Spot the Differential

Differential Sarr can sustain electric form ahead of Blank Gameweek 31 fixture

The Spot the Differentials article is on a roll with five of our last six selections providing instant returns, including four double-digit hauls.

Last time out, our tips Michail Antonio (£6.9m) and Diogo Jota (£6.3m) registered 11 and 12 points respectively and delivered for those managers willing to think outside of the box.

This time, we focus on three midfield picks, all of whom have ownership of 5% or less, who we like the look of for Gameweek 29.

Ismaïla Sarr

  • FPL Ownership: 1.9%
  • Price: £6.3m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: cry | LEI | bur | SOU | che

Ismaïla Sarr (£6.3m) is back on the FPL radar after Watford’s 3-0 win over Liverpool, yet surprisingly sits in just 1.9% of squads.

Making his first start since recovering from a hamstring injury last weekend, the Senegal winger played a part in each of Watford’s three goals, but realistically could have had more, drawing a save from Alisson (£6.2m) and curling a shot wide late on.

It’s now eight attacking returns in nine appearances for Sarr under Nigel Pearson, which has earnt him an impressive 57 FPL points under the new head coach.

Over that same period, amongst midfielders, only Mohamed Salah (£12.8m) and Dele Alli (£8.3m) have been afforded more big chances, despite Sarr playing just 675 minutes.

His partnership with Kiko Femenía (4.2m) could also add another dimension to Watford’s attacking play, with the Spaniard offering more quality in the final third than previous right-back options Adrian Mariappa (£4.2m) and Craig Dawson (4.8m).

The 22-year-old will hope to continue his form when Watford take on Crystal Palace on Saturday, whilst it’s also worth noting the Hornets have a guaranteed Gameweek 31 fixture against Burnley to follow.

If Sarr can remain fit for the rest of the season, then Watford have a real chance of Premier League survival, whilst FPL managers have the opportunity to purchase a potentially explosive, kindly priced differential.

Miguel Almirón

  • FPL Ownership: 0.7%
  • Price: £5.8m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: sou | SHU | – | bou | WHU

For the majority of the season, Miguel Almirón (£5.8m) has struggled on the right side of a 5-4-1 set-up.

However, Steve Bruce’s decision to switch to a 4-2-3-1 in Gameweek 28 has seen Almirón take up a central role, as a no 10 – a position he thrived in for Atalanta United in MLS.

In his new role, the Paraguay international impressed against Burnley last weekend. He was Newcastle’s most advanced player, taking three shots in the box and creating four chances, whilst he had more final third touches than any of his teammates.

Despite failing to score, the system change had a positive impact on the Magpies’ attack, who looked more of a threat, mustering 21 attempts on goal. With better finishing, they could have pulled off a decent win against the Clarets.

But it was on Tuesday night the attack finally clicked, as they ran out 3-2 winners over West Bromwich Albion in the FA Cup, with Almirón showing excellent composure to score two goals.

Following that haul, Almirón is now the Magpies’ top scorer this season with six goals, which have all been scored since 21st December.

Newcastle remain in a relatively comfortable league position and are only two points behind their opponents on Saturday, Southampton. Only three teams have given up more than the Saints’ six big chances over the last two Gameweeks, whilst they have often struggled against direct teams this season. With Dwight Gayle (£5.0m) looking to run the channels, it should give Almirón plenty of space through the middle, and an opportunity to build on his previous good form.

Phil Foden

  • FPL Ownership: 0.3%
  • Price: £5.1m
  • GW29-33 fixtures: mun + ARS| BUR | – | LIV | sou

At Wembley on Sunday, Phil Foden (£5.1m) delivered a man of the match performance as Manchester City beat Aston Villa in the Carabao Cup final.

Playing as a winger coming in off the right, Foden was at the centre of everything, assisting Sergio Agüero’s (£11.9m) opener whilst almost scoring himself. He had a pass completion rate of 92%, had five shots, and now has two goals and seven assists in his last 10 starts.

Those performances suggest Foden is ready to start more often, and with David Silva (£7.3m) departing in the summer, it would certainly make sense.

The interesting news for FPL managers, is following City’s FA Cup fifth round win at Hillsborough on Wednesday night, Pep Guardiola suggested Foden will play in this weekend’s Manchester derby. That doesn’t necessarily mean he’ll start, but with Kevin De Bruyne (£10.7m) a doubt for the game with a shoulder problem, and Silva having played the full 90 minutes midweek, his chances look quite high.

