Spot the Differential
24 November 2017 1004 comments
James H James H
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Backing Paul Pogba early paid off handsomely last weekend, and, this time around, we’re looking to one of his Man United team-mates to take advantage of another favourable home fixture

Elsewhere, a Watford defender who has gone under the radar for much of this season gets our seal of approval, while West Ham’s star man takes our fancy for David Moyes’ first home match in charge this evening.

Juan Mata

Handed the No 10 role at the expense of Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Juan Mata now looks a different prospect ahead of tomorrow’s home meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Spain international registered two key passes, including one big chance that was converted by Romelu Lukaku in Gameweek 12.

Crucially, the playmaker, who is priced at just 6.9 in FPL, has started five of Man United’s six home matches and has returned a goal and an assist in his last two outings at Old Trafford.

Even with a peripheral role so far, often starting down the right flank, Mata has created a chance every 41 minutes. That’s a better rate than the likes of Brighton’s Pascal Gross (42) and Manchester City’s Leroy Sane (43).

With the return of Paul Pogba reigniting the United attack, Mata could now flourish.

Brighton arrive at Old Trafford on a five-match unbeaten run, but have lost 2-0 in each of their two previous encounters against top-six sides, at Arsenal and at home to Manchester City.

Man United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 17 and 23, is very favourable, further adding to the appeal of the 2.1%-owned Spaniard.

Providing we continue to see the goals flow with Pogba in the starting line up – United have averaged 3.2 goals per match with the France international in the side, compared to 1.6 without – Mata can be a factor.

For FPL managers who are unable or unwilling to stretch their budget to Pogba and Lukaku, the Man United schemer looks to be one to consider.

Kiko Femenia

Watford defender Kiko Femenia was forced off with a leg injury during last Sunday’s 2-0 over West Ham United.

But having been declared fit by Marco Silva, he gets our vote ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Newcastle United.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive debut campaign so far and really caught the eye playing at right wing-back in Gameweek 12.

Silva could stick with the 3-4-2-1 formation against the Magpies, changing the profile of the 4.6%-owned defender.

Throughout the season, Femenia has offered a real threat down the right flank – he is second to only Richarlison for passes received (149 to 187) in the final third among Hornets players.

In terms of touches per minute, only Abdoulaye Doucoure is busier among Watford’s regular starters, while only Jose Holebas – who was dropped against the Hammers – has put in more crosses than Femenia, whose 35 attempts have all come from open play.

He is also strong in the Bonus Points System (BPS), and has impressively registered seven bonus points in the four matches where Silva’s side have produced a clean sheet.

Although the shut-out last weekend was Watford’s first since Gameweek 4, the match-up with Newcastle looks favourable from a defensive perspective.

Rafa Benitez’s side have only scored twice over the last four Gameweeks, creating just two big chances.

In both categories, they rank last among all 20 clubs.

Watford’s schedule is also kind in the medium term, so Femenia, who sets us back just 4.5 in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.

Manuel Lanzini

Back from injury, and having completed 90 minutes in each of the last four Gameweeks, West Ham United’s Manuel Lanzini can get Gameweek 13 off to a flyer.

The Hammers host Leicester City tonight and the Argentine scored in the corresponding fixture last season.

Lanzini’s performances since returning from injury have been encouraging.

No West Ham player has had more shots (nine) or efforts on target (five), while his six key passes can be matched only by Pablo Zabaleta.

And his penchant for a long-range effort could be set to profit against a Foxes defence that have allowed 92 efforts outside the box – only Burnley (102) have allowed more.

With eight goals, three assists and an impressive 20 bonus points to his name last season, Lanzini has proven FPL pedigree.

If David Moyes’ side are to turn things around, the 6.8-valued midfielder will surely be the driving force.

Given that Leicester have earned just a single clean sheet on their travels, and only three teams have allowed more than their 35 shots on target, there’s optimism that the Hammers can enjoy success this evening.

After netting his first goal of this campaign in his last home fixture against Liverpool, Lanzini, who is sitting in just 0.6% of FPL squads, can be a key differential in Gameweek 13.

  1. palalmas
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling -> Pogba for -4?

    1. palalmas
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Dont have Lukaku

    2. Jonesfromthere
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no

    3. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pogba will only play 60 to 70 mins for the next few then his games get hard. I'd wait

    4. DV8R
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Not for a hit.

    5. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no

    6. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      -4 for someone who plays maybe 65mins this gw

    7. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No.
      City have better fixtures and are more explosive.
      Sterling plays further forward also.

    8. theodosios
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      And Sterling will play 90mins? Pep could even bench him or take him out in 60.min.Take Pogba before his price change

  2. Lateriser 12
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any last minute thoughts on the wildcard?

    Speroni Eliott
    Ota Mustafi Mee Simpson Long
    Hazard Salah Sane Zaha RLC
    Lukaku Jesus Wilson

    Locking it in.

