Spot the Differential
13 May 2018 3273 comments
James H James H
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Sunday offers us a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

In recent seasons we’ve witnessed a goal rush in Gameweek 38, so we’ve opted for two French threats from Manchester United and Arsenal, while Liverpool’s cut-price full-back also finds a place in our selection as a result of his attacking prowess.

Alexandre Lacazette

While team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is the most transferred in-forward this week, it shouldn’t be forgotten that Alexandre Lacazette has also been in sensational form for Arsenal.

The French striker has produced five goals and one assist over his last five appearances and, after being rested for the 3-1 defeat to Leicester City, he should return for today’s trip to Huddersfield Town.

Lacazette is likely to start as the central striker for the Gunners, with Aubameyang playing from an inside-left position.

Interestingly, Lacazette has the edge in terms of minutes per shot between the two, averaging an attempt every 31.7 minutes, slightly superior to Aubameyang’s 33.

Although Arsenal have failed to win a single point on their travels in 2018, the fact the Terriers meeting is Arsene Wenger’s final match in charge of the club should provide strong motivation to end the season on a high.

The party atmosphere at the John Smith’s Stadium in light of Huddersfield securing Premier League safety could also be a factor.

The Gunners registered an emphatic 5-0 win when the two teams met earlier in the season, with Lacazette on the scoresheet.

Priced at 10.3 in FPL and ending the campaign full of confidence, the striker looks to have the platform to produce a third consecutive double-figure haul.

Owned by only 7.4% of managers, Lacazette is a player who has the potential to be a game-changer, particularly if he is also considered for the captaincy.

Anthony Martial

With Jose Mourinho revealing that Anthony Martial will be in his line-up today, the midfielder enters the equation as a final day gamble.

The France international has had limited first-team opportunities since the arrival of Alexis Sanchez in January, but the Hornets match-up looks crucial if he is to prove he has a long-term future at Old Trafford.

Martial has produced nine goals and six assists this season, while his average of a goal every 175.7 minutes is only bettered by Marouane Fellaini (153 minutes) among United players.

Watford travel north with just a single point gained from six away matches since Javi Gracia took charge, and having conceded ten goals in away defeats to top-six sides Arsenal, Liverpool and Tottenham Hotspur.

Available at 7.8 in Fantasy Premier League (FPL), Martial may be an option for managers who can afford to upgrade underperforming players such as Chelsea’s Willian.

With an ownership of 2.5%, the Frenchman represents a major differential for Gameweek 38.

An impressive record against Watford adds to his appeal. He has produced a goal and an assist in the corresponding fixture last season, which Mourinho’s side won 2-0, while he also netted in a 4-2 victory in the reverse fixture in November.

With a point to prove and an FA Cup final spot to play for, Martial fits the profile of a potentially explosive differential.

Trent Alexander-Arnold

While an extended run in Europe has blunted Liverpool’s attack of late, their defensive record at Anfield remains resolute.

Jurgen Klopp’s side have recorded four successive home clean sheets ahead of a visit from a Brighton side that rank joint-bottom for goals scored (ten) on the road.

With that in mind, we’re turning to Trent Alexander Arnold (5% ownership) as our final selection.

Having started only four of the last seven Gameweeks, the youngster’s acquisition admittedly comes with a slight caveat.

But with the Champions League final against Real Madrid taking place 13 days later, we reckon that the Reds’ manager will field a full-strength line-up to ensure a top-four finish.

This should see Alexander-Arnold return to the back-four, having been stationed in central midfield against Stoke City and Chelsea.

Over his last four at Anfield, the right-back is second only to Mohamed Salah when it comes to key passes (seven to eight) for the Reds.

Compared with other defenders over their respective last four home matches, he is placed fourth for both key passes and crosses (28).

Handily, his FPL output has profited from those underlying numbers – Alexander-Arnold has served up 29 points in his last four home fixtures, bagging maximum bonus on two occasions.

Second only to Patrick van Aanholt for transfers-in among defenders, a cost of only 4.4 looks ideal for those seeking to free up cash while recruiting a player with the potential for double figures.

  1. Catastrophe
    • 14 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Any changes worth a hit? 0 ITB.

    Romero
    Vertonghen, Otamendi, TAA, Lowton
    Zaha, Eriksen, Sterling, Salah (C)
    Kane, Jesus

    (Ryan, Mustafi, Barnes*, Kenedy*)

    Cheers

    1. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Nope. Gtg.

      1. Catastrophe
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers.

  2. si
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 16 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Rashford (c). Let’s go.

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Hopefully you can survive for next 2 hours

    2. Fantasy Gold
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Wow. Nice one. Good luck.

    3. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Having him is enough differential imo.

  3. pakornk
    • 9 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Surely either Salah or Kane hauls today. Such a difficult decision who to give the captaincy to.

