Scout Notes
2 March 2018 676 comments
davidwardale davidwardale
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Man City sweep past Arsenal on a night when the sheer depth of their squad leaves many Fantasy managers with minimal returns.

A second 3-0 victory over the Gunners in four days took Pep Guardiola’s side to within touching distance of confirming their status as Premier League champions for 2017/18.

That they did so without having to rely on some of their biggest and most popular performers this season spoke volumes for the resources the coach has at his disposal.

City’s three most owned attacking players in Fantasy Premier League (FPL) – Raheem Sterling (31%), Sergio Aguero (29.1%) and Kevin De Bruyne (24.5%) – contributed just eight points between them at the Emirates.

Sterling missed out with a muscle injury, although Guardiola suggested in his midweek pre-match press conference that the winger may yet figure in the Gameweek 29 clash with Chelsea. Aguero managed five points from an assist and De Bruyne blanked for the third time in six starts.

The minimal returns from the latter pair were particularly frustrating for those managers who handed either of them the armband. The Argentine was captained by 458,000+, the Belgian 159,000+.

Aguero, at least, saw off the competition for the starting striker spot posed by the return from injury of Gabriel Jesus.

The Brazilian was given just three minutes from the bench last night and it would seem highly unlikely he will oust Aguero for the Chelsea match either, with the midweek Champions League tie against Basel the obvious opportunity for him to be handed his first start in two months.

Against Arsenal, it was left to some FPL differentials to come to the fore.

Leroy Sane (7.5%) made his first league appearance since Gameweek 24 and promptly delivered a double-digit haul for only the second time since Gameweek 10, scoring one goal, setting up another and bringing in two bonus points.

He’s the most bought player in the last 24 hours, with over 50,000 new owners, while Sterling is the most sold – over 86,000 have moved him on.

Fellow goalscorer David Silva (6.4%) produced eight points from his first attacking returns since Gameweek 17, although last night was only his fourth start over that period.

And Bernardo Silva (0.9%) opened the scoring to underline a fine run of recent form on the road in which he has two goals and an assist from his last three away appearances.

Key members of the defence also prospered from a relatively rare clean sheet – City have managed just two shut-outs over the last seven Gameweeks – as Guardiola surprised many by sticking with the same back-four that started the Carabao Cup final.

Nicolas Otamendi frustrated the 117,000 managers who sold him on ahead of Gameweek 28, even if his haul was dented by an eighth caution of the campaign, while Kyle Walker (12.4%) equalled his season-best total of 10 points from an assist and one bonus.

The England defender did limp off after 71 minutes, however, making him an early doubt for Sunday’s visit by Chelsea.

Star of the show at the back was undoubtedly goalkeeper Ederson (7.5%), the Brazilian awarded maximum bonus for a penalty save that helped bring in a season-high 15 points.

City now need just five more wins to guarantee a Premier League title that is as good as theirs already.

They will surely achieve that sooner or later – City have won 24 of 28 league matches this season – so the coach should, in theory, be able to concentrate his resources on the Champions League from here on in.

But the short-term fixture list suggests otherwise.

The 4-0 win in Switzerland effectively makes their Champions League progress a formality, but key league matches against Man United and Spurs follow each leg of the quarter finals in early April, making rest for Guardiola’s key men unlikely.

Instead, the Gameweek 32 clash with Everton is arguably the next rotation hotspot.

The problem for FPL managers is that there are so many attacking options for Guardiola to choose from, whatever the make-up of the City side he eventually settles on seems to deliver – regardless of the severity of the fixture.

Once the Chelsea, United and Spurs fixtures are done by the end of Gameweek 34, the league title could conceivably have been secured, allowing the coach to concentrate exclusively on the Champions League.

Second-guessing Guardiola’s domestic selections would then become an even more thankless task.

Arsenal outgunned

The Gunners have a run-in that should be making managers flock to their key assets.

Only a Gameweek 36 trip to Old Trafford looks problematic among their final ten fixtures of the season, but the severe lack of cohesion and confidence in the side is in stark contrast to the attractiveness of that schedule.

At the back, they’ve not kept a clean sheet in ten Gameweeks and have conceded two or more goals in six of those.

They still have the ability to punish the lesser sides, particularly at home, with recent big wins over Crystal Palace and Everton testament to that.

