Spot the Differential
24 November 2017 1004 comments
James H James H
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Backing Paul Pogba early paid off handsomely last weekend, and, this time around, we’re looking to one of his Man United team-mates to take advantage of another favourable home fixture

Elsewhere, a Watford defender who has gone under the radar for much of this season gets our seal of approval, while West Ham’s star man takes our fancy for David Moyes’ first home match in charge this evening.

Juan Mata

Handed the No 10 role at the expense of Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Juan Mata now looks a different prospect ahead of tomorrow’s home meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Spain international registered two key passes, including one big chance that was converted by Romelu Lukaku in Gameweek 12.

Crucially, the playmaker, who is priced at just 6.9 in FPL, has started five of Man United’s six home matches and has returned a goal and an assist in his last two outings at Old Trafford.

Even with a peripheral role so far, often starting down the right flank, Mata has created a chance every 41 minutes. That’s a better rate than the likes of Brighton’s Pascal Gross (42) and Manchester City’s Leroy Sane (43).

With the return of Paul Pogba reigniting the United attack, Mata could now flourish.

Brighton arrive at Old Trafford on a five-match unbeaten run, but have lost 2-0 in each of their two previous encounters against top-six sides, at Arsenal and at home to Manchester City.

Man United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 17 and 23, is very favourable, further adding to the appeal of the 2.1%-owned Spaniard.

Providing we continue to see the goals flow with Pogba in the starting line up – United have averaged 3.2 goals per match with the France international in the side, compared to 1.6 without – Mata can be a factor.

For FPL managers who are unable or unwilling to stretch their budget to Pogba and Lukaku, the Man United schemer looks to be one to consider.

Kiko Femenia

Watford defender Kiko Femenia was forced off with a leg injury during last Sunday’s 2-0 over West Ham United.

But having been declared fit by Marco Silva, he gets our vote ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Newcastle United.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive debut campaign so far and really caught the eye playing at right wing-back in Gameweek 12.

Silva could stick with the 3-4-2-1 formation against the Magpies, changing the profile of the 4.6%-owned defender.

Throughout the season, Femenia has offered a real threat down the right flank – he is second to only Richarlison for passes received (149 to 187) in the final third among Hornets players.

In terms of touches per minute, only Abdoulaye Doucoure is busier among Watford’s regular starters, while only Jose Holebas – who was dropped against the Hammers – has put in more crosses than Femenia, whose 35 attempts have all come from open play.

He is also strong in the Bonus Points System (BPS), and has impressively registered seven bonus points in the four matches where Silva’s side have produced a clean sheet.

Although the shut-out last weekend was Watford’s first since Gameweek 4, the match-up with Newcastle looks favourable from a defensive perspective.

Rafa Benitez’s side have only scored twice over the last four Gameweeks, creating just two big chances.

In both categories, they rank last among all 20 clubs.

Watford’s schedule is also kind in the medium term, so Femenia, who sets us back just 4.5 in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.

Manuel Lanzini

Back from injury, and having completed 90 minutes in each of the last four Gameweeks, West Ham United’s Manuel Lanzini can get Gameweek 13 off to a flyer.

The Hammers host Leicester City tonight and the Argentine scored in the corresponding fixture last season.

Lanzini’s performances since returning from injury have been encouraging.

No West Ham player has had more shots (nine) or efforts on target (five), while his six key passes can be matched only by Pablo Zabaleta.

And his penchant for a long-range effort could be set to profit against a Foxes defence that have allowed 92 efforts outside the box – only Burnley (102) have allowed more.

With eight goals, three assists and an impressive 20 bonus points to his name last season, Lanzini has proven FPL pedigree.

If David Moyes’ side are to turn things around, the 6.8-valued midfielder will surely be the driving force.

Given that Leicester have earned just a single clean sheet on their travels, and only three teams have allowed more than their 35 shots on target, there’s optimism that the Hammers can enjoy success this evening.

After netting his first goal of this campaign in his last home fixture against Liverpool, Lanzini, who is sitting in just 0.6% of FPL squads, can be a key differential in Gameweek 13.

  1. meule
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Elliot
    Naughton Mee Otamendi
    Choupo Hazard Salah Sterling
    Jesus Morata Vardy
    Foster Moreno Carroll Mariappa

    1FT 1.5 ITB, should I keep FT ?

    1. E25
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What would you do if you used it?
      I'd save

      1. meule
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Sterling to Sané maybe ? I don't really have other ideas

        1. E25
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Hold it mate. Gives you more flexibility for next week to maybe get vardy and/or Jesus out

          1. meule
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            ok thanks

  2. fish66
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Smalling to start tomorrow?