    1. Catastrophe
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Salah for me!

    2. Park the bus
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      go Kane. i've gone Salah and my captaincy picks this season have been abysmal

    3. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Salah. Especially with Poch rotation rumours around.

      1. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Hi, what rumours?

    4. CloudSky
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Probably the one thats been doing the hauling this year.

  4. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Ryan
    Vert Alonso Long Lowton
    Salah (c) Sterling Son
    Ayew Kane (v) Jesus

    Ddg* Lingard Ki Morgan. 0ft.

    Gtg?
    Right bench?

    1. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Gtg, I am starting DDG just in case and Ryan will sub on anyway

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Yes - makes sense.

        1. Eddie
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Unless Romero goes off with an injury after 30 mins.

    2. JB_FC
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      I've got same team apart from Arnie for Son. I was thinking of starting Lingard over Lowton just in case he plays?

    3. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Gtg. Please help me below. Ta.

  5. Reckoner
    • 8 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    And the last question: Who would you omit from thse 5 defenders (I'm starting 4-3-3 due to shortage of starters)

    Alonso - Long - Fernandez - Tomkins - Francis

    I'm edging towards benching Francis - low attacking threat, and less probable CS....

    Thanks!

    1. Catastrophe
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Yep, Francis.

    2. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Francis easily

    3. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Frans

      1. Reckoner
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Thanks, so gtg definately.

        Good luck!

  6. Hanniballus
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    7 years, 6 months ago

    Anyone else not convinced by Kane as (c)? He hasn't had a double digit return since GW 23. But he has produced returns in his recent home matches, except against city. This makes me think sterling is a better option for the captaincy if you are chasing and your rival captains Salah.
    Or am i just overthinking it?

    1. Holmes
      • 12 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Nope, Sterling is a good choice

    2. MTPockets
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Also going Sterling.

    3. smithsj1
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      So got Barnes who I can switch to Ings

      or

      maguire to Blind.

      Decisions decisions

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Ings may not start if mane is fit

        1. Jairzinho
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 15 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Mane won’t play today, according to inside sources.

          1. TrollMasterDeluxe
            • 7 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            Source?

            1. Jairzinho
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 15 Years
              7 years, 6 months ago

              Adriancocking_ in twitter

        2. CloudSky
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Might not start even if he is not.

      2. Buck The Trent
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        B

      3. Big Sum
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        maguire to Blind

      4. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        try vokes

      5. Hairy Potter
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Talk that Lallana may play if Mane ruled out

    4. Weeb Kakashi
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Who has the edge here?

      15 points +
      Ryan
      TAA Chambers Vertonghen Tarkowski
      Hazard Sane Salah
      Kane(C) Jesus Ayew

      VS

      Ederson
      Tomkins Naughton Mustafi
      Arnautovic Zaha Salah Sane
      Kane(C) Auba Firmino

      1. Mike82
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        B I think

    5. GreenArrows
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Did Willian > Arnie

      Going to be mad if Willian starts and Son is benched (keeping Son)

    6. Buck The Trent
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Laca or Firmino ?

      1. Mike82
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Bob

      2. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        laca probably, by a hair

      3. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Bobby

      4. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Choose Laca as more. differential. Please help me below. Ta.

    7. Big Col
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Any thoughts on this?

      A) Lingard to Gudmundsson (-8 for the week)

      B) Play Maguire & Cedric (bench Lingard)

      1. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Maybe other choice than Gudmundsson?
        Please help me below. Ta.

    8. barracuda
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Would you play

      A- Bavies

      B- Fernandez

      Got Fab in goal. Cheers troops

      1. Buck The Trent
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A

        1. barracuda
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          You think he will start? Rose worries me, could be his farewell match.

      2. CloudSky
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A

      3. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A and hope he will play, he has high celling. Please help me below. Ta.

    9. Rhodes your boat
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Should I take a -4 to do Ddg and Vardy to

      A) karius and bobby
      B) Hennessy and laca
      C) don’t take a hit

      1. Mike82
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        I’m prob gonna do exact same to A or I may do Hennessy and Firmino

      2. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A or B, B if you have Salah imo.

      3. GOTHAM City F.C.
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A

    10. TrollMasterDeluxe
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Pick a captain
      A) Kane
      B) Sterling
      C) Arnautovic
      D) Zaha

      a few points in difference between ML rival, he will probably C

      1. Kane
      2. Salah (If he brings him in for a hit)

      1. Mike82
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Sterling

    11. Lord Flashheart
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      gross and vardy to zaha and rashford for -4

      yes or no?

      1. Carcetti
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Yep

      2. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Difficult choice-not sure I would

        1. Lord Flashheart
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 13 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          its either take a hit or play austin...

      3. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Yes. Please help me below. Ta.

