Paddy Says
31 January 2017 1275 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Tuesday is used to being damned with faint praise. It’s main selling point, after all, is not being Monday.

But every now and again it can make like it’s a Saturday because it kicks off a whole Gameweek of sweet, sweet Premier League morsels to get our Fantasy gums around.

And that means another batch of Paddy’s Anytime Goalscorer and Clean Sheet odds is heading to our table.

We start, as ever, with an appetiser – the Enhanced Offers available to new customers opening an account today.

The big ticket event tonight is the Liverpool v Chelsea clash, for which Paddy’s got more offers than George Clooney at a WI convention, including a very generous Liverpool to beat Chelsea at 12-1, an almost insane 14-1 on a win for the Blues and an Acca to consider as well.

Paddy is offering 18-1 on Arsenal, Spurs and Chelsea all to win. That’s a generous price in anyone’s book, although strange to say that the weak link in that combo could be Chelsea. Yep, the Chelsea that’s won 14 of their last 15 matches who will travel to face a Liverpool side that’s lost three matches on the spin, and all of them at Anfield.

It’s all about context. Arsenal really should power past woeful Watford at the Emirates and Spurs will expect to see off Sunderland at the Stadium of Light. Compared to those two fixtures, the Blues’ trip to Liverpool is the tricky one, however down Klopp and the Kop might currently be.

Still, betting against Chelsea these days is a risky business, so that Acca looks like a great deal all in.

But if you prefer your enhanced offers more ‘got to be a home win surely?’, then Man United to beat Hull is available at 5-1.

Enhanced winnings are credited in free bets. Be sure to check the terms and conditions that apply on all those offers and, of course, we should state that all these specials are only available to those aged 18 or over. If you’re going to wager, please always gamble responsibly.

ANYTIME GOALSCORER ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

PlayerTeamOdds
IbrahimovicMUN1.53
WalcottARS1.66
GiroudARS1.72
SanchezARS1.72
AgueroMCI1.72
KaneTOT1.72
RashfordMUN1.83
MartialMUN1.90
SonTOT2.00
JesusMCI2.20
WilsonBOU2.37
LukakuEVE2.40
AlliTOT2.40
CostaCHE2.50
LongSOT2.80
BentekeCRY2.87


The usual captaincy suspects – Zlatan and Alexis – have low anytime goalscoring odds to match, with the surprise meat in the sandwich being Theo Walcott, who Paddy thinks is more likely to score than Sanchez at home to a wretched Watford.

That’s a big call, although the Chilean’s four goals at the Emirates (out of 15 in total) probably has a lot to do with that. FPL managers are not so sure – more have purchased Sanchez than FA Cup hat-trick man Walcott this Gameweek.

Sergio Aguero’s (1.72) league-leading eight away goals, of 11 overall, explains his low price, but he’s not a popular armband choice for the trip to West Ham.

The low prices are mainly the preserve of Arsenal and United players, with Paddy clearly expecting a lamb/slaughter interface for Hull City at Old Trafford. Only one Red Devil, however, features among the top 30 transfers-in this Gameweek and it’s that man Ibrahimovic.

Diego Costa, meanwhile, has been bought in by more than 92,000 FPL managers this week, but is priced at 2.50 to score against Liverpool. At the start of the month, that might have been understandable, but the Reds can’t wait to get out of January now and their defence isn’t exactly watertight – Chelsea have as many away clean sheets (six) as Liverpool have managed both at home and on the road.

Higher prices catcing the eye include Jermain Defoe at 3.75 to score against one of his 300 or so former clubs, Spurs. Defensive worries over both Danny Rose and Toby Alderweireld have now eased, however, which won’t help the wee fella.

In the same match, Dele Alli (2.40) and Christian Eriksen (3.10) are attracting a lot of interest.

The Englishman has netted eight times in his last six league starts compared to the Dane’s, erm, none, which explains why Alli has been bought by more than 141,000 managers this Gameweek (making him the most popular transfer of the round) and Eriksen hasn’t (and isn’t).

But 48,000+ new backers are praying Christian delivers and Sunderland’s defence is an unholy mess that’s shipped 14 goals over the last five Gameweeks.

