Paddy Says
31 January 2017 1275 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Tuesday is used to being damned with faint praise. It’s main selling point, after all, is not being Monday.

But every now and again it can make like it’s a Saturday because it kicks off a whole Gameweek of sweet, sweet Premier League morsels to get our Fantasy gums around.

And that means another batch of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds is heading to our table.

We start, as ever, with an appetiser – the Enhanced Offers available to new customers opening an account today.

The big ticket event tonight is the Liverpool v Chelsea clash, for which Paddy’s got more offers than George Clooney at a WI convention, including a very generous Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 12-1, an almost insane 14-1 on a win for the Blues and an Acca to consider as well.

Paddy is offering 18-1 on Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea all to win. That’s a generous price in anyone’s book, although strange to say that the weak link in that combo could be Chelsea. Yep, the Chelsea that’s won 14 of their last 15 matches who will travel to face a Liverpool side that’s lost three matches on the spin, and all of them at Anfield.

It’s all about context. Arsenal really should power past woeful Watford at the Emirates and Spurs will expect to see off Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Compared to those two fixtures, the Blues’ trip to Liverpool is the tricky one, however down Klopp and the Kop might currently be.

Still, betting against Chelsea these days is a risky business, so that Acca looks like a great deal all in.

But if you prefer your enhanced offers more ‘got to be a home win surely?’, then Man United to beat Hull is available at 5-1.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.53
WalcottARS1.66
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
AgueroMCI1.72
KaneTOT1.72
RashfordMUN1.83
MartialMUN1.90
SonTOT2.00
JesusMCI2.20
WilsonBOU2.37
LukakuEVE2.40
AlliTOT2.40
CostaCHE2.50
LongSOT2.80
BentekeCRY2.87


The usual captaincy suspects – Zlatan and Alexis – have low anytime goalscoring odds to match, with the surprise meat in the sandwich being Theo Walcott, who Paddy thinks is more likely to score than Sanchez at home to a wretched Watford.

That’s a big call, although the Chilean’s four goals at the Emirates (out of 15 in total) probably has a lot to do with that. FPL managers are not so sure – more have purchased Sanchez than FA Cup hat-trick man Walcott this Gameweek.

Sergio Aguero’s (1.72) league-leading eight away goals, of 11 overall, explains his low price, but he’s not a popular armband choice for the trip to West Ham.

The low prices are mainly the preserve of Arsenal and United players, with Paddy clearly expecting a lamb/slaughter interface for Hull City at Old Trafford. Only one Red Devil, however, features among the top 30 transfers-in this Gameweek and it’s that man Ibrahimovic.

Diego Costa, meanwhile, has been bought in by more than 92,000 FPL managers this week, but is priced at 2.50 to score against Liverpool. At the start of the month, that might have been understandable, but the Reds can’t wait to get out of January now and their defence isn’t exactly watertight – Chelsea have as many away clean sheets (six) as Liverpool have managed both at home and on the road.

Higher prices catcing the eye include Jermain Defoe at 3.75 to score against one of his 300 or so former clubs, Spurs. Defensive worries over both Danny Rose and Toby Alderweireld have now eased, however, which won’t help the wee fella.

In the same match, Dele Alli (2.40) and Christian Eriksen (3.10) are attracting a lot of interest.

The Englishman has netted eight times in his last six league starts compared to the Dane’s, erm, none, which explains why Alli has been bought by more than 141,000 managers this Gameweek (making him the most popular transfer of the round) and Eriksen hasn’t (and isn’t).

But 48,000+ new backers are praying Christian delivers and Sunderland’s defence is an unholy mess that’s shipped 14 goals over the last five Gameweeks.

The 3.30 on Fernando Llorente, who hit a brace at Anfield last time out, scoring at home to Southampton is also worth a look. FPL managers agree – he’s the fourth most popular acquisition of the Gameweek – and the Saints look unlikely to keep their first away clean sheet in four attempts without Virgil van Dijk at the back.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

TeamOdds
Man United1.61
Arsenal1.83
Tottenham2.00
Middlesbrough2.40
Man City2.60
West Brom2.70
Southampton2.87
Leicester3.00
Bournemouth3.00
Burnley3.00



Seamus Coleman is second only to Dele Alli for transfers-in this week, which suggests many FPL managers are looking for a clean sheet from Everton at Stoke. You can get 3.20 on that.

