Paddy Says
2 January 2017 983 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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It’s time once again to take a seat in Paddy’s horse-drawn carriage and be whisked away on a magical tour to marvel at Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheets odds.

We stop, as ever, to first gaze upon the wonder of the enhanced offers available for new customers.

Football’s not exactly packed full of sure things – it’s why we love it so – but some things are definitely more sure than others, and one of those is Manchester City beating Burnley at the Etihad.

Paddy is offering new customers 3-1 on Pep Guardiola’s boys managing to see off a team with just the one away point to their name this season.

Or you can get 5-1 on Liverpool to beat Sunderland. The Black Cats have won three of their last four home matches, but they haven’t been anyone from the top half of the table, home or away, all season.

If you fancy your odds that little bit longer, there’s 6-1 on Manchester United to beat West Ham and the same price available on Arsenal to win at Bournemouth.

Slightly further out , we’ve got Leicester to beat Middlesbrough at 8-1. The Foxes looked much more like their old, title-winning, selves last time out, but they’ve not won on the road all season.

And if it’s an Acca you fancy, you can get 16-1 on Everton, Man City, Man United and Liverpool all to win. The Toffees are at home to a Southampton side who will have to make do without their previously ever-present defensive rock, Virgil van Dijk, for the first time in the campaign.

Be sure to check the terms and conditions on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. And if you’re going to wager, always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

PlayerTeamOdds
AgueroMCI1.33
SturridgeLIV1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
BentekeCRY1.83
WalcottARS2.00
SanchezARS2.00
GiroudARS2.00
CostaCHE2.10
NolitoMCI2.10
De BruyneMCI2.10
FirminoLIV2.10
OrigiLIV2.10
ManeLIV2.10
LukakuEVE2.20
KaneTOT2.29
ToureMCI2.29
RondonWBA2.40

Sergio Aguero is back at the top of the Anytime Goalscorer pile and will be a major captaincy draw for many Fantasy Premier League managers.

But he’s still not proving to be box office gold, with two players well ahead of him in the race to be the most popular transfer target of the Gameweek. The price tag, the form of rival forwards and City’s patchy set of immediate fixtures no doubt providing the obstacles.

Burnley at home shouldn’t get much easier, hence his 1.33 price, but then there’s trips to Everton and an in-form West Ham as well as a visit from Spurs before January is done.

The Clarets are so bad on the road – one point from their one clean sheet – that it seems almost criminal not to have a punt on at least one City player finding the net. Maybe Kevin De Bruyne, who is at 2.10, will end his 14-match wait for a league goal.

Paddy again hedges his bets by offering low odds on Daniel Sturridge (1.80), but it was Roberto Firmino who played as Liverpool’s striker against Man City and his 2.10 price to score at Sunderland looks a far safer bet.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than the 15 the Black Cats have shipped at home, while Liverpool are joint-second with 20 away goals.

The Gameweek’s most signed player, Adam Lallana, is worth a look, therefore. He’s 3.40 to find the net at the Stadium of Light.

Salomon Rondon (2.4o) was benched in the win at Southampton. The smart money is on him gaining a recall when the Baggies’ teamsheet is revealed for the home match with Hull City.

Also in the West Brom camp, Matt Phillips, second only to Lallana for transfers-in this Gameweek, is at 3.75 to score in back-to-back matches.

Harry Kane (2.29) reminded us all of his prowess in the New Year’s Day lesson handed out to a woeful Watford. But Chelsea are a very, very different prospect and both he and Diego Costa (2.10) could struggle to make an impact in what promises/threatens to be a tight encounter of few chances.

The 3.50 available on Dele Alli making it six goals in four matches is probably going to be as good as it gets.

He’s certainly an increasingly popular transfer pick this Gameweek – into the top five and overhauling Costa for new managers.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 20

TeamOdds
Manchester City1.72
Liverpool1.90
Manchester United2.20
Stoke City2.25
West Bromwich Albion2.29
Crystal Palace2.40
Everton2.62
Middlesbrough2.62
Arsenal2.75
Leicester City2.87

The combined lowest odds on a clean sheet this Gameweek can be found in the Middlesbrough v Leicester fixture.

It’s a match-up unlikely to send many tingles down the spine – Boro are mixing it with the big boys when it comes to their defensive record at home while the Foxes, with just eight goals, have toiled on the road.

Boro are at 2.62, and Leicester 2.87, to keep goals out of the equation. Aitor Karanka’s men look the more likely of the two to actually do it, as the odds suggest.

Man City are the Gameweek’s runaway favourites to record a shut-out, even with their frankly awful defensive record this season.

The reason? Burnley’s truly appalling two goals scored in eight away matches. Swansea City have had more managers than that and we’re halfway through the season now.

