Spot the Differential

Three Gameweek 6 goalscorers have FPL differential potential

Once again the differentials stole the show as three players with an ownership of 3% or less ended up among the top six points-scorers for Gameweek 6.

This demonstrates that there’s more out there than having to plod along with the standard template team. Of note, Nicolas Pépé (£9.4m) did this column proud as he took and scored a penalty for Arsenal, thus ensuring that at least one of our differentials per week has delivered a Fantasy return since the opening weekend.

Can we continue the run? Here are three low-owned players to take into account for Gameweek 7:

Andriy Yarmolenko

Price: £5.9m
Ownership: 1.0%
GW7 opponent: Bournemouth (a)

There aren’t many midfielders priced at £6.0m or less that have the pedigree to score goals on a fairly regular basis and, going by the form book, it’s becoming hard to ignore Andriy Yarmolenko (£5.9m).

Had it not been for a serious injury last October, he would have been a mainstay in West Ham’s team during the last campaign. His international acumen is also very respectable, with 36 goals in 81 senior appearances for Ukraine. He’s scored two goals in his last three Premier League games and is the Hammers’ joint-second outfield FPL points-scorer, despite not playing at all during Gameweek 1.

Barring any injuries, Yarmolenko ought to be a regular starter. The fact that he has yet to play a full match since his return is a minor concern but also unsurprising as a way of him being managed accordingly.

He’s playing in an advanced role, as you would expect, with 83 of his 160 touches from the final third. West Ham are due to face Bournemouth this weekend, who have yet to keep any clean sheets. This should bode well for Yarmolenko as both he and Sebastien Haller (£7.4m) will look to exploit the vulnerabilities in the Cherries’ backline.

Chris Wood

Price: £6.2m
Ownership: 0.8%
Gameweek 7 opponent: Aston Villa (a)

Prior to last weekend, you would have been forgiven to think that Ashley Barnes (£6.6m) was the only striker leading the line for Burnley this season. After all, Chris Wood (£6.2m) had failed to register any attacking returns until his brace at Carrow Road.

Priced at £0.4m less than Barnes and with considerably lower ownership, Wood is an alternative option into Burnley’s attack.

Despite having 11 fewer shots on goal than Barnes this season, he boasts a better shooting accuracy than him (50% v 43%). Looking at last season, Wood only scored two fewer league goals than his strike partner and you would expect them to complement each other up top.

Like Barnes, Wood has started every league game this season so in theory shouldn’t be at risk of rotation. This is all the more apparent as Burnley don’t have any European commitments this season and were knocked out of the League Cup in August.

Between now and Gameweek 14, the Clarets have a generous fixture run during which they only face one team that finished in the top five last season. This could act as a platform for Wood to score more goals.

Of course, he’s never scored more than ten goals in a Premier League campaign but due to the reasons stated he can be a potential short-term option in the weeks ahead.

Wesley Moraes

Price: £6.0m
Ownership: 1.8%
GW7 opponent: Burnley (h)

Aston Villa were unlucky not to get a positive result against Arsenal having been 2-1 up until the final ten minutes of the match.

The Villans have so far scored six Premier League goals this season and that’s in no small part due to Wesley Moraes (£6.0m).

Among strikers priced at £6.0m or under, none have had more shots on target than him (seven) and he is joint-top in that bracket for goals scored (two) since Gameweek 1. Unless Aston Villa sign someone during the January transfer window, he should be their main striker until the end of the season – which also makes him a viable option.

Despite receiving ample support from the likes of Jack Grealish (£5.9m) and John McGinn (£5.7m), the concern so far for Villa has been their lack of goals scored, which has been costly and is partly why they currently are 18th in the table.

However, it’s not all doom and gloom. If they are going to score, Wesley will be possibly involved in some shape or form. They could very easily double their goals tally in their next three league games against Burnley, Norwich and Brighton.

This could serve as a potential platform for Wesley to become the next bandwagon if more of his shots on target can be converted into goals.

