Spot the Differential

Spot The Differential – Gameweek 31

While we have a limited pool of players to choose from this week, we are still confident our trio of differentials can deliver once again.

A returning Crystal Palace attacker tops the bill, while a West Brom forward and a Liverpool defender are also backed to produce.

Wilfried Zaha

After supplying an assist on his return from injury in last weekend’s 2-1 defeat to Chelsea, Crystal Palace’s Wilfried Zaha could be a powerful differential in Gameweek 31.

The Ivory Coast international is expected to return to the starting XI for this afternoon’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Eagles boss Roy Hodgson is likely to continue with a 4-4-2 formation and Zaha could be handed a start alongside either Christian Benteke or Alexander Sorloth up front.

Despite injuries limiting him to just 20 starts this season, Zaha sits second for penalty area shots (36), shots on target (15) and chances created (38) among Palace players.

He may have managed just four goals and as many assists so far, but Zaha’s minutes per shot (61.7 to 41.6) and minutes per chance created (80 to 48) are both up from last season, when he supplied seven goals, 11 assists and a career-high 149 points.

Owned by just 6.0% of Fantasy Premier League managers, Zaha promises to be a key influence against Huddersfield.

The Terriers kept a clean sheet at home to 10-man Swansea City last weekend, but they had conceded eight goals across their previous three matches at the John Smith’s Stadium.

Zaha’s 3.6 points per match is superior to any other Palace attacker and, at just 6.8 in FPL, he represents a stand-out differential option.

Salomon Rondon

With two goals from his last five Gameweek starts, and faced with a favourable trip to Bournemouth, West Bromwich Albion’s Salomon Rondon is worth a look.

The Cherries have mustered a single clean sheet from their last 17 encounters, while they rank first for the most shots conceded inside the box (43) and big chances allowed (16) over the last four Gameweeks.

Eddie Howe’s side have also conceded the most headed chances this season with 82, which is a weakness the 6.0-priced Rondon can exploit.

The Venezuelan’s numbers in recent weeks underline his status as the Baggies’ main attacking threat.

His nine shots inside the box over the last four Gameweeks put him fourth among players with a Gameweek 31 fixture, while no team-mate has registered more than three penalty area attempts.

With an ownership of only 1% in FPL, Rondon can be a real difference maker in Gameweek 31 for those maverick managers amongst us.

Virgil van Dijk

Liverpool’s star-studded attacking trio are garnering much of the interest ahead of this evening’s home meeting with Watford, but Virgil van Dijk is unfortunate to be on the periphery of our thinking.

The centre-back has been brought in by just 29,000 managers since Saturday’s deadline, which is less than a tenth of the interest there has been in team-mate Roberto Firmino.

Indeed, he is only the fifth most transferred-in Reds player.

But with the potential to deliver points at both ends of the pitch, the 7.7%-owned defender is worthy of taking up one of our three Liverpool slots.

Jurgen Klopp’s side boast the third strongest home defence, having conceded just 10 goals at Anfield.

Eight of their 12 clean sheets have come in front of their own fans.

Today’s opponents Watford travel to Merseyside having scored just two goals in their last eight away matches.

So the omens for defensive returns appear strong, while van Dijk has offered a real set-piece threat after joining from Southampton in January.

Since making his Reds debut in Gameweek 24, van Dijk has produced nine shots, with eight of those coming from inside the penalty area.

Only Leicester City’s Harry Maguire (11) and Burnley’s Ben Mee (nine) have registered more penalty area attempts among FPL defenders.

Offering arguably the best chance of both defensive and attacking returns of any defender in the reduced Gameweek 31, the Dutch international makes the decision on the three Liverpool slots a difficult one.

2,383 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Now I'm Panicking
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any bad snow anywhere? Just had a couple of inches in Surrey (also had a bit of snow too)

    1. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      OI OI SAVALOY

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      😆

    3. Les Bleus
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Convientently timed for the first post of the page

  2. Cocky Spaniel Alves
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Either or both of Zaha and Benteke worth a hit?

    1. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hits are very worth it this week. It’s a small risk but with decent reward imo.