Time for the 16.8% of managers still on John Stones to cash in, you suspect. Their loyalty deserves reward, but will Pep even pick him? Either way, it’s little wonder that a defence with only one more clean sheet than multi-managed Swansea are priced so low to add to their ‘haul’ against Burnley.

Liverpool, meanwhile, have now kept three clean sheets in their last four fixtures and a trip to Sunderland could garner another.

Two Reds defenders (Nathanial Clyne and Dejan Lovren) are among the top 30 players targeted this Gameweek, and Sunderland’s second-worst total of 17 goals scored this season tends to back up the wisdom of buying into the Liverpool back four.

A price of 1.90 is available for the Scousers to keep Sunderland’s attack all gums and no teeth.

983 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. bulbuf
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Captain Philips?? I have Sanchez, Ibra, Lallana too...

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I liked that movie

      1. bulbuf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        The exact reason why I want to captain him lol

  2. jdogg
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Carroll hazard and siggy to kun phillips and cabaye worth-4?x

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      no

  3. seanie3
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    has mane already left for ACON or does he play v sunderland then leaves for ACON

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Goes after Sun

    2. Siva Mohan
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      plays and leaves

  4. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Is there any consensus on C Ibra vs Sanchez ? Also, play Alonso over Friend?

    1. Krionos
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Check the poll

  5. _Ninja_
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Origi -> Benteke -4 due to fixtures coming up and rotation?

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      not worth -4

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I asked the same question earlier and everyone said to leave Origi for this GW as he was rested.

      1. _Ninja_
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Cheers, think he may play wide with studge up front.

    3. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Origi could be in the points this week

    4. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      No

  6. Kane Train
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Anichebe > Negreso or Rondon for a -4 or play Barry

    1. jdogg
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Rondon.x

    2. LeicesterA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Randon could be worth the hit.

  7. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    who's everyone putting the C armband on this GW???

    a. Sanchez

    b. Ibra

    c. Costa

    Cheers peeps

    1. LeicesterA
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      A

    2. david31058
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      d) Phillips

      1. the dom 1
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Got Phillips too good diff 🙂

  8. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Which game is Mike dean is referee this GW?

    1. _Ninja_
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      West ham - Man u

      1. La Roja
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        😆

        Ibra captain it is

  9. The Yorkshire Pirlo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Really struggling what to do...

    A) Pogba, Costa, Aguero

    B) Lallana, Ibra, Aguero
    - would mean selling Costa for 10.2 and have no attacking Chelsea coverage

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      a

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      need Costa mate!

    3. mogadishu
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Very close, A just edges it i feel

  10. Kevtheotter
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Start?

    A) Williams
    B) Jones

    Cheers

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      a

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      B

    3. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Ahhh anyone else?

    4. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      B

  11. teki0s
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Play 3:

    A) Alonso
    B) Jones
    C) Brunt
    D) Evans
    E) Cedric

    Currently on ABC but thinking of doubling up WBA defence (already have Philips playing).

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      acd

  12. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Gtg?
    Heaton
    Azpi- pieters- bellarin
    Sanchez(C)-philips-zaha-firmino
    Ibra(VC)-defoe-costa

    Bench - jaku,capoue,holebas,francis

  13. bulbuf
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    This GW:

    1) Sanchez will be rested

    2) Costa red card

    3) Aguero blank

    4) Tekkers brace

    5) Kane brace

    1. HamezMace
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      What odds did you get on that?

      1. bulbuf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        same as leicester's league odds last season probably

        1. HamezMace
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Still not worth it

    2. Kevtheotter
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      No
      Maybe
      No
      Maybe
      Maybe

  14. GuillermoDickero
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Stuck on what to do this week...

    A) Holebas - Evans
    B) Alonso + Anichebe - Evans + Rondon
    C) Alonso + Costa - Evans + Aguero

    Would appreciate any thoughts

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      b) but brunt instead of evans

  15. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    To Giroud or not to Giroud that is the question?

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      too many better options imo. costa, ibra, kane, kun, rondon and benteke. all better than giroud

  16. Wounded Prophets
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Team all set, going for some differences this week to try and close the gap in my mini league,

    Going to captain Pogba this week

    Foster
    Lovren Azpilicueta, Cahill
    Sanchez, Alli, Lallana, Phillips, Pogba
    Origi, Ibra

  17. LeicesterA
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Anyone recall the twitter account that often leaks Liverpool team news a few hours early? Thanks.

