Spot the Differential

Differential Sarr can sustain electric form ahead of Blank Gameweek 31 fixture

The Spot the Differentials article is on a roll with five of our last six selections providing instant returns, including four double-digit hauls.

Last time out, our tips Michail Antonio (£6.9m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) registered 11 and 12 points respectively and delivered for those managers willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three midfield picks, all of whom have ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 29.

Ismaïla Sarr

  • FPL Ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: cry | LEI | bur | SOU | che

Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m) is back on the FPL radar after Watford’s 3-0 win over Liverpool, yet surprisingly sits in just 1.9% of squads.

Making his first start since recovering from a hamstring injury last weekend, the Senegal winger played a part in each of Watford’s three goals, but realistically could have had more, drawing a save from Alisson (£6.2m) and curling a shot wide late on.

It’s now eight attacking returns in nine appearances for Sarr under Nigel Pearson, which has earnt him an impressive 57 FPL points under the new head coach.

Over that same period, amongst midfielders, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and Dele Alli (£8.3m) have been afforded more big chances, despite Sarr playing just 675 minutes.

His partnership with Kiko Femenía (4.2m) could also add another dimension to Watford’s attacking play, with the Spaniard offering more quality in the final third than previous right-back options Adrian Mariappa (£4.2m) and Craig Dawson (4.8m).

The 22-year-old will hope to continue his form when Watford take on Crystal Palace on Saturday, whilst it’s also worth noting the Hornets have a guaranteed Gameweek 31 fixture against Burnley to follow.

If Sarr can remain fit for the rest of the season, then Watford have a real chance of Premier League survival, whilst FPL managers have the opportunity to purchase a potentially explosive, kindly priced differential.

Miguel Almirón

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: sou | SHU | – | bou | WHU

For the majority of the season, Miguel Almirón (£5.8m) has struggled on the right side of a 5-4-1 set-up.

However, Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-2-3-1 in Gameweek 28 has seen Almirón take up a central role, as a no 10 – a position he thrived in for Atalanta United in MLS.

In his new role, the Paraguay international impressed against Burnley last weekend. He was Newcastle’s most advanced player, taking three shots in the box and creating four chances, whilst he had more final third touches than any of his teammates.

Despite failing to score, the system change had a positive impact on the Magpies’ attack, who looked more of a threat, mustering 21 attempts on goal. With better finishing, they could have pulled off a decent win against the Clarets.

But it was on Tuesday night the attack finally clicked, as they ran out 3-2 winners over West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup, with Almirón showing excellent composure to score two goals.

Following that haul, Almirón is now the Magpies’ top scorer this season with six goals, which have all been scored since 21st December.

Newcastle remain in a relatively comfortable league position and are only two points behind their opponents on Saturday, Southampton. Only three teams have given up more than the Saints’ six big chances over the last two Gameweeks, whilst they have often struggled against direct teams this season. With Dwight Gayle (£5.0m) looking to run the channels, it should give Almirón plenty of space through the middle, and an opportunity to build on his previous good form.

Phil Foden

  • FPL Ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: mun + ARS| BUR | – | LIV | sou

At Wembley on Sunday, Phil Foden (£5.1m) delivered a man of the match performance as Manchester City beat Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup final.

Playing as a winger coming in off the right, Foden was at the centre of everything, assisting Sergio Agüero’s (£11.9m) opener whilst almost scoring himself. He had a pass completion rate of 92%, had five shots, and now has two goals and seven assists in his last 10 starts.

Those performances suggest Foden is ready to start more often, and with David Silva (£7.3m) departing in the summer, it would certainly make sense.

The interesting news for FPL managers, is following City’s FA Cup fifth round win at Hillsborough on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola suggested Foden will play in this weekend’s Manchester derby. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll start, but with Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) a doubt for the game with a shoulder problem, and Silva having played the full 90 minutes midweek, his chances look quite high.

As for City, it’s been an impressive period following wins against Leicester City, Real Madrid and Aston Villa, and with two matches this Gameweek it looks sensible to invest in at least one of their attacking assets.

Foden is still learning, although he has already shown he is ready to shine when called upon, and could be an effective budget differential for Gameweek 29.

2,179 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Monkey Hanger
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    All those exciting transfers I could of made, and I do Holgate-Otamendi. 🙂

    1. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Everton could have a DGW34.

      Why City defence. Traps of all traps.

