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6 December 2017 1215 comments
Prokoptas Prokoptas
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Regular readers of the Technical Area articles will no doubt be familiar with expected goals (xG), a key metric introduced to the Fantasy Football Scout Members’ area this year as a means of estimating goal scoring returns on the basis of chance quality.

This week, however, we are flipping our focus to examine the top goalkeepers over this year’s campaign and to introduce, for the first time, our related keeper-specific metric: expected goals prevented (xGP).

In brief, this data tallies the quantity and quality of chances a goalkeeper is faced with, in order to calculate a baseline of their expected goals conceded. From this number, we subtract the true number of goals that have beaten each goalkeeper, in order to determine the expected goals they have personally deterred.

This week’s Technical Area will be running the rule over how FPL’s highest-owned goalkeepers have performed in this particular metric thus far.

We also take a wider view of the position as it now stands, in light of the recent uncertainty surrounding the pitch time of budget-friendly options such as Rob Elliot and Julian Speroni.

  1. Claudio555
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Yedlin>Klavan?

    1. Deano
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Later in the week.

    2. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      lol

  2. Chucky
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    any news on lascelles?

    1. Deano
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Wait for PC.

      1. Chucky
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        and when is that?

      1. Chucky
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        thanks

    2. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      *lolcelles

      1. Chucky
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        😀

        1. Jafooli
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          😉

  3. Eddie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Has the Scout Cup been drawn yet?

  4. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    A) I can only get Hazard by selling Coutinho which I'm not keen on OR selling Kane, is Hazard really that essential atm? My mid is Cout,Salah,Sterling,Groß,RLC.

    B) Got 2 FT, spending even one this GW may be trouble cuz I'm content atm, do I do Niasse to Lewin so I don't waste one FT, cheers boys

    1. Podge
      • 14 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      More essential than Kane in my opinion

    2. terrypaulpearce
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I think Haz is almost essential in a general sense, but maybe not in the middle of a run of 5 matches in 15 days. Wait until a couple of gw's time, I'd say.

      Niasse to Lewin is probably solid.

      1. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
        • 11 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Ty

  5. cheese XL
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Gtg?
    1ft, 0itb

    Pope
    Azpi Otamendi Moreno
    Salah(vc) Sane Richarlison Gross Sterling
    Kane(c) Morata

    Elliot DLC Dunk Mbemba

  6. JJJ
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    going to drop Daniels after this GW

    A- Zeegelaar
    or
    B- Kabasele

    thanks

    1. Kloppage Time
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I´m doing the same thing but looking at Sakho

  7. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    When does the Ashes start?

    1. Jafooli
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      *gets popcorn*

    2. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      After the fire

    3. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      As a contest in 2019

    4. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      When Phoenix starts to rise.

    5. F4L
      • 11 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      When Stokes decides to turn up

      1. GENERATION X
        • 12 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        ..and that's only if he gets it abandoned with a few big uppercuts

  8. Alan_T
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    RMT is so weird.

  9. Iceball
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Pope Elliot
    Alonso Walker Moreno Kolasinac Hunemeier
    Salah Sterling Richarlison Choupo RLC
    Kane Morata Abraham
    2ft, 0.9m itb
    Sterling and Walker to Hazard and Sakho decent moves?

  10. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    PVA fit again, quite liked the look of him before his injury.

    Daniels replacement.

    1. Alan_T
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Where did he play under Woy?

      1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Left Back/ Wing back. Very attacking, often gets slated for being too attacking leaving the defence vulnerable.

    2. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Good Spot

    3. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Schlupp seems pretty nailed now Palace are more solid

      1. THE SHEEP HUNTERS
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Oh! tx

    4. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Big Sam will go after him in January surely.

  11. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    What would you do with this ?
    1 FT , 1.1 ITB

    Courtois
    Azpi - mee - verto
    Salah - Sterling - Ramsey - gross - RLC
    Kane - Morata

    Elliot - otamendi - Francis - niasse

    I am leaning towards Francis to tarkowski

  12. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Mertens, Aboubakar or Coutinho as C for FCL today?

    1. J T
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I’m on Courtinho, first time I’ve took it off Neymar.. so far so good

      1. Atimis
        • 9 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Yah, Coutinho should be good if there are no changes

        1. J T
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Hope you followed through 😀

  13. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    What's wrong with Silva? Time to sell or rested for the weekend?

    1. Moin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I think rest for the weekend.

    2. d3bug
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I'm thinking Silva > Ramsey
      Even if he's fit & rested

      1. Vlad Tepes
        • 8 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        I made that transfer after the game on sunday. I don't think Silva is worth the money right now, correct me if I am wrong. Ramsey looks better and cheaper.

    3. Arctic monkeys
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      "It's all the truth, no stories about Lacazette and Silva". Mourinho knows.

  14. Sickboy
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Foster / Daniels -> DeGea / Kenny seem a sound move after this week?

    DDG is expensive but it would quickly resolve my keeper situation!

    Thanks in advance

  15. Dele
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Start Mee or RLC?

    Also have Pope & Sakho...

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      RLC

  16. Old Wulfrunian
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Watford Observer
    "Watford captain Troy Deeney linked with Everton after Sam Allardyce green light."

    1. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Would bring Gray further in as an option...

  17. built_this_city
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    FEUER FREI

    1. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      BANG BANG

  18. Jafooli
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Is Mbemba first choice again or just filing in for injuries?