As for City, it’s been an impressive period following wins against Leicester City, Real Madrid and Aston Villa, and with two matches this Gameweek it looks sensible to invest in at least one of their attacking assets.

Foden is still learning, although he has already shown he is ready to shine when called upon, and could be an effective budget differential for Gameweek 29.

2,179 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DIMITRIS
    • 5 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would it be a good move if I go -4 to get Almiron instead of Adama Traore ( doubtful ? ) or to ship out Martial for B.Silva also for -4?

    1. Jullepuu
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Neither. Bilva could be alright I suppose

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      All looks horrible to me. Gotta be better options

  2. Drakey
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Injured Allison to Pope or any other keeper for a -4?

    1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Pope is solid pick

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Henderson or Pope

    3. FantasyHero
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Ederson or pope

    4. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Leno

  3. Ghost86
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    So DGW fever has hit me so would you do

    Vardy & Barnes to Auba & Saka -4?

    A) Yes (live a little)
    B) No (play it safe)

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

    2. FPLtfs
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      V and B could outscore A and S.

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        True, I can see a SGW player hammering all the DGW frenzy.

    3. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      A

  4. kamdaraji
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I live by the sword. no fun without taking hits and captaining a DGW player with a plum fixture and getting other players with two cracks of the whip! Fun times lie ahead

    1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Fun times until K.O and then dark times usually 🙂

  5. g40steve
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Can BB chip be cancelled once activated?

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      yes

      1. g40steve
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers 🙂

  6. DaisyDaisyDaisyDaisy
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I think it might be wise if building a team for 31 to just do it with a hit or two after 30. Getting in a guy who then gets injured would hurt.

    1. jtreble
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      +1.

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Save next week, do 3 the week after

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      It depends on how many players you want for GW31.

    4. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      WC now helps - can get 10 single game week players and two free transfers to cover injuries

  7. janowsc
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you save FT this week? Cheers
    Hendo
    Saiss Soy TAA
    Snoddy KDB Barnes Salah
    Kun Auba Ings
    (Pope, Hayden, Hanley, Rico)

  8. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thank you to FPLGRAHAM for the advice, just pulled the trigger on this for free, i never considered it. Wise move? Good luck all

    Enda Stevens + Bertrand > Doherty + Taylor.

  9. AchilleasP
    • 4 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Soyuncu - Boly - Barnes - Sarr

    Bench one.

  10. Wild Rover
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Any of these worth a hit?

    A) Webster to Otamendi/Bellerin (otherwise play Fernandex, expect 2pts)
    B) Bruno to Pepé (swap back in 33)
    C) KDB to Sterling

    Ta 🙂

    1. FPL Blow-In
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Hey WR. I think A could be worth a hit. Don’t like B or C for a hit though.

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Bellerin over Ota for me too

      2. Wild Rover
        • 13 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Cheers, quit fancy B as Bruno has MCI, tot then bri after blank, Pepe has WHM, mci, bri then NOR

        1. FPL Blow-In
          • 11 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I wouldn’t be too worried about United’s fixtures. In a nice purple patch and Fernandes is orchestrating it all. On all set pieces and hunting for top 4. Just think it’s a risk.

          1. Wild Rover
            • 13 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Thing is, they both play City and Brighton so it boils down to tot v WHM, NOR

    2. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      im also thinking about Ota

      1. FPL Blow-In
        • 11 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Not worried that Fernandinho and Stones might start ahead of him

        1. Wild Rover
          • 13 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I am now 🙂

        2. Christina.
          • 14 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Dunno
          Ars 2nd most headed GA conceded in last 4

        3. Taking the Mkhitaryan
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Stones isn't starting again for a while

    3. PURPLE-RONNIE
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thinking otamendi too although I’m on WC

    4. Drexl Spivey
      • 5 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      KDB to Sterling looks enticing, tbh.

    5. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      City defence is like a lucky packet.

    6. Wild Rover
      • 13 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Thanks for replies 🙂

  11. mackan
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    what about FH now and build for 31 and then TC 34 WC36 BB37

    1. The Cherry Picker
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      That’s my plan mucker

    2. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Depends on your own team. That may work as 34 is looking like a very small double so may not be worth free hitting
      Personally WC this week, 5 DGW and 9 for 31, freehitting a DGW and using frees for the other DGWs

      1. mackan
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        and TC?

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      BB37 essential IMO compiled with those who have DGW's.

      But GW38 you do not want to be left taking hits.

