Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Leeds and City to pay the penalty?


Sponsored by bet365


Every Saturday morning, we combine Fantasy football with a flutter as we put a small wager or two on the weekend fixtures.

Focusing exclusively on the Gameweek 4 matches, we’ll be turning to the vast array of data available in our Premium Members Area to inspire a few sensibly staked bets this weekend.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

MISFIRING MAGPIES

Unsurprisingly bottom of the shots on target table this season are Newcastle United, who have mustered only three such efforts – and scored from all of them.

The Magpies were indebted to a controversial penalty award in Gameweek 4 in order for them to salvage a point from their clash with Spurs, while they were comprehensively outplayed by Brighton on home soil a week before that.

Only West Bromwich Albion (0.66) are averaging fewer big chances per match than Newcastle (1.00) among Premier League clubs this season.

Burnley are next up for Steve Bruce’s side, with the Clarets recording clean sheets in both meetings with the Tyneside club in 2019/20.

The return of James Tarkowski should help solidify a backline that hasn’t yet recorded a shut-out this season but who kept 15 of them in the campaign just gone.

The Clarets are 15/4 with bet365 to win to nil, with a 1-0 Burnley victory priced at 8/1.

For some reason, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back offer sprung to mind when we saw this fixture…

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FLOUNDERING FULHAM

Backing against the Premier League whipping boys isn’t big or clever – but who knows, it might be profitable.

Fulham have conceded at least three goals in all three of their Premier League fixtures to date and even did so again in the EFL Cup in midweek, going down 3-0 to Championship side Brentford.

A wounded Wolves outfit are up next for Scott Parker’s beleaguered troops, who will also be without arguably their stand-out performer at the back (an injured Kenny Tete) when they make the trip to Molineux.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side seldom seem to put teams to the sword and have scored four or more goals only once in their 79 Premier League fixtures since promotion was sealed in May 2018.

Three goals is within their grasp, however: they have managed this on a further nine occasions since they came back up from the second tier of English football.

With uncertainty raging over who will start for Santo’s troops this week, there is at least the knowledge that Raul Jimenez is a ‘nailed’ presence in attack.

The Mexican started 37 of Wolves’ 38 league games in 2019/20 and played a part in 50% of the goals that his club scored when he was on the pitch.

A Jimenez goal at any time in a 3-0 win for Wolves over Fulham this weekend is 13/1 with bet365, with the Jimenez anytime/Wolves 3-1 combo available for 18/1.

SPOT-KICK SURRENDERERS

There has been much talk of penalty awards since the 2020/21 campaign got underway, with a whopping 20 of them arriving in the first 28 fixtures of this season – as many as we had in the first nine Gameweeks of 2019/20.

A softening of the handball rule could come into place this weekend but it won’t stop all of the contentious awards; the one that Spurs conceded last weekend, for instance, would still have been given.

A remarkable eight of the 20 penalties that have been awarded have come in matches involving Leeds United and Manchester City – who just happen to meet each other this weekend.

Bet365 are offering 6/4 for any penalty to be awarded in this game, with the Whites 6/1 to score from the spot and City at 5/2.

Backing the sides to miss from 12 yards returns 20/1 and 10/1 respectively.

SUPER SIX?

This seems like one of those Gameweeks that is too good to be true: your FPL team looks great on paper, there is an abundance of captaincy choices and the fixtures are favourable.

It’s at this point where the universe usually intervenes – but that won’t stop us from going for broke with our sixfold of home wins.

All of the above are matches in which the home side is odds-on to win in Gameweek 4 – and an accumulator not only returns 15/1 with bet365, it also comes with a 15% bonus on top of that.

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For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org#ad


1,896 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DAZZ
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Mourinho’s comments on Son have confused me! No idea wether to play or bench now. Im sure he’ll be fit after the IB so selling him isnt an option. Start Son or Charlie Taylor?

    1. abhirup780
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Son

    2. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Start Son, if injured then don't be on bench anyway

  2. wycombewanderers
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Hi all,

    In what order would you start these?

