Fixtures
10 August 2017 3038 comments
James H James H
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Our weekly fixture analysis articles return for the new season, with a slightly new format introduced.

Before each deadline, we will focus on the next four-to-six Gameweeks in an attempt to identify those teams that should be entering or exiting our mid-term plans based on the run of fixtures to come. For the key sides identified, we will assess their prospects in terms of goals and clean sheets and also pinpoint the stage at which their schedule turns.

Our analysis kicks off with those teams treated with the strongest run of opponents from Gameweek 1 onwards.

Southampton

(SWA WHM hud WAT cpl MUN)

The Prospects – Goals
While Southampton found goals hard to come by at home last season, netting just 17 times (only relegated Sunderland managed fewer with 16), Saturday’s 2-0 win over Sevilla has helped inject a little more confidence in backing their attack.

New manager Mauricio Pellegrino is not renowned for producing attacking football – his Alaves team only scored 41 goals last season, the same number as Saints tallied in 2016/17 – but the hugely enticing early schedule offers plenty of hope.

Only relegated Hull City conceded more away goals than Watford (39) last term, while the Hornets, along with upcoming visitors Swansea City and West Ham United, managed a mere two clean sheets apiece on their travels.

Newly promoted Huddersfield Town enter their first Premier League campaign having kept just 12 clean sheets, while Crystal Palace produced only seven shut-outs last season, and are getting to grips with a three-man defence under new manager Frank de Boer.

The Prospects – Clean Sheets
If anything we can be more confident about investment at the back. Only Manchester United, Tottenham Hotspur and Chelsea registered more clean sheets than Southampton’s 14 last time out.

The Watford match in Gameweek 4 appears particularly encouraging: the Hornets failed to score on their final five away trips last season. Swansea, meanwhile, will be without last season’s top goalscorer Fernando Llorente plus creator supreme Gylfi Sigurdsson, and West Ham may still be looking to gel following new attacking signings.

Of the two away trips, the match against Huddersfield looks promising – the Terriers only managed a meagre 56 goals last season – a tally that was bettered by 13 other Championship sides.

The Turning Point
Pellegrino couldn’t have asked for a kinder introduction to the Premier League, with the home clash against United the only difficult fixture across the opening 11 Gameweeks.

But from Gameweek 12 onwards, a mass exodus appears on the cards as Saints embark on a brutal run of fixtures through the rest of 2017.

Verdict
Manolo Gabbiadini got the nod to start over Charlie Austin against Sevilla and looks the likely starter up front. Ryan Bertrand is the crown jewel in the backline, with Maya Yoshida and Jack Stephens providing value. Cedric Soares could lose out to Jeremy Pied for Gameweek 1 having had just one pre-season outing. Nathan Redmond and James Ward-Prowse are perhaps the most appealing midfield assets, with Redmond our current preferred route.

West Bromwich Albion

(BOU bur STK bha WHM ars)

The Prospects – Goals
The Baggies managed a reasonable 43 goals last season, with a staggering 20 of those arriving from set-pieces.

Aside from relegated Sunderland and Hull, no teams conceded more chances from set-plays than Burnley and Stoke last season – a weakness Tony Pulis will no doubt be plotting to exploit. Bournemouth, meanwhile, ranked joint-third for goals conceded on the road last season with 38.

Brighton and Hove Albion were strong at home in the Championship, though, conceding just 14 goals, and the fixtures with West Ham and, in particular, Arsenal, are certainly more testing.

The Prospects – Clean Sheets
Somewhat surprisingly, West Brom only managed six clean sheets last season, and their worrying pre-season form has done little to boost confidence.

The Burnley and Stoke encounters still have some promise. Other than the relegated teams, the Clarets were the lowest scoring outfit with just 39 goals, while Stoke only netted 41 times.

Brighton only averaged 14.4 shots per match at the Amex Stadium, ranking them 11th in the Championship, which also offers hope for the Gameweek 4 meeting.

Bournemouth and West Ham both offer a reasonable goal threat on their travels, though, while Arsenal will certainly be expected to breach the West Brom defence at the Emirates.

