Paddy Says
31 January 2017 1275 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Tuesday is used to being damned with faint praise. It’s main selling point, after all, is not being Monday.

But every now and again it can make like it’s a Saturday because it kicks off a whole Gameweek of sweet, sweet Premier League morsels to get our Fantasy gums around.

And that means another batch of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds is heading to our table.

We start, as ever, with an appetiser – the Enhanced Offers available to new customers opening an account today.

The big ticket event tonight is the Liverpool v Chelsea clash, for which Paddy’s got more offers than George Clooney at a WI convention, including a very generous Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 12-1, an almost insane 14-1 on a win for the Blues and an Acca to consider as well.

Paddy is offering 18-1 on Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea all to win. That’s a generous price in anyone’s book, although strange to say that the weak link in that combo could be Chelsea. Yep, the Chelsea that’s won 14 of their last 15 matches who will travel to face a Liverpool side that’s lost three matches on the spin, and all of them at Anfield.

It’s all about context. Arsenal really should power past woeful Watford at the Emirates and Spurs will expect to see off Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Compared to those two fixtures, the Blues’ trip to Liverpool is the tricky one, however down Klopp and the Kop might currently be.

Still, betting against Chelsea these days is a risky business, so that Acca looks like a great deal all in.

But if you prefer your enhanced offers more ‘got to be a home win surely?’, then Man United to beat Hull is available at 5-1.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.53
WalcottARS1.66
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
AgueroMCI1.72
KaneTOT1.72
RashfordMUN1.83
MartialMUN1.90
SonTOT2.00
JesusMCI2.20
WilsonBOU2.37
LukakuEVE2.40
AlliTOT2.40
CostaCHE2.50
LongSOT2.80
BentekeCRY2.87


The usual captaincy suspects – Zlatan and Alexis – have low anytime goalscoring odds to match, with the surprise meat in the sandwich being Theo Walcott, who Paddy thinks is more likely to score than Sanchez at home to a wretched Watford.

That’s a big call, although the Chilean’s four goals at the Emirates (out of 15 in total) probably has a lot to do with that. FPL managers are not so sure – more have purchased Sanchez than FA Cup hat-trick man Walcott this Gameweek.

Sergio Aguero’s (1.72) league-leading eight away goals, of 11 overall, explains his low price, but he’s not a popular armband choice for the trip to West Ham.

The low prices are mainly the preserve of Arsenal and United players, with Paddy clearly expecting a lamb/slaughter interface for Hull City at Old Trafford. Only one Red Devil, however, features among the top 30 transfers-in this Gameweek and it’s that man Ibrahimovic.

Diego Costa, meanwhile, has been bought in by more than 92,000 FPL managers this week, but is priced at 2.50 to score against Liverpool. At the start of the month, that might have been understandable, but the Reds can’t wait to get out of January now and their defence isn’t exactly watertight – Chelsea have as many away clean sheets (six) as Liverpool have managed both at home and on the road.

Higher prices catcing the eye include Jermain Defoe at 3.75 to score against one of his 300 or so former clubs, Spurs. Defensive worries over both Danny Rose and Toby Alderweireld have now eased, however, which won’t help the wee fella.

In the same match, Dele Alli (2.40) and Christian Eriksen (3.10) are attracting a lot of interest.

The Englishman has netted eight times in his last six league starts compared to the Dane’s, erm, none, which explains why Alli has been bought by more than 141,000 managers this Gameweek (making him the most popular transfer of the round) and Eriksen hasn’t (and isn’t).

But 48,000+ new backers are praying Christian delivers and Sunderland’s defence is an unholy mess that’s shipped 14 goals over the last five Gameweeks.

The 3.30 on Fernando Llorente, who hit a brace at Anfield last time out, scoring at home to Southampton is also worth a look. FPL managers agree – he’s the fourth most popular acquisition of the Gameweek – and the Saints look unlikely to keep their first away clean sheet in four attempts without Virgil van Dijk at the back.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

TeamOdds
Man United1.61
Arsenal1.83
Tottenham2.00
Middlesbrough2.40
Man City2.60
West Brom2.70
Southampton2.87
Leicester3.00
Bournemouth3.00
Burnley3.00



Seamus Coleman is second only to Dele Alli for transfers-in this week, which suggests many FPL managers are looking for a clean sheet from Everton at Stoke. You can get 3.20 on that.

