Paddy Says
31 January 2017 1275 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Tuesday is used to being damned with faint praise. It’s main selling point, after all, is not being Monday.

But every now and again it can make like it’s a Saturday because it kicks off a whole Gameweek of sweet, sweet Premier League morsels to get our Fantasy gums around.

And that means another batch of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds is heading to our table.

We start, as ever, with an appetiser – the Enhanced Offers available to new customers opening an account today.

The big ticket event tonight is the Liverpool v Chelsea clash, for which Paddy’s got more offers than George Clooney at a WI convention, including a very generous Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 12-1, an almost insane 14-1 on a win for the Blues and an Acca to consider as well.

Paddy is offering 18-1 on Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea all to win. That’s a generous price in anyone’s book, although strange to say that the weak link in that combo could be Chelsea. Yep, the Chelsea that’s won 14 of their last 15 matches who will travel to face a Liverpool side that’s lost three matches on the spin, and all of them at Anfield.

It’s all about context. Arsenal really should power past woeful Watford at the Emirates and Spurs will expect to see off Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Compared to those two fixtures, the Blues’ trip to Liverpool is the tricky one, however down Klopp and the Kop might currently be.

Still, betting against Chelsea these days is a risky business, so that Acca looks like a great deal all in.

But if you prefer your enhanced offers more ‘got to be a home win surely?’, then Man United to beat Hull is available at 5-1.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.53
WalcottARS1.66
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
AgueroMCI1.72
KaneTOT1.72
RashfordMUN1.83
MartialMUN1.90
SonTOT2.00
JesusMCI2.20
WilsonBOU2.37
LukakuEVE2.40
AlliTOT2.40
CostaCHE2.50
LongSOT2.80
BentekeCRY2.87


The usual captaincy suspects – Zlatan and Alexis – have low anytime goalscoring odds to match, with the surprise meat in the sandwich being Theo Walcott, who Paddy thinks is more likely to score than Sanchez at home to a wretched Watford.

That’s a big call, although the Chilean’s four goals at the Emirates (out of 15 in total) probably has a lot to do with that. FPL managers are not so sure – more have purchased Sanchez than FA Cup hat-trick man Walcott this Gameweek.

Sergio Aguero’s (1.72) league-leading eight away goals, of 11 overall, explains his low price, but he’s not a popular armband choice for the trip to West Ham.

The low prices are mainly the preserve of Arsenal and United players, with Paddy clearly expecting a lamb/slaughter interface for Hull City at Old Trafford. Only one Red Devil, however, features among the top 30 transfers-in this Gameweek and it’s that man Ibrahimovic.

Diego Costa, meanwhile, has been bought in by more than 92,000 FPL managers this week, but is priced at 2.50 to score against Liverpool. At the start of the month, that might have been understandable, but the Reds can’t wait to get out of January now and their defence isn’t exactly watertight – Chelsea have as many away clean sheets (six) as Liverpool have managed both at home and on the road.

Higher prices catcing the eye include Jermain Defoe at 3.75 to score against one of his 300 or so former clubs, Spurs. Defensive worries over both Danny Rose and Toby Alderweireld have now eased, however, which won’t help the wee fella.

In the same match, Dele Alli (2.40) and Christian Eriksen (3.10) are attracting a lot of interest.

The Englishman has netted eight times in his last six league starts compared to the Dane’s, erm, none, which explains why Alli has been bought by more than 141,000 managers this Gameweek (making him the most popular transfer of the round) and Eriksen hasn’t (and isn’t).

But 48,000+ new backers are praying Christian delivers and Sunderland’s defence is an unholy mess that’s shipped 14 goals over the last five Gameweeks.

The 3.30 on Fernando Llorente, who hit a brace at Anfield last time out, scoring at home to Southampton is also worth a look. FPL managers agree – he’s the fourth most popular acquisition of the Gameweek – and the Saints look unlikely to keep their first away clean sheet in four attempts without Virgil van Dijk at the back.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

TeamOdds
Man United1.61
Arsenal1.83
Tottenham2.00
Middlesbrough2.40
Man City2.60
West Brom2.70
Southampton2.87
Leicester3.00
Bournemouth3.00
Burnley3.00



Seamus Coleman is second only to Dele Alli for transfers-in this week, which suggests many FPL managers are looking for a clean sheet from Everton at Stoke. You can get 3.20 on that.