But recognising which of their key assets can take advantage of their schedule remains tricky.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang seems to be the first-choice penalty taker, but he fluffed his chance to impress last night when Ederson saved his weak effort from the spot, while Mesut Ozil and Henrikh Mkhitaryan were markedly ineffective against City.

The Gunners do have two decent fixtures, against Brighton and Watford, to come before their blank Gameweek 31, and their assets could yet play their way into our Wildcard plans.

But a further complication comes in the shape of the Europa League – now the club’s only realistic way of qualifying for next season’s Champions League.

Arsenal face AC Milan in the Round of 16 over the next two Thursdays and should they qualify for the quarter-finals, those ties will take place on April 5 and 12, before matches with Southampton and Newcastle in Gameweeks 33 and 34.

That could well lead to squad rotation, although Aubameyang is ineligible to play in Europe so at least he should be a shoo-in for domestic starts.

676 Comments Login to Post a Comment
  1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    If wildcarding in GW31, imo it makes very little sense to take most hits at this stage as there is very little time for them to bring back points.

  2. President Giggs
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Is anybody else holding their transfers until just before the deadline in case we hear about game postponements?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Never thought of it but it’s a good idea! Imagine all the games will go ahead though surely

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Yep and lots will as it is the right thing to do

    3. The Nuttmxn
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Yep, am a little worried, BBC say by 3pm t'll be tipping it down all across the south.

      1. Pasqualinho
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        That'll be a little late for any transfers.

  3. Dr. DOOM
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Pick one move? 2FT

    A. Sterling - Mahrez
    B. Ogbonna - GW31 Def apart from Liverpool (bench)
    C. Otamendi - Davies

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      A

  4. RAFA THE GAFFA
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Best change here? 1FT, 0.1itb

    Pickford
    VvD • Kiko • Otamendi
    Salah • Mahrez • Son • Deulofeu*
    Harry(C) • Wilson • Aguero
    (Elliot, Choupo-M, Christensen, Duffy)

    1. Witty Pun: Not good at this…
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Otamendi out for a spurs defender of your choice?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        Otamendi >> Bavies?

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Change your captain to Salah lol

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        Why? It’s very close this week. And I’m not cheering him on against my team 🙂

        1. WVA
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 9 months ago

          Haha fair one. It's too close to call, i was with Kane originally but am going Salah simply because he has more points this season and double digit hauls the last 3 weeks! He is absolutely on

          1. RAFA THE GAFFA
            • 9 Years
            7 years, 9 months ago

            Aye, I would if it wasn’t the Toon! Poor logic I know but I will enjoy the game more with it not on him! How’s the rest of my team look?

            1. WVA
              • 9 Years
              7 years, 9 months ago

              Hmmm honestly it's not looking too good for this gw, very sideways but you may have to do something like Deulofeu > Doucoure. Or save and keep your fingers crossed.

              1. RAFA THE GAFFA
                • 9 Years
                7 years, 9 months ago

                🙁

    3. Kuzser
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Get Frimino somehow?

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        Kun > Firmino?

        1. WVA
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 9 months ago

          No!

  5. #FPLBhuna
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Team:

    Lloris - Elliot
    Maguire - Smalling - Robertson - Dunk - Kenny
    Salah - Richarlison - Walcott - Mahrez - Deulofeu
    Kane - Firmin - Vardy

    Best Deulofeu replacement? (with 31 in mind).

    A) Milivojevic
    B) Fraser
    C) Stanislas
    D) Choupo-Moting

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Stanislas of that.

      But have you considered Arnie?

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        doesn't play 31 and need to improve my coverage for that week, I was leaning towards Stanislas too I think

        Thanks

    2. WVA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Prob A with your squad

      1. #FPLBhuna
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        thanks, i've gone mili, fair point - 4.9m leaves some money itb to upgrade some dross

  6. Regin
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    repost:

    which transfer should i do?

    C Wilson to Deeney(Wilson's place under threat from Defoe)
    Otamendi to Bellerin (despite Arsenal's poor form, their fixtures are good from now)
    Lingard to Arnautovic (will Lingard be starting this weekend?)
    Sterling to Mahrez?

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      One of the last two! Like the Arnie pick for the next two GWs

  7. CrouchDown
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Any chance RLC will play GW31?

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Isn't he still injured?

