Paddy Says
21 January 2017 1025 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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The ‘magic’ of the FA Cup is back to ruin our Fantasy fun from Friday onwards, so this is your last chance to delve into Paddy’s bag of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds of a January weekend.

To sweeten the pill, Paddy’s produced some fantastic enhanced offers for new customers signing up today.

Top billing has to go to the jaw-dropping 16-1 you can get on Spurs beating Man City at the Etihad. Tottenham have conceded a league-best nine goals on their travels and have scored just one goal fewer away (18) than City have managed at home. Throw in Spurs winning 4-0 last time out while City lost by the same scoreline, and 16-1 looks insanely tempting.

At the more sober end of the market come two 5-1 offers – Arsenal to beat Burnley at the Emirates and Chelsea to win at home to Hull.

You can also get 6-1 on Liverpool beating Swansea, while a victory for Man United at Stoke is available at 7-1.

This week’s Acca is cleverly disguised as a double, with a very welcoming 20-1 on offer if United and Spurs both win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

PlayerTeamOdds
CostaCHE1.61
SturridgeLIV1.72
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
HazardCHE1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
OrigiLIV1.90
FirminoLIV2.00
AgueroMCI2.00
WilsonBOU2.10
RondonWBA2.10
LukakuEVE2.25
PedroCHE2.29
RashfordMUN2.29
CoutinhoLIV2.37
WillianCHE2.40


Assuming that Daniel Sturridge’s 1.72 price is a classic bit of bet-hedging from Paddy – the striker, after all, starts about as regularly as a British-made car in the seventies – the lowest odds for goalscorers this week revolve around Arsenal and Chelsea players.

Diego Costa’s bust-up/Chinese tempter/back injury has made him the Gameweek’s most ditched player, with more than a quarter of a million managers showing him the door. Whether said door turns out to be marked ‘wise move’ or ‘oh God, what have I done?’ will hinge on him being involved or not at home to Hull.

Paddy seems to think he will be, hence his rock bottom 1.61 price, whereas more popular captaincy choices Alexis Sanchez (1.72 and home to Burnley) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.83 and away at Stoke) have been handed slightly more favourable odds.

Eden Hazard splits Sanchez and the Swede in our captaincy poll, and that’s reflected in his 1.80 Paddy price.

Liverpool, meanwhile, entertain a Swansea City side who concede, on average, just over two goals per away match this season. Only two teams can beat that nasty little record, while the Reds are second-only to Arsenal for goals scored at home (23).

The conclusion is inescapable – it’s a matter of when, not if, the Reds will score. More vexing is the who – so Paddy’s wavering between Divock Origi (1.90) and Robert Firmino (2.00), with a 2.37 nod to Phillipe Coutinho for good measure. The Brazilian has been eased back into the fray following injury and is the third most transferred-in player of the Gameweek, even though Liverpool have to host Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal from Gameweek 23-27.

A safer bet probably involves Romelu Lukaku, who is priced at 2.25 to net against a Crystal Palace side with just the one home clean sheet all season. The Everton man has scored three goals in his last four league starts and only Harry Kane can beat him for new managers this Gameweek.

Longer odds worth checking out include Dele Alli’s 3.75 price to continue his amazing run (seven goals from his last five starts) against the confusion that is Man City’s defence.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.61
Arsenal1.83
Liverpool2.00
Southampton2.10
Man United2.10
West Brom2.20
Bournemouth2.50
Middlesbrough2.70
Everton3.00
Man City3.10


Chelsea have kept six clean sheets in 10 home matches this season, so while new Hull City boss Marco Silva has injected new life into the previously paper Tigers, the odds are still very much on the Blues making it shut-out seven on Sunday.

Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the fourth most popular new arrival in FPL squads this week, although a lot of that love is probably for the two goals he banged in at Leicester City.

Like a 17-year-old in a souped-up Saxo, Burnley really shouldn’t be allowed on the road. In nine away matches they’ve banged in a total of three goals. Yep, three. Or eight fewer than Alexis Sanchez has managed, to give it a little more context.