Slightly shorter odds of 3.00 are available for Burnley to blank Leicester City. The Clarets are the ultimate homeboys – all but one of their points has come at Turf Moor, their four clean sheets is the fourth-best home record and their goal difference on their own patch (+9) is better than Man United’s at Old Trafford.

Leicester will come a-knocking tonight, and they’re as good on the road as a sedated hedgehog – only three teams have scored fewer away goals than the Foxes eight in 11 matches and they’ve failed to bother the scoreboard operator in three of their last four trips.

Paddy’s got Leicester at 3.00 to keep a clean sheet as well, mind, so there’s a strong odour of 0-0 about this one.

There’s also plenty of Fantasy interest in West Brom defenders, with both Gareth McAuley and Chris Brunt among the top 30 for new bosses this Gameweek.

As a result, the 2.70 available on the Baggies blanking goal-shy Middlesbrough, who have managed a league-worst ten strikes in 11 home matches, is worth considering.

  1. Squires FC
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Alli or eriksen (c)?

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Erik

    2. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alli

    3. Lawrø
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alli

    4. UnitedFan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Erik

    5. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alli

    6. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Doesn't matter

  2. Mino
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Play Alonso or Phillips ?

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Phillips

      1. Ha.
        • 10 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Phillips

    2. UnitedFan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alonso

    3. Squires FC
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Phillips

  3. Rider on the Storm
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    haz > alli : done

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Cheers!

    2. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      All the best, drive safe, give my regards to the missus and kids and God Bless!

  4. Emiliano Sala
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Help 🙁
    Captain kane or sanchez
    Have giroud and sanchez as arsenal attack but from spurs just kane

    1. Leaf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Sanchez

      Arsenal are great , Spurs pony

    2. UnitedFan
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Sanchez

  5. Mesh
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Who to captain?

    A. Kane
    B. Sanchez

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Sanchez

    2. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Sanchez

    3. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Kane

  6. Leaf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    A Casual colleague spent his lunchtime constructing his wildcard team

    Because...."you lose it at the end of January"

    1. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      And you corrected him of course...

    2. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      It's good logic, provided that's the impression you're under. 🙂

    3. Lawrø
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      How many points ahead is he?

    4. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      LOL.
      And I bet you never told him the truth..

    5. Mulla
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Lol poor fella..
      I overheard a group of lads in canteen earlier talking fantasy football, one of them said he has 1500 points and is in top 500, is leading his €150per man ML by 300 points.
      Also said he brought in Gabriel Jesus 2 weeks ago..hmmmm

  7. Lumberjack
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    2FT so need to burn one tonight...which one:

    A - Lallana to Antonio (I'll start one of these two)
    B - de Roon to T Carrol (both bench-warmers but Carrol is better to cover the blanks...)

    Cheers

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Play Lallana

      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Sorry, didn't answer your question. B

    2. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      B

    3. L S P
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      B for Better cover for the Blanks

    4. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Thanks all, B it is...

  8. Viper
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    A. Save ft

    B. Holebas - > Rose (benching McAuley or Alonso).

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      A

    2. glufs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Why not Walker?

      1. Viper
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        It's completely 50/50

    3. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      A and play Alonso

    4. Lumberjack
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      A

    5. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Thanks lads

  9. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    So close to set Gray as my (C) over Sanchez... Mad move?

    1. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      On paper, yes but who knows.

      Seems an unnecessary risk

    2. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Mad

    3. Grand Thibauto
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Sad move

    4. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Probably.

  10. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Quick (c) poll;

    a. Kane
    b. Ibra
    c. Costa
    d. Alexis

    1. FISSH
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      a or d

    2. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      D

    3. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      D

    4. Over Midwicket
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Sadio Kané

    5. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alexis

    6. FIRMINOLOOKGOAL
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      A

    7. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      D

    8. El-Kloppico
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Why so many Alexis?
      I've been captaining him the last 2 games and it was sooo frustrating.. the last penalty saved me.. but not so confident going with him now that Giroud is starting and Wally back.

  11. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Repost.