Slightly shorter odds of 3.00 are available for Burnley to blank Leicester City. The Clarets are the ultimate homeboys – all but one of their points has come at Turf Moor, their four clean sheets is the fourth-best home record and their goal difference on their own patch (+9) is better than Man United’s at Old Trafford.

Leicester will come a-knocking tonight, and they’re as good on the road as a sedated hedgehog – only three teams have scored fewer away goals than the Foxes eight in 11 matches and they’ve failed to bother the scoreboard operator in three of their last four trips.

Paddy’s got Leicester at 3.00 to keep a clean sheet as well, mind, so there’s a strong odour of 0-0 about this one.

There’s also plenty of Fantasy interest in West Brom defenders, with both Gareth McAuley and Chris Brunt among the top 30 for new bosses this Gameweek.

As a result, the 2.70 available on the Baggies blanking goal-shy Middlesbrough, who have managed a league-worst ten strikes in 11 home matches, is worth considering.

  1. karvs155
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    After deadline,
    Lallana dropping, antonio coleman rising.
    Therefore:
    Lallana, Holebas -> Antonio, Coleman -4.
    YES or NO?

    1. drughi
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      lallana have hull next week

    2. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Yes if can't afford later...

      1. karvs155
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        I can afford later

    3. Rider on the Storm
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      if you have no choice with money in the bank yes

  2. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Pick 2 to start:

    A) Alonso(liv)
    B) Gibson(WBA)
    C) Funes Mori(stk)

    1. lasmons
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      a+c

      1. Gooner97
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        Ta

  3. Voice of the Mysterons
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    First to three, who to start
    A - Snodgrass
    B - Lallana

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Snoddy

    2. Rider on the Storm
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      b

    3. Gooner97
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      A

    4. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      b

      1. Voice of the Mysterons
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        Haha that's 2-2

        1. Netley Lucas
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 22 hours ago

          On balance, Snoddy?

    5. norwegian-forest-cats
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      B

  4. Nesvy
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Toby > Walker, crazy ?

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Yep

    2. Rider on the Storm
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      yep

    3. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Still cray, 8 hours later

  5. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Ake only 4.1m now

    *starts crowdfunding page to help Bournemouth reach 18m*

    1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      potentially going down tonight to 4 😯

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        Oh please make this happen

        Amat > Ake would be my favourite transfer ever.....

      2. Lawrø
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        He's only -68.7...

        1. walkman666
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 21 hours ago

          There are two price prediction sites. Ake is currently at -89.9%, and dropping 1.90% per hour on the fantasy football fix site.

    2. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      They sold Glenn Murray for a bag of wine gums

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        😀

    3. Firminooooo
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 21 hours ago

      It would be the best thing ever. Brought in Ake two days before he went back to Chelsea, not played one game for me. Last night, with Evans out, I had to drop Ake or Amat. Amat is now gone. Jippi.

  6. FPLAdmiral
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    How's she looking chaps? Anything you'd change?

    Heaton
    Rose, Brunt, Baines
    Sanchez (c), Alli, Eriksen, Stanislas
    Ibra (vc), Giroud, Lukaku

    (Jakup)(Phillips, Daniels, Wilson).

  7. Rider on the Storm
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    hazard :
    A transfer out for alli for free
    B Save ft
    ?

    1. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      I've done A due to the prices but did it early in the week, selling Hazard doesn't mean you can't buy him back when fixtures pick up.

    2. norwegian-forest-cats
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      A

  8. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    100+ points confirmed 🙂

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Two Pokestop spins on Pokemon Go on the way home?

  9. The Nuttmxn
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Evening all, hope all goes well, just after some benching advice.

    Have Ward, Rose, Baines and Alonso I'd happily play this gameweek, would you play Coutinho over any of them, and if so who?

    1. FISSH
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Same sort of dilemma for me. Have Lallana not sure whether to play 4 at the back.

      Currently have Lallana on the bench

      1. The Nuttmxn
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 21 hours ago

        Cheers Fissh, currently also benching Coutinho, hope it works out.

    2. norwegian-forest-cats
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 21 hours ago

      I'd play him over ward. I think. Although I was also considering playing Barnes over Coutinho FYI.

