Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Leeds and City to pay the penalty?


Sponsored by bet365


Every Saturday morning, we combine Fantasy football with a flutter as we put a small wager or two on the weekend fixtures.

Focusing exclusively on the Gameweek 4 matches, we’ll be turning to the vast array of data available in our Premium Members Area to inspire a few sensibly staked bets this weekend.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

MISFIRING MAGPIES

Unsurprisingly bottom of the shots on target table this season are Newcastle United, who have mustered only three such efforts – and scored from all of them.

The Magpies were indebted to a controversial penalty award in Gameweek 4 in order for them to salvage a point from their clash with Spurs, while they were comprehensively outplayed by Brighton on home soil a week before that.

Only West Bromwich Albion (0.66) are averaging fewer big chances per match than Newcastle (1.00) among Premier League clubs this season.

Burnley are next up for Steve Bruce’s side, with the Clarets recording clean sheets in both meetings with the Tyneside club in 2019/20.

The return of James Tarkowski should help solidify a backline that hasn’t yet recorded a shut-out this season but who kept 15 of them in the campaign just gone.

The Clarets are 15/4 with bet365 to win to nil, with a 1-0 Burnley victory priced at 8/1.

For some reason, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back offer sprung to mind when we saw this fixture…

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FLOUNDERING FULHAM

Backing against the Premier League whipping boys isn’t big or clever – but who knows, it might be profitable.

Fulham have conceded at least three goals in all three of their Premier League fixtures to date and even did so again in the EFL Cup in midweek, going down 3-0 to Championship side Brentford.

A wounded Wolves outfit are up next for Scott Parker’s beleaguered troops, who will also be without arguably their stand-out performer at the back (an injured Kenny Tete) when they make the trip to Molineux.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side seldom seem to put teams to the sword and have scored four or more goals only once in their 79 Premier League fixtures since promotion was sealed in May 2018.

Three goals is within their grasp, however: they have managed this on a further nine occasions since they came back up from the second tier of English football.

With uncertainty raging over who will start for Santo’s troops this week, there is at least the knowledge that Raul Jimenez is a ‘nailed’ presence in attack.

The Mexican started 37 of Wolves’ 38 league games in 2019/20 and played a part in 50% of the goals that his club scored when he was on the pitch.

A Jimenez goal at any time in a 3-0 win for Wolves over Fulham this weekend is 13/1 with bet365, with the Jimenez anytime/Wolves 3-1 combo available for 18/1.

SPOT-KICK SURRENDERERS

There has been much talk of penalty awards since the 2020/21 campaign got underway, with a whopping 20 of them arriving in the first 28 fixtures of this season – as many as we had in the first nine Gameweeks of 2019/20.

A softening of the handball rule could come into place this weekend but it won’t stop all of the contentious awards; the one that Spurs conceded last weekend, for instance, would still have been given.

A remarkable eight of the 20 penalties that have been awarded have come in matches involving Leeds United and Manchester City – who just happen to meet each other this weekend.

Bet365 are offering 6/4 for any penalty to be awarded in this game, with the Whites 6/1 to score from the spot and City at 5/2.

Backing the sides to miss from 12 yards returns 20/1 and 10/1 respectively.

SUPER SIX?

This seems like one of those Gameweeks that is too good to be true: your FPL team looks great on paper, there is an abundance of captaincy choices and the fixtures are favourable.

It’s at this point where the universe usually intervenes – but that won’t stop us from going for broke with our sixfold of home wins.

All of the above are matches in which the home side is odds-on to win in Gameweek 4 – and an accumulator not only returns 15/1 with bet365, it also comes with a 15% bonus on top of that.

Soccer Accumulator Bonus

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For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org#ad


1,896 Comments Post a Comment
  1. Help Me!
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Sorry for posting again

    McCarthy-Nyland
    Mitchel-Justin-Trent-Egan-Doherty
    Auba-Mane-Son-Bissouma-SaintMaximin
    Werner-Mitrovic-Adams

    Have to remove Mane and Son (planning on get at least one of KDB or Salah)
    A) Get one of them and (under 8.7/9.2m)
    B) Get both by -4 with Auba and (under 8.9m)

    1. Bank$y
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      KDB and Havertz.

  2. FPL Daniel
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    have both Antonio and DCL in attack so who to play in defense? Justin or Lamptey?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I like Antonio pick. Tough fixtures but think can do well and great long term. Saying that I’d prob play Justin this week!

