Spot the Differential
24 November 2017 1004 comments
James H James H
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Backing Paul Pogba early paid off handsomely last weekend, and, this time around, we’re looking to one of his Man United team-mates to take advantage of another favourable home fixture

Elsewhere, a Watford defender who has gone under the radar for much of this season gets our seal of approval, while West Ham’s star man takes our fancy for David Moyes’ first home match in charge this evening.

Juan Mata

Handed the No 10 role at the expense of Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Juan Mata now looks a different prospect ahead of tomorrow’s home meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Spain international registered two key passes, including one big chance that was converted by Romelu Lukaku in Gameweek 12.

Crucially, the playmaker, who is priced at just 6.9 in FPL, has started five of Man United’s six home matches and has returned a goal and an assist in his last two outings at Old Trafford.

Even with a peripheral role so far, often starting down the right flank, Mata has created a chance every 41 minutes. That’s a better rate than the likes of Brighton’s Pascal Gross (42) and Manchester City’s Leroy Sane (43).

With the return of Paul Pogba reigniting the United attack, Mata could now flourish.

Brighton arrive at Old Trafford on a five-match unbeaten run, but have lost 2-0 in each of their two previous encounters against top-six sides, at Arsenal and at home to Manchester City.

Man United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 17 and 23, is very favourable, further adding to the appeal of the 2.1%-owned Spaniard.

Providing we continue to see the goals flow with Pogba in the starting line up – United have averaged 3.2 goals per match with the France international in the side, compared to 1.6 without – Mata can be a factor.

For FPL managers who are unable or unwilling to stretch their budget to Pogba and Lukaku, the Man United schemer looks to be one to consider.

Kiko Femenia

Watford defender Kiko Femenia was forced off with a leg injury during last Sunday’s 2-0 over West Ham United.

But having been declared fit by Marco Silva, he gets our vote ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Newcastle United.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive debut campaign so far and really caught the eye playing at right wing-back in Gameweek 12.

Silva could stick with the 3-4-2-1 formation against the Magpies, changing the profile of the 4.6%-owned defender.

Throughout the season, Femenia has offered a real threat down the right flank – he is second to only Richarlison for passes received (149 to 187) in the final third among Hornets players.

In terms of touches per minute, only Abdoulaye Doucoure is busier among Watford’s regular starters, while only Jose Holebas – who was dropped against the Hammers – has put in more crosses than Femenia, whose 35 attempts have all come from open play.

He is also strong in the Bonus Points System (BPS), and has impressively registered seven bonus points in the four matches where Silva’s side have produced a clean sheet.

Although the shut-out last weekend was Watford’s first since Gameweek 4, the match-up with Newcastle looks favourable from a defensive perspective.

Rafa Benitez’s side have only scored twice over the last four Gameweeks, creating just two big chances.

In both categories, they rank last among all 20 clubs.

Watford’s schedule is also kind in the medium term, so Femenia, who sets us back just 4.5 in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.

Manuel Lanzini

Back from injury, and having completed 90 minutes in each of the last four Gameweeks, West Ham United’s Manuel Lanzini can get Gameweek 13 off to a flyer.

The Hammers host Leicester City tonight and the Argentine scored in the corresponding fixture last season.

Lanzini’s performances since returning from injury have been encouraging.

No West Ham player has had more shots (nine) or efforts on target (five), while his six key passes can be matched only by Pablo Zabaleta.

And his penchant for a long-range effort could be set to profit against a Foxes defence that have allowed 92 efforts outside the box – only Burnley (102) have allowed more.

With eight goals, three assists and an impressive 20 bonus points to his name last season, Lanzini has proven FPL pedigree.

If David Moyes’ side are to turn things around, the 6.8-valued midfielder will surely be the driving force.

Given that Leicester have earned just a single clean sheet on their travels, and only three teams have allowed more than their 35 shots on target, there’s optimism that the Hammers can enjoy success this evening.

After netting his first goal of this campaign in his last home fixture against Liverpool, Lanzini, who is sitting in just 0.6% of FPL squads, can be a key differential in Gameweek 13.

  1. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    So many options.What would you do?
    Begovic,Elliot
    Kola,Davies,Stones,Gomez,Rosenior
    Salah,Mahrez,TC,Sterling,Gross
    Kane,Kun,Abraham
    1ft,0.5itb

    A)Stones+Abraham->Dann/Ota+Wilson
    B)Stones+Abraham+Sterling->Dann/Ota+Wilson+Sane
    C)Stones->Dann/Ota
    D)Stones+Sterling->Veronghen/Ota+Zaha
    E)Stones+Sterling->Dann+Alli

    cheers

    1. rdpx
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd probably save the FT

      (Or do Sterling - Pogba, as that is what I actually just did, but I also have Sané.)

      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        cheers.Abraham 50/50.TC may not start.Stones out.Steling+Kun the same.I need to make some transfers don't you think?

  2. Prison Mike
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Which to play?

    1) Choupo-Moting (cry)
    2) RLC (STK)

    A) Moreno (CHE)
    B) Ward (ARS)

    1. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      1B

    2. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      1A

  3. The Royal Robin
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I'm already on -4 but strongly considering Abraham > Wilson for -8.

    Yay or nay?

    1. Junior ⚽
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Likely to not play the next two (can't play Chelsea.)

    2. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Go for it

    3. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Do it. I’m taking a -8 next gw and I’m looking forward to it

  4. OneDennisBergkamp
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed.. I need help/advice!

    Aguero & Sterling > Wilson & Sane

    Based on Aguero and Sterling probably not playing??

    1. Gazj11
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Do it

    2. Rik Waller
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No man. I think Sterling will start this one.

  5. Emiliano Sala
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Conte said something about rotation this week. Anybody has link?

