Paddy Says
21 January 2017 1025 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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The ‘magic’ of the FA Cup is back to ruin our Fantasy fun from Friday onwards, so this is your last chance to delve into Paddy’s bag of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds of a January weekend.

To sweeten the pill, Paddy’s produced some fantastic enhanced offers for new customers signing up today.

Top billing has to go to the jaw-dropping 16-1 you can get on Spurs beating Man City at the Etihad. Tottenham have conceded a league-best nine goals on their travels and have scored just one goal fewer away (18) than City have managed at home. Throw in Spurs winning 4-0 last time out while City lost by the same scoreline, and 16-1 looks insanely tempting.

At the more sober end of the market come two 5-1 offers – Arsenal to beat Burnley at the Emirates and Chelsea to win at home to Hull.

You can also get 6-1 on Liverpool beating Swansea, while a victory for Man United at Stoke is available at 7-1.

This week’s Acca is cleverly disguised as a double, with a very welcoming 20-1 on offer if United and Spurs both win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

PlayerTeamOdds
CostaCHE1.61
SturridgeLIV1.72
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
HazardCHE1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
OrigiLIV1.90
FirminoLIV2.00
AgueroMCI2.00
WilsonBOU2.10
RondonWBA2.10
LukakuEVE2.25
PedroCHE2.29
RashfordMUN2.29
CoutinhoLIV2.37
WillianCHE2.40


Assuming that Daniel Sturridge’s 1.72 price is a classic bit of bet-hedging from Paddy – the striker, after all, starts about as regularly as a British-made car in the seventies – the lowest odds for goalscorers this week revolve around Arsenal and Chelsea players.

Diego Costa’s bust-up/Chinese tempter/back injury has made him the Gameweek’s most ditched player, with more than a quarter of a million managers showing him the door. Whether said door turns out to be marked ‘wise move’ or ‘oh God, what have I done?’ will hinge on him being involved or not at home to Hull.

Paddy seems to think he will be, hence his rock bottom 1.61 price, whereas more popular captaincy choices Alexis Sanchez (1.72 and home to Burnley) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.83 and away at Stoke) have been handed slightly more favourable odds.

Eden Hazard splits Sanchez and the Swede in our captaincy poll, and that’s reflected in his 1.80 Paddy price.

Liverpool, meanwhile, entertain a Swansea City side who concede, on average, just over two goals per away match this season. Only two teams can beat that nasty little record, while the Reds are second-only to Arsenal for goals scored at home (23).

The conclusion is inescapable – it’s a matter of when, not if, the Reds will score. More vexing is the who – so Paddy’s wavering between Divock Origi (1.90) and Robert Firmino (2.00), with a 2.37 nod to Phillipe Coutinho for good measure. The Brazilian has been eased back into the fray following injury and is the third most transferred-in player of the Gameweek, even though Liverpool have to host Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal from Gameweek 23-27.

A safer bet probably involves Romelu Lukaku, who is priced at 2.25 to net against a Crystal Palace side with just the one home clean sheet all season. The Everton man has scored three goals in his last four league starts and only Harry Kane can beat him for new managers this Gameweek.

Longer odds worth checking out include Dele Alli’s 3.75 price to continue his amazing run (seven goals from his last five starts) against the confusion that is Man City’s defence.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.61
Arsenal1.83
Liverpool2.00
Southampton2.10
Man United2.10
West Brom2.20
Bournemouth2.50
Middlesbrough2.70
Everton3.00
Man City3.10


Chelsea have kept six clean sheets in 10 home matches this season, so while new Hull City boss Marco Silva has injected new life into the previously paper Tigers, the odds are still very much on the Blues making it shut-out seven on Sunday.

Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the fourth most popular new arrival in FPL squads this week, although a lot of that love is probably for the two goals he banged in at Leicester City.

Like a 17-year-old in a souped-up Saxo, Burnley really shouldn’t be allowed on the road. In nine away matches they’ve banged in a total of three goals. Yep, three. Or eight fewer than Alexis Sanchez has managed, to give it a little more context.

Arsenal have kept just the four clean sheets at home, but two of those have come from their last two matches at the Emirates. The biggest threat could well come from a Sanchez own goal…

Everton are tickling the Fantasy fancy of many managers this Gameweek, with no fewer than six of their players in the top 30 transfer targets. Three of them – Leighton Baines, Mason Holgate and Seamus Coleman are defenders – as the Toffees’ decent schedule over the next few weeks kicks in with a trip to Palace.

Paddy has them at 3.00 to keep Sam Allardyce’s men at bay and make it three clean sheets in a row, and four in five matches. Palace, however, have been blanked only three times at Selhurst Park this season – and just the once since Gameweek 8.

  1. ladsofbunch
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Start Iwobi or Benteke?

    Heaton,
    Jones, brunt, daniels
    Sanchez, haz (c), alli, phillips
    Giroud, ibra

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Iwobi with those stats

  2. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Anyone have stats for WBA defence with and without Evans. Thought WBA lacked the pace to cope with Spurs last week (just could not catch them). Livermore may help, but if WBA are playing:

    Dawson Olsson McAuley Brunt

    then I do not like it.