    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I would play Justin but it's close

      1. FPL Daniel
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Thanks lads

  3. Brosstan
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Has it been confirmed or not if Mane infected Trent or others?

    1. Pat Bonner
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      TAA trained yesterday. Mane not been pictured training for a while

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Nope - just Mané confirmed out so far

    3. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Why is there a fear he infected Trent?

      1. Brosstan
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        He wasnt in the league cup squad

    4. Eat my goal!
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      All that embracing when they score goals - probably salah next

      1. Brosstan
        • 9 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Mane never celebrates with Salah. They don't like each other

  4. Daithi Lacha
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Should I start Soucek away to Leicester or Taylor away at Newcastle. Tarkowski is back which should improve Burnley defence.

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Soucek for me

    2. Roysgotnoboys
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Soucek

    3. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Soucek

    4. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Definitely sous chef

      1. Daithi Lacha
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers guys. I've got Richarlison so if he doesn't play one of them will come of the bench anyway.

  5. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Justin to Robertson for a hit? (have TAA)

    Will probably do this move with FT next week anyway so it allows me to do something like Wilson to Maupay next week.

    1. Roysgotnoboys
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      No for me

    2. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      not for a hit

      1. Bennerman
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Nightrain, that's my favourite GNR song but you are missing a T.

        Night Train!

        1. Nightrain_
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          am a big fan of GNR so I'm pretty sure Nightrain is the correct one without extra T, and FYI, it's a cheap wine brand that they used to drink when they're poor back in mid 80s

    3. Puntillimon
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Not worth a hit. Good game for leicester

    4. skodaole2
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      So you ll take a hit either now or next week. Justin has a great fixture now though, can’t see the hit being justified at this point

    5. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      What they said

    6. KGFC
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Justin is a good option to play this week

  6. Roysgotnoboys
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Would you bench Podence or Justin?

    1. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Justin

    2. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Justin

    3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Justin because Podence has potential to haul if he plays

    4. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      What they said

    5. KGFC
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Leaning towards Podence because I don't want a 1 pointer cameo. Rather have confirmed 90 minutes chances for CS/attacking returns

    6. skodaole2
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Podence, Justin can give defensive and attacking points, Podence still unproven for me, had an injury plus there is competition there

  7. fridge
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Will Vinagre start, thinking of doing a boring Vinagre > Saiss transfer. Sound like a good idea?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Vinagre won’t start but there is a chance Saiss is dropped soon. Go Semedo if you can afford or Coady if not.

    2. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Vinagre is unlikely and that transfer is good as you can save the potential further drop of Vinagre's price (-99% on fplstatistic)

    3. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Vinagre off to olympiacos apparently so won't play mostly

      Who would you have to play if Vinagre doesn't start?
      Sounds like a good move but only with FT

    4. Amey
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I think Saiss can lose his spot to.

      Sit tight for this week IMO. Wolves fan forums saying that*

      Visibly i can tell you saiss was awful vs City & WHU so i can see some legs in that stories

  8. lfcserg
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    RMT WC am i G2G

    McCarthy - Button
    Robertson - Castagne - James - Mitchell - Dunne
    Salah - De Bruyne - H.Barnes - Pereira - Stephens
    DCL - Jimenez - Ings

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes GTG - captain?

      1. lfcserg
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Have to go with KDB

        1. Miguel Sanchez
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 7 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Why have to?

          1. lfcserg
            • 11 Years
            3 years, 5 months ago

            Salah is an interesting option now that I think about it with no Mane, but salah prefers a home fixture and villa seems to be a bit better defensively.

            Concerns over Jimmy's ability to score > 1 goal.