    1. kuppadaddy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      g2g very nice

    2. ooooo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Jesus to Morata next gw?

      1. AttackAttackAttack
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        This

    3. Nomar
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Really don't like that keeper combo.

      One or the other is fine but not both.

    4. FantaCity
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Jesus to Morata for me

      1. Lateriser 12
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Next week.

  3. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Eriksen owners, selling after this GW?

    1. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Double digit haul incoming

    2. Pochecinno
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Just sold for Sane 😳

  4. Hakuna Juan Mata
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling -> Sane for free

    or keep sterling?

    1. Jonesfromthere
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      keep

    2. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  5. The Mandalorian
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Just sold Kun for Niasse which is great as neither will play this GW.

    1. Emiliano Sala
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Lol

    2. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I don't understand this. I would have just kept Aguero, hope he plays, saved the free transfer.

      The only way this makes sense is if you already had 2ft saved or you used the cash to upgrade elsewhere.

    3. Seanigula
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mayweather must have done more damage than we thought 🙂

    4. Lone Wolf FPL
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      you know that only playing players getting points. right? 🙂

  6. ooooo
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Need 0,9ml
    DDG
    Azpi Jones Otamendi
    Salah Silva Richarlison Choupo
    Kane Lukaku Abraham

    A) Jones to Yedlin
    B) Abraham to Niasse(play ward and dunk)

    1. Emiliano Sala
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

  7. NachoMan
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Help required.

    Any last minute punts worth considering? 0.0ITB 1 FT

    Fabianski

    Ota, Kola, Daniels, Maguire

    Salah, Fernandinho, Ramsey

    Kane, Morata, Kaku

    Subs - Elliot, RLC, Naughton, King

    1. JoeJitzu +42
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      You're gtg

  8. JoeJitzu +42
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A. Jones Carroll Aguero to Otamendi Sané Wilson (-8)
    Or
    B. Jones Aguero to Lukaku Mustafi (-4) - may only have 10 players?!

    Elliott (Foster)
    Mee Daniels XX (Moreno Mbemba)
    Salah Richarlison Zaha Sterling (Carroll)
    Kane Morata XX

    1. Emiliano Sala
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A long term
      B short term

  9. SBCFIFA
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Mee, Alonso, Azpi, Gomez --> Vertonghen, Davies, Smalling, Monreal

    For the 12 point hit I think I am willing to take the chance, thoughts?

    1. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      drunk??

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I really don't think that's a good idea...

    3. Yozzer
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Eh?

      Other way round I assume. But no way..worse idea I've seen all week

    4. Clump
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Log off

    5. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Compredne? I'm all for hits when needed or when they have upside but that's just plain silly.

    6. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm trying to bring in Alonso and Azpi next week!

    7. The Mandalorian
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      take the hit and enjoy another piece of pie

    8. Garlana
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Rediculous

  10. Clump
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Head puddled over (C). Just swapped Kaku to Kane.
    Currently in ale House. Opinion here says Sterling.
    Not sure he won't get a rest.

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Wait til everyone's had a few more drinks and then you'll have your definite answer!

    2. tiger
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Have more ale and captain the name you can still read just before 7pm.

    3. Seanigula
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane is the safer bet, and Sane probably pretty safe if you want Man City (C)

      1. Clump
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        No Sanè 🙁

  11. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    a) Sterling > Pogba
    b) Sterling & Jones > Sane(c) & Mee (benched this week) 
    c) Hold FT

    1. kuppadaddy
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      b

  12. Teahupo'o
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    2 transfers done. Either or these below worth a hit?

    Pope
    Maguire Otamendi Gomez
    Pogba Silva Salah Richarlison
    Morata Kane Vardy

    (Elliot, RLC Zanka Gamez)
    0FT 0.9ITB

    A) Gomez ➡ Daniels
    B) Silva ➡ Sane

    1. FantaCity
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No, gtg

      1. Teahupo'o
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks 🙂

  13. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I'm considering Dann - crazy?
    Nice fixtures and they should come good

    1. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Or rather Lei or Pool def ?

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm on the same transfer. Dann or Leicester def.

  14. Snoop
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    From next week would you prefer to have

    A. Kane, morata, zaha
    B. Morata, Hazard, vardy

    1. AttackAttackAttack
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A for sure

    2. Snoop
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A. Davies + sterling to zaha + Daniels
      B. Jones + sterling to Dann or 4.7 def + zaha

  15. Salarrivederci
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Am I mad to double up on Gunners def with Monreal and Mustafi? Already got Monreal, and Jones -> Otamendi requires -8. Should I just do Jones -> Mustafi? Arsenal looked solid against Spurs. Burnley aren't that threatening. Huddersfield up next and then Mou will park the bus.

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      We did look solid, but we don't play like that every week, no way. We give away chances to the point that I would never double up on us.

  16. FantaCity
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A) Sane, or
    B) Silva + money to upgrade Hunemeier ?