      1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Oh yeah i still have BB. Happy days. Forgot it even existed

      2. Jullepuu
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        FH 37 also a good option so BB 37 can't be essential

        1. FOO FIGHTER
          • 4 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          So are you going to BB 38?

          1. Jullepuu
            • 4 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            In a game week that my bench looks really good. BB 37 is only great if you wildcard really near to it. Wildcarding sooner makes your team better for many game weeks. So many great strategies this season that nothing can be essential.

            1. FOO FIGHTER
              • 4 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              WC is a tricky chip. I am not sure WC is a chip you want to use two games before the season ends.

              You should have your squad sorted out by then.

              1. Jullepuu
                • 4 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Getting 15x dgw players for gw 37 is usually really tricky if you don't wildcard near it.

    4. FourLokoLeipzig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Depends on your team I guess, but so many great fixtures this week, doesn’t seem a good one to FH

      1. mackan
        • 6 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        i just want to use all the chips and don't waste it

    5. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Bench boost DGW37 is KING complied with DGw players 😀

      You just have to figure out the your bench.

    6. Hotdogs for Tea
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      ignore 31 and plan for 34, FH in 31 and boomerang your lovely GW30 team into 32 🙂

  12. Blanka
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Would you rather,

    Play Sarr

    Or Saka (dgw)

    1. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Sarrrrr

    2. FantasyHero
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Saka

      1. kamdaraji
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        are u a Saka for punishment? In that case Saka

  13. George James
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If we get news Mane is benched would you do this

    DCL / Mane / Kelly >> Auba / Doucoure / Doherty - 8 ??

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      wouldn't. Plays GW31 and might come off the bench and score

      1. George James
        • 9 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        thanks for the reply

  14. kamdaraji
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    wow just realised I have now taken 52 points in hits. Not usually that hit crazy

    1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      What about last week?

      1. kamdaraji
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        it's in total including the -8 this week

        1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          It was a joke

    2. Bobby Digital
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      0 here

    3. farmerfat
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same as me. Took a -16 last week. I usually am that crazy

      1. kamdaraji
        • 14 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        yes live a liitle innit

      2. AuFeld
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I have a -12 minimum per game week.

    4. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      What's your overall rank?
      Probably better than mine and I've been so careful with hits!

    5. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      60 points in hits here.

  15. JurgenRodgers
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Thoughts appreciated

    Richarlison to (FH in 31)

    (A) Fernandes

    (B) Sarr

    (C) Mahrez

    1. FantasyHero
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      C B A

  16. Killitzer
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Dodgy defence

    TAA Lundy Soy Williams Lascelles

    Should i take a hit and bring in Saiss?

    1. AuFeld
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Only if you want to add to the "dodgy defenders" - definitely not worth the hit imo.

  17. Strchld
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Really would like to get Auba in, but also hate when all my other forwards have a great fixtures.

    Vardy - Jimenez - Ings

    Could do Vardy to Auba (C) for free, but it means one less for BGW31.

    What would you do? Have been thinking this last 2 days.

    1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I'd recklessly do it. Hate playing with fear

    2. Strchld
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Or would you do Bruno to Pepe? Pepe isnt so good captaincy option and would give a C for Salah.

      1. Taking the Mkhitaryan
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Bruno in form i'd keep

    3. FPL Blow-In
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Vardy doesn’t play in gw31 so not really one less unless you count the transfer itself

      1. Strchld
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Otherwise I would do Lundstram to Doherty.

        1. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Identical then

    4. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Same decision mate. Wish I could help but finding it hard to make the call. Here’s my two;

      A. Lunds >> Doherty (Salah (C))
      B. Vardy >> Aubameyang(C)

      What’s your other move?

      1. Strchld
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Excatly same. Should we jump on the same boat?

      2. Strchld
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        If I do B, I cant get Doherty in for BGW31, have to take Boly or Saiss instead.

        1. Strchld
          • 7 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          I think you will have a same problems then unless you have a lot money itb.

        2. RAFA THE GAFFA
          • 8 Years
          4 years, 1 month ago

          Yeah also the same. I tossed a coin and it said Auba if that helps 😆 really hard decision as I don’t want to FH31

          1. Strchld
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Same boat. How many you will have GW31 If going Auba?

            Aubaless 7 for free
            With Auba 6 and no Doherty for free.

            1. RAFA THE GAFFA
              • 8 Years
              4 years, 1 month ago

              Awful; 5 or 6 with Rico. So possibly 8 with transfers or 9/10 with hits

              Trent Aurier Rico?
              Salah Traore
              Jimenez

              1. Strchld
                • 7 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Yeah. So are you sure you are going to Auba and forget Doherty BGW31?