    Could really do with not wasting a transfer on him...

    1. Arctic monkeys
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Are you saying a transfer involving Mbemba out wasted, how dare you ?

  19. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Excellent Reddit post. If someone passes a penalty and their teammate taps it in (like messi and Suarez), do they get minus points for a ‘missed’ pen?

    1. Arctic monkeys
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Imagine Milner trying to do that.

    2. badgerboy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Must do surely.

    3. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      They do if its Pires and Henry...

    4. Ronnie Hotdog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      missed penalty + assist probably

    5. d3bug
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      But.. but he still gets the assist

    6. GENERATION X
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I'd say assist and goal - the act of the 'tap' penalty is still alive...nothing is actually missed till the ball is out, hits goalframe or keeper saves

  20. Jet5605
    • 11 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Hey guys, 2FT (0 ITB) and still have my WC available.

    Should I do Azpi & Sterling > Haz & Mariappa this week and then play my WC after Kane v Stoke/Brighton?

    DDG
    Christiensen - Daniels - Azpi
    Salah - Sterling - GroB - Richarlison
    Morata - Kane - Vardy

    Elliott - Mee - Carroll - Mbemba

  21. Atimis
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    This Kenny will be nailed?

  22. Deano
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Any truth to the rumour that the ECB has advertised for overseas players for the next Ashes series after realizing that English cricketers are just no good?

    1. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Looking for another Pietersen maybe?

    2. Monkey Hanger
      • 12 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      May have a better team than us in Australian conditions.

      But the Barmy Army outnumbered fifty to one, wiped the floor with their opposition, even without our legendary trumpet player.

  23. Wheato182
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Good to go this week guys?

    Pope
    Mee - Naughton - Alonso
    Hazard (C) - Salah - Gross - RLC
    Kane - Morata - DCL

    Elliott - Pogba - Kiko - Mustafi

    1. Deano
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Pogba out surely. Ramsey?

      1. Wheato182
        • 13 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Would be for a hit and benching RLC at home to Bournemouth or DCL away to liverpool.

        1. Klopptomist Scott Jelly
          • 8 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          I'd do it and bench DCL

          1. Deano
            • 13 Years
            8 years, 9 days ago

            Or Gross.

            1. Wheato182
              • 13 Years
              8 years, 9 days ago

              I've gone for it and benching DCL. Gross the BPS magnet would be third choice tbh. Cheers guys

    2. STEP rOVERS
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Hmmm Pogba out for Ramsey and play him ahead of DCL

  24. La Roja
    • 13 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Messi’s new contract breakdown;

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Copy and paste fail

  25. Ask Yourself
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Oi
    1) Mariappa (bur)
    2 Moreno (EVE) -4

  26. pundit of punts
    • 12 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Evening all 😀

    DDG
    Otamendi - Daniels - Ake
    Hazrd - Salah - Sterling - Richarlison
    Kane - Morata - DCl

    Pereira - RLC - Tarkowski - Hunemeier

    No hits. 0.7m itb. Ake ➡ Christensen next gw.

    How's she looking?

    1. Galza
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      V nice...

    2. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I'd start rlc over dcl

  27. @fplfox
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Hi guys, I need help...
    Have 1mil itb, either:
    Pogba➡️Hazard, Jesus➡️Firmino, cost = -4.
    Or
    Pogba➡️Coutinho, cost = 0
    Or
    Jesus➡️Firmino gw16, then Pogba➡️Hazard/Coutinho gw17, cost = 0.
    Thoughts?

    1. Ask Yourself
      • 9 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      First one or second first just edges it

    2. Udo
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      2nd in my opinion

    3. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I would the first option and take the -4 as I can see Hazard and Firmino in the goals this weekend...........

    4. KingOfLuck
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      First of all wait for Liverpool game tonight, injuries and minutes played will be interesting when it comes to Cou and Firmino. But other than that I would transfer out Pogba this GW and get Haz asap, which makes me end up on the first choice.

      1. Corgz Dark side of the Loon
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        100% agree with the above comment, wait till tonight games are over. However having been to every West Ham home game this season, Hazard could play 5 mins and get a hat trick ....!!!!!

    5. @fplfox
      • 8 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Any thoughts on a different striker depending on cl tonight then? Maby giroud depending on Europa?

  28. The Big Fella
    • 9 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Might we escape a Pogba drop this week?

  29. Garlana
    • 10 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Which move:

    A: Alonso and Silva to christensen and hazard
    B: monreal and Silva to zeegeler and hazard

    Current team below:

    Foster
    Alonso, monreal, dunk, Daniels, mee
    Silva, sterling, richarlison, salah, Carroll
    Kane, morata, niasse

    1. Wheato182
      • 13 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      I like A tbh

      1. Garlana
        • 10 Years
        8 years, 9 days ago

        Thanks, tough one as I know as soon as I let Alonso go is when he gets another goal

        1. Wheato182
          • 13 Years
          8 years, 9 days ago

          Actually think Alonso's due a rest, Christensen has looked a threat from set pieces as well and seems better suited for BPS - its a transfer im considering myself tbh.

  30. Champions united
    • 8 Years
    8 years, 9 days ago

    Any News on mustafi

    1. william prunier
      • 10 Years
      8 years, 9 days ago

      Wenger isn't reliable with team news