Spot the Differential

Cheaper Lacazette can match Aubameyang on final day of 2019/20 season

Gameweek 38+ offers FPL managers a final opportunity to identify a differential to inspire a final push up the rankings.

Since the restart, we’ve tipped the likes of Aymeric Laporte (£6.3m), Kieran Tierney (£5.3m), Michail Antonio (£7.1m), David Silva (£7.5m), Junior Stanislas (£5.8m), Jay Rodriguez (£5.7m) and Gabriel Jesus (£9.9m), all of whom we like this week, but this time, our final three selections for the 2019/20 campaign are very much in the punt category.

As always, to qualify, the player must have an ownership of 5% or less. 

Alexandre Lacazette

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £9.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: WAT

Alexandre Lacazette (£9.2m) has had to bide his time at Arsenal this season, but in recent weeks has finally started to find some form.

It’s now five attacking returns for the Frenchman since the restart, all of which have arrived following Mikel Arteta’s decision to switch to a 3-4-3 formation in Gameweek 31+.

The new approach has provided more balance, and despite Lacazette often dropping deep to link play, he’s still managed to accumulate four big chances during that run, which is the same amount as team-mate Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang (£10.9m), despite fewer minutes.

Since the change to a back-three, only five teams have scored more goals than Arsenal, which is an ominous sign for their opponents on Sunday, Watford. To add to their worries, the manager-less Hornets have given up more big chances than any other side since the restart, conceding seven goals in their last two games, and realistically need to avoid defeat to harbour any hopes of securing Premier League safety.

Despite Arsenal being out of the running for a Europa League spot via their league position, Arteta will still be demanding a response having lost 1-0 to Aston Villa on Tuesday night, and whilst Aubameyang remains the popular pick, if funds are needed elsewhere, Lacazette is worth a look.

Gylfi Sigurdsson

  • FPL ownership: 2.4%
  • Price: £7.3m
  • GW38+ fixture: BOU

While Gylfi Sigurdsson (£7.3m) has underwhelmed for much of the season, a change in system by Everton boss Carlo Ancelotti in Gameweek 37+ may give the Icelandic international an opportunity to finish strongly. 

Since the Italian’s appointment in December, when selected, Sigurdsson has had to operate in a 4-4-2, either as part of a central midfield duo, or out on the left flank, neither of which he has looked particularly comfortable in.

However, on Monday night at Bramall Lane, Ancelotti switched things up after a dismal run of results, playing both André Gomes (£5.2m) and Tom Davies (£5.3m) behind Sigurdsson, who operated as a number 10, in a 4-2-3-1.

Suddenly, Everton’s captain on the night was finding himself in good positions between the lines, and went on to create three chances, and lay on an assist for Richarlison’s (£8.2m) winner. 

He actually could have scored himself too, had Dominic Calvert-Lewin (£6.1m) been more aware of his team-mate’s position.

Everton will finish the season in 11th or 12th spot, and entertain second bottom Bournemouth on Sunday, who need three points and other results to go their way to stand any chance of staying up.

There is no doubt Sigurdsson looks more comfortable in his natural position behind the forward, and with a share of set-pieces and penalties, could be an intriguing differential for the final round.

Trézéguet

  • FPL ownership: 1.6%
  • Price: £5.2m
  • GW38+ fixture: whu

Winger Trézéguet (£5.2m) has taken time to settle in the Premier League, but is now well on his way to becoming a Villa Park hero, having scored three vital goals in as many games.

The Egyptian has often rotated with Anwar El Ghazi (£5.2m) this season, with neither player offering any kind of consistency, but since the restart, Trézéguet ranks first amongst teammates for big chances with five, and against Arsenal on Tuesday night, was the most advanced player in a claret and blue shirt. Finally, he’s starting to deliver on that early season promise he showed against the Gunners back in September. 

Now out of the relegation zone for the first time in five months, Villa’s destiny is in their own hands when they face West Ham United at the London Stadium on Sunday, and you get the feeling they’ll need to score, having failed to keep a Premier League clean sheet on the road all season. 

To do that, they may well have to rely on wide players Trézéguet and Jack Grealish (£5.9m), with both of their forward options, Mbwana Samatta (£5.1m) and Keinan Davis (£4.2m), struggling in front of goal.

The positive for Villa is they have momentum, having picked up seven points from the past nine available, and despite inconsistencies throughout the season, Trézéguet is now stepping up, and could be a nice differential for those on the lookout for a budget midfielder.

4,295 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Gooner Kebab
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Need to free up funds.

    A) TAA to Robbo
    B) Bruno to Martial

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

      1. Gooner Kebab
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Leaning B too

    2. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. Dash444
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    4. AD2110
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    5. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    6. Tinkermania
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  2. bautasten
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    1 FT 1.1 ITB

    A) Vardy > Jesus
    B) Bruno > D. Silva

    Or for a -4:

    C) Vardy, Foden > Conolly, Sterling
    D) Vardy, Bruno > Kane, D.Silva
    E) Bruno, Doherty > Sterling, Branthwaite

    1. AD2110
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Quite like E

      1. bautasten
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Cheers

  3. FDMS All Starz
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which combo is better?

    A) Ings - Mahrez - Mane

    B) Auba - Jesus - Martial

    1. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Tough one! hope to get some early team news to make this descision for you.

