Paddy Says
21 January 2017 1025 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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The ‘magic’ of the FA Cup is back to ruin our Fantasy fun from Friday onwards, so this is your last chance to delve into Paddy’s bag of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds of a January weekend.

To sweeten the pill, Paddy’s produced some fantastic enhanced offers for new customers signing up today.

Top billing has to go to the jaw-dropping 16-1 you can get on Spurs beating Man City at the Etihad. Tottenham have conceded a league-best nine goals on their travels and have scored just one goal fewer away (18) than City have managed at home. Throw in Spurs winning 4-0 last time out while City lost by the same scoreline, and 16-1 looks insanely tempting.

At the more sober end of the market come two 5-1 offers – Arsenal to beat Burnley at the Emirates and Chelsea to win at home to Hull.

You can also get 6-1 on Liverpool beating Swansea, while a victory for Man United at Stoke is available at 7-1.

This week’s Acca is cleverly disguised as a double, with a very welcoming 20-1 on offer if United and Spurs both win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

PlayerTeamOdds
CostaCHE1.61
SturridgeLIV1.72
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
HazardCHE1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
OrigiLIV1.90
FirminoLIV2.00
AgueroMCI2.00
WilsonBOU2.10
RondonWBA2.10
LukakuEVE2.25
PedroCHE2.29
RashfordMUN2.29
CoutinhoLIV2.37
WillianCHE2.40


Assuming that Daniel Sturridge’s 1.72 price is a classic bit of bet-hedging from Paddy – the striker, after all, starts about as regularly as a British-made car in the seventies – the lowest odds for goalscorers this week revolve around Arsenal and Chelsea players.

Diego Costa’s bust-up/Chinese tempter/back injury has made him the Gameweek’s most ditched player, with more than a quarter of a million managers showing him the door. Whether said door turns out to be marked ‘wise move’ or ‘oh God, what have I done?’ will hinge on him being involved or not at home to Hull.

Paddy seems to think he will be, hence his rock bottom 1.61 price, whereas more popular captaincy choices Alexis Sanchez (1.72 and home to Burnley) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.83 and away at Stoke) have been handed slightly more favourable odds.

Eden Hazard splits Sanchez and the Swede in our captaincy poll, and that’s reflected in his 1.80 Paddy price.

Liverpool, meanwhile, entertain a Swansea City side who concede, on average, just over two goals per away match this season. Only two teams can beat that nasty little record, while the Reds are second-only to Arsenal for goals scored at home (23).

The conclusion is inescapable – it’s a matter of when, not if, the Reds will score. More vexing is the who – so Paddy’s wavering between Divock Origi (1.90) and Robert Firmino (2.00), with a 2.37 nod to Phillipe Coutinho for good measure. The Brazilian has been eased back into the fray following injury and is the third most transferred-in player of the Gameweek, even though Liverpool have to host Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal from Gameweek 23-27.

A safer bet probably involves Romelu Lukaku, who is priced at 2.25 to net against a Crystal Palace side with just the one home clean sheet all season. The Everton man has scored three goals in his last four league starts and only Harry Kane can beat him for new managers this Gameweek.

Longer odds worth checking out include Dele Alli’s 3.75 price to continue his amazing run (seven goals from his last five starts) against the confusion that is Man City’s defence.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.61
Arsenal1.83
Liverpool2.00
Southampton2.10
Man United2.10
West Brom2.20
Bournemouth2.50
Middlesbrough2.70
Everton3.00
Man City3.10


Chelsea have kept six clean sheets in 10 home matches this season, so while new Hull City boss Marco Silva has injected new life into the previously paper Tigers, the odds are still very much on the Blues making it shut-out seven on Sunday.

Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the fourth most popular new arrival in FPL squads this week, although a lot of that love is probably for the two goals he banged in at Leicester City.

Like a 17-year-old in a souped-up Saxo, Burnley really shouldn’t be allowed on the road. In nine away matches they’ve banged in a total of three goals. Yep, three. Or eight fewer than Alexis Sanchez has managed, to give it a little more context.

Arsenal have kept just the four clean sheets at home, but two of those have come from their last two matches at the Emirates. The biggest threat could well come from a Sanchez own goal…

Everton are tickling the Fantasy fancy of many managers this Gameweek, with no fewer than six of their players in the top 30 transfer targets. Three of them – Leighton Baines, Mason Holgate and Seamus Coleman are defenders – as the Toffees’ decent schedule over the next few weeks kicks in with a trip to Palace.

