Pro Pundits - Zophar
30 January 2020 1016 comments
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Fantasy Premier League managers will have to factor an EFL Cup final between Aston Villa and Manchester City into their plans for future Gameweeks.

The Wembley encounter clashes with the Sunday of Gameweek 28, forcing Villa and City’s matches to be postponed to a later (or potentially earlier date).

What does it mean for our Fantasy teams? Well, not only will the players of those two clubs be fixtureless that weekend, the assets from Sheffield United and Arsenal, their respective Blank Gameweek 28 opponents, will be out of action too.

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Investment in the Gunners generally has remained at a minimum this season (although many are considering Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.7m) in for Jamie Vardy (£9.9m) right now) but assets from the other three teams – Kevin De Bruyne (£10.6m), John Lundstram (£5.1m), Dean Henderson (£5.0m) and Jack Grealish (£6.7m) are all in a large number teams. Furthermore, many of us have value tied up in them too.

That means that you will find it hard to sell these types of players as they will likely have a corresponding Double Gameweek in the future and it could cost a lot to buy them back in. There have been murmurs of a possible Double Gameweek 25 or Double Gameweek 26 but I am ignoring that for now as there is nothing concrete at the time of writing.

With Blank Gameweek 31 expected to ravaged by FA Cup postponements, as detailed by this article, the Free Hit chip is probably best saved for then. So the challenge for Fantasy managers is how to best position themselves to take advantage of Blank Gameweek 28 using only free transfers and the odd hit(s).

Personally, when it comes to Blank Gameweeks, I’m a firm believer in quality over quantity. Rather than take hits to field a full 11, I try to look for the assets that can go big. Getting just one or two points for showing up is not a significant advantage.

Using the Season Ticker in the Members area, I have deleted the fixtures for the four blanking teams (Villa, Sheffield United, Manchester City and Arsenal).

As expected, Liverpool sit top of the pile and it goes without saying that you should look to optimise your quota of three players. Leicester’s Gameweek 28 fixture at Norwich means that Vardy is a potential captain candidate that week and should probably be retained despite his dip in form. Defensively though, the Foxes’ fixtures do not look very promising.

Southampton seem a great team to target at both ends of the pitch after their visit to Anfield in Gameweek 25 is out of the way. Not much needs to be said about Danny Ings (£7.0m) but the likes of Nathan Redmond (£6.2m) could be a good pick as he tops the expected goal involvement (xGI) (1.05) amongst their midfielders.

Newcastle, sitting second in the ticker, are unpredictable at the best of times but, in attack, Miguel Almirón (£5.8m), at under 5% ownership, could be an effective differential.

The fit-again Jamaal Lascelles (£4.2m) looks a better bet though, with the Newcastle captain carrying significant goal threat from set-pieces as detailed by Tom Freeman in his article this week.

Elsewhere, Burnley have decent fixtures leading up to Gameweek 28 and have rediscovered their mojo.

Chris Wood (£6.2m) has the potential to deliver across this run, only Gerard Deulofeu (£6.1m) (12), Raul Jiménez (£7.6m) (12), Gabriel Jesus (£9.5m) (15) and Roberto Firmino (9.6m) (17)  have taken more shots in the box than the Kiwi (11) over the last four Gameweeks amongst forwards.

Only Sergio Agüero (£12m) (six) has scored more goals than his three too. The Gameweek 27 fixture against Bournemouth looks the best time to hop on an emerging Wood bandwagon.

Chelsea are another team with a great fixture in Gameweek 28 (Bournemouth away) but the preceding fixtures are not the best. Bit of a ‘don’t buy don’t sell’ situation there at the moment with form also not the best, especially at home. Tammy Abraham’s (£7.7m) injury is a concern as well.

While the likes of Brighton and Palace have good fixtures on paper, they are inconsistent and don’t score many goals so I see the ceiling for their attackers as quite low. Wolves’ Europa League campaign resumes after the Leicester game and given how badly it dented their reliability early on in the campaign, I’m a bit wary of their assets as well. This might be overthinking on my part though, admittedly.

In summary – don’t be worried if you can’t field 11 during Blank Gameweek 28. It’s not worth shipping out reliable assets such as De Bruyne or Henderson for. Lundstram might be expendable though, depending on whether he loses his spot full-time to the resurgent Muhamed Bešić (£4.4m).