    2. Dash444
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Could you have Auba Silva Martial ?

      1. FDMS All Starz
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Silva already in team

  4. Villa Velour
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    A) Doherty & Jesus -> Mendy/Davies & Kane
    B) Doherty & KdB -> Taa/Mendy/Davies & Dilva

    Good luck all tomorrow! What a season.

    1. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Why would you want to remove KDB or Jesus?

      1. Villa Velour
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        I'm preparing in fear for the early team news.

  5. Wılly
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Play
    A. DCL
    B. Foden

    1. Jealous Viper
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Anybody but DCL

      1. Wılly
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Can't be that bad, ultimate differential then

        1. Bubz
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          He is that bad

    2. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I'd go A if Foden is benched, otherwise B (obv)

    3. Dash444
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      DCL has played 9 games on the trot and not broken two points. I would love him to be a differential but he isn’t!

    4. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  6. Jealous Viper
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    No scout picks today it seems

    1. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      They are waiting for leaks too i guess 😉

    2. St Pauli Walnuts
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yesterday

  7. Burger
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    How was St Tropez watch today, did Sterling get his flight home safely?

    1. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Pictured training today

  8. Dušan Citizen
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Would you rather have Richarlison or Ings?

    1. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Rich if chasing, Ings if protecting.

      1. Dušan Citizen
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Well I am chasing 11 points to be 1st in Serbia... So not sure if I should play safe with Ings or take differential with Rich

        1. bautasten
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          Does the serbia #1 have Ings?

          1. Dušan Citizen
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            Yup

            The 2nd has free hit available

            1. acidicleo
              • 7 Years
              3 years, 8 months ago

              Then go for rich.. sheff utd can shut saints out..

    2. Jealous Viper
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Richarlison

    3. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ings by a mile

    4. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ings

    5. UnitedFan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Ings.

  9. SHOWSTOPPERRR
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    No replies

    Guys chasing 20 points...

    Rival has sterling and no pool attacker and might get Kane ..and he would tc sterling I guess...other than this we have almost similar team.. so is it good to do

    Vardy doh Bruno to auba pieters sterling and tc mane or auba for -8 ? So around 30 points final to chase.

    Need suggestion guys

    1. TorresMagic™
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Do you want Sterling to fail or it's just impossible?

      1. SHOWSTOPPERRR
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Sterling haul...Its inevitable I feel..i was hoping for the past couple of weeks and thrown away a lead of 40...

    2. Mondeo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Would prefer to limit to a -4 and keep Vardy, think he scores this week

  10. Jealous Viper
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH team looks like
    Martinez
    Pieters Bardsley Walker
    Sterling(c) Salah Silva Antonio
    Kane Auba Greenwood

    Bench- Braithwaite Williams Guendouzi so essentially no bench. Thoughts?

    1. dmirkovic1986
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dont waste man city spot with defender

  11. tommo1989
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    On free hit

    Pope, Digne, Aurier, Alexander-Arnold, Sterling, David Silva, KDB, Antonio, Salah, Greenwood, Kane

    OR

    Pope, Digne, Aurier, Branthwaite, Sterling, KDB, Salah, Fernandes, Jesus, Greenwood, Kane

    It’s Basically Alexander-Arnold, David Silva & Antonio FOR Branthwaite, Fernandes & Jesus

    1. Whiskerz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

      1. tommo1989
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Thanks mate, that’s what I was thinking. Top 5k and hoping to stay there

        1. Whiskerz
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 8 months ago

          awesome rank. Good luck. Hoping to squeeze into the top 10k myself.

          1. tommo1989
            • 7 Years
            3 years, 8 months ago

            I was top 1k until captain Bruno, Tony and Marcus did nothing for me on Wednesday haha. Not much difference between top 5 and top 10 - hope you do it!

    2. jimmy.floyd
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    3. European Bob
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  12. YoungPretender
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    GTG?

    Martinez
    VVD Pieters Bardsley
    Salah Sterling(C) Mahrez Dilva Antonio
    Kane Ings

    Martin Nketiah Lamptey Thomas

    1. Mondeo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      nice team G2G

    2. Bubz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yep

  13. Mondeo
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I am stuck big time, anyone able to save me this week? Rival has TC but otherwise dead even, looking at:

    A) Doherty > Robertson
    B) Foden > Silva (-4)
    C) Fernandes or Willian > Son (-4)

    1. Jealous Viper
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Must you really take a hit?

      1. Mondeo
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Only for the more maverick moves! Doh > Robertson feels dullard but think its the best FT move available...

        Pope
        Maguire | TAA | Doh
        Willian | KDB | Mahrez | Fernandes
        Vardy | Rashford | Ings

        ^ is what I'm working with (Basham, Saiss & Foden on the bench)

    2. Apwilkin
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

      1. Mondeo
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        thanks!

    3. bautasten
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Boring answer but I'd lean towards A.