    2. Jullepuu
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Enjoy the 4 points

      1. Pukki Party
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Generous

        1. Jullepuu
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Cheers 🙂

        2. FOO FIGHTER
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Truth.

  2. Fpl Richie
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I can answer your question. Yes, take that hit 🙂

    1. sunzip14
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Despite owning KDB and Auba beforehand, I will likely take a -8. Such is the state of my team 😀

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cripes. What are you doing?

        1. sunzip14
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Ryan, Traore, Sidibe stinking badly

          1. Holmes
            • 10 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Traore is fit 😎 for one point.

            1. sunzip14
              • 7 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              I wish he wasn't. Traore>Sarr to enjoy his streak or play safe to enjoy the 3 pointer? I was thinking of double Wolves defense by doing Traore>Sarr and Jimmy but his early fitness is a problem now.

              1. sunzip14
                • 7 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                that was supposed to be 1 pointer. Some signs perhaps...

              2. Holmes
                • 10 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Anything wrong with Jimenez?

          2. Ask Yourself
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            I’m still stuck with Traore and Sidibe. The WORST moves I’ve ever made. In denial I own them on FH this week it’s a nice break but seeing that team pop up again next week will be tough to take

      2. kennethrhcp
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        for this week?

        1. sunzip14
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Yes, but partly in preparation for 31 as I am not using FH.

          1. kennethrhcp
            • Fantasy Football Scout Member
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            I'd nearly keep Traore tbh

            1. kennethrhcp
              • Fantasy Football Scout Member
              • 13 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              rather than a -8 this week

    2. jtreble
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I can also answer your question: statistically over 80 % of all hits (e.g., -4, -8, 12, ...) produce a red arrow. 🙂

      1. Fpl Richie
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Exactly. Please take a hit 🙂

        1. jtreble
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I see what you're doing. Clever boy ...

    3. Lignja
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Agree

  3. Tinchy770
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    For someone who has all the chips left, is the best move now:
    29: Wildcard to build strongest team possible (with Arsenal and City assets for DGW)
    31: Free hit to allow for all the blank teams
    34: Triple captain/ Bench boost for potential DGWs
    37: Triple captain/ Bench boosy for potential DGWs

    Would anyone play it any differently? Playing the WC now allows me maximum time with the best team possible, and plenty of gameweeks to bring in potential DGW players for 34 & 37... but maybe it's best to save it...

  4. KINGS
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bottomed

    Any news on Adama injury?

    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      He's fit, but who knows if he will start.

      1. KINGS
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thx

  5. sunzip14
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Double Wolves defense too much? I need a Keeper who likely returns immediately (Pope has 2 difficult fixtures) Can't take a patient approach as chasing. So, Patricio+Doherty or just get Pope for the keeping position?

    1. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I have saiss and boly until gw32 wc

  6. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Bench one:
    A) Bertrand
    B) Traore

    1. fakelund
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Traore

  7. majeci
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start Saiss or Grealish?

    1. KINGS
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Saiss

  8. JJO
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So now that Vardy's price has fallen:
    A) Iheanacho back to Vardy
    B) Iheanacho + Traore -> Mahrez + Jota (-4)

    1. Lignja
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      No one would agree but for me a.

      1. JJO
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Thanks man

  9. Jullepuu
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    In serie a they have postponed many matches because of the corona virus. What is the point? It's not going to go away in a week or two

    1. SADIO SANÉ
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      they are just playing the ones that were already postponed instead

      1. Jullepuu
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        What do you mean? Ah screw it I'll just google it to get the whole picture

  10. Sloane426
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Do you think Robertson starts?

    1. sunzip14
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      You can wait for some early team news tomorrow. No one knows at this point.

    2. JBG
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.

    3. Fpl Richie
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm readying the big Alonso button for his Villa and West Ham fixtures. Captain material. So could move early.
      I can't see it though - Alisson injury weakens them anyway

      1. pingissimus
        • 5 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Alisson injury makes the Alonso move easy I’d think.

  11. Manani
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    play Traore or Soyu

    leaning towards Traore

    1. TLF
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'm surprised he was declared fit to be honest. Wouldn't be surprised to see him on the bench

  12. Maddi Son
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Have that Friday feeling where you're not trapped by a shoddy DGW. Feels gooood.

  13. Daghe Munegu
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I have Maddison Perez and Vardy

    Would you play all 3 or get rid of Maddison/ Perez for Sarr ?