    1) Shaw (Tot H)
    2) Soucek (Lei A)
    3) McGolddrick (Ars A)

    Thanks!

    1. abhirup780
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      213

    2. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      2 plan to sell Shaw!

    3. da Beeeez
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      213

  3. lilmessipran
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Fairly settled on this wc

    Martinez
    Castagne James coady lamptey
    Salah kdb Raz(c) Barnes
    Jimi Dcl

    Steer Brewster alzate Mitchell

    Taa/Robbo plan- Raz/kdb to son gw5, james/castagne - taa/Robbo gw6.. thoughts?

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Good team but I think I'd just go without one of City mids and get Liverpool defense in straight away rather than planning so many moves on WC.

      1. Collie01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I mean planning transfers just after WC. Plans often change and with injuries, Covid etc something else might come up to scupper your plans.

      2. lilmessipran
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Fair points I must say..however my reasoning behind this team is

        1. Want kdb longer term, Raz specifically for Leeds hence captaining him
        2 James and castagne for next 2 only should offer comparable value to Taa/Robbo
        3 Decent playing subs to cover for unforeseen events

  4. Botman and Robben
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Hello all and good luck this GW.

    Keep the cappo on Sterling or shift to Salah?

    McCarthy
    TAA Justin KWP
    Salah Sterling(C) Bruno Costa
    Werner Wilson Mitro

    Nyland Lamptey Bissouma Mitchell

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Keep the cap on Sterling.

      I'd be tempted to play Lamptey over Costa

      1. Botman and Robben
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Hmm, maybe.

  5. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    A) KDB Cooper

    B) Sterling Taylor

    1. Dark_Knight_braces
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      KBD

    2. abhirup780
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    3. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      If it's wildcard A

  6. Dark_Knight_braces
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Martinez(vs Pool) or Ryan (vs Eve) ?

    1. Tambling5
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Ryan

    2. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I actually think that either Will be vulnerable to a1 pointer. Toss a coin

      1. Dark_Knight_braces
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Agreed

  7. HollywoodXI
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?

    Martinez
    Saiss Justin Mitchell
    Salah KDB Bruno Podence
    Vardy Ings DCL

    Steer Bissouma Dunne Cooper

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes, but I'd make upgrading defence a priority

  8. Captain Vantastic™
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is Coady not a threat on set pieces?

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      He doesn't often go up for them. I could be mistaken but I think that's the case.

      1. Captain Vantastic™
        • 12 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Get Coady or Saiss?

        1. Collie01
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Saiss will get the odd attacking return but has more of a chance of being rotated/benched.

      2. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        0 threat whatsoever, at least for now

    2. Gregor
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • Has Moderation Rights
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Nope.

  9. Tambling5
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Gk and Defence is: McCarthy(H to WBA); Robbo, James and then which of...
    A KWP H to WBA
    B Taylor A to Newcastle
    C Dyer A To Man U

    All advice welcome My instinct is A but Saints double up in defence

    1. Sid1891
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      A

      1. Tambling5
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks!

  10. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    My WC decisions.

    Salah or Sterling? Went Sterling for the city double up, at least short term.

    Zaha or Robbo? Went both at the end and sacrificed Ings instead.

    Good decision? Bad decisions?

    1. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Sterling over salah could be good. Robo over Ings might not be good short term but long term one of robo TAA is a must have

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        cheers mate

  11. OverTinker
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    captain
    1. KDB
    2. Salah
    3. Mahrez
    4. Foden
    5. Semedo
    6. Lamptey
    7. James
    8. Ings
    9. Jimi
    10. DCL
    11. Martinez

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      6

    2. Right In The Stanchion
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      11. Martínez if you are a pussaaaayyy

  12. Merlinho
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Team below. I’m thinking I’ll WC next week so any thoughts on a 1 week punt?

    Current ideas are either:
    A)Mahrez in for Havertz or
    B) Ings for Kane (double up Soton attack...)