      1. Mondeo
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        boring is sometimes good, thanks for the reply!

  14. Giovanni Giorgio
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which duo would you prefer?
    a) Sterling(C) and Wood
    b) Dilva and Kane

    1. Apwilkin
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Jealous Viper
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Who's the cap for B?

    3. Giovanni Giorgio
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Dno yet. Probably KDB, Salah or Kane

      1. Jealous Viper
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        A then

    4. Mondeo
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      actually prefer B

    5. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      That’s comparing three players vs two

    6. dmirkovic1986
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  15. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    On FH which is the better option

    A Auba + Long (triple Bur defense)
    B Martail/Richa + Robbo (double Bur defense)

    1. Jealous Viper
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Apwilkin
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B. But Bruno

    4. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  16. Apwilkin
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Having serious paralysis of decision-making here.
    Bringing in Dilva, but cant decide who to transfer out:

    A- Martial (have Rash and greenwood)
    B- Pulisic (no other Chelsea coverage)

    Thoughts?

  17. AD2110
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Which free hit team do you prefer?

    A) Son, Antonio, Auba

    Martinez
    TAA, Aurier, Pieters
    Salah, Sterling, D.Silva, Son*, Antonio*
    Auba*, Ings

    B) Mahrez, Martial, Kane

    Martinez
    TAA, Aurier, Pieters
    Salah, Sterling, D.Silva, Mahrez*, Martial*
    Kane*, Ings

  18. YouReds
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is it worth taking a -4 to replace any of these defenders?

    Pope
    Digne Doherty Egan (Saiss)

    I’m thinking bringing another Burnley defender?

    1. Apwilkin
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Nah. I dont think -4 is worth it. Any of those defenders could pull in just as much as a burnley defender.

  19. Rolls-Royce
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    FH38 folks, how we shaphing up then?

    1. Whiskerz
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Feeling settled. On this atm

      Martinez
      TAA . Bardsley . Pieters
      Salah . Sterling. Son. Dilva
      Kane. Auba . Greenwood

  20. Bubz
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Im tempted by VVD on this FH, quite fancy him to score a header against the toon

  21. Pep's Money Laundry
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I'm currently got Fabianski, are the any other goal keeper's I should consider that are 4.9 or below. I'm not really sure on Arsenal's motivation so I think I'm going to avoid Martinez

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      McCarthy

  22. RamboRN
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I have sterling kdb and mahrez. I'm looking to bring dsilva in for the last game. Which one of kdb or mahrez should make way for him?

    1. Jealous Viper
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      That's so tough. Not sure I'll like to take any of those out

    2. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Wait for team news... if all 4 start stick or at a push KDB as he play deep and may not take pen and freekicks..

  23. FOO FIGHTER
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    I say we all pick a dead team for next season, open up a league and leave it to see who takes no 1 in the end just for shits and giggles. Ha ha.

  24. More Cowbell
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Just a yes or no please team...

    Mane, Guendouzi > Sterling & Dilva (-4)
    TC on Sterling, Jimi first sub

    Pope,
    TAA, Doherty, Kiko
    Sterling, KTB, Dilva, Pulisic, Bruno
    Ings, Greenwood

    Subs: Jimi, X, X

    1. Dash444
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yes..............but I’d go Jimi over Pulisic. Soz, couldn’t help it.

    2. sminkypinky
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Yep

  25. The Dark Lord
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Play Fernandez (LIV) or Kiko (ARS)?

    1. UnitedFan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kiko if you have to.

    2. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Kiko yeah

    3. Dash444
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      I wouldn’t sweat about it, they will both get 1 or zero points.

      1. The Dark Lord
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        haha yeah, you're probably right

  26. Moresi
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Hey all!
    I’m leading by lots in ML

    Should I do salah to sterling for free? Only way I can get ster w/o a hit

    Thanks and GL gents

    1. United10
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      wait in case there are early team news tomorrow

      1. Moresi
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        Sure thing thanks. But all things being equal let’s say they both play 90 what do you think

  27. United10
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Best pick for last GW?
    a) Mahrez
    b) D.Silva
    c) Pulisic

    1. Will J 256
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 3 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    2. Pukki Party
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    3. FOO FIGHTER
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

    4. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B

  28. Scratch
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    My last FH decision basically boils down to

    A. TAA & Mahrez & Greenwood
    B. Arsenal def & Martial/Bruno & Jesus

    1. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

    2. UnitedFan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Bit tough. Maybe A.

    3. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      A

  29. Will J 256
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Is Kane and Greenwood good enough up top in a 3-5-2?

    1. 7shadesofsmoke
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Its what im on

      1. 7shadesofsmoke
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 8 months ago

        (so probably not 😆 )

    2. UnitedFan
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      Not the best fixture for Greenwood but I suppose he enables a lot.

  30. Pukki Party
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 8 months ago

    Play

    A) Jimenez (che)
    B) Greenwood (lei)

    1. acidicleo
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 8 months ago

      B