Spot the Differential
24 November 2017 1004 comments
James H James H
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Backing Paul Pogba early paid off handsomely last weekend, and, this time around, we’re looking to one of his Man United team-mates to take advantage of another favourable home fixture

Elsewhere, a Watford defender who has gone under the radar for much of this season gets our seal of approval, while West Ham’s star man takes our fancy for David Moyes’ first home match in charge this evening.

Juan Mata

Handed the No 10 role at the expense of Henrikh Mkhitaryan for Manchester United’s 4-1 win over Newcastle United, Juan Mata now looks a different prospect ahead of tomorrow’s home meeting with Brighton & Hove Albion.

The Spain international registered two key passes, including one big chance that was converted by Romelu Lukaku in Gameweek 12.

Crucially, the playmaker, who is priced at just 6.9 in FPL, has started five of Man United’s six home matches and has returned a goal and an assist in his last two outings at Old Trafford.

Even with a peripheral role so far, often starting down the right flank, Mata has created a chance every 41 minutes. That’s a better rate than the likes of Brighton’s Pascal Gross (42) and Manchester City’s Leroy Sane (43).

With the return of Paul Pogba reigniting the United attack, Mata could now flourish.

Brighton arrive at Old Trafford on a five-match unbeaten run, but have lost 2-0 in each of their two previous encounters against top-six sides, at Arsenal and at home to Manchester City.

Man United’s schedule over the medium term, particularly between Gameweeks 17 and 23, is very favourable, further adding to the appeal of the 2.1%-owned Spaniard.

Providing we continue to see the goals flow with Pogba in the starting line up – United have averaged 3.2 goals per match with the France international in the side, compared to 1.6 without – Mata can be a factor.

For FPL managers who are unable or unwilling to stretch their budget to Pogba and Lukaku, the Man United schemer looks to be one to consider.

Kiko Femenia

Watford defender Kiko Femenia was forced off with a leg injury during last Sunday’s 2-0 over West Ham United.

But having been declared fit by Marco Silva, he gets our vote ahead of tomorrow’s trip to Newcastle United.

The Spaniard has enjoyed an impressive debut campaign so far and really caught the eye playing at right wing-back in Gameweek 12.

Silva could stick with the 3-4-2-1 formation against the Magpies, changing the profile of the 4.6%-owned defender.

Throughout the season, Femenia has offered a real threat down the right flank – he is second to only Richarlison for passes received (149 to 187) in the final third among Hornets players.

In terms of touches per minute, only Abdoulaye Doucoure is busier among Watford’s regular starters, while only Jose Holebas – who was dropped against the Hammers – has put in more crosses than Femenia, whose 35 attempts have all come from open play.

He is also strong in the Bonus Points System (BPS), and has impressively registered seven bonus points in the four matches where Silva’s side have produced a clean sheet.

Although the shut-out last weekend was Watford’s first since Gameweek 4, the match-up with Newcastle looks favourable from a defensive perspective.

Rafa Benitez’s side have only scored twice over the last four Gameweeks, creating just two big chances.

In both categories, they rank last among all 20 clubs.

Watford’s schedule is also kind in the medium term, so Femenia, who sets us back just 4.5 in FPL, can be an effective differential for some time to come.

Manuel Lanzini

Back from injury, and having completed 90 minutes in each of the last four Gameweeks, West Ham United’s Manuel Lanzini can get Gameweek 13 off to a flyer.

The Hammers host Leicester City tonight and the Argentine scored in the corresponding fixture last season.

Lanzini’s performances since returning from injury have been encouraging.

No West Ham player has had more shots (nine) or efforts on target (five), while his six key passes can be matched only by Pablo Zabaleta.

And his penchant for a long-range effort could be set to profit against a Foxes defence that have allowed 92 efforts outside the box – only Burnley (102) have allowed more.

With eight goals, three assists and an impressive 20 bonus points to his name last season, Lanzini has proven FPL pedigree.

If David Moyes’ side are to turn things around, the 6.8-valued midfielder will surely be the driving force.

Given that Leicester have earned just a single clean sheet on their travels, and only three teams have allowed more than their 35 shots on target, there’s optimism that the Hammers can enjoy success this evening.

After netting his first goal of this campaign in his last home fixture against Liverpool, Lanzini, who is sitting in just 0.6% of FPL squads, can be a key differential in Gameweek 13.