Slightly shorter odds of 3.00 are available for Burnley to blank Leicester City. The Clarets are the ultimate homeboys – all but one of their points has come at Turf Moor, their four clean sheets is the fourth-best home record and their goal difference on their own patch (+9) is better than Man United’s at Old Trafford.

Leicester will come a-knocking tonight, and they’re as good on the road as a sedated hedgehog – only three teams have scored fewer away goals than the Foxes eight in 11 matches and they’ve failed to bother the scoreboard operator in three of their last four trips.

Paddy’s got Leicester at 3.00 to keep a clean sheet as well, mind, so there’s a strong odour of 0-0 about this one.

There’s also plenty of Fantasy interest in West Brom defenders, with both Gareth McAuley and Chris Brunt among the top 30 for new bosses this Gameweek.

As a result, the 2.70 available on the Baggies blanking goal-shy Middlesbrough, who have managed a league-worst ten strikes in 11 home matches, is worth considering.

  1. Feed tha Sheep
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    First to 5 please and thanks?
    A. Holebas > Rose
    B. Lallana > Eriksen (Have Alli)
    C. Save & do Giroud > Luk next GW

    1. Eden ACCOUNT CLOSED
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      A or C

    2. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      C

    3. Raul Seleccion
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      C, best for blanks too

    4. DantheManinaPan
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      C

    5. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      C

    6. lasmons
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      C

    7. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      B

  2. Eden ACCOUNT CLOSED
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Play 2:

    Firmino (Che)
    Alonso (Liv)
    Yoshida (Swa)
    Barnes (Leo)

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Firmino & Alonso IMO

    2. lasmons
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Firm and Alonso without a doubt.

  3. Raul Seleccion
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    anybody use an app for goal alerts, I only use bbc text, would like a better way to know goals and assists as they come in

    1. Eden ACCOUNT CLOSED
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      FlashScores

      1. Raul Seleccion
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        cheers!

    2. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Log on here 😉

      Updates as the ball crosses the line 😆

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Sometimes before 😆

    3. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Radio?

      1. Raul Seleccion
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        People still use that app?

    4. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      The Wireless

    5. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      http://www.flashscore.com

      Is superb and instant...

      1. Raul Seleccion
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        perfect!

    6. Boomerang V
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      I use this site thyat calculates the bonus points as well:

      https://anewpla.net/fpl/live/

    7. Fuchs Mane Kante
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Livescore is better then flashscore probs best on the app store and uses less data.

  4. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Left it late but just did my 2fts ,
    Defoe and hazard OUT
    Lukaku and Antonio IN.

    Fingers crossed.

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Good moves

  5. kalk
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Amat to Holgate? Yes or No? Thanks mates

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      I would

      1. 50pipsDaily
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        For free YES

    2. lasmons
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Good for now, but not sure Holgate is nailed on in the following weeks.

  6. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    G2G?
    Heaton
    Alonso Valencia
    Carrol Phillips Eriksen Antonio Sanchez
    Lukaku Ibra Kane (c)

    Jaku ake love chambers

  7. DantheManinaPan
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Aguero captain locked in. Serve me well

    1. Feed tha Sheep
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Good luck

  8. nobwak
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Bottomed.

    Play Alonso or McCauly? Really stuck on this one.

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alonso

    2. Raul Seleccion
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      McAwful

    3. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alonso

    4. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Same dilemma

      Ben Gibson facing a late fitness test so might give McAuley a start for me

      Liverpool has scored thus far despite losing

  9. gawa11
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    What do you think, have I got my team & bench correct??

    Foster
    Alonso/Cedric/Valencia/Brunt
    Alli/Erikson/Philips/Lallana
    Ibra (C) / Kane

    pickford - defoe - de roon - amat

    1. 50pipsDaily
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Ill play Brunt for Cedric

      1. 50pipsDaily
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Miss-read, ill play defoe

    2. DantheManinaPan
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Defoe/Cedric is the tricky decision here. Personally I'd go Defoe tbh

      1. gawa11
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        not easy with his haul last week

    3. Ridcully
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Personally I'd play Defoe over Cedric.

  10. Big Col
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Is there any news on Andy Carroll's fitness for tomorrow?

