The Pre-Match Preamble - Gameweek 38 Opinion
28 April 2018 1877 comments
Mark Mark
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I’ve been shocked by the impact of the last few Gameweeks.

This period of the season, notable for the Double Gameweeks and blanks, has always troubled me. While I acknowledge that they bring the Fantasy Football season and communities to life, I’m also wary of the advantage that they present to myself and other managers who study and plan around them.

When the Triple Captain and Bench Boost chips were added to our armoury, those concerns were magnified further. Now it appears that the Free Hit has sharpened those weapons.

Quite frankly, I don’t feel that I deserve to be ranked just outside the top five thousand managers. It feels far too kind.

I set myself high standards and this season has felt like a disappointment. Memorable Gameweeks have been rare and, in the main, it feels like I’ve been treading water.

Looking back, while I avoided the pitfalls of #Kaneixt and benefited from that rather cruel twist, the Spurs striker has still done for me.

My unshakable faith in Kane’s ability to explode points and outscore Salah as a captain – particularly over a run of three double-digit scores for the Egyptian from Gameweek 26 – should have inflicted irreparable damage.

I felt it had. It seemed that a rank of around 30k was now the only realistic target, with any hope of edging into the top 10k abandoned.

But I’d played down how this period of the season can transform matters.

Three of my top four weekly scores have this season have arrived in the last four Gameweeks. The Double Gameweeks, blanks and chips have changed everything.

I’ll take some credit; there were some decent transfers and my solid preparation for Gameweek 31, allowing me to reserve the Free Hit for last weekend, was perhaps a turning point.

But may gains over these last few weeks are still surprising, with my current position feeling almost unjust as a summary of my season.

Before the chips were introduced, we would surely define a top 10k finish as an outstanding campaign. But with them, I’m wondering if we should be aiming higher.

In some of my mini-leagues, it’s a different story. Up against managers with great experience and pedigree, my rank shrinks back to mediocrity.

There are many proven FPL managers placed above me – Jay Eggersdorf, Jack Wain, Mark McGettigan (aka FPL General) – to name just three – who have, once again, experienced fantastic campaigns, pushing up into the top 1000 and beyond.

This is no accident. There is now a structure and formula used to build a strong FPL season and these guys have it cracked.

An early Wildcard and a consistent selection of the optimum captain can hopefully achieve a 10k rank by Gameweek 30. After that, the fixtures and chips can take over and help push on towards a three-digit finish.

Of course, it’s not that simple, and the achievement should still be applauded. However, I wonder if, like me, experienced FPL managers are now redefining their view of a “good” and “bad” season.

I’d be more shocked if any of that aforementioned trio of managers ever slipped to a finish outside the 100k, than if any of them won the FPL crown. Was that the case a few seasons back?

It feels like something has changed.

It seems that there is now a proven strategy for the final set of Gameweeks; it works and works well for those willing to invest time and effort.

I can’t deny that it’s been fun, but now we almost need a new ingredient to shake things up.

A Premier League winter break might do that. Early season chips would certainly change the landscape.

Something needs to disrupt the pattern of a Fantasy Premier League season before we all start getting a little too comfortable.

Mark Mark created the beast. He's now looking to tame it.

  1. jacktaylor
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Barnes or Milli to score more points this week?

    1. Bobby_Baggio
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Barnes

    2. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Tough call, thinking Barnes

  2. Bobby_Baggio
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Would you make any changes to this WC team? Emphasis on DGW as i am BB. Thanks.

    DDG - Fab
    Smalling - Dummett - Vert - Monreal - Naughton
    Lingard - DSilva - Son - Arnie - Sterling
    Jesus - Kane - JAyew

    1. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Gotta have Salah if you’re on WC. Will Monreal play as well? Looks good otherwise.

      1. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Going without Salah now mate - going ballsy

      2. Bobby_Baggio
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Monreal will play both in DGW week - arsenal going out of cup IMO

        1. Les Bleus
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          If you’re confident, then looks good.

          1. Bobby_Baggio
            • 14 Years
            7 years, 7 months ago

            Yea got to be. Cheers Les Bleus

  3. Desperately Seeking Dusan
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Which two defenders to play from:
    Lowton
    Cedric
    Duffy
    Maguire

    1. Pariße
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Lowton and Cedric

      1. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Cheers. I had Cedric and Maguire but was having doubts over the latter reading Jonty stats on Brighton away.

      2. Desperately Seeking Dusan
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Great advice given telling me to keep Maguire benched. Appreciated.

        1. Pariße
          • 10 Years
          7 years, 7 months ago

          NP, sorry about Duffy, was wrong there.

  4. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Who is in leaked Liverpool team today?

