Paddy Says
31 January 2017 1275 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Tuesday is used to being damned with faint praise. It’s main selling point, after all, is not being Monday.

But every now and again it can make like it’s a Saturday because it kicks off a whole Gameweek of sweet, sweet Premier League morsels to get our Fantasy gums around.

And that means another batch of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds is heading to our table.

We start, as ever, with an appetiser – the Enhanced Offers available to new customers opening an account today.

The big ticket event tonight is the Liverpool v Chelsea clash, for which Paddy’s got more offers than George Clooney at a WI convention, including a very generous Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 12-1, an almost insane 14-1 on a win for the Blues and an Acca to consider as well.

Paddy is offering 18-1 on Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea all to win. That’s a generous price in anyone’s book, although strange to say that the weak link in that combo could be Chelsea. Yep, the Chelsea that’s won 14 of their last 15 matches who will travel to face a Liverpool side that’s lost three matches on the spin, and all of them at Anfield.

It’s all about context. Arsenal really should power past woeful Watford at the Emirates and Spurs will expect to see off Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Compared to those two fixtures, the Blues’ trip to Liverpool is the tricky one, however down Klopp and the Kop might currently be.

Still, betting against Chelsea these days is a risky business, so that Acca looks like a great deal all in.

But if you prefer your enhanced offers more ‘got to be a home win surely?’, then Man United to beat Hull is available at 5-1.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.53
WalcottARS1.66
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
AgueroMCI1.72
KaneTOT1.72
RashfordMUN1.83
MartialMUN1.90
SonTOT2.00
JesusMCI2.20
WilsonBOU2.37
LukakuEVE2.40
AlliTOT2.40
CostaCHE2.50
LongSOT2.80
BentekeCRY2.87


The usual captaincy suspects – Zlatan and Alexis – have low anytime goalscoring odds to match, with the surprise meat in the sandwich being Theo Walcott, who Paddy thinks is more likely to score than Sanchez at home to a wretched Watford.

That’s a big call, although the Chilean’s four goals at the Emirates (out of 15 in total) probably has a lot to do with that. FPL managers are not so sure – more have purchased Sanchez than FA Cup hat-trick man Walcott this Gameweek.

Sergio Aguero’s (1.72) league-leading eight away goals, of 11 overall, explains his low price, but he’s not a popular armband choice for the trip to West Ham.

The low prices are mainly the preserve of Arsenal and United players, with Paddy clearly expecting a lamb/slaughter interface for Hull City at Old Trafford. Only one Red Devil, however, features among the top 30 transfers-in this Gameweek and it’s that man Ibrahimovic.

Diego Costa, meanwhile, has been bought in by more than 92,000 FPL managers this week, but is priced at 2.50 to score against Liverpool. At the start of the month, that might have been understandable, but the Reds can’t wait to get out of January now and their defence isn’t exactly watertight – Chelsea have as many away clean sheets (six) as Liverpool have managed both at home and on the road.

Higher prices catcing the eye include Jermain Defoe at 3.75 to score against one of his 300 or so former clubs, Spurs. Defensive worries over both Danny Rose and Toby Alderweireld have now eased, however, which won’t help the wee fella.

In the same match, Dele Alli (2.40) and Christian Eriksen (3.10) are attracting a lot of interest.

The Englishman has netted eight times in his last six league starts compared to the Dane’s, erm, none, which explains why Alli has been bought by more than 141,000 managers this Gameweek (making him the most popular transfer of the round) and Eriksen hasn’t (and isn’t).

But 48,000+ new backers are praying Christian delivers and Sunderland’s defence is an unholy mess that’s shipped 14 goals over the last five Gameweeks.

The 3.30 on Fernando Llorente, who hit a brace at Anfield last time out, scoring at home to Southampton is also worth a look. FPL managers agree – he’s the fourth most popular acquisition of the Gameweek – and the Saints look unlikely to keep their first away clean sheet in four attempts without Virgil van Dijk at the back.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

TeamOdds
Man United1.61
Arsenal1.83
Tottenham2.00
Middlesbrough2.40
Man City2.60
West Brom2.70
Southampton2.87
Leicester3.00
Bournemouth3.00
Burnley3.00



Seamus Coleman is second only to Dele Alli for transfers-in this week, which suggests many FPL managers are looking for a clean sheet from Everton at Stoke. You can get 3.20 on that.

