Paddy Says
21 January 2017 1025 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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The ‘magic’ of the FA Cup is back to ruin our Fantasy fun from Friday onwards, so this is your last chance to delve into Paddy’s bag of Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds of a January weekend.

To sweeten the pill, Paddy’s produced some fantastic enhanced offers for new customers signing up today.

Top billing has to go to the jaw-dropping 16-1 you can get on Spurs beating Man City at the Etihad. Tottenham have conceded a league-best nine goals on their travels and have scored just one goal fewer away (18) than City have managed at home. Throw in Spurs winning 4-0 last time out while City lost by the same scoreline, and 16-1 looks insanely tempting.

At the more sober end of the market come two 5-1 offers – Arsenal to beat Burnley at the Emirates and Chelsea to win at home to Hull.

You can also get 6-1 on Liverpool beating Swansea, while a victory for Man United at Stoke is available at 7-1.

This week’s Acca is cleverly disguised as a double, with a very welcoming 20-1 on offer if United and Spurs both win.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

PlayerTeamOdds
CostaCHE1.61
SturridgeLIV1.72
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
HazardCHE1.80
IbrahimovicMUN1.83
OrigiLIV1.90
FirminoLIV2.00
AgueroMCI2.00
WilsonBOU2.10
RondonWBA2.10
LukakuEVE2.25
PedroCHE2.29
RashfordMUN2.29
CoutinhoLIV2.37
WillianCHE2.40


Assuming that Daniel Sturridge’s 1.72 price is a classic bit of bet-hedging from Paddy – the striker, after all, starts about as regularly as a British-made car in the seventies – the lowest odds for goalscorers this week revolve around Arsenal and Chelsea players.

Diego Costa’s bust-up/Chinese tempter/back injury has made him the Gameweek’s most ditched player, with more than a quarter of a million managers showing him the door. Whether said door turns out to be marked ‘wise move’ or ‘oh God, what have I done?’ will hinge on him being involved or not at home to Hull.

Paddy seems to think he will be, hence his rock bottom 1.61 price, whereas more popular captaincy choices Alexis Sanchez (1.72 and home to Burnley) and Zlatan Ibrahimovic (1.83 and away at Stoke) have been handed slightly more favourable odds.

Eden Hazard splits Sanchez and the Swede in our captaincy poll, and that’s reflected in his 1.80 Paddy price.

Liverpool, meanwhile, entertain a Swansea City side who concede, on average, just over two goals per away match this season. Only two teams can beat that nasty little record, while the Reds are second-only to Arsenal for goals scored at home (23).

The conclusion is inescapable – it’s a matter of when, not if, the Reds will score. More vexing is the who – so Paddy’s wavering between Divock Origi (1.90) and Robert Firmino (2.00), with a 2.37 nod to Phillipe Coutinho for good measure. The Brazilian has been eased back into the fray following injury and is the third most transferred-in player of the Gameweek, even though Liverpool have to host Chelsea, Spurs and Arsenal from Gameweek 23-27.

A safer bet probably involves Romelu Lukaku, who is priced at 2.25 to net against a Crystal Palace side with just the one home clean sheet all season. The Everton man has scored three goals in his last four league starts and only Harry Kane can beat him for new managers this Gameweek.

Longer odds worth checking out include Dele Alli’s 3.75 price to continue his amazing run (seven goals from his last five starts) against the confusion that is Man City’s defence.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 22

TeamOdds
Chelsea1.61
Arsenal1.83
Liverpool2.00
Southampton2.10
Man United2.10
West Brom2.20
Bournemouth2.50
Middlesbrough2.70
Everton3.00
Man City3.10


Chelsea have kept six clean sheets in 10 home matches this season, so while new Hull City boss Marco Silva has injected new life into the previously paper Tigers, the odds are still very much on the Blues making it shut-out seven on Sunday.

Fantasy managers agree – Marcos Alonso is the fourth most popular new arrival in FPL squads this week, although a lot of that love is probably for the two goals he banged in at Leicester City.

Like a 17-year-old in a souped-up Saxo, Burnley really shouldn’t be allowed on the road. In nine away matches they’ve banged in a total of three goals. Yep, three. Or eight fewer than Alexis Sanchez has managed, to give it a little more context.

Arsenal have kept just the four clean sheets at home, but two of those have come from their last two matches at the Emirates. The biggest threat could well come from a Sanchez own goal…

Everton are tickling the Fantasy fancy of many managers this Gameweek, with no fewer than six of their players in the top 30 transfer targets. Three of them – Leighton Baines, Mason Holgate and Seamus Coleman are defenders – as the Toffees’ decent schedule over the next few weeks kicks in with a trip to Palace.