The 3.30 on Fernando Llorente, who hit a brace at Anfield last time out, scoring at home to Southampton is also worth a look. FPL managers agree – he’s the fourth most popular acquisition of the Gameweek – and the Saints look unlikely to keep their first away clean sheet in four attempts without Virgil van Dijk at the back.

CLEAN SHEET ODDS – GAMEWEEK 23

TeamOdds
Man United1.61
Arsenal1.83
Tottenham2.00
Middlesbrough2.40
Man City2.60
West Brom2.70
Southampton2.87
Leicester3.00
Bournemouth3.00
Burnley3.00



Seamus Coleman is second only to Dele Alli for transfers-in this week, which suggests many FPL managers are looking for a clean sheet from Everton at Stoke. You can get 3.20 on that.

Slightly shorter odds of 3.00 are available for Burnley to blank Leicester City. The Clarets are the ultimate homeboys – all but one of their points has come at Turf Moor, their four clean sheets is the fourth-best home record and their goal difference on their own patch (+9) is better than Man United’s at Old Trafford.

Leicester will come a-knocking tonight, and they’re as good on the road as a sedated hedgehog – only three teams have scored fewer away goals than the Foxes eight in 11 matches and they’ve failed to bother the scoreboard operator in three of their last four trips.

Paddy’s got Leicester at 3.00 to keep a clean sheet as well, mind, so there’s a strong odour of 0-0 about this one.

There’s also plenty of Fantasy interest in West Brom defenders, with both Gareth McAuley and Chris Brunt among the top 30 for new bosses this Gameweek.

As a result, the 2.70 available on the Baggies blanking goal-shy Middlesbrough, who have managed a league-worst ten strikes in 11 home matches, is worth considering.

  1. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    If you have Dele and Eriksen and only Alonso from Chelsea would you go for Kane or Costa ? Is a triple Spurs an overkill ?

    1. Make United Great Again
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Costa.

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      If you didn't have those 3, who would it be?

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Tough call but I don't like putting all eggs into one bracket

    3. Revival
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Triple spurs next week is workable as Boro at home is a great fixture, might not want triple on them the following week away to Liverpool do

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Rly tough call and than Costa have BUR and SWA

    4. Business Cat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      If they struggle against Sunderland, three is too many

      If they annihilate them as expected, triple up!

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Wise !

      2. Crow
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Might do exactly this lol

  2. Viper
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Also, I suppose it should be mentioned...

    Farewell, Branislav Ivanovic.

    A fantasy beast in his prime. Many a game week saved by this man. All the best 🙂

    1. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Here, here. Many a ML month won due to a goal of his!

  3. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Bellerin is Fit and still doesn't make the Squad?
    What's Wenger's Problem?

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Old man has gone nuts.

      1. Old Man
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Not yet I haven't - but I'm on the way ....

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Are you sure he is fit?

      1. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        He played in FA Cup

        1. TorresMagic™
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • Has Moderation Rights
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          Just back from injury.

    3. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      He thinks he can beat Watford without him and wants him at his best for Chelsea?

    4. ZeBestee
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Gabriel has been playing really well and Bellerin is just from injury and played the full 90 minutes in the FA cup. He should return to first 11 soon though given his quality

    5. Hand of clod
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      I've had 1 point from him since I got him. Worst transfer this season...

      1. The Overthinker
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        I second this

    6. Yellin' in my Ear
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Annoyed by this as well, I'm selling I think. Wouldn't want to play him next week necessarily and then only two matches in four (probably)

  4. TheBusDriver
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Captain Sanchez or Giroud? Fast please!!

    1. Klopp For The Kopps 😆
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Sanchez

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Aguero

    3. Crow
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      A bit late

  5. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Just 2 starting defenders for Jonty. Rotten luck.

    1. Numb
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Karma?

    2. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      need anymore chapsticks?

  6. Ed
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    A fully rested Sanchez looks promising but can only mean one thing...2 pts

    1. L S P
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      he played on saturday so...22pts.

  7. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Mark playing mind games with TM by not making a transfer this week 😆

    1. Numb
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      The ScoutCast is a great vehicle for mind games

    2. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      He is 4th in the league.