Lessons learned from Gameweek 6:

1,872 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Jon Snow
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Apparently Lanzini is fit and in the squad list

    can't decide if this is a good or bad thing, was just about to ship him to Mount for a hit but guess he'll stay

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Keep then

    2. bench boost for every gamew…
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      good for haller owners, the amount of sellers of haller to abraham could be left furious saturday evening

      1. Markus
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        I am a haller remainer (over pukki til next week) but not exactly confident. The last two games they haven't been particularly threatening despite scoring two last week out of the blue really.

  2. Coys96
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Starting Kelly over Cantwell makes sense right?

    Sakho + Tomkins possibly out. No goals for Norwich in last 2 away games and looked awful against Burnley. Already have Pukki which would mean doubling up on Norwich attack. Kelly most likely plays 90 or not at all, meaning Cantwell would come on as first sub anyway...

    Thoughts? 🙂

    1. Pooodle
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Yes it probably does considering Norwich's away form

  3. A Team Of James McCleans
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Adrian
    Lowton Rico Kelly (Montoya Lundstram)
    Mane Sterling Salah Cantwell (Stephens)
    Auba Barnes Pukki

    2FT (although I'll hold one unless necessary) + 1.1ITB

    Is Montoya to Tomori worth a transfer or should I deal with more pressing issues?

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I'd do it

      1. Coys96
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        But I'd rather have Soy

        1. A Team Of James McCleans
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          What about Barnes -> Abraham?

          1. Coys96
            • 6 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            Yes I'd defo that. Id do both transfers 🙂

  4. Wish you were me
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    1) Is keeping Bilva a good idea?
    2) How nailed is tomori to start?

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      1. If you can get him out for free I would i think
      2. Nailed for next few

  5. Big Chris Wood
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    James vs. Greenwood Talk to me, who would you play?

    I know James is more nailed but I just have a feeling Greenwood is going to announce himself against Arsenal like Wayne Rooney back in the day!

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Id want to start both

      1. Big Chris Wood
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Gonna be tough.

        Pope button
        Digne Ota TAA Lund Hanley
        Salah KDB Mount James sterling
        Pukki Greenwood Abraham

        1. Coys96
          • 6 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          Yes very. Thats very annoying. I think you have to start James but Id consider starting Greenwood over Pukki. Some would say I'm mad but could pay off massively

          1. Big Chris Wood
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            I don't think I can do it. Gonna have to bench one of the utd players, double up with their form seems cray-cray

        2. Teror
          • 9 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          This is one of those weeks where you want the All Out Attack chip back. The useless piece of shyte.

          1. Big Chris Wood
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 6 months ago

            So true I thought that earlier today!

    2. Pooodle
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      I understand the desire to see Greenwood do well, but as a United fan I think it's firstly not anywhere near guaranteed that he will start or that he will do well if he does, considering how poor we've been going forward recently.

      1. Big Chris Wood
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Your right head over dreamt headlines. Gonna be James

  6. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    All this talk about the risks of playing wildcard too early, but I’m extremely happy with my team for the long term (played WC in GW6):
    Pope
    Aurier,Soyuncu,Rico
    Salah,KDB,Son,Mount
    Aguero,Abraham,Pukki

    Button,Cantwell,Lowton,Lundstram

    Cheap defence rotating, pays off in the midfield and attack

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Thats a cracking team

    2. Sandy Ravage
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Nice!

    3. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Poor defence, good attack,

      1. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        True. I have 0.7 ITB so need to upgrade the defence

    4. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Poor defence

    5. balint84
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      keep this team, just need luck in rotation

  7. Jimmy Boy
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Was expecting to see Alonso in this week's spot the differential. Anyone else considering him as a Digne replacement?

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Not me. Too pricey for a team with no CSs this season

  8. CFC1990
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Is Digne to Alonso worth a -4?

    Still have a WC.