The Turning Point
That Arsenal clash signals the beginning of a tough stretch for Pulis’ men, with matches against Manchester City, Chelsea and Spurs, along with away trips to Leicester and Southampton, over the following seven Gameweeks.

Verdict
Ben Foster should provide good value in goal during the early weeks of the season, with Craig Dawson perhaps worthy of the extra outlay due to his set-piece threat. Ahmed Hegazi looks a possible short-term option due to the injuries of Jonny Evans and more so Gareth McAuley.

Further forward, Matt Phillips and Jay Rodriguez seem viable options, with the latter’s pre-season form – and fair share of corner kick duties – perhaps giving him the edge.

Huddersfield Town

(cry NEW SOT whm LEI bur)

The Prospects – Goals
David Wagner’s side avoid the seven teams who boasted the strongest defensive records last term over their opening six Gameweeks, although the Terriers’ goal threat remains in question.

Palace only managed to keep five clean sheets in their 19 home matches last term, and could be vulnerable on Saturday, while Burnley ranked second for shots and efforts on target against, behind relegated Sunderland.

Leicester were porous on their travels in 2016/17, conceding on average two goals per match, but Newcastle may prove difficult to break down after keeping 11 clean sheets on the road in their title-winning campaign.

The Southampton and West Ham match-ups appear reasonable, although they are the toughest test over the opening slate of fixtures.

The Prospects – Clean Sheets
Huddersfield’s lack of shutouts last season means that despite the favourable start, their defensive assets may struggle to attract investment.

The Burnley clash perhaps looks the most promising – the Clarets had fewer close-range efforts at home (118) than any other side last season.

Southampton, meanwhile, only created 20 big chances on their travels, while home meetings with Newcastle and Leicester should also prevent Wagner’s men with clean sheet prospects.

However, while they avoid all of last season’s top seven sides, it still looks tricky pinpointing where the shutouts will come unless there are early signs of improvement from their Championship form.

The Turning Point
The Terriers’ schedule turns for the worse from Gameweek 7 onwards, with clashes against Spurs, Man United and Liverpool likely to curtail any initial appetite for their assets.

Verdict
The pre-season form of Tom Ince and Steve Mounie makes the pair potential options for our Gameweek 1 squads given the soft opening schedule, while at the back, Chris Lowe could appeal due to his attacking threat and more budget-friendly price tag compared with skipper Tommy Smith.

Manchester United

(WHM swa LEI stk EVE sot)

The Prospects – Goals
The arrival of Romelu Lukaku at Old Trafford this summer means that Fantasy managers are expecting much more from the United attack.

Jose Mourinho’s side only scored 54 goals in 2016/17, but the opening fixtures look ideal for address that lack of cutting edge.

Swansea shipped 70 goals last season, while West Ham ranked fourth for the big chances conceded in away matches with 41.

As previously mentioned, Leicester City were vulnerable on the road, while Stoke City shipped eight goals in home matches against Chelsea, Liverpool and Arsenal during the final months of last season.

The Prospects – Clean Sheets
As already mentioned, United were very strong at the back last season, and are again expected to be among the tightest defences.

They avoid the five highest scoring teams over the opening six Gameweeks, with Leicester and Everton’s record of 17 and 20 goals respectively in their 19 away matches offering hope of returns at Old Trafford.

Clean sheets could also be a distinct possibility on the road.

Southampton and Stoke both featured in the bottom six for home goals scored last season, while the trip to Swansea also looks decent if Llorente and Sigurdsson remain absent.

The Turning Point
United face Liverpool, Spurs and Chelsea between Gameweeks 8 and 11, so the appeal of their assets looks set to wane following the home encounter against Crystal Palace in Gameweek 7 before the international break.

Verdict
With the Red Devils boasting the most favourable opening schedule of the top sides, it looks difficult to ignore the claims of Lukaku – the forward is currently the most owned player in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), sat in 48.7% of squads.

Midfielders Paul Pogba and Henrikh Mkhitaryan could provide value in midfield, while David de Gea looks the safest route into the defence for those who can’t stretch to the security of Eric Bailly or Antonio Valencia.