    McCarthy (Nyland) TAA/Justin/James (Davies/Ferguson) Salah/KDB/Havertz/Podence (Bissouma) Kane/Wilson/Adams
    1FT, £0.4m ITB

    1. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I have got Mahrez in my team but I am worried he might not start

      1. Merlinho
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Are there any doubts, given Pep Roulette is somewhat reduced currently?

        1. OverTinker
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          He played 3 * 90 in the last three matches I guess but still good chance of him starting too

          1. HNI
            • 10 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            He will lose place after IB as Jesus will back. Enjoy his last nailed start

          2. Merlinho
            • 14 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Damn, I’m twitchy now, should have jumped on Ings last night for the price rise!

    2. Rhinos
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Havertz to Jota. I'd do Justin to Alioski but it's not for the faint-hearted

      1. Rhinos
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        or Ferguson to him rather

      2. Merlinho
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Jota is one hell of a differential!

        1. real_macho
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Thanks

      3. Dr Van Nostrand
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Jota is far too risky. Any number of players has a good of chance of coming in for Mane. He also played nearly the full match. My money would be on Minamino coming in.

  13. StayoutheSpiceZone
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Do we think that they play? Yes or No?

    A) Richarlison
    B) Podence

    Good luck

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Who knows really.

      Maybe managers might be cautious of not playing injury doubt players right before IB.

  14. Dennis System
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Why Sterling? Did anyone see how bad he was last week

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I think it is probably because Leeds may go for it leaving more space

    2. OverTinker
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      He scored twice mid week

      1. Dennis System
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        In the cup no one cares about though

    3. CERVELO
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yep - 100% KDB and or Salah are much better options.

  15. PapaWengzz
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Start:
    A) Taylor
    B) Lamptey

    Thanks

    1. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I’m currently starting numpty

    2. Binny
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I’ve gone with Taylor

    3. PapaWengzz
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yeah its a really close one, currentlt on Taylor

    4. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  16. Erez Avni
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    I was really happy with my WC but now after all the Mane issue I’m a bit afraid that going TAA and Robo together is too much...
    Martinez
    Robo, TAA, Justin, Lamptey
    Salah, KDB, Barnes
    DCL, Ings, Jiminez

    Steer, Stephens, Mitchel, Burke

    Thinking maybe shipping Robo, justin and lamptey for colman, castagne and sais...

    would love to hear your thoughts

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I would definitely keep both pool defenders on WC, don't think Mane out affects them too much.

    2. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I have both and am keeping.

  17. Collie01
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Hi all. GTG? Already taken a -4 so I think I'll make do with keeping Son.

    Pickford
    TAA, Robbo, KWP
    Salah, KdB, Barnes, Son*, Soucek
    Jimenez, Mitro

    (Ayling, non-playing fodder)

  18. CERVELO
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    After days of none stop tinkering on wc (and being .1 short on so many options) think I’m settled on the following - only concern is Foden mins - any thoughts on alternative please?

    McCarthy
    Robbo James Castagne
    Barnes Salah KDB Foden Trossard
    DCL Jimmy

    Martinez Brewster Lamptey Konsa

    Also had Pereira since gw1 so toss up bettering him and Trossard - slightly favouring Trossard based on how he’s looked since season restart.

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      The usual warning here but no TAA could be very damaging. Also I'm not a fan of rotating keepers myself. Other than that it looks very nice and solid.

    2. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes I’d downgrade one of McCarthy/Martinez and upgrade Robbo to TAA if possible.

    3. mrelpea
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I like the team! I wouldn’t worry about Foden, I think he’ll play enough to warrant a place in the team. I have him too. And especially with the injuries to aguero and Jesus, he should be in the mix most games

  19. Pancake
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Mane out jota starts?

    1. I'M 2 OLD FOR THIS HIT
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I think so too! 6.3 worth trying..?

  20. Knowsnothingaboutnothing
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    CAPTAIN HEADACHE...

    1 - Sterling
    2 - KDB
    3 -Salah
    4 - Jiminez

    Who to choose ? TIA

    1. Right In The Stanchion
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I’d probably go for Jiminez out of that lot followed by KDB

      1. Knowsnothingaboutnothing
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Really, in my mind he was my last choice. Why do you like him over the others ?