Arsenal have kept just the four clean sheets at home, but two of those have come from their last two matches at the Emirates. The biggest threat could well come from a Sanchez own goal…

Everton are tickling the Fantasy fancy of many managers this Gameweek, with no fewer than six of their players in the top 30 transfer targets. Three of them – Leighton Baines, Mason Holgate and Seamus Coleman are defenders – as the Toffees’ decent schedule over the next few weeks kicks in with a trip to Palace.

Paddy has them at 3.00 to keep Sam Allardyce’s men at bay and make it three clean sheets in a row, and four in five matches. Palace, however, have been blanked only three times at Selhurst Park this season – and just the once since Gameweek 8.

  1. mutatedllama
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Rip my WC team to shreds:

    Randolph
    Alonso - Baines - Brunt
    Sanchez - Eriksen - Hazard - Phillips
    Ibra - Kane - Crouch

    Subs: Grant, Chambers, Love, Davies

    I'm most unsure about Crouch with Berahino joining Stoke.

    0.7 ITB

    1. Angin out the Begović
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Do we know if Davies is the one yet ? Could be Wimmer

      1. mutatedllama
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Just to clarify - this is the Everton midfielder Davies. He's played 90 in each of the last two games and has an assist and a goal in those 2. Looks like he's part of a new system that utilises wingbacks and 3 central mids (can anybody clarify?).

        Also he costs 4.3 so it can't really go wrong, surely!

    2. Evans
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I would play back 4 with chambers instead of crouch

      Yeah, you will need a back up plan now that Berahino

      Also no Liverpool ? Aching Swansea today

      1. mutatedllama
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        4 at the back could be a good shout. Chambers is good enough to start.

        I am worried about not having any Liverpool. I'd love Coutinho but would settle for Lallana. The problem is - where?!

    3. Sonic Huth
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Our teams are very similar

    4. londonmayor
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Not sure about Crouch

      Loves and Davies - upgrade if possible

      1. mutatedllama
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Love and Davies seem to be getting play time at the moment and cost 4.0 and 4.3 respectively but I agree re: Crouch.

        I am tempted by Hazard + Crouch -> Stanislas + Lukaku but I know I'll regret removing Hazard...

    5. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Hazard > Pedro and upgrade Crouch

      1. mutatedllama
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Will Pedro get consistent game time?

        If I do Hazard -> Pedro I have 8.6 for a striker. Giroud is 8.7 but I could maybe squeeze another 0.1 out somewhere. Or perhaps Rondon?

        1. Elijah's Wood
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 15 days ago

          He seems nailed, he's started almost every game bar his suspension, just more likely to be subbed off before 90mins than Hazard.

          Choosing Rondon will give you a lot of cash to mess around with, up to you. Your team looks more suited for 4-4-2 than 3-4-3

          1. mutatedllama
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 14 days ago

            Cheers, I'll have a play around and see what combinations work well.

  2. Evans
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Coutinho or Firmino ?

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Coutinho

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Cout.
      I have Firmino btw

  3. FFFoxy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Thought on (yes or no)
    A) Costa starting?
    B) sturridge starting?

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      YES
      NO

  4. TheEgyptianKing
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Im not in with Liverpool, but using stuff ive heard on twitter im pretty sure the starting line up will 100% be

    Migs
    TAA Lovren Klavan Milner (Matip on bench)
    Hendo
    Can Wiji
    Lallana Firmino Coutinho

    1. Kazza_
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Anyone else confirm this

      1. JustPark
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Klopp

    2. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I'll take that

      1. Kazza_
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        i dont believe matip on bench or TAA starting

        1. Clump
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 15 days ago

          TAA should start. Clyne not quite ready.