Also Consider…

Newcastle United
The Magpies start with a daunting home tie with Spurs but enjoy a favourable run from Gameweeks 2-6 before they host Liverpool.

Even following that, the schedule picks up once more and, there’s no doubt that once the Spurs encounter has passed, Rafa Benitez’s side will rank as one of the very strongest options available.

Preparing for this run now is clearly an option, with Matt Ritchie the most appealing attacking target, perhaps followed by the in-form Christian Atsu as a differential.

Florian Lejeune appears the most secure defensive asset based on the pre-season, although it’s clear that Rob Elliot in goal will be the preferred go-to option. He could be the only active 4.0 keeper from Gameweek 1.

Brighton
The third of the promoted teams also feature in our first fixture round-up and, like Newcastle, are kept from figuring higher by a demanding opening clash.

The Seagull’s immediate appeal is dented by that home tie with Man City, although following that, they to have a run of five favourable opponents.

But unlike Newcastle, this turns severely from Gameweek 7, perhaps limiting their appeal to just five fixtures, three of which are away from home.

Markus Suttner would be our preferred route in defence, with Mat Ryan in goal another candidate.

In attack, Anthony Knockaert’s fitness issues should clear for Gameweek 2 to make him a viable option. Pascal Gross is the main alternative at 0.5 cheaper.

  1. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Just looking at Gk combos, i noticed that most people here have either
    - Forster/elliot
    - Foster/elliot or
    - Foster/fabianski

    BUT i noticed that heaton (save/bps magnet) and elliot seems to be best on paper...or is it coz one can get Mee that 0.5m cheaper that i havnt seen heaton in many squads

    1. OldBenKenobi
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      that and ppl worry BUR at going to be concede a lot more with Keane gone. and maybe just more value n 4.5 GKs too

    2. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      People saving the 0.5 for elsewhere budget right at his stage of the season

  2. Butcher
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Guys really stuck with 1 decision.

    A) Gabbi and Salah
    B) Firmino and Redmond

    Opinions please!

    1. Slartibartfast
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. Rex Lapis
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. Chungwit
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Why A? Genuinely interested. B gets you the likely penalty taker for a team likely to get more penalties. B is two players with prem experience. Is the pre-season form of Salah swinging it for you? A is 1.0 more expensive too.

        1. Butcher
          • 12 Years
          8 years, 5 months ago

          I was swaying more towards Firmino too due to possible pen duties. Also certainty of starts with Redmond.

  3. CloudSky
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Seeing as pages fly, if anyone has any questions, got some time to pass. Mostly subjective answers. 🙂

    1. HNI
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Which option is better?
      A) Gabs+ Phillips
      B) jrod + willian

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        B

      2. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Heart says B, head says A. Think Gabbi will start off decently even though I hate him. Problem with Phillips is his injuries and WBA normally dont score that much so maybe look at a more safer choice at 6.0.

    2. b91jh
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      PVA+0.5 or Kolasinac??

      1. Rhodes your boat
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Kol

      2. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Kolasinac. Decent first two games. Should be nailed. PvA could be a nice punt especially gw1. Has quite a lot of competition from Schlupp so Kola for me for now.

    3. The Man Pastore
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      what's your though on this team?

      Foster Elliot
      Bailly Stephens Yoshida Francis Hunemeier
      KDB Alli Zaha TCarroll RLC
      Kane Jesus Firmino

      Cheers!

      1. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Not sold on TC as 4th mid but could come good. A lot depends if RLC nails his place. Like the Soton double up. Could go DDG + Dawson in place of Bailly + Foster as Dawson has more attacking potential than Bailly but is loses a bit of team balance so might not be worth it. Just a thought though.

        1. The Man Pastore
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks!

    4. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Ake or Daniels? Or just a 4.5 bench warmer?

      1. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Ive gone with Daniels as he is basically family in FPL but both are really great picks. Flip a coin, not much in it for now. Would take a 4.5 bench warmer if you are not planning to play them for the first two GWs and you can use that 0.5 somewhere more.

        1. Tshelby
          • 11 Years
          8 years, 5 months ago

          Cheers! Going to play Daniels then

    5. TEKKERS FC
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Moreno to start first few GWs?

      1. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Reckon he starts GW1 but its risky (75% to start would be my opinion). If he does, its his place to lose. Kloppo might play it safely with Milner though even after all of his comments.

