Selection

Injuries uncover budget differentials for Double Gameweek 35

As we come to the business end of the season, one last opportunity presents itself to score 100+ points in a matter of days and to ultimately gain lost ground in mini-leagues through Double Gameweek 35.

With the exception of Arsenal, none of the top six teams has what I would consider reasonable back-to-back games during this period.

It makes it all the more important to look out for those differentials that can provide an extra edge.

Here are three low-owned players that may be of interest to you…


Nacho Monreal

Price: £5.4m

Ownership: 1.3%

DGW35 fixtures: Crystal Palace (home) | Wolves (away)

There is no denying that Arsenal have struggled defensively this season. They only kept their first away clean sheet in the league on Monday night (the last team to do so) and that was against a 10-man Watford team.

However, things are beginning to click with their backline after registering three clean sheets in their last four games. They missed Laurent Koscielny for most of the season which meant that at times they struggled with a makeshift defence, but now that he has re-established himself in the side, they are making improvements.

Nacho Monreal (£5.4m) has been an ever-present for the majority of this calendar year. Although his offensive prowess has not yielded much in the way of attacking returns this season, he did score five goals and two assists in the 2017/18 campaign.

One thing of note compared to last year is that Monreal is getting more of his touches on average in the final third (20% v 15.5%), which shows that he is still able to reach the right places and in turn it underpins his four attacking returns since August. The Spaniard is more than capable of adding to that tally before the end of the season.

As for Arsenal’s next two opponents, Crystal Palace have only scored three goals at the Emirates since February 2014 and Wolves are averaging less than a goal per game from Gameweek 30.

Both of these reasons, combined with Arsenal’s recent defensive form makes Monreal viable even if Arsenal’s European commitments are due to continue into May.



Abdoulaye Doucouré

Price: £5.9m

Ownership: 2.8%

DGW35 Fixtures: Huddersfield (away) | Southampton (home)

Abdoulaye Doucouré (£5.9m) has been flying under the radar this season and it’s a surprise that his ownership is so low.

The Watford midfielder is one of the highest FPL point scorers in 2018/19 among those in his position that are priced at £6.0m or below.

Doucouré’s heatmaps for the 2016/17 campaign (left) and 2018/19 season (right)

Just from his heatmap alone, you can see how much of a box-to-box midfielder he really is compared to the role he fulfilled in his first campaign in English football.

It is possible that the first impressions he gave off back in the 2016/17 season have stuck with some FPL managers who may not realise how advanced he is now actually playing.

Doucouré has had three shots on target in his last four games, two of which were converted into goals, although he didn’t score for the first 14 Gameweeks.

With Deeney suspended and questions over the fitness of Deulofeu and Pereyra, I expect Doucouré to step up again.

Of course, he seldom starts in a traditional attacking midfield role which is a cause for concern, but he is venturing into the penalty box quite often.

Do not underestimate his importance to Watford’s overall gameplay.

The Hornets’ are playing one of their Double Gameweek 35 matches away from home, the other at Vicarage Road.

Their upcoming opponents have conceded a combined total of 56 goals in 17 Huddersfield home matches and 16 Southampton road-trips since August. I would expect Hornets to score against each of them and given Doucouré is the most likely to start both matches, he feels the Watford asset with the lowest risk attached to them for this Double Gameweek.

Fernando Llorente

Price: £5.1m

Ownership: 0.9%

DGW35 Fixture: Manchester City (away) | Brighton (home)

If there’s one thing we’ve learnt over the last seven days it’s that Tottenham don’t have to rely solely on Harry Kane for their goals.

Mauricio Pochettino’s men have scored seven goals in their last two games.

Fernando Llorente (£5.1m) was involved in two of those goals, which is significant considering that for most of the season he’s effectively been a utility player.

He’s only mustered 13 goals in 58 competitive appearances for Tottenham but you can’t expect much else from a player that doesn’t regularly start in the Premier League.