Slightly shorter odds of 3.00 are available for Burnley to blank Leicester City. The Clarets are the ultimate homeboys – all but one of their points has come at Turf Moor, their four clean sheets is the fourth-best home record and their goal difference on their own patch (+9) is better than Man United’s at Old Trafford.

Leicester will come a-knocking tonight, and they’re as good on the road as a sedated hedgehog – only three teams have scored fewer away goals than the Foxes eight in 11 matches and they’ve failed to bother the scoreboard operator in three of their last four trips.

Paddy’s got Leicester at 3.00 to keep a clean sheet as well, mind, so there’s a strong odour of 0-0 about this one.

There’s also plenty of Fantasy interest in West Brom defenders, with both Gareth McAuley and Chris Brunt among the top 30 for new bosses this Gameweek.

As a result, the 2.70 available on the Baggies blanking goal-shy Middlesbrough, who have managed a league-worst ten strikes in 11 home matches, is worth considering.

  1. Unbowed Unbent N'Golo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Bench one:
    a) Defoe
    b) Phillips
    c) Stan

    Has to be one!

    1. Shultan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Phillips

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      A.

    3. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Defoe

  2. Hargo
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Play Carroll or Defoe?

    1. Shultan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Carroll

  3. Stupendous
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Why not make the deadline 30 or 45 mins before kickoffs if you are gonna wait til an hour before?

    Any early team news quick?????

    Giroud???

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Think that's the whole point so u don't know the teams before the deadline

      1. Stupendous
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        The game is hard enough.

        I don't see the need. It makes it pot luck.

    2. IndyStarJack
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Saves the server stress

  4. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    clyne fit for liverpool and starts

    1. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      😮

    2. Spike ⚽️
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      This changes everything

    3. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Nice were you hear that

    4. Ziro
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Wow you are quick!

    5. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      What was Klopp on about then

    6. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      I'll always remember where I was when I heard this news.

  5. jurgenklopp.8
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    quick quick quick thoughts on barnes and hazard > philips and jesus???

    1. A.T
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      No

      1. jurgenklopp.8
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        thank you for trying to talk me away from the edge...

    2. Stupendous
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Not yet no. Jesus not guaranteed starts yet.

      1. jurgenklopp.8
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        ok, he just looked amazing great talent!

        1. Stupendous
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          This is FPL. As of now he isn't relevant.

    3. Shultan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      No

  6. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    First to 5

    Have Dele and Eriksen, Chelsea only Alonso
    Before GW 24:
    A. Kane
    B. Costa

    Cheers !

    1. Hansel
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      I went A

  7. Jambot
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Been on Alli C all week desperately resisting the urge to change to Sanchez last min. What say you?

    1. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Stay strong.

      1. Jambot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        That's what I needed . Cheers Chris

    2. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Sanchezzzzzz

    3. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Alli captain tempting me..
      Can do a late move

    4. FISSH
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      FORTUNE FAVORS THE BRAVE!

    5. KUN+10
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Same here. Dont know what to do

      1. Jambot
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        I'll stick if you will

  8. OldSchool
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Any lineups???

    1. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Normally one hour after KO....

      1. Ziro
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        😆

    2. A.T
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      6 mins

    3. Lawrø
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Don't believe them if you see them this early anyway

    4. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Yep, my dinner.

      I'm rocking a tea with a back three of hobnobs, for the solid defence, Wingbacks of jaffa cakes, midfield 3 of different types of rice and up top a double helping of chilli..

  9. KUN+10
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Have the armband on Alli based on YMAs analysis.

    Should I go with the popular choice (Alexis) and be safe?