    6. Steve Stiffler
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      any advice bud:

      Foster Elliot
      Kolasinac Daniels Stephens (Suttner Long)
      KDB Mane Mhki Atsu (Carroll)
      Kane Lukaku Mounie

      1. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Mkhi + Atsu -> 7.0 + 6.0 would be what Id do. Even though I rate Mkhi very high, he is always just one poor performance from being benched with Rash, Martial and the likes closely waiting. Also not sold on Uniteds attacking prowess so feel that 1 attacker from them is enough. Atsu is a nice little punt but could be under threat with Murphy.

  4. SG8
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Laca or Jesus? already have KDB

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Laca more punty but I'd go jesus

    2. MallettMan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      ID go Laca with KDB

  5. The Man Pastore
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Almost done I think, any suggestion?

    Foster Elliot
    Bailly Stephens Yoshida Francis Hunemeier
    KDB Alli Zaha TCarroll RLC
    Kane Jesus Firmino

    Cheers!

    1. MallettMan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      PLaying 4-3-3?

      That teams awesome

      1. The Man Pastore
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Will mostly play 3-4-3 with TCARROLL 4th mid

  6. QPRUTD
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Who's more nailed

    A) J. Ayew
    B) Abraham

    1. Tshelby
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I reckon Ayew
      Abraham might lose the spot when Llorente returns but Abraham playing upfront and Ayew on the wing I think

  7. adstomko
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Good to go? Change something?

    DDG / (Elliot)
    Kolasinac / Davies / Stephens / (TAA) / (Suttner)
    KDB / Mané / JWP / Iwobi / (Carroll)
    Kane / Lukaku / Mounie

  8. b91jh
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    PVA+0.5 or Kolasinac?

  9. Rex Lapis
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Sane nailed on?

    1. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      No

    2. Joe
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Nope. If he does play it will potentially be as a wing back.

  10. Hawkies7
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Is this Team good to go?

    DDG
    Francis - Stephens - Kola
    Salah - KDB - Zaha - Ritchie
    Lukaku - Kane - Mounie

    Elliot, Mee, Rosenior, Carroll

  11. JPSpurs
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Bertrand + Ake or double up on Soton and bring in Yoshida?

  12. ABK_94
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Who is better to be my captain for GW1?
    A) Eriksen
    B) KDB
    C) Jesus
    D) Lukaku
    Currently KDB is my captain and Lukaku is my vice-captain

    1. Limbo
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      POLL >>

  13. Cheshire Duck
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    What about Pedro ?

    - He was announced suffering from multiple facial fractures but played in Community Shield
    - While Hazard is out he's the logical successor on the left
    - He was sent off against Arsenal
    - Conte might want to play with Batshuayi and Morata, leaving with a choice to be made between Willian and Pedro

    So, will he be nailed during Hazard's injury ?

    1. Joe
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I think he will be nailed yes. Unlikely that Conte will play two strikers IMO. From what I have read, the red card in the Shield doesn't affect him in the Premier League.

  14. More Cowbell
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Can I get a quick A or B from you good folks? Trying to work out if it's worth downgrading defenders to others from the same teams to squeeze in De Gea.

    A) De Gea, Francis, Yoshida, Kelly, Dawson

    B) Foster, Daniels, Bertrand, Dann, 4.5

    1. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      A

  15. KOLASINA(C)
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Ward-Prowse or Iwobi? Tia

    1. MallettMan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      JWP long term

  16. MallettMan
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Kompany or Kolisinac?

  17. Joe
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Is Kompany worth the investment or too injury prone (played the equivalent of just over 9 games last season)? Strongly considering him right now.

    1. MallettMan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Same, finished great last year

  18. Smoky Johnson
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    A) Alli + Kolasinac

    B) Mané/Salah + Danilo

    1. Joe
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. MallettMan
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      a

    3. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      A

  19. Emiliano Sala
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Is mkhi + lukaku too much from utd with that fixtures considering everybody has lukaku ?