In terms of my own team, I am inclined to ship the injured Sadio Mané (£12.3m). Though he is tipped to be back for the Norwich game in Gameweek 26, Liverpool play Atletico Madrid away on the Tuesday. The turnaround time between fixtures is the shortest possible so I really don’t think Klopp risks aggravating the Senegalese’s hamstring by starting him twice in a space of 72 hours.

Firmino’s aforementioned stats of late have been great so switching to the Brazilian using the two free transfers is an option with someone like Redmond or Adama Traoré (£5.8m) to come in midfield. I’m more inclined to double-up in defence though with Andrew Robertson (£7.0m) coming in for Çaglar Söyüncü (£5.0m) and Son Heung-min (£9.9m) for Mané.

Only Salah (16) has taken more shots than the Korean’s 13 amongst midfielders for the past four Gameweeks. Robertson has created just one fewer chance (seven) than Trent Alexander Arnold’s eight over this period as well.

That would still leave me with two Manchester City players, Lundstram and Grealish, as well as Kelly which is not an ideal situation, but still manageable with three free transfers to use before the Gameweek 28 deadline. This is how I’m currently setup before the weekend’s team news.

Which FPL assets topped goal threat, creativity and clean sheets this month?
  1. Krafty Werks
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    KWP at Southampton or Danny Rose at Newcastle interest anyone at all?

    1. La Roja
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Double meh from me

      1. Krafty Werks
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Cedric Soares at Arsenal?

    2. Vlad Tepes
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Might get KWP instead of Williams or Lascelles

      1. Krafty Werks
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Likewise!!

    3. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Rose is a shite player, mentally unfit for the highest level. Kwp could be a good pick if starting.

  2. VinMar
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Thoughts on a Mahrez punt until 28?

  3. bialk
    • 16 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Is Mane falling in price tonight?

    1. Pukki Party
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      My guess is no

  4. abaalan
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Chances of these lot playing:
    A Cantwell
    B. Sarr
    C. Lundtsram

    Any worth a hit to replace with minimal itb?

  5. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    BONG’s GONE!

    1. AC Pilkington
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      It was fun taking a hit for the Bong

    2. _Make
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      For Brexit?

  6. Strchld
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Does this look good moves?
    Mane, Kiko and Greenwood out
    Traore, Robertson and Jimenez in for -4?

    Problem is benching headache after moves when have:
    Grealish - Salah - Maddison - DeBruyne - Traore
    Vardy - Ings - Jimenez..

    Or would you get Cantwell over Traore when dont have so big benching headache? Thanks.

  7. Henning
    • 11 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Hmmm. Could Arsenal vs City be involved in this gw?

  8. JJeyy
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Is Salah really an obvious captain?

    Southampton last 4 matches - 4.75 XGA (5th best)

    Southampton last 4 AWAY matches - 3.2 XGA (Best in the league)

    Stats seem to show Southampton are solid overall, but especially away. This is probably due to style of play away, as slower buildup is more tolerated in favour of defensive solidity, something David alluded to earlier this week. At the moment I’m favouring Aguero, but wouldn’t fault anyone for captaining Salah, the safe option on paper.

    1. The Polymath
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Yes. Every team messes up sooner or later, even Liverpool will at some point this decade.

    2. Eleven Hag
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      For the same reason, looking to go with Grealish....BOU away cud suit them perfectly on the counter.....Spurs defended well agains liverpool so not very sure on aguero either

  9. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Ryan (buton)
    Lund taa sidibe(simpson soy)
    Tarore kdb mane salah (martial)
    Maupay dcl vardy

    Which?

    A) WC
    B) mane simpson -4 to robo grelish/fleck
    C) mane maupay/vardy -4 to auba grealish-fleck/son
    D) martial simpson -4 to grealish/fleck 5.4/7.1 def.

  10. Maximus Bonimus Pointimus
    • 15 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Any chance of Bale coming to the Prem before deadline?

    Both Man Utd & spurs being linked

    He was the perfect FPL player before he left - goals, assists, baps, free kicks, corners, penalties...