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Good to go

  11. 50pipsDaily
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Play Cedric or Nyom?

    Alonso/Brunt/**** (Amat)

  12. glufs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    A) Walker
    B) Rose
    C) Coleman
    D) Baines

    short and long term

    1. 50pipsDaily
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      AC

  13. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Bring back Ak

  14. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Alli capt v Sunderland.
    What could possibly go wrong??

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      red card

    2. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alli scoring twice while Sanchez scores thrice...

  15. NotsoSpursy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Zlat or Alexis Capt?
    What was the consensus on here in the end sorry

  16. Mark-O
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Choose one to bench

    Phillips (mid)
    Sanchez (WAT)
    Alli (sun)
    Pedro (liv)
    Antonio (MCI)

    1. Snevitz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Phillips as Middlesbrough have the best defence

      1. Mark-O
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Benched him while he was away at Southampton

        Hurts me a lot

    2. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Antonio

    3. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Is there any point including Alli and Sanchez in the options lol

      I'd bench Phillips

  17. Would an idiot do that?
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Stanislas or Phillips

    Cheers

    1. Bellerinmondo
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Stan tonight

    2. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Phillips

  18. French Gooner
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    any possibility theo starts tonight ?

    1. Numb
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Yep

    2. DantheManinaPan
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      The article claims he's more likely to score than Sanchez, so I'd assume so

      1. My Name Is Prince
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        He's not though...

    3. QPR expects... glory!
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Think saved for Chelsea

  19. Snevitz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Randolph
    Rose, Baines, Coleman, Brunt
    Sanchez (C), Alli, Eriksen, Phillips
    Ibra, Giroud

    Alonso, Defoe, Davies

    GTG?

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      I hope we're right about Alonso 😛

      1. Snevitz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        He could easily get points but so could any other player that I'm starting, can't have them all.
        I did consider playing him over Phillips though.

    2. DantheManinaPan
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Crazy amount of money in defence. You're going to have benching dilemmas every week!

      Good luck

  20. Mohit20
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Coleman or Baines choose one!!

    1. Slam
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Pick yourself

    2. Bellerinmondo
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Have baines. May get both

    3. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Coin toss

  21. Slam
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Pieters or Holgate first sub?

      1. Slam
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Ha.

  22. Rupert The Horse
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Who would be your pick of the MAN U mids?

    1. Slam
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Mkhi for me

      1. Rupert The Horse
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Leaning that way.

    2. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      none of then

    3. Mark-O
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Pogba bound to start

  23. NATSTER
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Watford look stronger than Hull.

    Anyway, I probably go with the favourite choice.

    1. Slam
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Boring 🙂

  24. Bellerinmondo
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Anyone else kept hold of Ake as had other transfers to do? Amazing if he goes back to Bournemouth !!

  25. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Any Kane captainers in the house?

    1. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Here.

    2. Slam
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Not here LR
      Good luck though

    3. Bellerinmondo
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      VC 🙂

  26. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    First to 5

    Have Dele and Eriksen, Chelsea only Alonso
    Before GW 24:
    A. Kane
    B. Costa

    1. Hurricane Gilbert
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      A

    2. FFSbet.com
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Make if first to 21 🙂

  27. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Jordan Mutch, and Reece Oxford on loan, and Tiago signed permanent from Liverpool. Bin a cracking transfer window for Reading.

  28. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Brunt or PVA???

    1. Ridcully
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Brunt

    2. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Brunt no contest. Decent chance of CS to go along with.

      1. corderz
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Not the same argument for PVA?

  29. Ridcully
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Anything need changing here?

    Heaton
    Alonso Baines Rose
    Sánchez(C) Alli(VC) Eriksen Lallana Phillips
    Giroud Ibrahimovic

    Pickford Barnes McAuley Love

    0 Free transfers

    2.1 Million in the bank.

  30. Mino
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Play alonso vs liverpool or phillips vs middlesbrough ??