  10. Mohit20
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Sanchez or Alli For captain?

  11. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Pick 3 from:
    Jones / Alonso / Brunt / Francis / Holgate

  12. Littlefish92
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    What to do play Pieters or 4 point hit for a 5 mil defender

    1. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Play Pieters mate.

      1. Littlefish92
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks will do 🙂

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Pie

  13. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    7 of Alli's goals have came away from home if that means anything.

    Iv gone Alli (c)

    Good luck everyone.

    1. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Alli(c) here too

  14. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Gut says Kane(C), head says Sanchez(C)

    1. Ziro
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Always follow gut.

      1. Chris_White
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        This.

    2. Kryten
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Sanchez

    3. FISSH
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      I might be swayed to Alli last min

    4. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Same with me I'm going with my gut

    5. French Gooner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      go with ur ballz

    6. KUN+10
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Gut says Alli...keep strong

    7. Sponge-worthy
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Use your head!

      1. Deus
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Costanza advice!

  15. Scholes Balls
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Lallana to
    A) Zaha
    B) Walcott
    C) Antonio
    D) Pedro

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      B

  16. NotsoSpursy
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Play Davies or Lallana ?

  17. AzzaroMax99
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Sanchez or Ibra as C??? 🙁

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Sanchez

  18. Bolasie
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Brunt or Valencia?
    Thanks

    1. Vlad Tepes
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Valencia, bigger odds for CS and brunt is better at home if you look at the stats.

    2. Champione
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      valencia, brunt best at home

    3. Vlad Tepes
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      But Brunt in the long run, beacuse Man U will blank at gameweek 26/28 and WB fixtures looks great

  19. BrockLanders
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Clyne starts for LFC

  20. SALVA
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Play jaku or mannone?

    1. Champione
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      mannone

  21. Lallana_
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Last second decision! Any help?

    A) Campbell>Gray (AOA)
    B) Campbell>Barnes (AOA, saves funds)
    C) Holebas>Baines (Got Alonso, Jones, Cedric, too strong?)
    D) Holebas>Funes Mori

    1. KUN+10
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      C

      1. Lallana_
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Cheers

  22. Make United Great Again
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Was on Alli (C) but Spurs scoring is quite spread out.

    Could be Kane Eriksen or Alli's day.

    This is why I've decided on Sanchez(C)

    1. FISSH
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      wally, giroud..

    2. KUN+10
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Could be Walcott or Giroud. Ive gone with Alli

    3. Teahupo'o
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Sanchez (C) Kane (V) here.

    4. Art Vandelay
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      This is why I have all 3! 😆

  23. Batshuayi Crazy
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    In % terms, how nailed are Davies and Carroll would you say?

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Carroll 100%

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Carroll nailed, Davies % also high

    3. Netley Lucas
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      TCarroll more so, much more.

    4. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Carroll, better Everton assets out there.

    5. Batshuayi Crazy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Thanks guys

  24. UKG
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Start Defoe or lallana

  25. Business Cat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Locked and loaded...wheeling out a somewhat odd 4-3-3 formation this week

    Heaton
    Rose, Alonso, Baines, Jones
    Alli(c) Sanchez Eriksen
    Ibra Lukaku Girod

    Valdes Phillips Tom Carroll Yoshida

    Let's go!!!

    Good luck all!

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Good luck cat

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Want to swap teams?

  26. Optic1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Quick!

    Play Holgate or Francis?

  27. olabola
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Is there any indication on Wally to starting?

    Thanks.

  28. v12w12
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Not looking forward to tonight since I'm sticking with Aguero captain over Sanchez! Need to make up ground. Thought I'd have bottled it by now! In saying that there's still 5 mins to go!

    1. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      I started the GW with it on Ibra and decided not to change it at all.

      1. v12w12
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Well done, I've stayed strong as well! Vino time lol

  29. Gooner97
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Play Gibson(WBA) or Funes Mori(stk)?

    1. 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Gibson, back 5 tonight for them.

  30. Ibracadebruyne
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Last minute advice please!

    Play Grant or Courtois?

    1. Gastar
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Grant, for me

    2. BrockLanders
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Grant