    Cup tied for champions league too so would never get rotated

    1. UTD - HATED, ADORED, BUT NE…
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      He’s always dreamt of coming to Utd apparently but I can’t see us spending that sort of money

    2. flipthebuzzard
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      As a Spurs fan I want it of course, but not at that wage bill.
      Can't see Levy stumping up....Or anyone else for that matter.

    3. I Member
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      The cup tie rule has changed. He would be able to play in Europe. He's also injury prone and overrated.

  11. AC Pilkington
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Would you take a hit for this team?
    If so where (got 0.6m):

    McCarthy
    TAA • Dunk • Lundy
    Salah • KDB • Lucas • Maddy
    Vardy • Firmino • Ings

    Bench : Kelly, Dendonker and Soy

    Thanks 🙂

    1. bialk
      • 16 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      No

  12. Diddi89
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Hi all!

    Has anyone thought about Pepe as their is Good fixture coming up
    And sits only 2.8% ownership.

    Already moved in auba for vardy and thinking of
    Mane out
    Pepe in

    Current rank 23k

    Ryan
    Lundstram- baldock-robertson
    Salah-kdb-mane-grealish- traore
    Calvert - auba

    Sub: kelly, aurier, greenwood

    Thanks for any advise!

    1. Nailed Jesus
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      arent you concerned about not having any players in GW28!?

      1. Diddi89
        • 8 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Thinking of either free hit or as it looks now saving FT next Gw.
        And have son or mane back again on my watchlist.

        Any suggestions for mane out this gameweek.
        Who is best to replace him?

    2. Legohair
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Yep, nice move maybe. Im thinking same to get pepe for couple weeks and then back to mane

  13. Vlad Tepes
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Would you make any changes to this WC?

    Henderson, McCharthy
    TAA, Robertson, Lundstram, Lascelles, Williams
    Salah, Kdb, Grealish, Perez, Hayden
    Ings, Aguero, Jimenez
    0,5 ITB

    Cheers

    1. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Can't fault it. 5 blankers for gw28 to think about though.

      1. Vlad Tepes
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Yeah I know but the plan is to role with Aguero now and prob transfer him out for 28 as CL starts and guess he will be prioritized there.

  14. Legohair
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Mane&Tammy(if both out) for Ings&Son/Pepe worth to take hit? Then planning to switch back to Mane later again.

    1. flipthebuzzard
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      I'd roll transfer and do for free next week

      1. Legohair
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        I have tammy, mane, chambers, cantwell all in my team. I have to make atleast one transfer. Would you sell mane or tammy if you have to choose one?

    2. flipthebuzzard
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      If no Salah I'd panic without Mane....

      Bye bye Tammy

      1. Legohair
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        I do have salah

        1. flipthebuzzard
          • 9 Years
          6 years, 11 days ago

          Tammy goes then imo

          1. flipthebuzzard
            • 9 Years
            6 years, 11 days ago

            Mane i mean (!?)

            1. Legohair
              • 9 Years
              6 years, 11 days ago

              Mane to Pepe?

  15. flipthebuzzard
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Play whom fine sirs?

    Kelly, Ings, Cantwell

  16. Flynny
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Evening....any views on this wildcard please? Looking to bb in 29 when the fixtures align

    Hendo McCarthy
    Taa robbo boly egan Stephens
    Salah kdb grealish traore fleck
    Auba jiminez maupay

    Maupay is a pre existing player and becomes ings gw26. Thanks

  17. Nightf0x
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Ryan (buton)
    Lund taa sidibe (simpson soy)
    Tarore kdb mane salah (martial)
    Maupay dcl vardy

    Which ?

    A) WC
    B) mane simpson -4 to robo grelish/fleck
    C) mane maupay/vardy -4 to auba grealish-fleck/son
    D) martial simpson -4 to grealish/fleck 5.4/7.1 def.