Paddy has them at 3.00 to keep Sam Allardyce’s men at bay and make it three clean sheets in a row, and four in five matches. Palace, however, have been blanked only three times at Selhurst Park this season – and just the once since Gameweek 8.

  1. O Fenomeno
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Just pulled the trigger on Aguero Cap > Costa Firminio

    What are people's thoughts on Costa captain? Sanchez my other option.

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Best option this week.

      1. O Fenomeno
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        A lot of decent options this week, hopefully an exciting GW

  2. Sponge-worthy
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Deadline in 1h 35mins?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yes!

      1. Sponge-worthy
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Cheers

  3. Over Midwicket
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Anyone considering Phillips(c)?

    WBA are beasts at home, he's in form and Sunderland have arguably the worst defence in the league.

    1. Clump
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I've really no idea this week. Seems as good as any.

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Schhhh, its complicated enough with Haz vs Alexis and Heaton/Grant

    3. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Could pay off. Sunderland do have the worst defence at the mo.

    4. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      No. It's not that he's not a good option, it's that there are just too many people who will be on bigger and just as good options.

      You're not just banking on him doing well. You're banking on him doing better than Hazard and Sanchez. I just can't see that. Although I'll take it as an owner.

      1. Over Midwicket
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        I'm around 100 points behind my ML rival so I need to start gambling.

        1. The Hindu Monkey
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 15 days ago

          I like it. I really do. I have a middle of Hazard, Sanchez, Ozil, Phillips and Stanilas this week and if they don't get me forty points I will hunt them down...

    5. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Thanks for the replies. Reckon he's quids in to get returns, just about whether he's explosive enough.

    6. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Certainly not a bad shout for a differential

  4. Mind över Mata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Start:

    A) Rose (mci)
    B) De Roon (WHM)

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      A easily. Will keep a cleanie.

    2. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      A. More likely to assist. More likely to score. More likely to get 4 points for a clean sheet..

    3. Christophe Savage
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Rose, for me. Man City out of sorts, wil prob concede. De Roon will get you 2 points though.

    4. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      de roon is a safe 2-3 point, Rose is 2-10 points. shouldnt be a hard decision?

  5. The Hindu Monkey
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Last call out.

    Would you start Holebas or Holgate?

    Thanks.

    1. rjcv177
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Gate

    2. Bunk Moreland
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Holebas.

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Holgate

    4. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Holgate & cross your fingers Koeman sticks with a back 3

    5. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      bas

  6. rjcv177
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Worth a hit to get Coutinho (4 d roon) and play AoA???
    My team now

    Grant
    Alonso, clyne , McAuley
    Sxz(c), alli, Philips, stanislas
    Ibra, luk, giru

    De roon, holebas, amat

    1. Rhys85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I'd stick, your team looks pretty good to me, no need to take a hit.

      1. rjcv177
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Thkx. Someone mentioned Clyne not ready 🙁 is it thrue? My make my call easier

    2. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Naaa, wait one week. Coutinho eased back from injury, could easily be taken off at 60 mins or come in as a sub.

  7. Rhys85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Morning guys,

    Defoe & J-Rod -> Costa & Stan for free would give me:

    Foster
    Alonso / Walker / Smith
    Sanchez / Eriksen / Phillips / Stan
    Ibra / Kane / Costa
    (Pickford / De Roon / Williams / Holebas)

    Good moves or too light in midfield?

    1. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Good moves, a bit light is what u pay for that frontline

      1. Rhys85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Cheers for the reply

  8. user.n
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    NEED HELP

    A. Keep DeBruyne
    B. DeBruyne for Ozil, Walcott for Eriksen - 8pt
    C. Go for Wildcard

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      A.

      Not C at this stage. You have 9 days to wildcard after today!

    2. rnrd
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Pep might change things in his team set up. If Silva plays in a less advanced role, kdb might play as a 10 again and that will require consideration

    3. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      A

      1. user.n
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        Thank you guys.

  9. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    No Liverpool players and only Pedro from Chelsea. Need bigger couch 😐

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yes you do as it will be a resounding Liverpool victory over a Swansea side that folds under the smallest bit of pressure and Hull will concede at least 1 Penalty

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        I know...all my eggs are in Arsenal & Everton basket

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Same pool problem here, think I´ll go outdoors during that game

    3. O Fenomeno
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Eek

  10. Pi
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Hi Folks
    Please choose one to bench
    A Chambers (WESTHAM)
    B Daniels (WATFORD)
    C Baines (Palace)

    And Who should be benched
    1 Williams (HULL) I am getting have Costa>Aguero
    2 Crouch (Man U)

    1. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      b c

      1. Pi
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 15 days ago

        only one to bench?