    1. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

      1. FantaCity
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks

  17. SADIO SANÉ
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Dann ahead of Daniels in the scout picks!? Seems like a strange decision to me

    1. Garlana
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Wishful thinking I reckon

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Stoke are 4/1 to win last time I checked, so no-one seems to be giving Stoke a chance

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        hmm GW2 onwards, Chelsea is the only team Stoke haven't scored against..

  18. Collie01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play:

    A) RLC
    B) Mee

    1. Fred54
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      RLC

    2. Numb
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

    3. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      RLC - I think Arsenal will score and anything could happen at Place

  19. BenjaminEJones
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Pope (Elliot)
    Moreno Tarkowski Duffy (Jones* Francis*)
    Richarlison Erikson Salah Sterling RLC
    Kane Kaku (Niasse*)

    2.4itb. Would you take a hit for someone?

    1. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Looks set for 0 CS GW. I would take a hit to improve defense. Dno who you prefer, but since you got Pope you could do Tarkowski -> Otamendi and still be able to do Eriksen -> Hazard next week right?

      1. Salarrivederci
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Also due to the fact that if Sterling was to be rested you would have no one on bench coming in. Mby do Jones -> Otamendi and bench Tarkowski?

        1. Salarrivederci
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Bench Duffy. Holy moly that defense looks shaky this GW 😀

          1. BenjaminEJones
            • 9 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            Thanks for the ideas! Tell me about it, was planning on Jones being back and having Francis vs Swansea, but he had to go get himself sent off!

  20. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Firmino >>(-4)??

    A Benteke
    B Vardy
    C Wilson
    D Carroll
    E Gray

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      C

  21. Delph & Safety
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I know it sounds stupid, but is there more of a reason to captain Kane because he’s on at 3pm and so is lukaku?

    1. Numb
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Eh?

      1. Delph & Safety
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah forget it actually haha

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Makes no difference, obviously.

  22. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Help!
    A. Play Duffy and bench Jones.
    B. Sell Jones for Dann
    C. Sell for Mee
    D. Sell for Leicester def, a cheap one

  23. FPL Footy Show Pod
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Should I ship out Jones?

    5.6 to spend??

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I have.

      1. Numb
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Me too

    2. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I would, yes. Plenty on offer at that price.

    3. grumpyman
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'm keeping, he's gold when fit and I have a playing sub.

    4. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.
      He is made of glass.

      'Don't fix it if it aint broken' - well it is broken.

      Jones -> Monreal/Mustafi

  24. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Jones to Alonso tonight after GW starts.
    Yay or nay? Will have 2FT

    1. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I like it.

  25. kuppadaddy
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Elliot Fabianski
    Mee Wimmer Otamendi Moreno Rangel

    Hazard Chupa Carroll Sterling Richarli

    Lukaku Vardy Kane

    2 FT, 0.6 M itb

    should I offload e.g. vardy -> wilson to raise funds to boost midfield?

  26. _____JR_____
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    De Gea

    Naughton Mee Kiko

    Salah Doucoure Choupo Silva

    Lukaku Morata Kane

    Elliot Cork Hegazi Moreno

    Good to Go??

    1. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Your team picks itself.

  27. cjhewitt92
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    What to do with Aguero

    A) Hold
    B) Lukaka this week
    C) Jesus this week
    D) Sell to fund Kdb or Silva for -4
    E) Keep transfer to fund Hazard next week
    Already have Sane Salah Kane and Morata

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What's the rest of your strikers?

      1. cjhewitt92
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Kane and Morata

    2. Business Dog
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B 48% of the game own Lukaku could seriously hurt not to have him this week

      1. cjhewitt92
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Will Aguero in one game he plays either against Huddersfield or Southampton score more than Lukaku

  28. SBCFIFA
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A) Alonso, Azpi, Joe Gomez, Niasse --> Davies, Smalling, Kolasinac, Wilson (-12)

    B) Alonso, Azpi, Surman, Niasse --> Davies, Smalling, Choupo, WIlson (-12)

    C) Something else? (Tell me what)

    1. The Count of Monte Cristo
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      C. Don't make those -12's. Can't suggest anything without knowing what the rest of your side is...

      1. SBCFIFA
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        GK - Gomes, Elliott)
        DEF - Walker, Mee, Alonso, Azpi, Joe Gomez
        MID - Sane, Salah, Richarlison, Surman, Gross
        FOR - Morata, Niasse, Aguero

  29. Clintymints
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any Sane cappers here?

    Think I'll give it a go

    1. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Want to but with many going Lukaku, Sane, Jesus, etc.. I think this is the perfect week for a Kane C

  30. Blanka
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Eriksen to Sane?

    Eriksens stats are in a league of his own though.....

    1. Pumpkinhead
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Keep or get Sane in, you could be in tears.

      1. Pumpkinhead
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Just leave it and hope for the best