    2. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      KdB for me.

    3. Bleh
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Salah

    4. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Salah most likely to score I think so going with him.

      3124 order of preference for me

  21. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Start Lamptey or Dunne?

  22. olidooley
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Hey guys....need to put one of these first sub, playing the others....

    A) Taylor (new)
    B) Shaw (TOT)
    C) Soucek (lei)
    D) Mitrovic (wol)

    1. Binny
      • 4 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Shaw

    2. StayoutheSpiceZone
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Defo start D

      I’d probably bench shaw

      1. olidooley
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Aye....Man Utd better odds than Burnley for a clean sheet though + Son probably out...It’s not straightforward

  23. timawflowers
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Help pls

    Who to play
    A _ lamptey
    B - Justin

    Who to captain
    A - jimi
    B - dcl
    C - ings
    D - kdb

    Thanks

    1. Collie01
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B D

  24. fplfansss
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Wildcard Active

    Please RMT
    McCarthy, Button
    Robbo, Justin, Lamptey, Dunne, Mitchell
    Salah, Auba, Townsend, Barnes, Stephens
    Ings, Jimenez, DCL

    1. olidooley
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Double Liverpool defence should be first on the teamsheet imo

      1. HNI
        • 10 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Not any double. Robno + TAA only as they basically cheap Liv mids

      2. Collie01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I agree. Also no City is a big risk - think Auba is a bad pick with his fixtures. Don't like Townsend really either. Forward line is excellent.

    2. Pacer.
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Dunne, Mitchell and Stephens is potentially a dead bench quite shortly

      1. Pacer.
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        and Justin, of course

    3. Vlekz
        3 years, 5 months ago

        City over auba

      • olidooley
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        No City at all??

      • Christina.
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Wc with no City vs Leeds?
        Madness

    4. DeeGee
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Transfer dilemma:

      Martinez
      TAA Lamptey. Justin. Holding. (Mitchell)
      Salah. Son* kdb Zaha (Burke)
      DCL. Woods. Jimenez

      Options:
      A) son -> Barnes for the next couple of GWs till Son is fully fit
      B) Son -> Mahrez for this GW
      C) Bench Son and play Lamptey

      I am just tempted for a double city cover this week.
      Which option to take?

      1. Collie01
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I have Son too but already on a -4 so I think I'll just keep him. So C for me. Lamptey is a good sub to have

      2. SHOWSTOPPERRR
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I did son to Barnes for a hit..

    5. Christina.
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Raz propelling Lateriser up the leaderboard this gw.

      1. S.Kuqi
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thinks he is the best captain option this gw. Have gone for second best Kdb(c)

      2. olidooley
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        If he plays

      3. TheDragon
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I mean it would be quite hard for any players to propel him down given his current rank

      4. Pacer.
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        all the raz madness can only mean one thing...

        Benched and Otamendi surprise striker berth

        1. Pompel
          • 10 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          ^this
          ... as I am csptaining him

        2. Collie01
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 6 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          That would indeed be a surprise even by Pep standards since Otamendi isn't a City player anymore!

          1. Pacer.
            • 9 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Haha

    6. S.Kuqi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Hopefully Antonio blanks and drops few times in next gws. Would love to have him around 6.0.

    7. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Start one:

      A) Bissouma
      B) Davies (spurs)
      C) Mitchell

    8. Littlefish92
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Who's everyone captain

      1. Pacer.
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        that's a long list

    9. ZAWAd25
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Morning all! Are we gtg here?

      McCarthy
      TAA Saiss Justin Taylor
      Salah Sterling(c) Barnes
      Kane Jimenez DCL

      (Nyland Mitchell Bissouma Reed)