                1. RAFA THE GAFFA
                  • 8 Years
                  4 years, 1 month ago

                  Not sure at all. Stuck it on the new article. See if anyone else has some good insight/ideas

                  1. Strchld
                    • 7 Years
                    4 years, 1 month ago

                    Yeah. I could also do Barnes and Ings > Sama and Auba for -4, but not so sure is it worth it.

              2. Strchld
                • 7 Years
                4 years, 1 month ago

                Because If I pick Auba, theres no change I would transfer him out before Norwich GW32.

          2. Strchld
            • 7 Years
            4 years, 1 month ago

            Im sure that Vardy will score a brace If I transfer him out. Have a feeling that Auba will score also against City.

    5. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I took out Ings

      1. RAFA THE GAFFA
        • 8 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        I would love to do this. But it’s only possible me with vardy for me

      2. Strchld
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Same, not enough itb to do Ings > Auba.

  18. farmerfat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Is it a bad idea to buy KDB right now ?

    1. TheTinman
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Terrible one maybe probably could be

    2. majeci
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I wouldn't buy him right now with a blank coming up in 31. Better to spend elsewhere. Auba seems pretty popular at the moment.

  19. Pedram
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Give me your opinion on this wildcard

    McCarthy (Adrian)
    TAA - Doherty - Otamendi (Stevens - Soyboy)
    Salah - KDB - Mahrez - Maddison - Saka
    Auba - Jota (DCL)

    1. RAFA THE GAFFA
      • 8 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Downgrade Maddi to get Alonso in for Ota

      1. Jullepuu
        • 4 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Yeah Sarr would go there nicely. Also upgrade Adrian to Pope

    2. Maddi Son
      • 6 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Yeah x2 on Alonso.

      Also are you benching DCL next week against Liverpool? If so. that's 3 blanks in a row. How about Nketiah and Sarr instead of Saka?

  20. ChickenTikkaMoSalah
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Ings+Traore to Jota+Sarr for -4 a good move?

    1. JJO
      • 11 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Wouldnt lose Ings

  21. JJO
    • 11 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Traore + Vardy + 4
    B) Mahrez/Pepe + Jota

  22. Big_Bear
    • 9 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    If you had enough players for GW31 and zero Man City & Arsenal Players and still had FH, WC and BB would you consider free hitting this week.
    Bring in 6 DGWs?
    Thanks in advance.

    1. Easy Cheesy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 4 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      I’m in same situation, bar I have kdb. I’ve talked myself out of it. Might do a -4 for auba but no FH. Just too high a chance that games are low scoring and the opportunity cost is gw34 and gw38 (assuming you set up bb for gw37)

  23. Dele
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    G2G? Or do I need to squeeze some Arse in there, would be for a hit.

    McCarthy
    TAA, Doherty, Soy
    Salah(c), Mane, Fernandes, KDB
    Jimenez, Ings, DCL

    Button, Lascelles, D Luiz, Williams

    1. Arron Wan Bissaka Nil
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      G2G

      1. Dele
        • 7 Years
        4 years, 1 month ago

        Nice one, probably looking at Ings to Jota and then switch McCarthy out before 31.

  24. Arron Wan Bissaka Nil
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Anyone reckon Djenepo has potential as a few week punt? Seems explosive and has fantastic games

    1. AuFeld
      • 7 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      Could be a really good budget differential. What do you think about Saka?

  25. kamdaraji
    • 14 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I finally managed to fit in four premium players (KDB,Salah,Mane and Auba) with no non playing cheapies apart from Gaz in my team (cheapest players are Femenia and Lascelles which I acquired at 4.2m). I knew TV would help somewhere down the line.

    1. kamdaraji
      • 14 Years
      4 years, 1 month ago

      team now has a selling value of 104.7. Might come in handy when I'm wildcarding or freehitting later

  26. farmerfat
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Think I'm gonna use my free transfer to do Rich --> Pepe. Feels punty but too scared to get KDB

  27. Kushal
    • 7 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    Kdb to Sterling for a hit?

    No other DGW players in squad

  28. CelticBhoy1
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    A) Vardy > Auba for a -4

    B) Hold Vardy

  29. FPL Emu
    • 13 Years
    4 years, 1 month ago

    I only have Aubameyang from the DGW players, and I've made my transfer for this week.

    Should I:

    A) Free hit
    B) Wildcard
    C) Take a couple of hits
    D) Just roll with it (team linked)