Paddy has them at 3.00 to keep Sam Allardyce’s men at bay and make it three clean sheets in a row, and four in five matches. Palace, however, have been blanked only three times at Selhurst Park this season – and just the once since Gameweek 8.

  1. MiguelAngel
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Alli & Defoe > Firmino & Costa (have Eriksen)

    1. Gaffa914
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yes

    2. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      2FT? If so could be good.

      1. MiguelAngel
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Currently...

        Heaton
        Alonso Toby P.Jones Daniels
        Sanchez(c) Eriksen Alli
        Giroud Ibra Defoe

        Pickford Capoue De Roon Amat

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      No. Firmino out of form snd fixtures not so good from next week

  2. Gaffa914
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Best cheap striker to swap for gray? Got a budget of 7.9

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Defoe surely

      1. Gaffa914
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Yes was thinking that cheers mate

    2. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Keep Gray for next week.

  3. denial
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Eriksen to Cout FT? Got Alli too

    1. The Hindu Monkey
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Yes

    2. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      sell alli

    3. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Captain cout

      1. denial
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Why Alli over Eriksen?

    4. MiguelAngel
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Thinking similarly. I may do Alli > Firmino

    5. Qubit
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Good lord no. Id lose Alli first.

    6. Karan_G14
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Sell Alli & Erik for Firm & Cout

  4. Mr.Costa
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Monreal + Carrol -> Brunt + Lukaku (-4) worth it? Cannot bring in Lukaku without taking a hit..

  5. Playing_the_Numbers
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Hi Guys,

    I am on WC. Is this the best I could get? I am chasing 100 points in my ML.

    Valdes
    Rose / Alonso / Baines
    Alexis / Alli / Stanislas / Coutinho / Firminho
    Ibra / Giroud

    Bencj: Jaku, Holgate, Love

    1. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Too much pool. Dump firmino.

      1. Playing_the_Numbers
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        But he is going to play 'false 9' since Coutinho is back.

  6. Littlefish92
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Who to capitan ?

    A. Sanchez or giroud v burnley
    B. Hazard v hull
    C. Kun v Tottenham

    1. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      B for me

  7. Evans
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    One week punt ?

    A) Costa
    B) Pedro
    C) Coutinho
    D) Firmino

    1. denial
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A

      1. Evans
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        But your in ..

    2. MiguelAngel
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      C or D

    3. Elijah's Wood
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A or B

    4. Jonny HOW SON?
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      D

  8. nonprophet
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Please help. No replies previous pages.
    Heaton pickford
    Alonso Evans lovren Jones amat
    Phillips Stanislas Alexis lallana Fletcher
    Kun Ibra kane.
    Should I do kun to costa/lukaku? Seems risky. Any ssuggestions please

    1. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Get a gravatar and you´ll get more replies. http://www.gravatar.com

      1. nonprophet
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Really?

        1. Arn De Gothia
          • 15 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          Really!

          1. La Roja
            • 13 Years
            9 years, 14 days ago

            Really?

    2. Evans
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Stick

    3. Gaffa914
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Think u might need a spurs mid or hazard

    4. Chenku╰☆╮
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Costa

    5. Pumpkinhead - I'm ITK …
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Keep kun. Great fixtures after this. Give him a chance before you spread the money he saves you

    6. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Thanks people. Helps a lot. Love this site. Is stanislas to crazy captain choice, or lallana ?

  9. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Who to captain out of Hazard, Sanchez, Ozil or Ibra?

    On Ibra(C), Hazard(v)

    1. Arn De Gothia
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Im 50/50 on haz/alexis. keep changing allthetime. sry, cant help

    2. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      50/50 on Haz and Ibra for me....so maybe you should go Haz 🙂 I keep changing as well. I might end up doing Captain roulette which I've never done before 🙂

    3. Ephurion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I'm on Sanchez atm. Hazard is somewhat of a differential already.
      Also Sanchez wanna score all the time even though they're up 4-0

  10. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    @footballFormlab expecting a goalfest in the liverpool vs Swansea game

  11. timPgoodwin
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    What do do with this squad, 1FT but willing to go -4 (or possibly 8) and I have 2.1M in the bank ...

    Grant - Pickford
    Evans - Amat - Alonso - Pieters - Chambers
    Hazard - Alli - Siggy - Sanchez - Fletcher
    Giroud - Carroll - Ibra

    Toying with Alonso captain too.

  12. sergioaguero67
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Giroud to Costa?