If his short stint at Swansea was anything to go by, it shows the Llorente can score a goal on average almost every other game in England’s top flight.

Furthermore, in his last string of Premier League starts between Gameweek 23 and 26, the veteran forward recorded a goal and three assists.

The only concern is that even with Kane out he isn’t guaranteed to start as shown on Wednesday night with his game-changing substitute appearance.

It will be interesting to see how Tottenham will play against Man City in a matter of a few days.

This match, as well as their second match against Brighton, are key for their Champions’ League aspirations next season.

With Kane highly unlikely to be involved in Double Gameweek 35 (or the rest of the season for that matter), Llorente is the ideal budget attacking asset from a top-five team.

920 Comments Post a Comment
  1. bigbudgie
    • 9 Years
    5 years, 2 days ago

    Writing this down really helped me to see what a ridiculous question it is:
    A) Salah/Ings
    B) Firmino/KDB
    B just means no Sterling/Salah, but have Mane and Aguero

    1. bhh
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      Nah go A for the culture

    2. MGMT
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      Have exact same doubt... currently B

    3. Robson-Canoe
      • 8 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      Definitely B for me

  2. bhh
    • 5 Years
    5 years, 2 days ago

    Thinking ahead to FPL 19/20, are there any players from the teams who are likely to be getting promoted that you think you'll buy?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      Pukki getting a lot of mentions on here.

      1. wander
        • 8 Years
        5 years, 2 days ago

        This is a bit sad talking about next season. Obession levels are high on here

        1. bhh
          • 5 Years
          5 years, 2 days ago

          Nah I'm just bored out of my mind staring at books

      2. bhh
        • 5 Years
        5 years, 2 days ago

        6 mil or less and I'm definitely choosing him. I remember choosing Van Wolkfswinkle years back and him scoring week 1

    2. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      Grealish.

      1. FPL Pillars
        • 7 Years
        5 years, 2 days ago

        Ewww

        1. GreennRed
          • 12 Years
          5 years, 2 days ago

          Good player, attacking threat. Cheap!

    3. S.Kuqi
      • 11 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      Pukki is first name in my team.

    1. how now brown cow
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      Essentially no easy way to predict...

  3. Miguel Sanchez
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 2 days ago

    Which scores more this GW:

    A) Vardy (whu) and Pogba (eve, MCI)
    B) King (FUL) and Hazard (BUR)

    Basically who shall I lose for Sterling? Pogba or Hazard.

  4. abaalan
    • 8 Years
    5 years, 2 days ago

    Final decision... Deeney and camarasa to
    A. Ings and brooks
    B. Ings and Redmond
    C. King and hojberg

    Thanks

    1. bhh
      • 5 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      A

    2. Cabellafan
      • 9 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      B

    3. BAMBAA
      • 7 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      B

  5. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
    • 7 Years
    5 years, 2 days ago

    Really stuck on this one:

    Hazard or Son (-4)?

    1. GreennRed
      • 12 Years
      5 years, 2 days ago

      Son.

    2. Party time
        5 years, 2 days ago

        Hazard

      • Krafty Werks
        • 9 Years
        5 years, 2 days ago

        Son

        1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
          • 7 Years
          5 years, 2 days ago

          Thanks, as in Son is a hit (own Hazard currently)

          1. Party time
              5 years, 2 days ago

              The Belgian

              1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Thanks mate

                1. Party time
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    Hazard is flagged bud. Just seen that

                    1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                      • 7 Years
                      5 years, 2 days ago

                      Yes someone sent me a tweet with a quote from Sarri saying he should be fine

          2. BAMBAA
            • 7 Years
            5 years, 2 days ago

            Son

          3. Party time
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Haz

            • Cabellafan
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Son

            • Party time
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Eden

              • SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Thanks all, bit sure if it's clear but currently own Hazard, so the switch to Son will be a 4 point hit.
                Still worth it?

