Paddy Says
31 January 2017 1275 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Tuesday is used to being damned with faint praise. It’s main selling point, after all, is not being Monday.

But every now and again it can make like it’s a Saturday because it kicks off a whole Gameweek of sweet, sweet Premier League morsels to get our Fantasy gums around.

And that means another batch of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds is heading to our table.

We start, as ever, with an appetiser – the Enhanced Offers available to new customers opening an account today.

The big ticket event tonight is the Liverpool v Chelsea clash, for which Paddy’s got more offers than George Clooney at a WI convention, including a very generous Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 12-1, an almost insane 14-1 on a win for the Blues and an Acca to consider as well.

Paddy is offering 18-1 on Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea all to win. That’s a generous price in anyone’s book, although strange to say that the weak link in that combo could be Chelsea. Yep, the Chelsea that’s won 14 of their last 15 matches who will travel to face a Liverpool side that’s lost three matches on the spin, and all of them at Anfield.

It’s all about context. Arsenal really should power past woeful Watford at the Emirates and Spurs will expect to see off Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Compared to those two fixtures, the Blues’ trip to Liverpool is the tricky one, however down Klopp and the Kop might currently be.

Still, betting against Chelsea these days is a risky business, so that Acca looks like a great deal all in.

But if you prefer your enhanced offers more ‘got to be a home win surely?’, then Man United to beat Hull is available at 5-1.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.53
WalcottARS1.66
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
AgueroMCI1.72
KaneTOT1.72
RashfordMUN1.83
MartialMUN1.90
SonTOT2.00
JesusMCI2.20
WilsonBOU2.37
LukakuEVE2.40
AlliTOT2.40
CostaCHE2.50
LongSOT2.80
BentekeCRY2.87


The usual captaincy suspects – Zlatan and Alexis – have low anytime goalscoring odds to match, with the surprise meat in the sandwich being Theo Walcott, who Paddy thinks is more likely to score than Sanchez at home to a wretched Watford.

That’s a big call, although the Chilean’s four goals at the Emirates (out of 15 in total) probably has a lot to do with that. FPL managers are not so sure – more have purchased Sanchez than FA Cup hat-trick man Walcott this Gameweek.

Sergio Aguero’s (1.72) league-leading eight away goals, of 11 overall, explains his low price, but he’s not a popular armband choice for the trip to West Ham.

The low prices are mainly the preserve of Arsenal and United players, with Paddy clearly expecting a lamb/slaughter interface for Hull City at Old Trafford. Only one Red Devil, however, features among the top 30 transfers-in this Gameweek and it’s that man Ibrahimovic.

Diego Costa, meanwhile, has been bought in by more than 92,000 FPL managers this week, but is priced at 2.50 to score against Liverpool. At the start of the month, that might have been understandable, but the Reds can’t wait to get out of January now and their defence isn’t exactly watertight – Chelsea have as many away clean sheets (six) as Liverpool have managed both at home and on the road.

Higher prices catcing the eye include Jermain Defoe at 3.75 to score against one of his 300 or so former clubs, Spurs. Defensive worries over both Danny Rose and Toby Alderweireld have now eased, however, which won’t help the wee fella.

In the same match, Dele Alli (2.40) and Christian Eriksen (3.10) are attracting a lot of interest.

The Englishman has netted eight times in his last six league starts compared to the Dane’s, erm, none, which explains why Alli has been bought by more than 141,000 managers this Gameweek (making him the most popular transfer of the round) and Eriksen hasn’t (and isn’t).

But 48,000+ new backers are praying Christian delivers and Sunderland’s defence is an unholy mess that’s shipped 14 goals over the last five Gameweeks.

The 3.30 on Fernando Llorente, who hit a brace at Anfield last time out, scoring at home to Southampton is also worth a look. FPL managers agree – he’s the fourth most popular acquisition of the Gameweek – and the Saints look unlikely to keep their first away clean sheet in four attempts without Virgil van Dijk at the back.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

TeamOdds
Man United1.61
Arsenal1.83
Tottenham2.00
Middlesbrough2.40
Man City2.60
West Brom2.70
Southampton2.87
Leicester3.00
Bournemouth3.00
Burnley3.00



Seamus Coleman is second only to Dele Alli for transfers-in this week, which suggests many FPL managers are looking for a clean sheet from Everton at Stoke. You can get 3.20 on that.

Slightly shorter odds of 3.00 are available for Burnley to blank Leicester City. The Clarets are the ultimate homeboys – all but one of their points has come at Turf Moor, their four clean sheets is the fourth-best home record and their goal difference on their own patch (+9) is better than Man United’s at Old Trafford.

Leicester will come a-knocking tonight, and they’re as good on the road as a sedated hedgehog – only three teams have scored fewer away goals than the Foxes eight in 11 matches and they’ve failed to bother the scoreboard operator in three of their last four trips.

Paddy’s got Leicester at 3.00 to keep a clean sheet as well, mind, so there’s a strong odour of 0-0 about this one.

There’s also plenty of Fantasy interest in West Brom defenders, with both Gareth McAuley and Chris Brunt among the top 30 for new bosses this Gameweek.