  1. Junior ⚽
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Kane or Sane captain is a killer.

    1. Dele
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Who are you leaning towards?

      1. Junior ⚽
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Currently Sane. Kane as WBA are terrible but will park the bus. Sane as city will score goals and he's likely to be involved.

        1. Pieterke30
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          This man, this

          Trust your guts

    3. Pieterke30
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sané for me

      See hot topic

    4. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      K

    5. The Scottish Loveknot
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

  2. Manic Miner
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Triple Captain time, 2 good options this week, anyone thinking about it.

    1. Dele
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

      1. Manic Miner
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Good shout , my moneys on lakaku only as I'm a west from fan and can't wish him to score a brace. Boing Boing Pulis out!! yeah

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No

    3. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      no

    4. The Scottish Loveknot
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Moreno?

  3. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Last call!

    Azpi Dann/Pool def/Lei def
    or
    Ota Mustafi

    ?

    1. The Scottish Loveknot
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Ota & Mustafi

  4. Paris Ganja Man
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Alonso or Azpi?

    1. Mesh
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Alonso

  5. Honeyman07 42
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Silva to Sane worth a -4?

    1. suddenorgan
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      not quite

    2. Ode
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      No

    3. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

  6. ignis88
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Any ideas on Lindelof starting tomorrow? Mourinho said he's choosing between Rojo, Smalling and Lindelof. Imagine Rojo dropped as just back from injury?

    1. Honeyman07 42
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Hasn't Lindeolf been awful every time he played where as Rojo played alot last season?

      1. ignis88
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        yep he has, but Rojo didn't look too sharp vs basel

  7. HALFSPACE
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Kane or Lukaku captain??

    1. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Haha

    2. Dele
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

      1. Pieterke30
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Lol three times in like one minute

    3. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Either

  8. THFC4LIFE
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Kane or Kaku captain?

    1. HALFSPACE
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane v a back five, Lukaku v a back four

      1. HALFSPACE
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I donf know tbh

        1. THFC4LIFE
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Same

    2. Dele
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane and your a spurs fan why you asking?

      1. THFC4LIFE
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Because I’ve captained him for every blank at home

    3. Mesh
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

    4. XabiAlonso
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I'd say lukaku for 6-10 points. Kane for 1-18.

    5. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Well that’s cleared up absolutely nothing... thanks lol

      1. XabiAlonso
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Have faith in your team

  9. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    After captain sensible I'm actually worse off.

    My gut all week says Mahrez v West ham but I'm terrified of going thru with it.

    Sane, Salah, kane much better on better or should I go with me gut???

    1. camarozz
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Better on paper *

    2. THFC4LIFE
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Always go with your gut! If your guts wrong then oh well but if it’s right and you pick someone else....

    3. JONALDINHO
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Go with Mahrez if you just have that feeling. Imagine Kane blanks while Mahrez bags double digits and you have Kane(C) because you followed the herd

  10. Mesh
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Will Mustafi outscore Jones fr9m now until January?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Most defenders probably will.

      1. Respect My Authoritah
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Unlikely

    2. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, Jones won't play half of it.

    3. Honeyman07 42
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      With United fixtures if Jones is fit, Jones

  11. Sun Jihai
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    G2G?

    Elliot
    Simpson Otamendi Kola
    Richarlison Haz Salah Choupo
    Kane (c) Vardy Jesus

    Bench: Pope, RLC, Moreno, Mbemba

  12. Snapes on a Plane
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    A) Fabianski/Elliot > Speroni (FT)

    B) Save FT

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

  13. Feloh
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    when is gw 14 deadline

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      1 hour before kick off.

    2. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I think Tues...that is the sole reason I am not taking a hit now as I will soon be able to make the next transfer before price drops come in...

    3. melvinmbabazi
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Tuesday

    4. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Click right.

    5. Feloh
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      cheers troops

  14. pug_chops
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    For 1 week only before wildcard:
    A) Davies
    B) Otamendi
    C) Valencia

  15. AnfieldLad
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone else cap Jesus?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Yep.