    3. FPLFamily (Lee)
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I think he'll play Matip. Been training normally and will want him to get game time

      1. Kazza_
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        agree with this

      2. TheEgyptianKing
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        If you have rested Klavan and Lovren, and have been practising all this week with them, stupid to change

        Hoepfully he comes in v Southampton, and then plays v Chelsea instead

  5. The Bandit
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    First time ever without Aguero through choice. I feel like I've betrayed him. He will surely punish me and I deserve it 🙁

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I hoping Man city are going to be so wounded up and then there just gunna explode and unleash him , Tottenham normally get destroyed by him , so im keeping him

      1. Kazza_
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        hope this too

    2. Optimus.
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      It seems that I sold him last night... for a hit 😯

    3. Evans
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Remember when city stuffed Spurs a few years back

      Due

      1. Optimus.
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        That was when City were better than Spurs though

        1. The Bandit
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 15 days ago

          And Aguero was a penalty taking CF

          1. Optimus.
            • 14 Years
            9 years, 15 days ago

            and that

    4. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Might not want to look at Aguero's record against Spurs then 😉

      1. The Bandit
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        I'm well aware but he was playing in a different role then and Spurs were a lot less tight at the back

    5. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Aguero as a differential? Pinch me!

  6. Jimjam
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Bench Chambers (WHU) or Rose (mci)

    1. TheEgyptianKing
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      rose imo

  7. Luton_Fan
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    team. grant, nyom, alonso, friend, alli, erik, sanchez c, hazard, phillips, rondon, ibra. bench. heaton, walker, a gray (ovs im a luton fan), holebas. 1ft. think im sticking.

  8. SheBangsTheDrums
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Hi lads,

    How's she looking? I think I'm ok to bank a transfer?

    Foster
    Alonso Jones Daniels
    Sanchez (c) Alli Lallana Phillips
    Kun Ibra Giroud

    (Grant, De Roon, Holgate, Amat)

    1. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Nice team. I'd bank

  9. rakdaddy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Should i play friend or phil Jones?

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      friend for attacking threat. the guy has a quality cross in him.

  10. LakhaneeFC
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    One last question, which I suppose is on everyone's mind:

    Who should I Captain out of these:
    1. Sanchez
    2. ibra
    3. Hazard (VC)
    4. Costa (C)

    Currently stands as above - do you guys think that's overkill?

    1. Luton_Fan
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      think i would do the same.

  11. Optimus.
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Chelsea have yet to lose a game this season when Alonso has started and kept a clean sheet..

    Alonso (c)?

    1. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      lolz. Started early today? 😛

      1. Optimus.
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Nope just feeling the afters from the night before 😉

        1. Ziro
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 15 days ago

          😀

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I'm jumping between Alonso and Sanchez for the armband. There are some very interesting stats at how vulnerable Hull are at right back.

  12. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Who to start?

    1) Jones
    2) Friend

    Who to captain?

    A) Ibra
    B) Hazard
    C) Giroud
    D) Sanchez

    1. sully29
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      1D

  13. Mooster©️
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Is there any news on Baines injury?

  14. Sonic Huth
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Holgate vs Yoshida?

    1. Sharky’s Machine
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yoshida

  15. sully29
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    I hate playing attackers v defenders and this week I have two sets: Baines v Benteke and Holebas v Stanislas. I'm right in thinking that naturally places a limit on my potential points from those players aren't I?

    1. rjcv177
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Good question. Have you ever had 11players giving u FPL points? I think not. Normally 5, 6 or 7 get u a good score. If u have an attacker with big %involvment and afraid they blank it can be a good strategy get a defender so that u can be "safe". Used it before tbh and worked...but is just my opinion after all

  16. rjcv177
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Morning HOF

  17. Sharky’s Machine
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    I've been doing ok for the last few seasons, I think I'm getting the hang of it now, how much value do you place on the chips? I still have them all available, if used wisely how much of an increase in rank would they give in your opinion?

  18. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Who's the best 5th mid at this point?

    A) Tom Carroll (4.2)
    B) Tom Davies (4.3)
    C) Schneiderlin (4.6)
    D) Fletcher (4.4)

    Someone else?

    1. Baz
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      5th mid should be a long term safe pick. Fletcher for me consistent 2/3 points til end of season

      1. ryacoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Schneiderlin looks pretty safe long term though right? And Everton are guaranteed no blanks in GWs 26, 28 and 34.

        1. Christophe Savage
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 15 days ago

          eyeing him up myself, unsure on Carroll and Davies, Sch more likely to hold down a place. Fletcher or De roon both decent 2 point a week options though.