  18. Manani
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    didn't expect Salah TC would nearly halved my rank.
    thought most above me would have done the same this GW

    1. UTD - HATED, ADORED, BUT NE…
      • 6 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Got unlucky tbh - could’ve got at least another last night

    2. Goonsquad245
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Mane TC was equally as good if not better on paper

    3. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Lost players are casuals who capped mane instead

      1. Brosstan
        • 11 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Most*

        1. Manani
          • 14 Years
          6 years, 11 days ago

          I had both, but I was set on Salah from the start. Obviously didn't expect Mane to get injured but just feel like Salah can guarentee me something and the 'safer' choice

  19. The 12th Man
    • 12 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Best move here?
    Henderson
    TAA,Lascelles,Digne,Lundstrum
    Salah, KDB,Son, Grealish
    DCL,Deeney

    McCarthy,Mane, Greenwood,Williams 0.0m itb 1FT

  20. UnitednationsXI
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Fill in the blanks. really confused on how much to invest in my backline

    Ryan
    Taa Lundy Aurier -- Rico XXX
    Salah Grealish Kdb XXX
    Vardy Ings DCL

    A: Robbo + Martial + 1.8m
    B: Lascelles + Sterling

  21. Irish Villan 1985
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Hi Lads,

    Thoughts on this WC team...Risky with virtually no bench?

    McCarthy

    Digne, VVD, TAA

    Traore, KDB, Grealish, Salah

    Auba, Aguero, Ings

    Bench: Button, Hayden, Hanley, Tangaga (Bench Boost Played)

    1. Flynny
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Seems pointless to wildcard and have no bench options

      1. Irish Villan 1985
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        Yeah, current team has Vardy and not Auba with a full bench and enough to get 11 out for GW28 - safer option? I'd just love Auba in my team, other option is drop VVD to say Gomez or Evans?

    2. Warby84
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Digne to a 4.4 to upgrade both defensive subs

      1. Irish Villan 1985
        • 9 Years
        6 years, 11 days ago

        And keep Vardy, no Auba?

  22. The Polymath
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    BGW 28 doesn't seem too much of a problem to navigate. Anyone concur?

    1. Flynny
      • 10 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Many have several Sheffield grealish auba kdb....

      Still doable tho

    2. Brosstan
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Agreed. Very easy to maneuver... No point making a big deal about it

    3. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Very easy. Would have preferred a Lei blank.

    4. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      I have Lundstrum,Grealish,KDB with Greenwood as an unsure starter.

      Not much room to manoeuvre for me. Means no Fleck and Lundstrum might have to go for Gomez .

  23. IN SANE IN DE BRUYNE
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Starting to consider Trent for the armband this week again!

  24. Tomas_brolin
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Keep Vardy or -4 to Aubameyang or Kun? auba blanks in 28 and Kun may not start?

    Have Jimi and Ings

    Was surprised Rogers said he would only ‘potentially’ start. Thought he would be more certain after mid week

    1. Kuzser
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      I’d keep. And he will start. Pure mind games

  25. Whazza
    • 13 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    The stats are telling me to get in Son for KDB..
    Can't argue with the stats can I 😀

    KDB 0 shots in the box and 0 on target in the last 4 is not appealing

    1. Je suis le chat
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      I can't bring myself to discard the leagues best player, Kdb. Find another way imo.

    2. The 12th Man
      • 12 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Have them both

    3. Vlad Tepes
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      No stay away from Spurs

    4. Krafty Werks
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Wouldn't ditch KDB full stop, i already have Son also and he can do well in the coming weeks, i think the new signing Bergwijn will likely improve Son's FPL returns?

  26. Strchld
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Would you start Ings or Traore?

    1. Whazza
      • 13 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Traore

    2. Rash
      • 8 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Both ideally

    3. Krafty Werks
      • 11 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Traore

  27. Rash
    • 8 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Thoughts on what to do here? Was all set on bringing in aubameyang but with his blank, it means I'll be a few players short in 28.

    McCarthy
    Trent sidibe lundy
    Kdb mane grealish Salah mahrez
    Vardy ings

    Button greenwood dunk Williams

    2ft .4itb

  28. Tsparkes10
    • 7 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Hessss norweigen, Norwood and fleck are the reason we're playing in Europe next season. It's sander burgeeeee 😀

  29. jdogg
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Mane and vardy

    To

    son and aguero?

    X

    1. The Overthinker
      • 9 Years
      6 years, 11 days ago

      Yes

  30. The Overthinker
    • 9 Years
    6 years, 11 days ago

    Who would you have in your team for next 3/4 gw?

    A) mahrez
    B) Richarlison
    C) other ( budget 9.0)