18. Danstoke82
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Team gtg or any changes needed?

    Heaton
    Alonso Jones McAuley
    Sanchez Hazard Mane Phillips Lallana
    Costa Ibra (c)

    Subs; Pickford Ake Anichebe Amat

    0FT £0.5ITB

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      So very good.

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers!

        Can't decide on captain though.

        1. Stokelona
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Tempted by mane as a farewell before afcon?

    2. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Gtg Dan, Phillips and McCauley great fixture and the rest of the team is strong

      1. Danstoke82
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Many thanks guys!

  19. Manchester 17
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Hey guys,
    Jaku/Heaton
    Alonso/Kosc/Jones/Amat/Francis
    Mane/Haz/Sanchez/Snoddy/De Roon
    Kane/Ibra/Anichebe

    2FT

    What to do with the 2 transfers?
    Who to captain?

    Cheers!

    1. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      ITB? Enough for Kane to snoddy and mane > Lallana

      1. enrico.palazzo
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Kane > Aguero

        Sorry

      2. Stokelona
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        You mean Kane to kun right?

        1. enrico.palazzo
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Yep, wasn't thinking

      3. Manchester 17
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        0.5 ITB

        1. Stokelona
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          I would do enrico's suggestion and captain aguero

  20. enrico.palazzo
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Have I got this right?

    Foster
    Alonso - Brunt - Evans
    Snod - hazard - eriksen - Sanchez
    Aguero (c) - Ibra - caroll

    Pieters, de Roon, 3.9

    1. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Don't feel right benching snoddy, good insurance policy

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        G2G mate, got Kun also but I think am captaining Ibra for safety of starting

        1. enrico.palazzo
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Good luck! Yeah I'm a little nervous of a benched appearance

  21. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    play which GK this GW??

    a. Grant

    b. Foster

    first to 3

    cheers

    1. LeicesterA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Foster if you have no other WBA defence.

    2. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Foster, no doubt

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Got Phillips in Mid.

    3. Differentiator
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Absolutely no doubt, Grant.

      Watford are worse than Hull

      1. BERGKOP
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        But Stoke are pants.

  22. _Gunner
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    G2G? 0FTs, 2.8 itb, Playing AOA

    Cech
    Alonso McAuley
    Sanchez Philips DeRoon Siggy Lallana
    Origi Ibra (c) Aguero (vc)

    subs: Pickford Holebas Amat Kone

    1. cruzex
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      why ibra (c)?

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        In case Pep decided to bench Kun. I don't trust Pep

    2. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I would save AOA and play holebas but not a bad option with Alonso possibly missing out - looks good mate

      1. _Gunner
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Thanks mate

  23. Ratatouille
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Play Pieters or Walker?

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Walker

  24. LeicesterA
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    A) Jones or B) Brunt?

    Thanks all.

    1. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      B easy

  25. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Captain
    1)Ibra
    2)Sanchez
    Bench
    A)Jones
    B)Friend
    C)Alonso

    Cheers !!

    1. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      1a

  26. Siva Mohan
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    start 2..

    A. Jones WHU (A)
    B. Gibson LEI (H)
    C. Alonso TOT (A)

    Thanks.

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      bc

  27. cruzex
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Who should i put for captain?

    De gea
    Morgan Williams Evans
    Hazard Lallana De bruyne Sanchez
    Origi Kane Rondon

    ty

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      sanchez

  28. Differentiator
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Anichebe -> Borini (-4)?

    1. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I like the Borini pick but not the -4 before liverpool

      1. Stokelona
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Actually old club and everything

  29. Jamie_GAWA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Isn't it a bit worrying Sanchez didn't get taken off and they have very little rest time.

    Rotation risk?

    1. Christina.
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Nutting you can do about it. Other than worry. Which ain't worth it.

  30. Christina.
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    CP Swans prediction?

    1. Stokelona
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sigurdsson to not blank again, please...