    If so which one ?

    1. DAVESAVES
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Perez

  14. ‘Tis the Season
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    i am not seeing the 'liverpool playing early' sceptics around. That always make me laugh! 🙄

    1. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fear kicks in tomorrow

  15. Kuzser
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Finalising my WC, but also how to get the best for GW31. What option would you prefer here?
    Currently on 3 myself.

    1) VVD- Doherty - Doucure- Mahrez - Dcl
    2) VVD - Saiss - Doucure - Pepe - Jimenez
    3) Gomez - Doherty - Sarr - Pepe- Dcl. In that option McCarthy needs to be 4.0 to enable Dcl Pepe->Alli Jimenez for gw31

    McCarthy- Pope
    Taa- Cathcart - Taylor - XXX - XXX
    Salah - KDB - Saka- XXX- XXX
    Auba - Jota - XXX

  16. checkit_j
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    How about this cheeky number?

    Adrian
    TAA Egan Doherty
    Salah Kdb mahrez Bruno Saka
    Auba Jota

    McCarthy - Long - Taylor - Hanley

  17. Gentle_Turks
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Already brought in Saka & Auba for hit.

    Ryan, Button
    Rico, TAA, Lundstram, Reid, Holgate
    Salah, Mane, Saka, Fernandez, Dendock
    Vardy, Auba, Jim

    A. Wildcard, load up on more DGW29 players then FH in 31
    B Hold

  18. Champions League Varane
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Start 1

    Lascelles
    Cahill

  19. Jet5605
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Afternoon all, 1 FT and 2m ITB. Which move looks best or suggestions welcome...

    A Lund > Doherty
    B Vardy > Jota
    C Ings > Jota
    D Vardy & Lund > Auba & Saiss for a minus 4 hit

    Guaita
    TAA / Robbo / Webster
    Salah / KDB / Barnes / Traore
    Vardy / Jimi / Ings

    Button / Cantwell / Williams / Lund   

  20. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    FH now brings Vardy and Perez back into my squad. Perez an easy out.

    Vardy can have his say Monday night lol.

    1. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      strange isn’t it 🙂

    2. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      You’re having quite the week. The minus 12 squad looked pretty good.

      Vardy will hit eventually I suppose

      1. FOO FIGHTER
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I want to finish top 10k so now or never.

  21. Rolls-Royce
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Can't wait to see the back of this GW!

    1. George Sillett
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Agreed. So much ridiculous hysteria over 2 teams with a double.

      1. Rolls-Royce
        • 10 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Only Auba excites me tbh.

        1. George Sillett
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Me too , keeping KDB also but that's it .

  22. Puzzle
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Vardy to Auba for free?

    1. JBG
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yes.

  23. Hotdogs for Tea
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    loving all the hits 🙂

    1. pingissimus
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      How’s the WC looking?

      1. Hotdogs for Tea
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        waiting for Fernandes and others to rise tonight before finalising it, plus try to decide what to do with KdB.

        It’s a bit tricky to finalise it but I am probably settled on

        Leno Pope
        Cathcart Taylor Aurier (have already)
        Salah Pépé Gündogan
        Auba Jota Jiménez

        other than that, all up for grabs for the final places

        May include Alsonso 🙂

  24. Alli
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Traoré > Sarr
    B) Traoré > Rodrigo
    C) Williams > Saiss

    1 FT - 1.1 ITB

    Ryan
    TAA - Dunk - Lascelles
    Salah - Mané - KDB - Fernandes
    Jimé - DCL - Ings

    Button - Traoré - Stephens - Williams

  25. La Roja
    • 12 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) keep KDB and captain Salah
    B) Sell KDB to fund Auba (c) -4

  26. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is DGW29 a conspiracy theory?

  27. Warby84
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ederson
    VanDijk Bellerin Kabasele Doherty
    Mahrez Pepe Salah
    Jota Aguero Aubameyang(C)

    Free hit at the ready... Good to go?

  28. Gudjohnsen
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Captain

    A. Salah
    B. Auba
    C. KDB

    1. Champions League Varane
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  29. farqy
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Please assist....

    A) Richarlison ---> Pepe?

    also...

    B) play Saka, or play Moura? (can't play both for logistical purposes)

    Cheers!

  30. Zladan
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Need to lose Chilwell or Traore.

    £8m budget, who do you sell and who do you replace them with?

    No LFC spots left.