    Playing Zinchenko (eve), Robertson (shu) and Soyunchu (NEW).

    Bench is Rico (WHU) and Digne (MCI)

    I am thinking the hit may not be worth it but what do you think?

    1. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Digne more and likely gets 1 or 0 pt this week. What do you think Alonso might get?

      1. CFC1990
        • 12 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Hoping Zinchenko plays. May even put Rico first defensive sub

    2. SoapAFC
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      no

    3. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      No not worth it imo

    4. JBG
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      No to Alonso for - 4 imo. Chelsea can't keep a cs.

    5. One Wheels Enough
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Ota

  9. Tempestic
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Start Rico or Cantwell? (have Pukki)

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      C

    2. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      rico

  10. Coys96
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    GTG? £0.5m itb. 0FT so any transfers would be for a hit. Current OR: 397,759.

    Pope
    Trent Soyuncu Zinchenko Kelly
    Sterling Son (c) Mount
    Aguero Haller Pukki

    Button Cantwell Dendoncker Lundstram

    Haller -> Abraham for a -4 or nah?

  11. balint84
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    A) Zinchenko to Otamendo
    B) Coleman to Otamendi (save Zinch)

    1. Coys96
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      B

  12. Union_Jacks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    It’s nice seeing everyone taking hits to your players.

  13. SoapAFC
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Best digne replacements?

    1. OPTA FPL
      • 12 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      ota

      1. Patrick Bateman
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah Ota agreed. Could save money and go Tomori / Soyunco

  14. have you seen cyan
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    theres some guy on reddit who has a good track record for knowing team sheets 15 minutes before they get revealed. He has been verified correct quite a few times now, other week he predicted KDB benching for example and Nelson starting for Arsenal.
    He should know the Liverpool line up early tomorrow and I will check it, but if I write it here there is a high chance I get banned or get lynched right?^^

    1. Cok3y5murf
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Not if you provide the source, I would guess.

    2. Rasping Drive
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Has this guy of which you speak got anything wrong this season?

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Dont think so, he normally deletes his comments after a while. As far as I know he hasnt been wrong yet. Only found him last week so I need to keep my eye on him. Seems like a nice guy tho and pretty up front

    3. ‘Tis the Season
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      ‘Some guy on reddit’ doesn’t help though does it..

      1. have you seen cyan
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        well check the FPL sub reddit tomorow ten minutes before the deadline and you will probably find his post 😛

    4. have you seen cyan
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Screw it I will be nice, this guy https://www.reddit.com/user/SamuraiGaijin/
      I suggest you just note what he says for now and see if his line ups are correct or not and then make the decision in future game weeks if he is reliable or not. But everything I saw so far makes him look pretty good
      YW!

      1. Cok3y5murf
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 6 months ago

        Yeah, I know this guy. Bookmarked him a few weeks ago when he got a United lineup correct too.

        1. have you seen cyan
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 6 months ago

          Nice!

  15. Patrick Bateman
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Current team here. Does it need a wildcard? No FT.

    Ryan
    VVD, TAA, Zinchenko
    Sterling, Salah, KDB, Cantwell, Dendonkey
    Abraham, Pukki

    (Button, Lund, Coleman, Wickham)
    0.2itb

    1. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 6 months ago

      Personally I would, i see 6 I’d want to swap so passes the threshold.

  16. Barmak
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Ryan

    AWB, TAA, Otamendi

    Dendoncker, Mount, KDB, Sterling (C), Salah

    Pukki, Abraham

    Button, Digne, Lundy, Greenwood

    Used 2FT to get Ota & Tammy for Zinch & Jimenez

    - Bench order correct?
    - Anyone better to start than Dendonck? Greenwood maybe?
    - G2G as is?

  17. Wish you were me
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    On a WC
    Which two would you pick in sterling, aguero and de bruyne?

  18. balint84
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 6 months ago

    Will Zinc drop and Ota rise tonight?