    1. Joe
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I don't think it's too much for the first few gameweeks at least, the only thing you have to consider is whether you trust Jose to play Mkhi regularly.

  20. theBoose
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Think I'm set.
    Where would you spend the final 0.5? Or would you hold onto it?

    Elliot . Hart
    Daniels . Jones . Stephens . Suttner . Mason
    KDB . Eriksen . Zaha . Atsu . Carroll
    Kane . Jesus . Firmino

  21. Essem
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Thoughts on PVA? Has he been as attacking i pre-season as I would like him to be?

    1. Essem
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Or is there too much competition from Schlupp to justify 5.5?

    2. drughi
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I'm considering him but unsure on palace

  22. Lord Bendtner, TGSTEL
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Damn cannot decide, really want two defensive assets in saints. But also don't want early problems with players not nailed...
    Bertrand already in, and not really prepare do get Forester.
    Which of Yoshi/Stephens/Cedric are you going for, with them have their respective problems...
    Such as if VVD stays, or Cedric not 100% to start GW1

    1. SimonOwen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      I switched from Cedric to Yoshi as even though less attacking returns I want 100% starter, don't want to be wasting points shifting defenders around early doors.
      I also have Bertrand as well.

  23. Azza_z13
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Any weaknesses/ improvements in this team???????

    gk - foster (elliot)
    def - cedric, daniels, stones (rosenior,rangel)
    mid - zaha, de bruyne, salah, richie (carroll)
    fwd - king, kane, lukaku

    1. Lord Bendtner, TGSTEL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Elliot very risk/reward... Benitez are looking for a GK, if he gets one before TDLD he might drop in price fast because of 16% ownership. so be prepared for a forced transfer there... But might as well do good, a CS in the first few GW's and he might go up in price instead.

      If you want to stay safe, and plan to WC early, consider taking a GK with very low selection and take elliot at WC if still viable, eventhough ha might be 4.1 by then

      Very weak deference bench, rest is solid

  24. BobBradleysOpportunity
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Has danilo played minutes at left back/wing back in pre season, or is it just an assumption he'll play there with injuries? He's pricey enough to be concerned that they may go walker and sane at wing back

    1. The Tinkerman
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Yep, and he was very far forward in the Spurs game in particular. Selfish with his shots too.

      1. BobBradleysOpportunity
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        thank you

  25. Niadu
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Kindly share your views on my final team:

    Foster
    Alonso/Valencia/Bertrand/Davies
    KDB/Willian/Eriksen/Iwobi
    Lukaku/Jesus

    (Carroll/Quaner/Rangel)

    Cheers!

    1. Lord Bendtner, TGSTEL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Refreshing with a 4-4-2, very stong 11, very weak bench
      Maybe downgade Alonso or Valencia to make bench more viable

      1. Niadu
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks! Yes I've considered that, but I might use my WC very early depending on how things turn out, so I'm not too bothered about my bench for now. Cheers!

  26. YoungPretender
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Best 5.5m MID option? OR do I get a 4.5 and start T.Carroll, and use the extra 1m elsewhere?

  27. The Tinkerman
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    A) Salah, Gabbi

    or...

    B) Zaha, Firmino

    KDB, _____ , Willian, Iwobi
    Kane, Lukaku, _____

    1. Scott Parker's Brylcre…
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      A

    2. YoungPretender
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Rupert The Horse
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      B more nailed.

  28. Daghe Munegu
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Any advice please

    DDG Eliott
    Cedric Davies Danilo 4,5 4
    Salah Willian Fraser Jwp Caroll
    Lukaku Kane Jesus

  29. Just jarvo
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    most nailed on 4m defender that is most likely to get a few points

  30. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 5 months ago

    Lost on last page - please help? 🙂

    A) Alonso, Kompany and Jesus
    B) Yoshida, Kompany and Kane (have Stephens)
    C) Dann, Kompany and Kane
    D) Bertrand/Davies, Danilo and Kane

    1. Patty
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      D

    2. Lord Bendtner, TGSTEL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 5 months ago

      Lost on this page too 😉
      You want Bertie from saints, both Yoshi and stephens might give you problems early if VVD stays