    Wise move?
    Please help.

    1. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Giroud is more explosive than Costa

    2. nonprophet
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Not with upcoming fixtures

    3. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      No

  13. HellasLEAF
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    So.

    Giroud or Sanchez C.

    Why do I so badly want to go Giroud..

  14. ryacoo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Do you think Kane + Benteke to Giroud + Lukaku (2 FTs) is worth it?

    Already have Eriksen and can do Hazard to Alli next GW.

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Kane is the best Spurs asset right now. IMO the best striker in the game, you'd be crazy to take him out.

      Find another way to get Lukaku/Giroud?

      1. ryacoo
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        Got 2 FTs and no cash in the bank, so nothing on really. I know I want to sell Hazard next week though and I think a mid of Alli, Eriksen, Sanchez, Phillips is what I want but I also don't want 3 Spurs attackers.

        Is Kane really worth the 2.0m+ over Alli? The money saved there gets me Lukaku rather than Benteke and Baines rather than Cedric.

  15. Tinmen
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Folks, is it worth taking a -4 to swap Pogba and Barragan to Mirallas and Bellerin?

    Or just use my ft on Pogba to Firmino and play Pieters?

  16. MiguelAngel
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Firmino or Cout for this week?

    1. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Either good choice. Think Firmino will be back to form with Couthino back meself

  17. SALVA
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    C band to

    A) Haz
    B) Sanchez

    Got Gru but not Costa.

    1. v12w12
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      A

  18. diesel001
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    G2G?

    Hennessey
    Mustafi - Baines - Luiz
    Sanchez(c) - Hazard - Pogba - Phillips
    Rondon - Giroud - Ibra

    Grant - Jones - De Roon - Holgate

    Choice is between Jones and Baines for me. Team is not template as I am chasing in ML so going for differentials such as Pogba, Rondon, Giroud, Mustafi.

  19. The Wizard of Ozil
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Cech (Grant)
    Chambers - Alonso - Brunt (Ake,Pieters)
    Lallana - Alli - Sanchez(c) - Phillips (De Roon)
    Giroud - Kane - Costa(vc)

    Good to go? Still not sure who should get the armband, want to give it to Costa but afraid he might not start

  20. alfast1c
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Bench 1 plz, having big troubles!!!

    Courtoa
    Alonso-Jones-Baines-Lovren
    Eriksen-Firmino-Lalana-Sanchez-Philips
    Kane-Giroud
    Pikford-Amat-Diomande

    1. Christophe Savage
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      jones

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Jones

    3. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Lovren

  21. Jasoooooooo
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Hey lads, is Bellerin gonna start do you guys think? I'm thinking of getting him in but I'm not sure if I should pull the trigger or get another Arsenal (or Chelsea) defender in

  22. Luz1978
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Guroud & snodgrass out

    Costa and firminhio or ciutinho in?

    Help please!!!!

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Surely not Giroud out

    2. SALVA
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      No.

  23. Eric the King
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Wilson likely to start for Bournemouth this weekend?

    1. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      No

      1. drughi
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 14 days ago

        ?

        1. makaveli123
          • 9 Years
          9 years, 14 days ago

          Check the scout tweets.

    2. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      No

  24. Ibralicious
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Start Stanislas or Alli? Got no other Spurs coverage

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Stan

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      All out attack maybe

    3. Ephurion
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I'm looking at City.
      I don't really wanna play a defender against them, but I'm sure as hell not benching my heavy hitting attackers against them either.

  25. drughi
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Origi and lallana > Wilson and coutinho, yay or nay ? Wilson with 2 good home games and origi probably out of favor.

    1. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Wilson not nailed

  26. Jigger & Pony
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Worth getting Alonso in for a hit? Or play Baines Brunt PJones (Pieters)?

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Not for a hit.

    2. SALVA
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Dont take hit.

    3. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Cheers guys

  27. prichardson311
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    What to do with Sterling?

    Keep or swap him for Pedro or someone else?

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      pedro good shout if for free

    2. Sandy Ravage
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      I have the same questions about Lallana, and it depends on their performances this gw. Antonio / WIllian are another options

  28. Lallana_
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Captain Check? Ibra here.

    1. diesel001
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      sanchez

    2. Jigger & Pony
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Haz

    3. makaveli123
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Ibra

    4. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 14 days ago

      Costa

  29. The special 5
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    How do we expect Liverpool to line up?

  30. AllyS
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 14 days ago

    Looking for Chelsea attacking coverage. Am I mad to do one week transfer of eriksen to hazard?