Paddy Says
21 January 2017 1025 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
Share:

The ‘magic’ of the FA Cup is back to ruin our Fantasy fun from Friday onwards, so this is your last chance to delve into Paddy’s bag of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds of a January weekend.

To sweeten the pill, Paddy’s produced some fantastic enhanced offers for new customers signing up today.

Top billing has to go to the jaw-dropping 16-1 you can get on Spurs beating Man City at the Etihad. Tottenham have conceded a league-best nine goals on their travels and have scored just one goal fewer away (18) than City have managed at home. Throw in Spurs winning 4-0 last time out while City lost by the same scoreline, and 16-1 looks insanely tempting.

At the more sober end of the market come two 5-1 offers – Arsenal to beat Burnley at the Emirates and Chelsea to win at home to Hull.

You can also get 6-1 on Liverpool beating Swansea, while a victory for Man United at Stoke is available at 7-1.

This week’s Acca is cleverly disguised as a double, with a very welcoming 20-1 on offer if United and Spurs both win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

PlayerTeamOdds
CostaCHE1.61
SturridgeLIV1.72
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
HazardCHE1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
OrigiLIV1.90
FirminoLIV2.00
AgueroMCI2.00
WilsonBOU2.10
RondonWBA2.10
LukakuEVE2.25
PedroCHE2.29
RashfordMUN2.29
CoutinhoLIV2.37
WillianCHE2.40


Assuming that Daniel Sturridge’s 1.72 price is a classic bit of bet-hedging from Paddy – the striker, after all, starts about as regularly as a British-made car in the seventies – the lowest odds for goalscorers this week revolve around Arsenal and Chelsea players.

Diego Costa’s bust-up/Chinese tempter/back injury has made him the Gameweek’s most ditched player, with more than a quarter of a million managers showing him the door. Whether said door turns out to be marked ‘wise move’ or ‘oh God, what have I done?’ will hinge on him being involved or not at home to Hull.

Paddy seems to think he will be, hence his rock bottom 1.61 price, whereas more popular captaincy choices Alexis Sanchez (1.72 and home to Burnley) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.83 and away at Stoke) have been handed slightly more favourable odds.

Eden Hazard splits Sanchez and the Swede in our captaincy poll, and that’s reflected in his 1.80 Paddy price.

Liverpool, meanwhile, entertain a Swansea City side who concede, on average, just over two goals per away match this season. Only two teams can beat that nasty little record, while the Reds are second-only to Arsenal for goals scored at home (23).

The conclusion is inescapable – it’s a matter of when, not if, the Reds will score. More vexing is the who – so Paddy’s wavering between Divock Origi (1.90) and Robert Firmino (2.00), with a 2.37 nod to Phillipe Coutinho for good measure. The Brazilian has been eased back into the fray following injury and is the third most transferred-in player of the Gameweek, even though Liverpool have to host Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal from Gameweek 23-27.

A safer bet probably involves Romelu Lukaku, who is priced at 2.25 to net against a Crystal Palace side with just the one home clean sheet all season. The Everton man has scored three goals in his last four league starts and only Harry Kane can beat him for new managers this Gameweek.

Longer odds worth checking out include Dele Alli’s 3.75 price to continue his amazing run (seven goals from his last five starts) against the confusion that is Man City’s defence.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.61
Arsenal1.83
Liverpool2.00
Southampton2.10
Man United2.10
West Brom2.20
Bournemouth2.50
Middlesbrough2.70
Everton3.00
Man City3.10


Chelsea have kept six clean sheets in 10 home matches this season, so while new Hull City boss Marco Silva has injected new life into the previously paper Tigers, the odds are still very much on the Blues making it shut-out seven on Sunday.

Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the fourth most popular new arrival in FPL squads this week, although a lot of that love is probably for the two goals he banged in at Leicester City.

Like a 17-year-old in a souped-up Saxo, Burnley really shouldn’t be allowed on the road. In nine away matches they’ve banged in a total of three goals. Yep, three. Or eight fewer than Alexis Sanchez has managed, to give it a little more context.

Arsenal have kept just the four clean sheets at home, but two of those have come from their last two matches at the Emirates. The biggest threat could well come from a Sanchez own goal…

Everton are tickling the Fantasy fancy of many managers this Gameweek, with no fewer than six of their players in the top 30 transfer targets. Three of them – Leighton Baines, Mason Holgate and Seamus Coleman are defenders – as the Toffees’ decent schedule over the next few weeks kicks in with a trip to Palace.

Paddy has them at 3.00 to keep Sam Allardyce’s men at bay and make it three clean sheets in a row, and four in five matches. Palace, however, have been blanked only three times at Selhurst Park this season – and just the once since Gameweek 8.