    1. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Even with Evans, just 3 clean sheets all season

  3. jimmy.floyd
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Play Stanislas or Eriksen?

    1. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Close but Eriksen for me

    2. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Eriksen imo,Citeh shocking atm

      1. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Cool profile pic

        1. Evasivo
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          TY

    3. Fresco
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      same dilemma, playing Eriksen myself

  4. smix
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Brunt or McAuley ? Who to get in for a free FT this week?

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Brunt

    2. rjcv177
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Morning HOF 😉
      Worth a hit to get Coutinho (4 d roon) and play AoA???
      My team now

      Grant
      Alonso, clyne , McAuley
      Sxz(c), alli, Philips, stanislas
      Ibra, luk, giru

      De roon, holebas, amat

    3. rjcv177
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Sorry smix! "Dumbphone" should be called sometimes

  5. Smudger’s Dirty Dozen
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Play two from
    A Brunt
    B Chambers
    C Walker

    On AB atm

    1. Mesh
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A and B

    2. Sharky’s Machine
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Brunt and chambers

    3. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Brunt & Walker

  6. MelbSpurs
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Gday, who to bench out of this front 8?!

    Sanchez(c), Pedro, Eriksen, Phillips, Stanislas
    Ibra, Lukaku, Kane

    1. xtremesid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Pedro for sure.
      Maybe Stanislas?

      1. MelbSpurs
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks! I was thinking Stan, reckon Pedro is worth a go vs Hull.

    2. Jacket Potato
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Stan

  7. Mesh
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    What's the chances of these 2 starting?

    A. Costa
    B. Origi

    1. Captain Vantastic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Likely
      Unlikely

      1. xtremesid
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        This

    2. drughi
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A. 90%
      B. 50%

  8. xtremesid
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Got Pogba as well as Ibra. Is it too risky this week given that I don't have any Pool player ? Do I do a -4 to get Lallana or Coutinho ?

    Other mid: Sanchez, Stanislas,Philips,Eriksen
    Fwd: Lukaku,Negredo

    1. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Nah. Keep Pogba for Stoke, Hull

    2. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Pool actually have some tough fixtures ahead. I wouldn't take a hit.

    3. xtremesid
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Thanks all

  9. Phil Dagger ⭐
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    So 😮 City better odds on to keep CS than Spurs

    😮

    1. Grand Thibauto
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      City always had good odds if you noticed before. Not unusual since they are a big team and bookies play it safe.

  10. balint84
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Rose or Chambers?

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Chambers

    2. jimmy.floyd
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Chambers

  11. Whats the Mata?
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    How do I look?
    GTG?

    Grant
    Evans* Walker Alonso
    San(C)hez Lallana Alli Phillips
    Ibra Lukaku Giroud

    Subs: Jakupovic Holebas DeRoon Amat

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      That team is perfect imo, gtg

      1. Whats the Mata?
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Cheers mate
        Good luck

  12. Stockport Hatter
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    G2G or any changes?

    Heaton
    Rose Brunt Alonso
    Sanchez (C) Alli Coutinho Phillips
    Ibra Defoe Giroud

    Grant Stanislas Chambers Holgate

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      g2g

  13. thepeen555
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    G2G?

    Grant
    Walker, mcauley, Daniels
    Hazard, Sanchez (C), alli, Phillips
    Kane, kaku, Defoe

    Holebas, Clayton, Kingsley, Jaku

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Very good G2G, wish i could have sanchez captain 🙁

      1. thepeen555
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Who have you got in ur team ? And captain?

        1. TheEgyptianKing
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          down below

          But i have Hazard (c) and no Sanchez

          1. thepeen555
            • 9 Years
            9 years, 14 days ago

            Ah ok, but hazard is a good shout tbf I was on him before

  14. The Curse of Falcao
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    G2G?

    Foster
    Jones McAuley Alonso
    Lallana Eriksen Pogba Hazard(c)
    Rondon Ibra Costa

    Jaku| Chambers|Capoue|Amat
    0FT £0.2ITB

    1. thepeen555
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Lallana cap could be a good differential but still good

  15. ..dom
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Start 1..

    Holebas (BOU away)
    Shawcross (MUN home)
    Morgan (SOU away)

    1. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Holebas for me

    2. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Holebas

    3. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Holebas as most likely to get attacking points, none will keep cs

    4. ..dom
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      thanks folks

  16. Camp No No
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Do you think Bernardo is likely to keep the starting spot for M'brough?

  17. Rover
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Start Walker or Cedric? Rest of defence is Alonso and Friend, with Ake on the bench.

    1. londonmayor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      form says Walker

      1. Rover
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks 🙂
        Was leaning that way too...

  18. londonmayor
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Who Do I start:

    Baines away to Palace
    Brunt home to Sunderland
    Fraser - Home to Watford

    Any ideas?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Baines on toast. NBNC.