    1. Numb
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I doubt he'll rotate this weekend, maybe midweek

    2. Chris_White
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      He was talking about his CM's - Kante, Fabs, Drinkwater and Bakayoko.

      1. Emiliano Sala
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        No it was about christensen and luiz

  6. jurgenklopp.8
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    pope or elliot?

    1. FC Hakkebøf
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Pope for save point.. no one will keep cs imo

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Going for Elliot

  7. FC Hakkebøf
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    (RP - no love for last post)

    For a different (danish) fantasy game with basically the same point system except bps. Which option would you prefer for the next couple of weeks?

    A) Morata, Sane, Lennon
    B) Sane, Hazard, DCL
    C) Morata, Hazard, Lennon

    NB: Transfer cost are based on player value. For instance Lennon and DCL will only cost me 1 point to transfer out compared to the other options that will cost 4 points.. so nailedness for the everton players is not a big

    1. Aftermath
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A I suppose

  8. Super Silva
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Elliot or Fabianski to start ?

    1. rdpx
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I chose Elliot, but largely as I also have Naughton playing.

      I'd probably have gone for Elliot anyway as I've had Flappyhandksi in for weeks and he don't bring me nothing but misery and disappointment.

  9. FootballFanatic365
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    rp
    gtg?

    DDG// ell

    Musti Davies Daniels // me Duffy

    Sterling Silva Salah Zaha // RLC

    wilson Morata Kane (c)

  10. Teahupo'o
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Gomez (will likely be benched this gw and a rotation risk) ➡ Daniels -4, or play Zanka (MCI)?

    1. Bibelnissen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Take the hit, will benefit long term (Zanka not to be played next week either)

      1. Teahupo'o
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers. Hadn't even looked at Sanka next week as well. The hit seems even more sensible.

    2. Teahupo'o
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Can afford Smalling as well.

    3. FC Hakkebøf
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Play gomez... no.reason.to take a hit

      1. Teahupo'o
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        He likely won't play and Zanka's next fixtures are bad. Thanks. Still thinking.

    4. Gazj11
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Get Daniels

      1. Teahupo'o
        • 14 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks. Torn now between Daniels Smalling or Mustafi. Still Daniels?

  11. Bibelnissen
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Bench one:

    A) Mee
    B) Moreno
    C) Naughton

    1. Winners900
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hadde benket Mee

      1. Bibelnissen
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Bookiene er nokså klare på Mee-benk:

        Swansea-CS: 3.2
        Liverpool-CS: 3.4
        Burnley-CS: 7.0

  12. The Red Devil
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    GTG?
    Did Jones sterling to Daniels & Pogba (-4)

    DDG
    Daniels mee Maguire
    Pogba sane Gross richarlison
    Kane Lukaku morata

    Bench- myhill Duffy Carroll mbemba
    Currently Captain sane

    1. Bibelnissen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Looks good. No Salah a worry, but can wait.

  13. Hargo
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Elliot Foster
    Kola Moreno Daniels Mee Jones
    RLC Silva Salah Eriksen Carroll
    Kane Lukaku Joselu

    0.4 ITB

    Anything worth a hit?

  14. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Carroll, Vardy -> Sane, Niasse -4?

    1. Junior ⚽
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no

    2. John Nerdelbaum
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      why not dcl?

      1. Puzzle
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 15 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        dcl?

  15. Weeb Kakashi
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Alli a good option for a one week punt?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Potentially.

  16. Tmel
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    a) Sterling > Pogba
    b) Sterling & Jones > Sane(c) & Mee (benched this week) (-4)
    c) Hold transfer

    1. Bibelnissen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hold

  17. leo_messi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    just 2 quick questions guys:

    1)Which to play?

    A) Gross( have DDG)
    B) Mee (no Arsenal)

    Should I sell Eriksen for Sane for -4 or do it before tuesday??

    Thanks

  18. Syd.
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Oh feck it

    If my Man City players don't start this weekend they should start midweek

  19. fish66
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play

    (a) Elliot & Mee
    (b) Pope & Mee
    (c) Pope & Moreno

    1. Bibelnissen
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      C for me

    2. Sun Jihai
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

  20. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Will Moreno start?Who would be the Best budget defender decides Ward/Mee and Daniels

  21. Gazza2000
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play Abraham or RLC ?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Ha.
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      RLC

    3. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Rlc

  22. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any Leicester defence love?
    Any one worth it bar Maguire?

    1. Fuchs Mane Kante
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Simpson Cappo over here.

    2. The Mighty Hippo
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Simpson

  23. Fuchs Mane Kante
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Wilson wants an England spot.

    Against a Swans defence.

    Not got the balls to Cappo though.

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I want an England spot too and I'm shite.

      1. Fuchs Mane Kante
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Proven is Wilson.

        Still banging them in after bad injuries.

  24. Optic1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    These are my captain options:

    A) Kane
    B) Eriksen
    C) Morata
    D) Salah
    E) Wilson

    Currently on Kane for C and Eriksen for VC - who would you chose?

  25. Ha.
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Play one;

    A. Dann
    B. Mee

    1. Snoop
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Dann

  26. Snoop
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A. Jones to Dann or a 4.7 def
    B. Davies to Daniels
    C. Save

  27. Feloh
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    play 2

    doucoure
    Elliot
    Forster
    simpson

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A and B

  28. BenjaminEJones
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling to be benched?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Who knows.

  29. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling -> Pogba or save?

    (1FT, 0.3 itb)

    DeGea (Speroni)
    Azpi/Daniels/Mee (Moreno, Duffy)
    Salah/Sane/Sterling/Richarlison/RLC
    Kane/Morata (Niasse)

  30. Totally J
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Who to play

    1 RLC. 2 Shaqiri
    A maguire B cresswell

    1. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      1A