    2. Fuchs Mane Kante
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sold for Pog points.

  16. melvinmbabazi
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    G2G? 0FT 0.2ITB

    De Gea
    Smalling, Daniels, Naughton, Simpson
    Salah, Sterling, RLC
    (C)Lukaku, (VC)Kane, Jesus

    Bench: Elliot, Groß, Mee, TC

    Cheers

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      gtg

      1. melvinmbabazi
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers TM

  17. Jimbo-Jones
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Is Smalling nailed medium-term?

  18. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Should i start Begovic or Elliot?

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Begovic

      1. Old Wulfrunian
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        thanks

  19. The Scottish Loveknot
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Who will score more points (GW13-15)?

    A - Sterling
    B - Pogba

    1. GE
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. Jacket Potato
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      B

  20. mr messi
    • 15 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling to Pogba for a hit?

    1. Jacket Potato
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Na, hold till next GW

  21. Jacket Potato
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Would you play?
    A) Fab
    B) Elliot

    1. The Scottish Loveknot
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      A

  22. Pedro's snacks
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Abraham to Wilson for free or save FT?

    1. Patch
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      What price did you buy Abe? He is guaranteed a drop tonight...

      1. Pedro's snacks
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        I got him for 5.9 so the drop won't affect me

        1. Patch
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Fair enuf then...I have to do it cos I bought him 5.8

          Truth be told not sure the angst is worth it...with Chelsea coming up not wort the bother...

    2. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Do it 100%.

  23. Aftermath
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Gtg?
    Elliot
    Otamendi•Daniels•Mee
    Sterling•Salah(C)•Richarlison•Gross
    Kane•Jesus•Morata(vc)

    Foster•Moreno•Tcarroll•Jones

    1ft, 1M itb

  24. HD7
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    I know its early but... If you have Hazard Morata Kane and Salah... who will you C for midweek?

    1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      So so tight... I would rule Haz out due to him being a massive troll that has burned me whenever I've touched him, and Salah because his fixtures just aren't quite as juicy as Kanes or Moratas. After that though, flip a coin... I really can't pick between the two.

      1. HD7
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Hazard on pens though...

    2. Goat
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Kane

  25. Isco Disco
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Jones > Mustafi?
    All the money I've got, except if I do Lukaku > Morata.

    1. Goat
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Just play a sub for jones then get morata and a good def for midweek. I’m going Otamendi

  26. GE
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Sterling to Pogba for free or save?

    1. Blanka
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Same dilemma. I was doing it, now I'm saving. Sterling output is too good to get rid. Pogba looks good on flashes and his minutes are also gonna be curtailed for a bit.

      1. GE
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks for great comment. I can see Pogba also get limited pitch time so maybe best to save

    2. Totti
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      last-gasp yes

  27. MrClaude
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    RMWCT plz

    DGea/Eliot
    Otamendi/Mustafi/Daniels/Mee/3.9
    Salah/Sané/Pogba/Richalison/RLC
    Kane/Morata/Wilson

    1. MrClaude
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Any one??

  28. TorresMagic™
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    What's more important after this GW, getting Alonso/Azpi or Sane?

    1. Red Dagger ✪
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      For Xmas run in probably best to get both.

      1. TorresMagic™
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • Has Moderation Rights
        • 16 Years
        8 years, 1 month ago

        *gets loan from FPL bank

        1. Doosra - ☭DeclanMyGenius…
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          8 years, 1 month ago

          Look at Trippier.

    2. dhamphiir
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Chelsea defender

    3. Optic1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sane I would imagine.

    4. b✪mber
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      both imo - take a few hits

    5. lilmessipran
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      tough one, almost think both will be close to essential options (if there even exists such a thing in this game)

    6. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 16 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Cheers all.

    7. Paris Ganja Man
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Which of Alonso or Azpi would you choose?

    8. Junior ⚽
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      Sane

    9. Delph & Safety
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 1 month ago

      I have the same dilemma. So tough atm if I pick sane I have no Salah. May need to take a lot of hits.

  29. camarozz
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Pick 1 to play please.

    A) Mee v ARS
    B) Duffy v UTD
    C) Knockaert v UTD

    Also

    A) Elliot
    B) Speroni?

    Thanks guys.

  30. Maddamotha
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 1 month ago

    Luiz and Bailly > Ota and Vertonghen?(-4). Rest of def : Jones, Mbemba, Ward. Only one playing atm.