                1. Ruinenlust
                  • 6 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  No way

                  1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                    • 7 Years
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    Thanks

              • Robson-Canoe
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                I've got Hazard and no Son. Definitely keeping Hazard.

                1. SEXY SOLO SAUCE
                  • 7 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  Thanks that's helpful

            • Plymouth
              • 11 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              KBD (TOT, mun) or Mané (car) this GW?

              1. how now brown cow
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Kevin be druyne

            • Krafty Werks
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Which do you prefer? Not only for this week but looking forward? Thanks.

              A - Eriksen & Gray - no hit

              B - Firmino & Doucoure -4

              1. dunas_dog
                • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                A for this week

            • Cabellafan
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Deeney and Duffy - - > Ings and Monreal good moves? Was wondering about TAA, but Gomez back makes me worry

            • Ribus
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Who do you think is more risked to get rotated one game. Verthongen or Laporte?

              1. Cabellafan
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Laporte I think.

            • Kroos Kontrol
              • 11 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Not sure if I can fit Aguero into this lot. Where would you go? Wilson seems the best bet. BB 0.3 itb!

              Foster Ryan
              Vertonghen TAA Coady (:/) Valery DUFFY
              Eriksen Son KdB Sterling Mane
              Vardy Jimenez DEENEY

            • Kobrakai
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              I already used my BB last week. I an considering TC on Sterling.

              Alternative is to flip it and see what I lose vs BB'ers this GW (5 points ahead only in mini league and he still has both chips)

              What do you think?

              Sure he is no rotation risk with his form and the title race / CL exit? U never know with Pep tho :-/

            • Anathallo
              • 14 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Ok, getting close!

              A) AWB, Dunk, JWP
              B) Valery, Dunk, Kante
              C) AWB, Cathcart, Kante

              And then I'm done!

              1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
                • 6 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Cathcart over masina?

                1. Anathallo
                  • 14 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  For me yes. More nailed till season end and has goal threat.

                  1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
                    • 6 Years
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    Ah yes, if it's for the season you're right. C for me

              2. Robson-Canoe
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                A for me. I like JWP.

            • smix
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Vardy to
              A. Wilson
              B. Laca
              C. Firmino
              D. Llorente ?

              1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
                • 6 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Bobby dazzler

            • VanDijksToWatchOutFor
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Is captaincy consensus still jimi? Must be a few tempted by son and sterling.

              1. how now brown cow
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Reckon I'm going kun or sterling

              2. bhh
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                I have no idea for captain this week. I'm tempted by Son again for this week.

                1. VanDijksToWatchOutFor
                  • 6 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  I've fallen into this trap too but I feel like people are thinking way harder about their deeney /Duffy replacements than captains who will account for more points

            • SpaceCadet
              • 10 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Best differential forward to complete this front 8? Budget 7.2m

              Eriksen son kdb martial Jota
              Laca Firmino xxxx

              1. bhh
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Jiminez

                1. theodosios
                  • 6 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  36.4% TSB, not quite differential

            • theodosios
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Fanderson(ugh) >> Doucoure for a hit?

            • Dacra
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Should I do Hazard and Murray to Eriksen and Jiminez for - 8?

              1. Ohh1454
                • 6 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Is it a possibility to just do Murray > Jimenez ?

                1. Dacra
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  Nope can't afford.

                  1. Ohh1454
                    • 6 Years
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    I think Jimenez definitely pays off and although getting rid of haz before burnely isn't ideal considering Spurs fixtures even after the DGW I would do it

            • Ross From Friends
              • 5 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Would you do Eriksen & Deeney > Llorente & KDB?