    2. Sillet Bang
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Top 3 bargains

    3. Sillet Bang
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      De Roon 4.4

    4. S.Kuqi
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Davies but Stanislas is good option aswell if you afford to have 5.2 mid as your 5th mid

    5. Kun Tozser
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      C or than B longer term I guess

      Currently on de Roon

  19. Baz
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Siggy --> Coutinho (-4) Y/N???

    1. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yeah it will surely pay off on long term

    2. Venom Snake
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Y

  20. theBoose
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Is Everton's Davies a decent 5th mid punt for the next 3 weeks?

    If not, I currently have 2.0itb, but will also want to upgrade my 3rd striker in the near future. Allen > ???

    1. Christophe Savage
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Do you trust his minutes?

  21. Gilberto.
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    72 points behind ML leader, is it time to start differential captain picks? I fear it could be. He will cap Sanchez, should I go Hazard and hope?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Half the season to go. I'd still play my own game. Hopefully DGWs will help a lot.

      1. Gilberto.
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        This is true, still a fair way to go

    2. Baz
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      haz a better pick imo anyway - not gonna catch him with the same picks!

      1. Gilberto.
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Hazard on pens could make him slightly favourable indeed. I have Giroud so could hope he grabs a few of Sanchez points

    3. skodaole2
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Too early to think about ML leader's points. 72 points can be covered during 2-3 GWs. Plus you cant know for sure his choice.

      1. Gilberto.
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        After his comments last week, it sounds like he is set on Sanchez for the foreseeable. Disregarding everything, who do you think is the better pick?

  22. Salah Fingers
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Why is bellerin still flagged? Sure wenger said he was back.

    1. makaveli70
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Giru-ibra

  23. makaveli70
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    is it easy to bench 1 of them or should i play 3-5-2??
    Alli-Hazard-Lallana-Sánchez-Phillips

    1. Mooster©️
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      forwards?

      1. makaveli70
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Giru-ibra-grabben

  24. Elijah's Wood
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Quick poll, who to bench?

    A) Erikson (mci) - own Kane
    B) Stanislas (WAT)

    Currently benching Erikson

    1. Baz
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      tough - would probs do the same

    2. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      B

    3. Christophe Savage
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Wow, benching headache, i'd never feel comfortable benching Erikson, cant see spurs not scoring and he is involved in so many of their goals.So Stan - just.

      1. Elijah's Wood
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Thanks guys, just think Stanislas has a higher ceiling. I think both will be amongst the points, I agree, am not comfortable benching Erik lol

    4. Melvin Udall
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Id go b for bench.

  25. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    What's the latest news on Baines?
    Also would you Play Stani or Negredo?

    1. Baz
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      "should" be fine. Neg

      1. Tshelby
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Cheers

  26. Sonic Huth
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Can letting go of Grant really affect my team? I do own Heaton

    1. Baz
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      heaton and dud is fine

      1. Sonic Huth
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Thinking doing Grant-Jaku to get Coleman. Wise move?

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Heaton and Jaku is the dream team

  27. Mr_Majestyk
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Struggling to make a decision this week.Appreciate your thoughts. Thanks

    Heaton
    Alonso Jones Baines
    Haz Sanchez Lallana Phillips
    Ibra Carroll Giroud

    Jak DeRoon Evans Amat

    1- Save FT
    2- Carroll to Lukaku
    3- Giroud to Kane
    4- Evans to ?
    5 -other suggestions

  28. binny_jai
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Is it okay to play all out attack with this team . Any suggestions
    Foster
    Alonso Van djk
    Sanchez(C) Antonio Lallana Pedro Phillips
    Ibra lukaku Defoe
    Grant jones holgate chambers

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I'd play Chambers over Antonio

    2. Luton_Fan
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      no i would save it. play jones and bench defoe or antonio.

  29. Dynamic
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Who is higher priority to get rid of?

    A) Ake
    B) Amat

    1. Christophe Savage
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Ake, slightly more money to play with when gone, both none players, Ake more likely to lose more value.

  30. binny_jai
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Captain
    A) Sanchez
    B)Pedro
    C)lallana
    I've feeling that lallana is the way to go ?