As a result, the 2.70 available on the Baggies blanking goal-shy Middlesbrough, who have managed a league-worst ten strikes in 11 home matches, is worth considering.

  1. Az
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Played my AoA last minute to play Benteke over Baines

    Either way, think I'll have a good story for rough with the smooth this week!

    GL all!

  2. S.Kuqi
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Bellerin benched again.... this season just keeps on giving

  3. GREENDREAMS11
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Fock me, missed the deadline, too busy watching Storage Wars Texas , dont know who I captained the other week there, probably Sanchez.. ah well

    Would have preferred to have gone Kane

  4. CrouchDown
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Stanislas on pens

  5. Arteta
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    No Daniels. Worst buy ever.

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Especially when I sold Alonso for him....

      1. Chris_White
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        ?!?!?!?!?!?!?

      2. EmreCan Hustle
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Oh no!

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Yeah .same here.although I did bench him.

    3. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Great example of how chance and the unexpected really dictate this game in the end. Sure, we can all pick strong squads and not burn up a ton of hits and do pretty well in the end. After that, your control over matters basically ends.

  6. ThatAsianGuy17
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    No Bellerin Again 🙁

    1. Leaf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Messi swap deal incoming

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Paying the price for his shocker against Bournemouth

    3. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Curse of the scout picks

      (or possibly Gabriel mind control)

  7. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    That Sunderland team is evil.

  8. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    ramsey starts 🙁

    Vorm 😯 lucky defoe owners

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Gets the bench for me

  9. dunas_dog
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    No Daniels for Bournemouth?

    1. justmatt
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Annoying stuff.

    2. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      WTF

  10. justmatt
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    All the stress of deciding between Brunt, Daniels, Alonso and Phillips and Daniels doesn't even turn up. Sigh.

  11. F4L
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    4 at the back good or bad for Alli Eriksen Kane? Or it doesn't really matter?

    1. Kroosin'
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      I remember last time they were playing 4 at the back, both Kane and Alli was struggling.

      1. F4L
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        yea I seem to remember this too. Hopefully it doesn't matter today

  12. makaveli123
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Vorm bottle incoming

  13. Eden ACCOUNT CLOSED
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Cmon Stanislas on pens

  14. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    DIE BELLARIN DIE
    HE IS OUT OF MY TEAM

    1. Chucky
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      lol

    2. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      You Overthinking it 😉

      1. Konstaapeli
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        lol

  15. Fred54
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    As a Giroud owner. 🙂

    As a Giroud (sic) owner. 🙁

    Just go away you replacement for Costa under bizarre circumstances.

    1. Kiwivillan
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Scoring better than Costa since he started 5 games and cheaper

  16. Leeroy Jenkyns
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    PvA straight in.

  17. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    No Daniels?

    Any idea why?

    1. Grand Thibauto
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      To give no bench headache this week

    2. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Habibe medical at Palace

      1. La Roja
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Having medical*

        1. Ziro
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          How many LBs are they going to buy?

        2. Chris_White
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          😀

      2. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Nobody puts Habibe in the Palace

    3. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      God hates me

    4. FPL Virgin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Ouch. Has Jonty still got him?

    5. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Bid from some unpronounceable Chinese team...

      1. Jafooli
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Ah it could be this...
        He linked to any PL teams?

  18. PvA
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    PVA at wing back *eyes emoji*

  19. CloudSky
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Stanimal could do some damage today.

  20. Chris_White
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Gee, glad I didn't get Bellerin on WC...

    1. Fred54
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Glad I didn't WC.

      1. Chris_White
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        I am. Made 50 points from two gameweeks so far

  21. JayBomb
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Bringing in Bellerin 3 weeks ago was a huge mistake

  22. Shultan
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Was realy hoping giroud wouldn't start...anyway come on Captain sanchez

  23. Squires FC
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Good luck chaps! AllI (c) let's go!!

    1. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Hopefully it goes better than my Siggy(c)...that was the last time I went maverick 🙂

  24. El-Kloppico
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    What the F*** with Daniels now?
    Got 3 injured players on bench.. and Pieters. (Ramirez, Friend, Pickford)
    Hope no more surprises.

  25. JayBomb
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    What are the chances of Bellerin coming on off the bench?

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      He will come and give 1 point while arsenal get a Cs
      Fraud.
      He is gone .
      Coleman in

  26. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Hope Bellarin gets Injured tonight and remains out for about 2 months

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      🙄

    2. MTPockets
        8 years, 10 months ago

        No you don't.

    3. 1zverGGademN
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Forgot to switch captaincy from Dele to Ibra at the very last second of my emergency WC :@ Not even sure did I played the wildcard or what ... Every time I did my things in the last fourthy seconds of anything :@ So dump - Yeah!

    4. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Today is all about my main man, Barnes.

      1. Fred54
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        He's on my bench.

        #StrongSquad.

    5. Wilshere Knowledge
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Please have a shocker Giroud.

      If he starts against Chelsea we'll have no chance.

      1. Ziro
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Wenger gonna 'rest' him for sure against Chelsea. We can hope. ;(

    6. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Daniels transfer tonight?

      Any idea where? Southampton?

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Is he being sold to fund Ake?