              Can't do a straight Deeney to Llorente because i already got triple up Spurs

              1. Ohh1454
                • 6 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                If not for a hit I would

                1. Ross From Friends
                  • 5 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  Sadly it's for a hit 🙁

                  1. Ohh1454
                    • 6 Years
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    I'd probably keep eriksen so and look at someone else in that price range to replace deeney

            • Ohh1454
              • 6 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Will BB36. Gtg ?
              Foster
              Vert Boly Valery
              Kdb Sterling Eriksen Son Jota(TC)
              Aguero Jimenez

              1. Ross From Friends
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                bold move but it could very well pay off based on Jota's current form

            • smix
              • 8 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Is Femenia expected to start both games ?

            • Here's Tom with the We…
              • 12 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              Help??
              Really stuck on who to go for, changed my mind about 50 times!

              Deeney to...
              A Gray
              B Llorente
              C Ings
              D Rondon

              Captain
              A Kun
              B Sterling
              C Son
              D Jimi

              1. bhh
                • 5 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                C and C

                1. Bennerman
                  • 5 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  Music Factory

                  Anyone?

            • Dacra
              • 9 Years
              5 years, 2 days ago

              No City, Lacazette triple captain.

              It's a make or break week for me!

              1. tokara
                • 9 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                could be gold

              2. Party time
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  Emery sends his thumb up

              3. Daghe Munegu
                • 7 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Will Bednarek Masina and Wilson score 8 more pts than Duffy Dunk and any forward up to 5.9M ?

                1. bhh
                  • 5 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  Yes. Duffy and Dunk will probably only score 1 max from their 2 games again

              4. smix
                • 8 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Deulofeu fit now ? Should I hold ?

                1. tokara
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  nobody koes

              5. Perthite
                • 13 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Just do Deeney to a 9.9m max for free or Deeney to Aguero and find 1.8m somewhere else by taking a hit?

                Foster Ryan
                Robertson Doherty Duffy Valery Bednarek
                Salah Son Sterling Jota Camarasa
                Lacazette Deeney Jimenez
                1FT 4.0m

                1. tokara
                  • 9 Years
                  5 years, 2 days ago

                  firmino

              6. MGMT
                • 11 Years
                5 years, 2 days ago

                Why is hazard flagged?

                1. Party time
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    wOw. I've just seen this also, a knock is what the fpl site says but I'll wait for an update from Sarri/ any Chelsea source before I make a move

                      1. Party time
                          5 years, 2 days ago

                          Thanks bud. I'll keep most likely. I can't afford a -8

                    1. Miguel Sanchez
                      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                      • 7 Years
                      5 years, 2 days ago

                      Cause he got kicked a lot yeaterday. He should be fine.

                  • JustPark
                    • 8 Years
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    Kiko Femenia or one of those Southampton defenders for under 4.6?

                  • Edpremium
                    • 5 Years
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    is gw 35 good for a bench boost?

                    1. how now brown cow
                      • 9 Years
                      5 years, 2 days ago

                      As always, depends on your bench

                      1. Edpremium
                        • 5 Years
                        5 years, 2 days ago

                        duffy snodgrass boruc kabasele

                        1. how now brown cow
                          • 9 Years
                          5 years, 2 days ago

                          And how many points do you expect to get from them?

                          Is there a better gw fixtures wise?

                          1. Edpremium
                            • 5 Years
                            5 years, 2 days ago

                            i dont think so m8... i want to get this dgw.
                            my team is
                            patricio
                            mendy robbo kolasiniac
                            son pogba mane jota
                            vardy auba wilson.

                            1. how now brown cow
                              • 9 Years
                              5 years, 2 days ago

                              Go for it then. Good luck!

                  • dunas_dog
                    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
                    • 8 Years
                    5 years, 2 days ago

                    Which Arsenal player is likely to benefit most from Ramsey injury in game time? Mkhitaryian and if so does he become option?

                    1. Edpremium
                      • 5 Years
                      5 years, 2 days ago

                      Mkhi & Ozil

                    2. Ohh1454
                      • 6 Years
                      5 years, 2 days ago

                      Could see ozil starting against palace and miki against wolves