    Set?


    Grant
    Alonso Baines Rose
    Alli Sanchez(c) Hazard Siggy Phillips
    Costa Giroud

    Pickford Mee McAuley Anichebe

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      GTG

  12. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    right 2FT and 0.9m...which route to take..

    Heaton -- Grant
    Valencia Mcauly Smith -- Holebas Naylor
    Philips Alli Sanchez Pogba --- Fletch
    Kane Ibra Giroud

    A: Naylor >> Robertson....next few gws: valencia/pogba/giroud > baines/barkley/lukaku

    B: Naylor >> F.Mori...next few gw's: valencia/pogba/giroud >> baines/antonio/kaku to double up on everton defence

    Leaning towards A...hull have good fixtures, robertson nailed on...can decide later on everton whether to get 2 def or 1def/1mid

  13. Twisted Melon
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Grant(everton Home) or henessey (bournemouth Away)

    1. Scapegoat Salah
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Grant imo

    2. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Hennessy

    3. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Grant. He's gonna save a Baines penalty 😉

  14. Scapegoat Salah
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    We all prepared and ready?

    1. jurgenklopp.8
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      nope

    2. Ziro
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      aye aye Cap'n

    3. Viper
      • 16 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Have a free transfer burning a hole in my pocket

      1. Ziro
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Same, so just did Negredo to Gray. 😛

        1. Viper
          • 16 Years
          9 years, 2 days ago

          Sounds good

    4. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Are you living up to your Name?

      1. Scapegoat Salah
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Yup!

        Was torn between him and Sanchez but gone for the main man.

        1. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
          • 10 Years
          9 years, 2 days ago

          Alexis (C) Here

  15. OldSchool
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Will Giroud start??

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Yes

    2. Snikke86
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Prob score 1-2 because i sold him 😉

    3. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Probably

  16. Fred54
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    15 mins left.....to start the captain merry go round for real.

  17. Blue Gaffer
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Benteke

    1. Keep
    2. Sell

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      3. LOL

    2. rdamjan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Keep!

  18. Speédy
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    still cant decide between ibra and sanchez

    1. Spike ⚽️
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Play both

    2. Crow
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Same.. 🙁

  19. Frank Black
    • 13 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Really don't know what to do with Lallana, might get Mirallas or Barkley but i'd rather have Antonio in one week.

    Cou and Lallana against Chelsea feels too much now but Liverpool could perform better against a big team.

  20. rdamjan
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Last call:

    A. Play Firmino
    B. Firmino --> Barkley

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      A

    2. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      A for sure? lol Mane will be the key?

  21. jmcclory123
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    For anyone who missed it

    Picking a captain:

    || Arsenal v Watford ||

    Arsenal Home goals scored in last 5 = 11

    Watford Away goals conceded in last 5 = 10

    || Sunderland v Spurs ||

    Spurs Away goals scored in last 5 = 11

    Sunderland Home goals conceded in last 5 = 7

    || United v Hull ||

    United Home goals scored in last 5 = 8

    Hull Away goals conceded in last 5 = 10

    Conclusion:

    Spurs score just as many goals away from home as Arsenal do at home (11).

    However Watford concede more Away goals (10) than Sunderland do home goals (7) thus giving Arsenal the edge.

    United only scored 8 goals at home in their last 5 but Hull have been leaky Away conceding 10 goals.

    From these numbers the best captaincy picks

    1) Sanchez
    2) Kane/Alli/Eriksen
    3) Ibrahimovic

    1. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Can't argue with science 😉

      1. The Enlightener
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Who is most likely to be the goalscorer for their respective teams, however? I would say Ibra, and thus, I would move him into first place.

        1. jmcclory123
          • 12 Years
          9 years, 2 days ago

          Well Sanchez is the most likely goal scorer for Arsenal, so in that case that gives him the stats and meets your criteria

          1. The Enlightener
            • 12 Years
            9 years, 2 days ago

            Perhaps, but Ibra has a larger margin I would say for being the most likely goalscorer overall on his team. I haven't crunched the numbers, so maybe not. I think overall, it is dicey coming out and saying one is really better than another here. They are all great shouts and would make sensible choices. The differences between them represent small margins. But I like your commitment!