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      For sure.

    2. Cookie Kid
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  3. Ribus
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Fabianski
    Kola | Otamendi | Daniels
    Salah | Alli | Richarlison | Groß
    Kun | Lukaku | Firmino

    Elliot | Moreno | Chalobah | Rosenior

    Save the transfer?

    1. E25
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yep

  4. Greenbackbøøg…
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Last minute desperation on a wildcard:

    Kiko and Sterling or Otamendi and Zaha?

    1. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

    3. Greenbackbøøg…
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      cheers

    4. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ota and Zaha

    5. E25
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      b

    6. Alonso The Great Midfielder
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      ota and zaha...easy pick

  5. Bleach †
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play Ward or take Jones out for a -4? 🙂

    1. Cookie Kid
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I’m playing Mee in same scenario

  6. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    a) Sterling > Pogba
    b) Sterling & Jones > Sane(c) & Mee (benched this week) (-4)
    c) Hold FT

    1. E25
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      c

    2. L9
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      b

  7. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Aguero & Sterling > Wilson & Sane

    Based on Aguero and Sterling probably not playing???

  8. DA Minnion (Former great)
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Things I want to happen this week
    Burnley to concede.
    Moreno to score
    Flappy to get a clean sheet
    Kane to get a hat trick.
    Pogba to blank.
    Sane to blank
    Sterling to start.
    That is all.

    1. We Will Klopp you
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Could genuinely see only 1 of these things happening, the Kane hat trick..

  9. Patch
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Jeez Denize

    All those folks dropping in price tonight!!!!!!!

    Executive Decision: Ditch Abraham and Keep Jones.

  10. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Good luck, all. A weird week.

    This is me:

    GW 13:

    Elliot
    Otamendi, Trippier, Gomez
    Eriksen, Salah(c), Silva, Young
    Kane, Morata(vc), Rashford

    Ryan; Stephens, Duffy, Lascelles … - 4, 0.5 ITB, TV: 101.9, SV: 101.4

    1. DMP
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Doos,

      Play Hart or Elliot?

      GL

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Elliot, imho. 🙂

      2. DMP
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Even if i have Richarlison?

        Ty

    2. Baz
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      wow bold captain pick! good luck

    3. FC Hakkebøf
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Why have Kane if you dont cap him in a game like this.?

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Why not? Best striker, but his form is a bit wobbly. 🙂

      2. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Because so far this season he's proven to haul in games that aren't traditionally easy. His standards have changed, and until he reverts back to drubbing minnows we should be wise when we captain him.

    4. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Nice team. Thinking of getting Sané now he's "nailed"?

      I'm on

      Pope
      Azpilicueta Monreal Maguire
      Sané Coutinho Silva Richarlison RLC
      Kane Morata
      Elliot | Niasse Gomez Hunemeier

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Nice. I am not convinced that Sane is nailed. Sadly. 🙂

        1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Fair enough, would be just like Pep to bench him this week after the news 😀

          1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 16 Years
            8 years, 1 month ago

            My big desire is Coutinho.

            1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
              • 8 Years
              8 years, 1 month ago

              I'm very happy with him currently! Just also need Salah too he's been killing me. Next week he'll finally be coming in for Silva. I got Monreal this week as a Jones replacement; do toy reckon he'll do alright over the next few?

        2. waterboy
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Doos.
          What makes you think Sane isn't nailed. Apart from the obvious "normal" rotation at this time of year. Just a nervous Sane Captainer asking.

    5. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Good luck. Especially with Gomez he's in my line up aswell

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yeees ... last week was a bit of a shock.

        Let us hope that sanity has returned. 😀

        1. XabiAlonso
          • 10 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I think he is trusted over taa against the better attacking sides as he is better defensively, taa more attacking. hope so anyway

    6. b✪mber
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      glglgl

      1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        You too! 🙂

  11. MartialMatas
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    g2g?

    Begovic
    Alonso Otamendi Naughton
    Salah Sane Sterling Richarlison
    Kane Lukaku(c) Abraham

    Elliot RLC Mee Duffy

    0ft £0m itb WC available

    1. rdpx
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd certainly not want to be playing a Wild Card with only 45 minutes to deadline!

      Team looks good, although I just transferred out Sterling for Pogba (with this in mind you should probably put C on Sterling as with my luck he is nailed on for 20 points)

  12. rdpx
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Currently got armband on KANE but very tempted by POG or AGUERO

    Struggling hard this season so maybe a punt is needed?