    2. Gaffers
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes, if you're wildcarding afterwards. Debatable if you're not, could turn into another hit to get them back out.

      1. Richd
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        True. Valid point!

  3. FDMS All Starz
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Plan: Kane & Lingard-->Wilson/Mounie & Stanislas/Bolasie (-4)

    Pope-Elliot
    Robertson*-Zanka*-Davies-Dunk-Mbemba
    Salah*-Sterling-Lingard-Son-Hazard
    Quaner*-Kane-Firmino*

    1FTs & 0.0itb

    Does this team need a -8 or a FH?

  4. Jimmy Boy
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone feel like Defoe could start today crushing those who brought in Wilson?

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes

    2. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Maybe, but he won't last 90 mins

  5. Lloyd Xmas
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Keep an eye on the weather.
    https://twitter.com/htafcacademy

    1. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      That’s Norfolk

      1. Richd
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Norfolk enchance of a postponement

      2. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        *Suffolk

        1. Richd
          • 11 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Ah crap. Huddersfield will get called off then. My apologies

    2. Lloyd Xmas
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      This is at Ipswich BTW.

    3. wulfrunian
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Noooooo

  6. Weilong7
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    ake/a.smith?
    zanka/schindler?

    in for a hit..

  7. Fantasy Gold
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Ah thank god the deadline has passed!

    Pens down lads

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Really?

      1. Richd
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        It’s 2pm deadline. Don’t worry

    2. mcrayeps
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      i could still change my captain 😉
      must be a bugs

    3. Page 302
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Fantasy FA Cup?

    4. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Ok

  8. CloudSky
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone capping Choupo Moting?

    1. Sparkys Barmy Army
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Bloody hell

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        lol

      2. CloudSky
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        😎

  9. Richd
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Losing my virginity went on for like 2 hours. Bought numbing gel condoms. Fail.

    1. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Reply fail ..

      1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Fail fail

    2. XabiAlonso
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Best reply fail ever

    3. Speédy
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Massive reply fail 😆

    4. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Subtle I’m not a virgin brag

      1. SADIO SANÉ
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        😀

      2. Now I'm Panicking
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        That's what they all say

    5. Brap.
      • 7 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Should've let him buy his own

      1. Richd
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Your dad is very thrifty with money and I didn’t wanna risk it without

  10. arndff_
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Think to do those moves:

    Hazard, Kane > Stanislas, Mounie (-4pts)

    So my squad’ll look like this:

    VvD Schindler
    Salah(c) Walcott Shaqiri* Stanislas
    Firmino(vc) Mounie Quaner

    G2G?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Gtg

    2. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Personally don't think mounie is worth a hit. Get a mid instead like zaha

      1. Limited & Mediocre Mana…
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        lolwut

      2. arndff_
        • 12 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I must ditch Mahrez in that case. However, I’m not using my WC next GW, so it’s not an option.

        Mounie has to make 1 assist to justify the hit. 🙂

        1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
          • 6 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Oh fine. I am wilcarding next week so going zaha for mahrez. Then fine

    3. CRO KLOPP
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Good moves

  11. Salarrivederci
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    FH team:

    Butland
    A. Smith - PVA - Baines
    Zaha - Mane - Salah - Stanislas
    Mounie - Firmino - Wilson

    (Pickford, VLP, Coleman, Schindler)

    Team next week:

    Lloris
    Otamendi, Lascelles, Mee
    Sterling, Salah, Mkhitaryan, Richarlison
    Vardy, Firmino, Aubameyang

    (Speroni*, Moses, Simpson, James)

    No need to WC next week right? Just save BB, TC and WC for the DGW?

  12. Prison Mike
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    I hope that Defoe tweet doesn't mean he's starting!!!

    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      He will start

      1. FPL Virgin
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 7 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        You really are a ball bag, aren't you.

    2. Krafty Werks
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Hardly means he's starting does it? Will prob get 15/20 mins late on when they're either 2 goals to the good or in need of a winner.