            1. The Enlightener
              • 12 Years
              9 years, 2 days ago

              It's all about margins! 😆

    2. JJeyy
      • 10 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      kane on penalties

  22. Feanor
    • 16 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Worth a hit to do Erikssen to Ali? I'm 0.1m short.

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      nooooooo

    2. Grand Thibauto
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Not even for a FT.

    3. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Long term should pay off, Alli is often playing second striker.

      1. Fred54
        • 11 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Assuming you can't keep both for whatever reason and only wanted one. I have both too and will offload Eriksen soon.

    4. The_FF_King
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Are you mental?

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        This

      2. Feanor
        • 16 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        No, I'll leave it until tonight when I have 2 FT, but I think the odds of Alli getting 2 goals and Erikssen getting 1 assist against Sunderland are quite high.

    5. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      What is your thinking?

    6. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Step away from the computer or mobile. Turn shower on cold and step in it. Don't forget to slap yourself in the face at some point as well. 😉

  23. Crouch Potato!
    • 14 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Pick two from these to start please,

    Phillips (Mid) A.

    Crouch (Eve) H.

    Stanislas (Cyl P) H.

    Cheers.

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Phillips and Stanislas

      1. Crouch Potato!
        • 14 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Cheers, that's what I'm on 😉

  24. glufs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Help!

    Cant decide between Rose, Walker, Baines, Coleman.

    Anyone of these I should NOT pick?

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Well since Baines and Colman are safe from blanks I'd choose one of those. Baines is my pick with penalties

      1. glufs
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Cheers

  25. 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Ben Gibson will start as part of a back 5 for those thinking of benching him.

  26. FFSbet.com
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    ''West Brom have rejected a £32 million bid from Tianjin Quanjian for star striker Salomon Rondon, according to the Daily Mail.

    The Chinese Super League club was previously credited with an interest in Diego Costa but have been told Rondon is not for sale at any price.''

    Stuck with this 2 point player and now must keep him for blanks.
    Why West Brom dont accept this huge offer?

  27. Sess!
    • 15 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Alli or Ibra for VC?

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Alli for C.

      1. Sess!
        • 15 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Can't look past alexis but alli great shout.

  28. MartialMatas
    • 10 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    g2g?

    Heaton
    Alonso Coleman Brunt Jones
    Sanchez Alli Eriksen(c) Pogba
    Ibra Giroud

    Pickford Rondon de Roon Pieters

    1FT 1.2 ITB

    1. Blue&White85
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Great team but I'd pick Rondon over Alonso, Coleman or Brunt this week. Middlesbrough missing a few defenders and not convinced about clean sheet potential of a few of your defenders this week.

    2. Crow
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Like the C punt gtg but rondon bench?

  29. Blue&White85
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    What option would you go with for next couple of weeks?

    Option 1
    23: Lukaku to Ibra (-4)
    24: Chambers to Nyom
    26: Ibra to Lukaku (Ibra blank)

    Option 2
    23: Keep Lukaku (no further transfers)
    24: Amat & Chambers to Brunt & Baines (-4)

    Think 2 gives me a better squad for weeks ahead but I'm concerned about not having Ibra for next 3.

    Current team:

    Heaton
    Alonso Jones Yoshida
    Sanchez (c) Firmino Coutinho Chadli
    Kane Lukaku Carroll

    Subs: Foster, Davies, Chambers, Amat

    2.1 ITB

    1. jmcclory123
      • 12 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      2

      1. Blue&White85
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Cheers mate. Swaying towards that as it sets me up better. Just hoping Zlatan has an off day tomorrow.

    2. Uncle Gamst
      • 14 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      I think option 2

  30. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    9 years, 2 days ago

    Any Sanchez owners captaining someone else instead. ? Or is that a risk not worth taking??
    I'm on Alli at the moment

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Dont take the risk.

    2. FPL Maldini
      • 11 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Kane, just have a feeling he will explode

      Sanchez hasn't scored more than 1 with Giroud upfront

      1. Pieterke30
        • 9 Years
        9 years, 2 days ago

        Will Giroud start though?

    3. Crow
      • 9 Years
      9 years, 2 days ago

      Nope got burnt by haz last gw this time leaning towards alexis