    2. balint84
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      i hope he will be ready too 🙂

    3. Prøfeßör …
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      No chance.

    4. Brap.
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Got a new knee injury

  8. Scotty B
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    No FH chip or WC

    Adrian
    TAA Otamendi Alonso
    Sterling Walcott Shaqiri Ibe Salah
    Firmino Kane
    Subs:Elliot Quaner Duffy Schindler

    2.5m ITB & 1 FT

    Which option is better?
    A Alonso & Ibe > Bavies & Mahrez
    B Duffy & Ibe > Mariappa & Mkhi
    C Alonso & Ibe > Mariappa & KDB
    D Alonso & Ibe > Williams & Eriksen
    E Quaner > Deeney
    F Sterling > Eriksen

  9. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    My ML admin arranges a CUP COMP among the ML managers and as it stands, This is what i'm up against; .........WHO WINS?

    * I've left out players we both have - (Kane(vc), Firm, Salah(c), Sterling)
    -------------------------------------------------------
    OPPONENTS TEAM:
    -
    Vardy
    Shaq - Theo - Ki
    Bavies - Trippier - Ake - VVD - Martina
    DDG - Pickford
    -------------------------------------------------------
    MY TEAM:
    -
    (DCL)
    Hazard - Eriksen - N.Dyer
    Ota - Mee - TAA - (Kenny - Dunk)
    Pope - (Adrian)
    -------------------------------------------------------

    Is there anything / anyone I can bring in to give me an advantage?
    (1FT: 0.2m itb)

    Thanks guys 🙂 .

  10. PlayPercentage
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    What to do with Bellerin (5.9)?
    Arsenal have excellent fixtures for the run-in, and will pick up points against the lesser teams. But they can't seem to keep a CS.
    Might do Bellerin -> Burnley defender + cash

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Shift him

  11. Salah'd n Sauce
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Thoughts on this for this week :-

    Foster
    McGuire VVD Mee
    Salah Sterling Doucoure Mahrez Mkhi
    Kane Firmino

    Courtois, wilson, daniels, mariappa

    Think Salah C for Newcastle game.
    G2G??

  12. jamie1972
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Jones to Keane for free?

    Have up to 6m to throw at it

    Will give me 11 for 31 with no hits

    (WC 32)

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      why WC 32 ? and not 34 ???

      1. jamie1972
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        Not set in stone, had always just pencilled in the Int break for my WC

        Still to settle on that tbf

        1. Jebiga
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 9 months ago

          ok, thanks, i tought i missed something 🙂 wc 34, bb 35 is the winning way 🙂

  13. JONALDINHO
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    (Bottomed)Any suggestions?
    A)Sterling/Son and Depoitre to Firmino and Mcarthur(-4)
    B)Sterling to Mane/Eriksen
    C)Sterling and Son to Mane and Arnie(-4)
    If I go Firmino I won't have Mane for BGW31 and vice-versa. Thx!

  14. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Is Salah capable of having an off day?

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      nope

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        Thought not

    2. Over Midwicket
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      No. Pool will hammer Newcastle. Spurs are not a good attacking unit. Remember Salah is also on pens too..

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        Yeah Salah is the massively obvious choice of the two but I'm weirdly determined to get some differential captain points vs Salah captainers at least once this season...

        1. Over Midwicket
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 9 months ago

          Now isn't the time but do what you want 🙂

  15. Pirlø's Pen
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Who to bench?

    A. Stansilas (lei)

    B. Walcott (bur)

    Thanks!

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      B. Look at Stan's last 3 away games. 2G2A..

      Burnley will concede max 1.

  16. The Mighty Whites
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Priority to replace?

    Dunk
    Sterling
    Lingard
    Simpson.

  17. Ten Season Wonder
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    - Who is the best midfield option this GW?
    - Which mid to ditch?

    (Salah, Eriksen, Sterling, Hazard, N.Dyer)

    1. Steevo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Sterling -> Mahrez

      1. Ten Season Wonder
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        i like it

    2. drughi
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      KDB is the best option

    3. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      sane

    4. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Sterling or Hazard to Mahrez

  18. Jebiga
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    kane or salah for C ?

    maybe salah is safer, dont know if kane will be rested !?

    1. Over Midwicket
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Salah, don't overthink it. Kane has blanked so many times v poor sides this season.