  13. Babyangus01
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Help lads, 2 ft, is it worth doing RLC to Stanislas or should I get Baines instead. Other transfer will likely be Mounie in

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Baines

    2. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Rlc is back

      1. Babyangus01
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I know. hence the dilemma, will he play a big part? I have a horrid feeling Stanislas could score big. Coulkd have both and not get Mounie

  14. supersham
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Happy saint Patrick Van Aanholt day everyone. Pint?

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I’m going to have a pint for every point PVA scores.

      Here’s to being hammered.

    2. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I’m still torn between him and Baines. I already have Coleman. This is my only decision.

  15. Smurf
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Pickford
    VVD / Keane / Shawcross *
    Salah / Mane / Walcott / Stanislas / Shaqiri *
    King* / Quaner *

    So above is my current team. I’m wildcarding for GW32. Should I take a hit to get an extra player out considering my doubts. Getting Mounie in is my favoured plan but it seems like I should get a defender as Shawcross is very likely to be out. How unlikely is Shaqiri to play?

    1. Sparkys Barmy Army
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Stoke players are gtg

      1. Smurf
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 14 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        What?

  16. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Is Wilson a doubt?

    1. Harry Ball Bag™⚽⚽…
      • 14 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Yes Defoe to start

      1. XabiAlonso
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Defoe to defo start tho?

        1. Ha.
          • 8 Years
          6 years, 1 month ago

          Defo Defoe

    2. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      now this puts a spanner in the works doesnt it peeps 🙁

  17. lordkippe
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    looking at taking 2 hits next week to avoid WC. Got 11 players this week. Does it make sense to take 1 hit for next week now ? As I am in a good position already

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      How does that make sense?

  18. Mahesh_Kumar
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Swans lineup please.

  19. how now brown cow
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Wait. Kane's not playing?

    Tactical?

    1. El-Kloppico
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Testicle

  20. FDMS All Starz
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which one?

    A) Kane-Lingard-Mbemba--->Mounie-Stanislas-Adam Smith (-8)

    B) Kane-Lingard--->Mounie-Stanislas (-4)

    C) Kane-Lingard-Sterling-->Mounie-Stanislas-Bolasie (-8)

  21. Bruno Bruno!!
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    PVA worth a punt ?

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      *pint

  22. Viper
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Thanks for the reply, Pat Bonner. I have nothing tied up in either, which is why I'd like to buy back tomorrow for cheaper

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Go for the hit if you think it will pay off although wouldn’t be too hung up on value at this stage of season. Especially with Kane out

  23. ZeBestee
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    FH team:

    Butland
    Coleman Smith Baines
    Salah Mane Shaqiri Walcott
    Firmino Wilson Mounie

    Lossl Zaha PVA Schindler

    Rating out of 10?

  24. Jimmy Boy
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Which two would you pick from the following:
    - Mounie (CRY)
    - King* (WBA)
    - Defoe (WBA)
    - Wilson (WBA)
    - Tosun (sto)
    - Benteke (hud)

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Defoe and Wilson

      1. El-Kloppico
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        one of them will get only 10min imo

  25. the dom 1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    D Silva > Stanisla for - 4?

    worth it?

  26. ooooo
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    KDB + De Gea to Zaha + Butland -4 and then wc?

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Do you not want DDG on a WC?

      1. ooooo
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        I do...

  27. FPL Virgin
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Where are the mods? Please crack down on the idiots who are scaremongering.

    1. Fantasy Gold
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      lol

    2. Richd
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      It’s hardly scaremongering and people have posted tweets saying it’s on.

      It’s good to hold transfers a couple more hours if possible that’s all.

      Remember when evertons scoreboard fell down ?

  28. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
    • 6 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Will zaha 100% play??

    1. Ha.
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      I 100% can not confirm this

      1. IAWC ( It's a Wonderfu…
        • 6 Years
        6 years, 1 month ago

        Lol

  29. Wild Rover
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Unless they are both starting, one of Wilson or Defoe is trolling

    1. Now I'm Panicking
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      Or they are just updating their social media

    2. I Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 1 month ago

      By saying they're ready for the game? Even if you're on the bench you have to be ready don't you?

  30. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 1 month ago

    Any defender not from Liverpool worth a hit? 9 players this week.