    12. jazzy30
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      JAZZY30 13th May 2018 10:22
      That time of the year!
      DDG, RYAN
      Lowton, Christensen, vertonghen, chilwell, maguire
      son, salah, lingard, wilian, mcarthur
      jesus, kane, barnes

      I have triple captain chip left. Thinking of a -8 to get Arnautovic, TAA and one of Martial/Zaha/David silva in the team..please suggest!!!!

      thinking of taking our lingard,wilian and christensen for above subs..please help guys!

      1. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Good moves, but not Dilva. Please help me below. Ta.

      2. GOTHAM City F.C.
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Arnie + Zaha

        Not sure if -4 is worth to replace Christensen

    13. SuperMane Returns
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      7800 seconds til pens down!

    14. Tommy J
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 16 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Who would you prefer today?

      A Jesus
      B Vardy

      1. Positive vibes
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A

      2. Carcetti
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Jesu

        1. Tommy J
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Thanks Guys

      3. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        a

    15. Positive vibes
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Hi, kindly need your view, which is better combo?
      A. Adrian/Hennessey, Martial
      B. Romero, Zaha

      If A, please choose with Adrian or Hen.

      Thanks and have a great gw 38 guys 🙂

      1. Carcetti
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        B

      2. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        B

      3. Lord Flashheart
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        B

        thou martial is a great punt, but the romero swings it for me

      4. Big Col
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        B

    16. Carcetti
      • 14 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Guys,

      A) Pogba Out for Zaha + Vardy Out for Lacazette (-8)

      Chasing a 20-point lead. Lead by 9 points from 3rd.

      1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 11 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        I’d only do that if you were going to captain Laca.

        1. Carcetti
          • 14 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          I'm triple capping Salah

          1. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 11 Years
            7 years, 6 months ago

            I’d just do Pogba to Zaha then.

            Vardy loves scoring against he top 6.

    17. chaser123
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      News about Vertonghen possibly being benched is worrying me....

      My defensive is Alonso | Vertonghen | Mawson | Simpson | Chilwell

      Considering Chilwell is out and Simpson is a risk, should I do Chilwell to TAA for -4? I guess it comes down to the likelihood of TAA getting more than 4 points?

      1. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Don't take hits on defenders

        1. Tommy J
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Unless as an enabler for a must have

      2. Tommy J
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 16 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Doesn't make sense-4 points is a reasonable core vs the 'possibility' of 6

        1. Tommy J
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 16 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          *score

    18. J ⚒ Gimme ur Mané
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Haven’t kept up with any pressers this week, was there anything about Alli?

      Can’t see him being a risk of not starting?

    19. ryacoo
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Does anyone have the Poch quote about playing Foyth? Seen a few mention that Vert might be a risk now but can't find the quote.

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Is he a CB?

        1. ryacoo
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 9 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Think so. Just found the quote: “I think Juan Foyth deserve to play and he is doing fantastic and I will repeat that so maybe, I am thinking, maybe it is not crazy to see a player like him or Kyle Walker-Peters in the starting XI.”

    20. WE GO FOR IT
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Pick 2 of these as differentials:

      A. Martial
      B. Mkhi
      C. Ramsey
      D. Lanzini
      E. Mata

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A C

      2. Carcetti
        • 14 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        A C

      3. WE GO FOR IT
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Cheers both! 🙂

    21. dunas_dog
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      A Smalling to TAA and Gudmundsson to Ramsey

      Or

      B DDG to Karius and Smalling to VVD or Robertson

    22. gilean
      • 8 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Vardy + Pogba - > Salah (C) + Ayew for -4, or just Pogba to Arnie/Zaha and captain Kane?

      1. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Get Salah

    23. KJT123
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Mourinho is the ultimate troll. Expect DDG and Smalling to play.

      Remember Jones red flagged and still played?

      1. ⭐ Bemba_Da ⭐
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Wouldn't surprise me but I am getting rid

      2. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Possibly but not taking that risk as no bench back up

      3. GreenArrows
        • 9 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Also said Shaw is one of the best defenders during one of fridays pressers and then doesn’t even have him in the team at the weekend

    24. manu4life99
      • 15 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      Any 5.4m defenders worth a 4pt hit for Schindler?

      1. Collie01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        TAA maybe

      2. dunas_dog
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 10 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Robertson

    25. Bring the Cavalry
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      D.Silva expected to play today then?

      1. Epic Fail
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        He's in Spain apparently.

        1. Patch
          • 8 Years
          7 years, 6 months ago

          Apparently...

      2. barracuda
        • 8 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        Not in the country

      3. Big Sum
        • 15 Years
        7 years, 6 months ago

        no

    26. Atimis
      • 9 Years
      7 years, 6 months ago

      GTG???

      No hits this week I think, want to secure top 10k.

      Ryan
      Tark/Lowton/Vert/VVD
      Salah(c)/Sterling/Son/Arnie
      Kane/Vardy

      DDG/Gross/Morgan/Barnes