  1. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Top of the page
    Allen to
    A- Pedro
    B- Stanislas
    C- mirallas
    D- Antonio
    E- hold
    All transfers would be for a hit

    1. GinjaWhinja
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A/D

      1. gawa11
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        C

    2. 404_FC
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      a 100 percent

    3. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      C looks good for the near future

    4. points ineed
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Stan

    5. lasmons
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Not worth a hit imo.

    6. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      E

  2. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    G2G or anything worth a hit? 2.0ITB

    Courtois
    Jones | McAuley | Baines
    (C)Sanchez | (VC) Hazard I Alli | Phillips
    Ibra | Giroud I Carroll

    Bench Pickford I Holebas I de Roon I Pieters
    Cheers

    1. lasmons
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Looks good!

    2. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Gtg

  3. Maarrrr17
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Surprised more aren't giving Ibra the arm band considering how many goals Stoke have conceded lately.

    1. Egg noodle
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Stoke 3 in 4 home clean sheets

    2. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Hyyyssshh!

  4. gawa11
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Lallana ---> sanchez ?
    Also have hazard and erikson

    1. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Nope...Swansea are poor

    2. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Do you have any Arsenal cover? Not the week to drop Lallana.

      1. gawa11
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Yeah I have giroud, can just save then and move haz to alexis next week?

        1. Jimbo-Jones
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          Sounds good.
          Seen my team below? Any thoughts?

    3. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Save

  5. Egg noodle
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Middlesbrough seriously underrated for clean sheets. Worth a tenner

    1. gawa11
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Agreed

    2. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Disagree

    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Conceded 14 goals in 10 home matches. Not that underrated.

  6. FPL Footy Show Pod
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Am I ready for this week lads?

    Heaton

    Alonso Cresswell Jones

    Sanchez Hazard Lallana Phillips

    Ibra Giroud Defoe

    1. gawa11
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      You need to choose a captain, then your ready

    2. Jimbo-Jones
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Looks solid. Who you captaining?

    3. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Gtg

  7. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    1FT, 2.3 ITB

    Heaton
    Alonso Walker Brunt
    Haz(c) Alexis Phillips Eriksen Stanislas
    Ibra Giroud

    Pickford, Anichebe, Amat, Browning

    G2G?

  8. Jafooli
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Play:

    Foster (SUN)
    Baines (cpl) - Yoshida (LEI) - Chambers (WHM)

    Bench Heaton (ars) & McAuley (SUN) - playing Defoe & captaining Sanchez?

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Sounds good

    2. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yep

    3. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I'd play mcauley over yosh

    4. Jafooli
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Cheers all...

    5. Flynniesta
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I'd double up on the Brom defence rather than play Yoshida.

  9. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Start Walker or Friend?

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Walk on
      Walk on

    2. Strchld
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Same problem..

    3. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Walker

  10. Whats the Huth
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Heaton
    Chambers. Alonso. Rose.
    Sanchez. Lallana. Philips. Alli.
    Ibra. Lukaku. Giroud.

    Bench. Pickford. Smith. Evans. Capoue.

    Bench correct? Or should i bench Rose?

    1. Snooze ya lose
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      V nice team

    2. points ineed
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      What's your squad value?

  11. wikidwhite
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    How am I looking this week:

    Cech - (Jaku)

    Brunt - Daniels - Baines - (Jones - Pieters)

    Sanchez (C) - Phillips - Stanislas - Lallana - (Alli)

    Ibra (Vc) - Costa - Giroud

    1.5 itb, just did Kane -> Costa for Chelsea coverage, thanks.

    1. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Brave to bench Alli!

      1. makaveli123
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Good team though!

    2. gawa11
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I would have kept kane, but looking good

    3. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Aoa

      I wouldn't bench Alli

    4. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Can't believe you got rid of Kane, team looks good though.

      1. wikidwhite
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Kane against City surely is has less of a chance than Costa to score at home to Hull. I may well switch back next week though.

  12. JIM BOB
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Coutinho predicted minutes?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      65

      1. JIM BOB
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Captain Ozil over Coutinho then?

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          Nobody better?

          1. JIM BOB
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 14 days ago

            Not really. One of my draft leagues.

            I also own Aguero, Barkley and Gray :/ !?

            1. JIM BOB
              • 9 Years
              9 years, 14 days ago

              Or Azpil?

    2. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      65

    3. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      60 or 45

    4. gawa11
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      59

    5. Ange Ball
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      75mins

  13. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    My 2 midfielders in the Top 5 of predicted goal scorers

    Looking forward to those extra 4 points over the forwards

  14. points ineed
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    G t g? Wildcard week transfers very welcome!