    2. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Baines for sure

  19. Hochoki
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Good morning all. I have few questions to ask:

    1. who is the best replacement option for aguero for a -4 hit??
    a. kane
    b. lukaku
    c. costa
    d. giroud
    e. keep aguero, hit is injurious to health

    2. who is best captain option for this gw ??
    a. sanchez
    b. ibra
    c. aguero/his replacement

    3. who to bench?
    a. rose
    b. friend
    c. baines

    1. Evasivo
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      C A C

    2. FIRMINOLOOKGOAL
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      E
      A
      A

    3. londonmayor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      B
      A
      B

  20. Luton_Fan
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    eriksen to coutinho for free transfer?

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Any other Spurs cover?

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      No

    3. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      No

    4. Team Cruel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      It's morning mate, put away the bottle already.

    5. londonmayor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      who else in in your midfield? can you bring erikson back in if you had to?

      1. Luton_Fan
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        yeah have alli and walker. thing is i got alli and eriksen at 8.1 so no not really.

        1. londonmayor
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          Then maybe hold off. Erikson and Spurs look red hot - and he is on set pieces.
          Maybe bring in Countinho for someone else - or Lallana as a cheap option

          1. Luton_Fan
            • 15 Years
            9 years, 14 days ago

            thx mate, rest of midfield is hazard, alli, sanchez, phillips. think i will stick, as you say spurs do look on form.

    6. Grand Thibauto
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Not even with 2 FT

    7. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Coutinho not even sure to start, still building up his match fitness

  21. Dynamic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Foster
    Alonso Ake Chambers
    Sanchez(C) Hazard Eriksen Phillips
    Ibra Giroud Rondon
    Pickford Clayton Ward Amat
    1FT

    Would you do Ake/Amat -> Baines?
    My defence is incredibly weak this week.

    1. Dynamic
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      This is the Burnley Ward btw.

    2. londonmayor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Everton have a good run - so Baines is a good option

  22. amit1964
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    good morning!

    do you thunk gabriel jesus will start and will send cun to the bench this gw?

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Not straight away, no

    2. FPL Blow-In
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      No but I am looking forward to them both starting together hopefully

    3. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Will get 20 mins. Pep has said that they'll play together.

  23. Chrisscfc
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Heaton
    Kosc alonso Evans
    Sanchez hazard lallana Phillips
    Ibra giroud Carroll
    Pickford Williams de roon Amat 1.5 ITB tempted by Callum Wilson for Carroll ?

  24. Goonerette
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    OPINIONS: Do you think it's worth playing all out attack?

    Valdes (Heaton)
    Lovren Koscielny (Holgate Ake Holebas)
    Lallana San(C)hez Alli Stanislas Phillips
    Lukaku(VC) Giroud Defoe

    Thanks guys

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yes

    2. Jacket Potato
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I would, then get rid of Holebas

      1. Goonerette
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Sounds good.. cheers!

    3. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yes and next week drop one of the front 8 you ll have benching issues every week

      1. Goonerette
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Next week will be a whole new dilemma!

    4. MelbSpurs
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yep!

  25. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Thoughts on the best differential pick out of these lot?

    A) Hazard (HUL)
    B) Stanislas (WAT)
    C) Phillips (SUN)
    D) Kane (mci)
    E) Brunt (SUN)
    F) Daniels (WAT)

    Leaning towards A, C or D.

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      For captaincy, I mean!

      1. O Fenomeno
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        D

    2. londonmayor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A

    3. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A not a differential captain but certainly a promising choice, I will probably go with Kane so cant suggest anyone else

    4. The Curse of Falcao
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Hazard

  26. Woody01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Mirallas vs Stanislas until the end of the season? Who brings the most points home?

    1. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Stanislas

  27. LakhaneeFC
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Because I absolutely missed the Costa news last GW, here's me being very careful closer to the deadline:

    1. Has there been any update on the team sheets by now, for any team?
    2. Is there any news on Costa starting?
    3. What about Giroud?
    4. Any injury/last minute changes in any team that has been disclosed?

    Any help would be really appreciated

    1. O Fenomeno
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I would say Costa definitely starts, I'm considering bringing him in for Kun

      1. LakhaneeFC
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Thanks a lot mate!
        I have him and want to captain him to be honest - don't know if that's overkill though

        1. O Fenomeno
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          Yeah I think I'll end up with him in this week and captain too. I don't see why Conte would want to cause any further division now the air has been cleared.

          I'll keep an eye out for you on here Sunday we might both be (C)osta (cool)

      2. weaver93
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        same here... then move to Ibra next week

  28. Messiah Hazard
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Which two start from:
    Ericksen, De Roon, Gray

    Which one to start from:
    Holebas, Fuchs

  29. alfast1c
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Chances of baines going to play lads ?

    1. londonmayor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      according to Skysports - yes

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      You know as much as everyone else here.

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      90%, coach says days ago he recon he's start

  30. SAKA AND EMILE SMITH ROWE
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Chambers (WHU @ Home) or Yoshida (LEI @ Home) ???

    1. FIRMINOLOOKGOAL
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yoshida