      1. Jebiga
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        yup, thanks, im on salah, but just checking 🙂

  19. drughi
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Last time bavies played huddersfield he got 16 points, 1 goal 1 assist

    1. Jebiga
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      now he will be rested 😀

      1. drughi
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        dont think so

        1. Jebiga
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 9 months ago

          im kidding but there is possibility

      2. Ten Season Wonder
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        He should play. Rose played 90m midweek

        1. Jebiga
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 9 months ago

          and when is the game against juventus ?

          1. Ten Season Wonder
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 9 months ago

            Next Wednesday, why? are you suggesting Rose isn't good enough to play against them?

  20. @fpl_phenom
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    DDG
    VVD Otamendi Bauer
    Salah Sanchez Walcott Sterling
    Ayew Kane Firmino

    Elliot Ogbonna Milli Holgate

    Thinking this for -4 ....
    Sterling & Holgate> Shaqiri & Davies

  21. sergioaguero67
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Which teams have a blank GW 31?
    And which teams have a DGW in the near future?
    Can someone please elaborate?

    1. Ten Season Wonder
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      just check the website for GW31 fixtures.

      DGWs are generally 34 & 37

  22. FPL ZB
    • Has Moderation Rights
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Azpi to Dawson make sense?

  23. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Hi guys, flying out for my bachelors weekend later today and havnt had a chance to think about my team. 1FT

    Adrian— foster
    Alonso Cedric Gomez Dawson — Duffy
    Salah Son Sterling hazard — Ibe
    Kane Firmino — quaner

    Am worried that Gomez/son/Sterling might not start...gut tells me they all will though but I don’t have a great bench.

    A: Save FT
    B: Son/Sterling >> Walcott/siggy/shaqiri
    C: Duffy >> Watford/stoke/Everton def

    1. HNI
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Son to wally
      Then after city vs stoke do sterling to shaq

  24. PlayPercentage
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Burnley are a selling club. They will sell Heaton in the summer and keep Pope.
    Heaton may get a run of games at the end of the season. To get him back in the England squad, and put him in the shop window.

    1. HNI
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Heaton to Liverpool makes sense if liv are smart.

    2. Ógie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      They are blessed with two great goalkeepers.
      It would be a shame to have either of them on the bench.

  25. dimitros
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Transfer out:
    A)Ogbonna
    B) Holgate?

    Currently thinking of B because Holgate is currently not playing. But i want to be sure i will not do the mistake of transferring him out and he starts playing, especially in GW31.

  26. Dele
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Who to bench...

    Walcott or C.Wilson?

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Not much init. Flip a coin

  27. _figu
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Pickford
    VVD Alonso Ogbonna
    Salah KDB Mahrez Shaqiri Lingard
    Kane Firmino

    Elliot Kenny Quaner Duffy

    1 FT, 0.6 ITB
    Is this good enough to save?

    1. Old Wulfrunian
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      yes

  28. George James
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Bench one

    A) Allen
    B) Azpil
    C) Niasse

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      B I guess.

      1. Z3US
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 9 months ago

        B - am doing same. Even putting Azpi after Ogbonna on my bench.

  29. FPL FREAK
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Ddg.
    Jones. Otamendi. Dunk. Bardsley. Brad Smith.
    Salah. Sterling. Arnautovic. Mikhitaryan. Mcarthur.
    Aguero. Kane. Wilson.

    0.1 in bnk...

    What move should I made...??

    Thinking of doing Jones> Lowton/Ward and Mikhitaryan > Mahrez

    But that gives me 2 Burnley defs.. What say...??

    1. _figu
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Wouldn't double Burnley

  30. FPL Marc
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 9 months ago

    Is anyone else thinking of doing my plan: WC now, because those with good fixtures now are also set for DGW34?

    I'm just desperate to get rid of Walcott, Choupo, Wilson, Ogbonna, Alonso etc.

    Lloris, Hennessey
    Jones, Monreal, Fernandez, Dummett, Mariappa
    Salah, Hazard, Arnie, Mahrez, Kenedy
    Kane, Firmino, J Ayew

    (FH31 and 4/5 transfers until DGW34 for the likes of Aubameyang, Zaha)

    1. Pompel
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 9 months ago

      Not the worst plan. GW35 could be a challenge though