    Alonso jones chambers
    Stan Phillips courtinio Sanchez
    Costa giroud Ibra

    Subs holgate davies waslewski

  15. Johan Queef
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    My current defence this week is:

    Alonso, Brunt, Holebas (Francis, Amat)

    Shall I do Francis -> Baines for a hit? Then start Baines over Holebas.

    Thanks in advance!

    1. Whats the Huth
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Baines may not play

      1. Johan Queef
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Yeah I did notice that. I'm just so fed up of all my shdefenders.

        Does seem a bit silly now you raise that though!

  16. Blanka
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Randolph

    Daniels Brunt Yoshida

    Sanchez Hazard Coutinho Philips Stanislas

    Ibra Giroud.

    9 home players, big players with good fixtures. Expecting lots of points.

    So will probably score about 31.

    1. lasmons
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      31 or 85. Nice team!

      1. Blanka
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Sounds about right! Cheers.

    2. Mouldmaster
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I'm looking at getting in Yoshida, think he's nailed for a few weeks?

      1. Blanka
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        You'd have to think so! He's only gonna rise in price as well, now Fonte has gone.

        1. Mouldmaster
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          Yep I hope so.

          Cheers, have a good GW.

  17. gunner79
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Please help my team

    Bench one

    Defoe valcencia brunt or rose

    Thanks guys

    1. Ange Ball
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Valenica

    2. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Valencia

      1. gunner79
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Cheers guys got a funny feeling valcencia is going to do well. Oh well bench it is

        1. Ange Ball
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          Go with your gut

  18. TooDifficuIt
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    interesting, they predict man city to win or have a clean sheet

  19. Sweetboi
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Nadal through in a classic.

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Zverev is gonna become sooo good

      1. Sweetboi
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Yep, he's the real deal. Very bright future.

  20. Ange Ball
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Good morning All,

    I really don't know what to do with my team it's driving me crazy. Any advice would seriously be much appreciated, behind my rival who has sanchez costa and hazard 64ps

    current team
    Foster
    Bellerin_Alonso_Clyne
    Philips_Ozil_Alli_Stan
    Aguero_Ibra_Giroud

    Pickford De Roon Holebas Pieters

    1. lasmons
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      How much in the bank?

      1. Ange Ball
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        0.8m

    2. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Nothing IMO. Looks good with differentials. Get rid of Holebas though at some point for Phil Jones.

  21. Pius35
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Will andy carroll play again Boro ? Is He fit ?

    1. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yeah

  22. United20
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Morning lads,

    Heaton
    Jones Smith Lovren
    Sanchez (C) Stanislas Eriksen Pedro
    Giroud Kane Rondon

    Subs: Pick, Williams, Dann, Allen

    Thoughts?

  23. Mouldmaster
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Morning all,

    My defence is in a bit of a state and need Holgate to start. Any thoughts on the chances?

    Should I use my FT for Yoshida?

    Cheers

  24. thepeen555
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Should I play Walker? over, holebas, mcauley or Daniels?

    1. Fitzy.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Of course you should play Walker. Over Holebas I think.

    2. Sweetboi
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Over Holebas

  25. KISSES
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    So the bookies reckon Costa more likely to score than Sanchez.

    Hmm, I have been on Costa all week, changed to Sanchez after Captain Sensible, now looking to go back.

  26. Totti
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    who to captin??
    A) Sanchez
    B) Giroud
    C) Ibra
    D) Pedro
    is it madness to captin pedro? 🙂

    1. KISSES
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A out of tose

    2. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Giroud

    3. gunner79
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Giroud if you have him

  27. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    What do people think Conte will do with Costa?

    Benching him and bringing him on could result in jeers as he's waiting to come on? Would the best way to get him back onside with the fans to start him and hope he scores against a poor side to get him back onside with the players and fans? Or is that wishful thinking?

  28. arturmel
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Captain Sanchez or Hazard? Such a tough choice. Hazard could also be a great differential.

    1. Old Guy
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Hazard scrored more at home, so Hazard for me

      1. arturmel
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        This is not a good reason to captain him. Sanchez is bad at home, Hazard is bad away. One game of hattrick can change this so it's stupid statistic.

  29. Old Guy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Good to go?
    Forster
    Baines Aloso(V)
    Alli Lallana Hazard(C) Phillips Stanislas
    Defoe Ibra Giroud
    Heaton McAuley Ake Verto*
    1.0 ITB 0 FT

    Planning Verto > Walker next week

    1. JIM BOB
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yep

  30. wikidwhite
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    How am I looking this week:

    Cech - (Jaku)

    Brunt - Daniels - Baines - (Jones - Pieters)

    Sanchez (C) - Phillips - Stanislas - Lallana - (Alli)

    Ibra (Vc) - Costa - Giroud

    1.5 itb is benching Alli the right decision, if not who?

    1. Polster
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Same dilemma, I benching stanislas