    1. Baz
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      too early for punts

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        It's never too early. You can punt at any time.

        1. rdpx
          • 14 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          I agree with this!

          Also I am 2,098,000 OR, and transferred Salah out three weeks ago.

          Desperate times.

    2. Cookie Kid
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Mourinho said Pogba will play 65-70 mins if that helps

      1. rdpx
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I will leave it on Kane, then likely panic at 18:59 and do something stupid.

  13. Big Ronnie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Would you get Moreno on a wildcard? Wouldn’t play him this week but after his debacle midweek worried he could be dropped for a few.

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't, no.

      1. Big Ronnie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Who would you get instead? Already got Ward, Daniels and Dann.

  14. cjhewitt92
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    What to do with Aguero

    A) Hold
    B) Lukaka this week
    C) Jesus this week
    D) Sell to fund Kdb or Silva for -4
    E) Keep transfer to fund Hazard next week
    Other Strikers Kane and Morata

    1. My Name Is Prince
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      How about Wilson?

  15. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Finally feels good having a half decent team with no injuries or rotation doubts

    DDG
    Daniels mee Maguire
    Pogba sane Gross richarlison
    Kane Lukaku morata

    Bench- myhill Duffy Carroll mbemba

    On a (-4)
    Currently Captain sane

    1. RubberDucky
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Good team.

        What's your OR?

    2. twoplustwo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Willian, DCL or RLC in draft?

    3. Bolasie
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Would you do Carroll and Vardy to Sané and Niasse for a hit?

      Niasse and carroll would be on the bench

    4. Bored Bear
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A. Yedlin
      B. Lejeune?

      cheers

      1. We Will Klopp you
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Think B will prove more nailed, Benitez rotated Yedlin a lot last season

    5. Viper
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ramsey - > Sané (-4)?

      1. lilmessipran
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I would

      2. Red Dagger ✪
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        hell yeah.

      3. We Will Klopp you
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        It's a yes from me

      4. b✪mber
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        easy (coz it's long term)

    6. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Elliot - (Pope)
      Otamendi - Daniels - Moreno - (Ward) - (Mbemba)
      Hazard - Salah - Sane(C) - Richarlison - RLC
      Kane - Jesus - (Lapado) 1.6ITB
      Doing Luiz,Sterling and Carroll to Moreno,Sane and RLC(-4) worth it?

    7. HD7
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Is Hazard goin to be the most profitable playsr in the next 5-6 Gws?

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        No

      2. Galza
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Probably more than that...

      3. My Name Is Prince
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Yes!

      4. We Will Klopp you
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        There are many good candidates: Salah, Sane, Morata, Pogba for the next 2 and then from 17. Impossible to say

    8. Salarrivederci
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Play Speroni or Elliot?

      Already playing RLC and Richarlison

    9. My Name Is Prince
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Thoughts on Callum Wilson? Is he nailed? Howe’s favorite?

      1. Red Dagger ✪
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I'm getting him in.

      2. lilmessipran
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        If he keeps on banging them in , could keep Defoe out even after he returns otherwise expect rotation between the two

    10. Ivz
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Dann for free or otamendi for -4 ?

    11. Weeb Kakashi
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What have Alli owners done?

      1. dark91
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I would definitely keep him if i had him

      2. FootballFanatic365
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        keep

      3. Red Dagger ✪
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Nobody still has him.

      4. JONALDINHO
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Would keep if I owned him

    12. Coaly
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Currently starting Ward (ARS) in defence.

      a) Vardy Sterling Jones to Calvert-Lewin Hazard Vertonghen -8
      b) Vardy Sterling to Hazard Vert -4, play Ward
      c) Save, then a/b for free/-4 next week

    13. FootballFanatic365
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      gtg?

      DDG// ell

      Musti Davies Daniels // me Duffy

      Sterling Silva Salah Zaha // RLC

      wilson Morata Kane (c)

    14. Puzzle
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Best striker below 5,9??

    15. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Bring in for Jones...
      A. Kiko
      B. Morgan
      C. Dann
      D. Mee

      Needs to play this week

      1. FootballFanatic365
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        dann

    16. OneDennisBergkamp
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I need help/advice!

      Aguero & Sterling > Wilson & Sane

      Based on Aguero and Sterling probably not playing??

      1. JONALDINHO
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        No. Don't like Wilson, especially when you're losing Aguero to get him