    1. Fantastisk
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      SALAH (C)

    2. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Mark Lawrenson starting

    3. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Danny Ings

      1. PDM TOP 1,000 any Season rc…
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Karius
        TTA Gomez VVD Klaven Moreno
        Henderson Wijnadum
        Salah Ings Bobby

    4. Takedog1
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Firmino playing?

  5. FrankieTheGent
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    For ML chasing reasons my captaincy is on Eriksen. I also own Son and Mark seems to be punting Son as a potential differential captain.
    Do I stick or twist?

  6. Pique Blinder
    • 7 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is shoehorning Kane in to my team for a -12 hit worth it, or wait until next week?

    would mean selling Firmino

    1. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Absolutely no way in the world ever.

    2. Belsunz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No way

    3. Botman and Robben
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      If you want to go down in OR, then yes.

  7. Vpan
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    No City, no Liverpool, no FT

    A) Vardy -> Jesus -4

    B) Mahrez -> Sterling -4

    C) Lukaku + Mahrez -> Jesus + Salah -8

    D) No hits -> Behind the couch

    1. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      D methinks.
      C if you want to gamble

    2. The Hoff
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Very same dilemma. B or D

  8. ILOVEBAPS
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Score predictions for...

    Liv v Stk
    Cpl v Lei
    Swa v Che

    3 - 1
    1 - 1
    1 - 1

    1. Athletic Nasherbo
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      2-1
      2-2
      1-2

    2. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      0-1

    3. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      2-1
      3-1
      0-2

    4. Dsmythy
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      4-2
      2-0
      1-2

  9. Athletic Nasherbo
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Alonso > Vertonghen for free?

    Or just play Morgan

    1. BEARDLESS GUY
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Do it! Get vert

    2. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Yep

  10. VDiesel26
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Ddg
    Smelling lowton Davies
    Mahrez son Willian Salah
    Barnes Jesus kane(c)

    Ryan gross tarkowski Morgan

    £0.5m itb, any dw players worth a hit or g2g?

  11. davies
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Swansea or Newcastle defence?

    1. Ruinenlust
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Swansea

  12. The Hoff
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Hi all, I've got a truly terrible team... no city and no Salah, although currently 3k overall. What would you do with this lot?

    A. Mahrez->Sterling
    B. Mahrez/Alonso/Willian->Salah/Sterling/4m
    C other?

    De Gea // Ryan
    Alonso / Smalling / Morgan / Lowton / Vertongen
    Mahrez / Eriksen / Willian / Gross / Matic
    Kane / Vardy / Barnes

    0.7 ITB

    1. thischarmingman
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Nice rank with no Salah 😮 I'd look to get him back in somehow.

    2. DF
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      C. Alonso William to Kompany Sane

  13. OldBenKenobi
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Jack Stephens nailed?

  14. nicecat
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Smalling / Rudiger / Maguire / Cedric

    Son / Alli / Sterling / Lingard / Kenedy

    Barnes / Kane / Jesus

    Bench one. :>

  15. thischarmingman
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Either move worth it for a hit? Got no city.

    A) Lingard > D Silva
    B) Willian > Sterling
    C) Mahrez > city mid

    1. Bubbles1985
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Mahrez to Sane

  16. RESULT
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    1.Alonso Mahrez to Vert Eriksen
    2.Alonso Willian to Davies Son

    Pick one. Thanks

  17. Fantasy Gold
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Mark: ‘poor me I’m only ranked just outside the top 5k’.

    😆

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      lol at his rank.

    2. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      With all that inside knowledge he should be doing better 😉

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        And his tweaking of the bonus system 😉

    3. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      He needs to take a long hard look at himself.

    4. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 18 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I wasn't saying that, I was saying that the season felt like a 30k one but the chips and DGW's have changed that.

      I'm questioning whether that's necessarily a good thing if we end up coming to expect it every season.

      I needn't worry, I'm sure my GW will give me a red arrow and drop me back.

  18. Hansel
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Is Lukaku -> Jesus a no brainer?

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      no-brainer
      nouninformal
      something that requires or involves little or no mental effort.

      1. Fantasy Gold
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        lolz

    2. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      for free yes.

    3. ILOVEBAPS
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      No

    4. Weasel Boy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      50/50

    5. pjomara
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      think Lukaku will outscore Jesus. 60 min for jesus

  19. GuillermoDickero
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Final Spurs spot...

    A) Eriksen
    B) Vertonghen

    1. Thiga
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      AAAAAAAAA

    2. Belsunz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Eriksen

  20. Champions united
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Any news in Leaked liv lineups

    1. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Salah starts

      1. Champions united
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Captain kane or salah

    2. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Karius, Trent, Gomez, Van Dijk, Klavan, Moreno, Henderson, Wijnaldum, Salah, Firmino, Ings.