        1. Arn De Gothia
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 15 days ago

          sry, B 2

  11. Sonic Huth
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Baines sure to play next gw? If not I'll go Coleman

    1. NilSatisNisiOptimum78
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Has rib injury but looking ok to play, Coleman v hot & miss at the mo, Baines in form

  12. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Start Yoshida or Rose? Currently on Yoshida based on clean sheet odds above.

  13. Jonny HOW SON?
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Would you rather get:

    A) Walker/ Rose
    B) Baines/ Coleman

    1. Sonic Huth
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      A is the better choice

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      walker/bainess

    3. O Fenomeno
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      A

  14. rnrd
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Because you have to use your experience as an edge, I captain Aguero this WE and lets punish the non-believers for there fpl sin aha

    1. amit1964
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      tha same here..........dont tell anyone

  15. Piyush CR7
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Suggest one to bench
    1. Jones( vs Stk)
    2. Smith ( vs Wat)
    3. Reid ( vs Mid)
    4. Holebas ( vs Bou)

    And Will Costa surely start this gameweek ?

  16. SirStevieG
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Start Rose (mci) or Yoshida (LEI)?

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yoshida.

    2. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Think both are in line for a clean sheet. rose will get the attacking points though

  17. Blame it on Traore
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Morning all.
    Really struggling here. Stanislas or Phillips?
    Any input would be great. Thanks a lot.

  18. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    I reckon playing Friend over Jones is good ?
    But still have this tough C choice...Sanchez, Hazard, Ibra, Lukaku - currenlty on Sanchez but I may be wrong !

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Sanchez captain and play Friend, I'd say.

    2. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Same, switched between Haz and Sanchez numerous times, each time I think I'm certain I realise I'm not haha

  19. NestorC
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Ake to Yoshida for free, dont have the 3rd playing def?

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yup. Sounds good to me.

    2. rnrd
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Same boat as you but since you dont have a 3rd you should consider nailness first. Yoshida not 100% nailed Imo. I went for chambers instead

    3. NestorC
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Cheers guys

  20. Egyptian Giza
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    help me with this mess, 1FT, 1m itb
    foster
    baines pieters alonso
    sanchez (c) ozil philips siggurdson
    benteke lukaku rondon
    (heaton walcott francis barragan)

    A-get coleman for barragan and bench pieters
    B- get coutinho for walcott and bench benteke
    C- save FT

  21. jimmy.floyd
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Play one:
    Brunt
    Chambers
    Yoshida

    ?

    1. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      First

    2. sindz
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Brunt

  22. HellasLEAF
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Minor quibble but Pieters, Chambers or Friend.

    1. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Chambers

    2. O Fenomeno
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Chambers

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Friend, captain and more attacking

  23. Tshelby
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    G2g?

    Valdes
    Brunt, Jones, Baines
    Stanislas, Alli, Sanchez(c), Pedro, Lallana
    Ibra, Luk

    Hennessey,- Negredo, Yoshida, Mee

  24. MDK
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Is Alli -> Eriksen too sideways

    1. HellasLEAF
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yes.

    2. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Crab move ahoy!

    3. sindz
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      I prefer Alli. Always a goal threat. So yes for me

    4. O Fenomeno
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yes sir

  25. boredjames
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Hazard captain. If he fails that him out for me.

    1. boredjames
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      **that's**

  26. ihateramsey2
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Kane to Costa madness?

    1. O Fenomeno
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Not madness, but it could go either way, I have done Kun > Costa

    2. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Yes

  27. DameCorp
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Back 5 of:

    Alonso, Cedric, Evans (Holebas, Amat)

    Holebas to Baines for free? Or just save FT

  28. Kno
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    chances of evans being back? Pieters as my only option on the bench is not really tempting

    1. Blame it on Traore
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 15 days ago

      Same predicament here. Don't know whether to gamble and just start Evans

  29. Melvin Udall
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Rose or Jones? Leaning to Jones.

  30. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 15 days ago

    Cedric to Yoshida worth a FT? Got 2 FTs and not much on.