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Boom! Ooo, he's done you there, Suthers! 😀

  8. Numb
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Sky game (both forwards). Captain which one?

    A. Kane
    B. Sanchez

    Thanks

    1. Reedy
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Kane

      1. Numb
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Thanks.

  9. Revival
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Anyone know what TV channels outside the UK will be screening the Arsenal match?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Google "live football tv"

    2. Numb
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      What country?

  10. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Want to know the least coolest thing in the world?

    Andy starting 2 injured players.

    Gets a bit old after the 2,538th time.

    1. Demí
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Want to know what's even less cool?

      You noticing it/caring about it

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Tart.

    2. VS10_
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      But he didn't captain an injured player, that would be very boring.

    3. Richd
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      So what?

      He always does the bench vanker moves, it's his style. He's an asset to the community with all he does.

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Agree he's a ledge, but the starting injured players thing is MEGA ANNOYING.

        1. Demí
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          How can it annoy you so much? You're not rivals with him?

          1. Lateriser 12
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Don't go feeding Demi

        2. Jam0sh
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          dont know if I'm too interested in what andy does but i know something else that is mega annoying

  11. Speédy
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    what formation is CPL playing in??

    1. The Wise Owl
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      3-7-1

  12. joersherman
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 10 months ago

    Daniels to Alonso?

    Defense: Rose Baines Brunt Daniels 3.9

    1. Demí
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Awful move. Daniels back next game and has a fixture in 28

      1. joersherman
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Poor fixtures until gw28 though

    2. MTPockets
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Maybe an hour ago.

    3. Lateriser 12
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Cmon Kane c
      Cmon Barnes

    4. squire345
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      with bellerin and daniels out, the value of having fodder that actually plays is illustrated (anti-amat remark)

    5. Richd
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Well fan dual is screwed, they're gonna have to do a lot of refunds 😀

      1. The Wise Owl
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Probably can't handle all the 100 people that play it.

    6. Jimmy Boy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Score predictions for Bournemouth v Palace?

      1. Speédy
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        with zaha,pva in,i back cpl to win 2-1

      2. El-Kloppico
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        1-2

    7. Speédy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      wow,ake transfer not confirmed and people getting him in,went from -98 to -24

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        xD

      2. VS10_
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Read the notes section on fpl stats home page and you'll find out why that happened 🙂

      3. Crow
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Transfer to ?

        1. Speédy
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          bournemouth splashed 18 m offer

          1. Crow
            • 8 Years
            8 years, 10 months ago

            Oooohhhh nice should get him in if that happens

      4. itwaswritten
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Confirmed where? What is going on?

    8. Jazz!
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Cmon Stanislas

    9. The Enlightener
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Me and Charlie Daniels in a cage. Two men enter, one man leave kinda stuff. I'm ready for it! Bring it on, Chucky!

    10. T444
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Lallana troll points incoming.
      Few assists for Mane

    11. The Wise Owl
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Was Charlie Daniels doing the Charleston this weekend to damage his knees?

    12. The Wise Owl
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Did you hear about the dyslexic devil worshipper?
      He sold his soul to Santa.

        1. The Wise Owl
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          You posted my gravatar, well done 😆

    13. CostaCoffee
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Where's Daniels ? Was he flagged? Now have tom Carroll coming in

    14. Crow
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Kane blank would be the best scenario but looks like that isnt gonna happen

    15. internal error
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Max Gradel's on-off move to Hull could be back on before the 11pm deadline. #hcafc #afcb #DeadlineDay

    16. itwaswritten
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Ib4 L'pools vs. CheLsea is a boring 0-0 draw.

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Since when do Liverpool keep clean sheets

        1. L S P
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 10 months ago

          when i have lovren on the bench - happens every time....

    17. Jambot
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      What do people thinking Snoddy V Antonio probably bringing one in for Pedro before the weekend

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Depends on whether Snoddy starts obviously

      2. 4. Arsenal FC
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Lanzini?

    18. itwaswritten
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Chelsea calling Aké back and not even having him on the bench. A mess!

    19. itwaswritten
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      I transfered Hazard out. One goal and an assist confirmed ✔

      1. Kiwivillan
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 10 months ago

        Nearest rival sold him for KDB. Don't care if he scores now

    20. Rainer
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 10 months ago

      Great interview with Stevie G and JT. Those Champions League games were special!