      1. Takedog1
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Is firmino playing?

  21. Sendmelentils
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    There's a post on reddit suggesting David Silva isn't starting this Gameweek

    1. :
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      He's in Spain.

    2. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Sterling then

    3. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      There's a tweet on Twitter suggesting he does.

      1. Dsmythy
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Another suggests he's decided to be the first man on Mars and that is where he currently is. We'll find out soon enough.

    4. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      That is correct

    5. the dom 1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      link please?

      1. Sendmelentils
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Unconfirmed- David Silva not playing this week

        Renowned member of bluemoon and friend confirmed hes not playing this GW

        view his profile here [http://forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk/members/bluwhit.38382/](http://forums.bluemoon-mcfc.co.uk/members/bluwhit.38382/)

        https://www.reddit.com/r/FantasyPL/comments/8fisn4/unconfirmed_david_silva_not_playing_this_week/

  22. Saïss Doesn't Mat…
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    The Kane or Salah conundrum is nail-biting. Knowing myself I'll probably captain the one that scores 2 points gosh

    1. Champions united
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Let me know whom u are giving rhe arm band 🙂

  23. pjomara
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Thoughts please, twice unresponded...

    YES or NO, Mahrez to Salah this week for -4, will really be -8 if counting selling Salah again next week?

    ddg
    Lowton Tark Bavies
    Son Lingard Mahrez Willian
    Lukaku Vardy Kane
    sub: Ryan, Chilwell Christensen King
    0 ft, 1.9 itb, WC left

    next week Lukaku + Willian-> Jesus + Sterling.

    1. waterboy
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      are you buying him to block someone in a mini league? If so it may be worth it, if not it probably isn't, as long as your Captain scores as well as Salah does if you don't have him.Hope that made sense

  24. Bubz
    • 12 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    I agree with mark. Anything other than a top 1k rank is frankly embarrasing and should be ashamed of yourself

    1. Hybrid.power
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      This

    2. Les Bleus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      🙁

    3. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Belze(bubz)

    4. Epic Fail
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      +1

    5. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      lol

    6. FPL_Hazards
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Well especially for him, FPL is his life

    7. DA Minnion (Former great)
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      I'm lashing myself as we speak.

    8. Bubz
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Hulk this mods

    9. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Only 0.0169% of players are in the top 1K

    10. Mark
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 18 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Heh. Not quite. But I bet your own personal rank target gets lower every season.

      Is that because we are getting better as managers, or because the game has made it easier for experienced managers to get an advantage?

      1. Bubz
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I see what you’re saying in the article, and totally get your point, however I think you ran the risk of alienating a lot of managers who have struggled this season. Personally I do actually aim for top 1k, hoping for my 3rd in the last 4 years. Whether or not it’s getting easier or not, I’m not sure. I think it’s mitigated by there being more information available to the masses and there being simply more people playing the game. I would argue that it was easier to get a higher rank 5+ years ago, when the ffs community was smaller

  25. DanLFC1
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Willlian or Gudmo this week?

  26. JustPark
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    DDG
    Chiwell, Bavies, Long
    Son, Mahrez, Willian, Gudmundson
    Kane, Kaku, Barnes
    (Ryan, Lingard, Fernandez, Alonso).

    Which one of Willian/Mahrez to Sterling?

  27. joinho
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Do we know the liverpool lineup yet?

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Only the leaked one

      1. joinho
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Would that be the one from anfield express?

        Karius, Trent, Gomez, Van Dijk, Klavan, Moreno, Henderson, Wijnaldum, Salah, Firmino, Ings.

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      Where’s Breadbin when you need him

      1. DF
        • 12 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        I saw him below the line at the guardian a couple of years back

  28. Mrjamman
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Play 3?
    A)Cedric
    B)Chilwell
    C) mustafi
    D) smalling
    E) lowton

    1. Syd.
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 7 months ago

      A,D & E

      1. Mrjamman
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 7 months ago

        Thanks yes was thinking that way. I have DDG in goals over Ryan hoping ManU will keep a clean sheet.

  29. Blue Gaffer
    • 15 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Play Gundogan Gross or Schindler

  30. Abusive_Sgt_Daelrhos
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 7 months ago

    Repost sorry

    Gtg this week? Is Sane too risky?

    Ddg
    Lowton,Morgan,Naughton
    Salah(C),Son,Willian,Sane
    Kane,Vardy,Barnes
    Sub:Ryan, Kenedy, Dunk, Alonso