    1. enrico.palazzo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      @AFCCamden

      If I recall

      1. A.T
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        That's an unreliable Arsenal one.

    2. A.T
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Leicestershire reds is one. Like any of these supposed itk's, sometimes they're right but often they're wrong. Dangerous to use them for fpl decisions I'd say

  18. Emp
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    with barragan out last game and friend still starting ahead of fabio , is he back first choice

  19. Jamie_GAWA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Pickford > who?

    Got 5m to spend

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      valdes. fixtures

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Grant

    3. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Or Valdes

    4. Jamie_GAWA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Thanks for the replies

  20. jose249
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Guys please suggest the team is fine or make any changes
    GW 20

    Grant
    Brunt/Clyne/Bellerin
    Lallana/Sanchez/Pedro/Philips
    Ibra/Origi/Costa

    Subs: Courtois/Zaha/Ake/Kingsley

    Please reply guys......

    And who i will put Captain??

    1. Ibra
    2. Costa
    3. Lallana
    4. Philips

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      4 - CAPTAIN PHILLIPS. I'm doing that!

      1. bulbuf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        and for gods sake play zaha! take pedro off

        1. _Gunner
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          This
          I'd play Zaha for sure

          1. jose249
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            OK

        2. jose249
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Thank you..
          i was also confused about Pedro>>Zaha.
          thanks for advice.

      2. The_Buce
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Can someone please help? I'm really confused between having Sanchez or Aguero, but this is the team I have now:

        GK: Grant
        DF: Bellerin, Lovren, Dann
        MF: Lallana, Phillips, Alli, Allen
        FW: Ibra, Aguero, Costa

        Subs: Flamini, Ake, Chilwel

        Considering gambling with Aguero, but Sanchez's away record is difficult to ignore.

  21. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Many siggy to Phillips transfer this gw.

    Time for score tide to change

    1. _Gunner
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I really hope siggy scores, want it badly 😀

      1. bulbuf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Last chance I'm giving Siggy for sure!

        1. _Gunner
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          He is out of my team either ways I think, fixtures are turning.

    2. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      I took zaha as a punt for siggy .

      1. bulbuf
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        he's off to the ACON after this game though. You just wasted a transfer..

        1. The Overthinker
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          He will start today though

          1. bulbuf
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            but will not give his all. the afcon players are trying to avoid injuries

        2. Nomar
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          Not if he's wildcarding straight after this GW.

          1. bulbuf
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 11 months ago

            wild card this early?!

  22. Nomar
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    1) Play Grant or Heaton?

    2) Alexis or Lallana captain?

    Cheers

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      grant and lallana

    2. King Henry XIV
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Grant and Alexis for me

  23. KuttiBunja
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Origi to Rondon worth it?
    Also Mane to Lallana??

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      free?

      1. KuttiBunja
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        1FT

        1. bulbuf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          save

  24. Differentiator
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Ibra (C)

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      NO

      1. Differentiator
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Y E S

        1. bulbuf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          assist at most (man united fan)

  25. abaalan
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Best Def for 4.9M?

    Friend? Ake? Williams? McAuley (got Foster)?

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      brunt

      1. abaalan
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 11 months ago

        Hes 5M 🙁

        1. bulbuf
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 11 months ago

          oops sorry. ake then

    2. BERGKOP
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Ake long term.

  26. The_Buce
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Can someone please help? I'm really confused between having Sanchez or Aguero, but this is the team I have now:

    GK: Grant
    DF: Bellerin, Lovren, Dann
    MF: Lallana (VC), Phillips, Alli, Allen
    FW: Ibra, Aguero (C), Costa

    Subs: Flamini, Ake, Chilwel

    Considering gambling with Aguero, but Sanchez's away record is difficult to ignore.

  27. BraxterStockman
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    I'm going to dump Payet. Whom shall I take?
    Looking for a god long term solution.

    A) Alli ( have no other mid/for from spurs )
    B) Phillips ( have no other mid/for from west brom )
    C) Lallana ( have no other mid/for from Liverpool )

    Thanks in advance!

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      philips. wait for coutinho and alli when fixtures ease

    2. Jamie_GAWA
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Not sure I'd dump Payet but definetly A or B

  28. Jamie_GAWA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    How good do you think the Boro defence is?

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      valdes only viable option

  29. KuttiBunja
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Heaton
    Alonso Clyne Ake
    Mane Sanchez Sterling Phillips
    Ibra Origi Defoe

    Subs: Jaku, Love, Smith, Leko.

    1FT 0.4ITB.

    A) Origi to Rondon?
    B) Defoe to Rondon?
    C) Mane to Lallana?

    Any more suggestions?

    1. bulbuf
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      b

  30. jose249
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 11 months ago

    Captain Vote :::

    1. Ibra
    2. Costa
    3. Sanchez
    4. Lallana
    5. Philips

    Reply Guys

    1. King Henry XIV
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 11 months ago

      Sanchez for me