  10. Bolasie
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Clyne to Valencia/Brunt
    or
    Morgan to Nyom?

    1. UnitedFan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 21 hours ago

      Former with Brunt. I'd also want to get rid of Morgan though so maybe him to Funes Mori in the future

  11. Littlefish92
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Is chambers to burnt worth a 4 point hit ? My other defenders are
    Pieters baines rose and Amat

  12. Snikke86
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    what happens if a player does a transfer tonight, will he play on the current team tonight? 😛

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      no

  13. Manani
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    start hennesy or grant?

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Hennessy

  14. Hurricane Gilbert
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Long term move: Costa to Kane for a hit?

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      No

      1. Hurricane Gilbert
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        Why?

    2. Morgs
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Yes

  15. FISSH
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Bench one:

    Alonso
    Lallana
    Brunt

    1. Crow
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      I'm benching alonso this gw. Can't imagine a blank from pool

      1. FISSH
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        its really tough.Could be a 0-0!

    2. Grand Thibauto
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Im benching Lallana

      1. Grand Thibauto
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        Reasons:He is playing deeper. Mane might be in. Firmino and of Origi/Sturridge might even start given Liverpool's must win scenario. So Lallana will be deeper than usual. Thats what I hope at least.

    3. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Lallana

  16. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Can't figure it out.

    Who to sell first? Evans or Amat?

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Amat

  17. Crow
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Ibrahimovi(c) or san(c)hez, that is the question.

    1. michudagawd
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Ibrahimovic

      1. Crow
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        1.53 does seem tasty

    2. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Sanchez

      1. Crow
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        This is the problem exactly.. no real answer really

    3. Viper
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Sanchez

  18. QPR expects... glory!
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Any late rumours on players missing out?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Holebas

      1. Hurricane Gilbert
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        😆

    2. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Jari Litmanen

  19. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    All set here? Cheers.

    Grant
    Alonso Baines Rose
    Alli Sanchez(c) Hazard Siggy Phillips
    Costa Giroud

    Pickford Mee McAuley Anichebe

  20. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    It's Looney Time 🙂 🙂

  21. Danny Dyers chocolate homun…
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    G2G?

    Grant
    Walker, Alonso, McCauley
    Alli, Stan, San(c)hez, Phillips
    Rondon, Ibra (VC), Costa

    Pickford*, Coleman, Lallana, Holebas

    1. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      I'd swap Alonso and Coleman

  22. Speédy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    had ake-holgate planned before the deadline????
    will the transfernews be confirmed before deadline???

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      unlikely

      1. Speédy
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        will it be confirmed before the next price change???

  23. Jindaljain
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Pick any 3 out of this = Alonso,rose,brunt,koscielny,love

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Rose, Brunt, Kos

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Rose, Love, Brunt

    3. Crow
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Rose brunt kosc

  24. SH
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    On Wc, need suggestions! 1.4 ITB.

    Heaton (Jakupovic)
    Alonso, Rose, Coleman, Brunt (Holegate)
    Sanchez (C), Eriksen, Alli (Philips, T.Carroll)
    Ibra, Lukaku, Gray

  25. JJeyy
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Captain:
    A) Kane
    B) Sanchez

    1. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Kane

      1. Lateriser 12
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        Good luck Z

        1. Ziro
          • 11 Years
          9 years, 22 hours ago

          Good luck to you too.. especially your captain. 😉

    2. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      B

    3. Viper
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      B

    4. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Yes.

  26. Viper
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    A. Save ft

    B. Holebas - > Rose (benching McAuley or Alonso)

  27. Blue Gaffer
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    1.Benteke & Lallana----Eriksen & Gray (got Alli) or.....
    2.Aguero & Lallana-----Eriksen & Kane
    3.Hennessey & Benteke---Heaton & Gray

    Crystal Palace fixtures makes me reluctant to sell

  28. Siva Mohan
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    BREAKING: Watford striker Odion Ighalo has completed his medical ahead of a £20m move to Changchun Yatai. (Source: SkySports)

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      I might be able to get 10m 🙂

      1. Ziro
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 22 hours ago

        Aussie League also get these transfers? 😯

    2. Stupendous
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Beyond ridiculous now

    3. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Odion Ighalo - all my life as have wanted to play for Changchun Yatai, boyhood dream come true.

  29. Unsuccessful
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Bench one of Rondon, Phillips or Stanislas or AoA?

    Alli, Erik, Alexis, Phillips, Stan
    Rondon, Ibra, Giroud

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 22 hours ago

      Stan

      1. Unsuccessful
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 21 hours ago

        Thanks

  30. Batshuayi Crazy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 22 hours ago

    Why are people picking Carroll over Davies as their super cheap Mid?

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 21 hours ago

      More nailed I guess?