            KDB seems like the most reliable option

  9. Eleven Hag
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which two would you bench ?

    Digne, Saiss, Podence, James, Justin

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Podence, James

    2. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Podence and Justin

  10. TheDragon
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    If Podence doesn’t play today then ASM -> Podence -4 two weeks ago has become an exceptionally bad transfer

    1. Holmes
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      even for free, it feels like a bad move

    2. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      at least you protect TV from the price drop of ASM

      no one has any idea that Podence won't play last week, many bring him in in WC. Just like today, no one expect Mane will be quarantined or Thiago contracted virus 3-4 days ago

    3. F_Ivanovic
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Podence isn't playing today - it's been confirmed.

      1. TheDragon
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        By who?

        1. MikeBravo
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          By the fixture list. Wolves play tomorrow, that's what he's getting at...

      2. MikeBravo
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Very good 😉

    4. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Dont understand why anyone brought Podence in when he was a known injury risk before deadline last week

      1. MikeBravo
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Because you buy him, and keep him, in your pocket, he's teeny tiny.

  11. bitm2007
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    WC Team

    McCarthy (Forster)
    TAA, Saiss, Justin
    Salah, KDB, Mahrez, Soucek
    Jimenez, Ings, DCL

    Forster, Lamptey, Mitchell, Alzate

    0.1m

    Ideally, I'd like another 0.5m ITB to do Mahrez to Son in the future, should I

    A) Stick (better team this GW)
    B) TAA to Robertson
    C) Saiss to Vinagre (or another 4.5m)

  12. MikeBravo
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Now that Mane has tested positive, do I:
    A. Transfer out Liverpool players because they'll all have to self-isolate...or
    2. Don't worry about it, this is the Premier League...
    iii. Hold Son, Podence, & ASM (1st sub), and play patient like I have with Pulisic?

    1. bitm2007
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      2, the virus hasn't gone team-wide at MCI or WHU probably won't at Pool either.

  13. The 12th Man
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Thinking about moving Rodriguez next week before the Liverpool game.
    Rodriguez > Pulisic?

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Possibly if nothing else on but will be hard to lose Rodríguez if he hauls again today

    2. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      i love Chelsea's attack but Pulisic just return from injury and no guarantee he'll regain his form quickly. Hames is the heart of Eve's attack so maybe hold him first

  14. HonestBlatter
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Salah or Jimenez (C)

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      The one with higher ceiling and usually explosive

    2. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      out of those 2, i think Jimenez will edge it, but if you have City, then KDB is the best pick

    3. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Salah. Hoping for a brace from him and probs getting at most 9 from Jiménez

    4. MikeBravo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I've gone Jimenez, based on:
      1. I don't have Salah
      2. Fulham are awful (remember, even Khan says they need new CBs)
      3. Wolves should produce a reaction after that WHU loss
      4. Liverpool didn't exactly turn over Villa last season
      5. Villa have been more defensively solid since Project Restart
      6. Jimenez is due a brace for once (and maybe an assist), and what better match to do it?

  15. Maddamotha
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    ASM out for a hit? Have 7.5 milli

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Barnes could be interesting..

    2. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Zaha in

    3. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Foden

    4. Maddamotha
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I have Barnes. Foden is interesting..

  16. icanseethroughyou
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Harvey Barnes or Zaha for a free transfer? Or maybe a punt on Maddison?

    1. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I'm leaning on Zaha as he got the form, fixtures, and on pen

    2. Pacer.
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I had this same conundrum and ended up thinking about team fortunes to decide. Figured it was equally as likely that Leicester score 2 or 3 as palace score 1

      Barnes for me

  17. TheDragon
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Which scores more this week?

    A) Bissouma
    B) Davies (spurs)
    C) Robertson -4

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      C

  18. slasken
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    McCarthy or Martinez on WC?
    MCCarthy has good fixtures, but can he loose his spot? I See everybody are choosing Martinez.

    I have already filled up all Brighton spots 🙂

    1. TheDragon
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I’m team McCarthy with a belief saints will keep clean sheets but better minds than me love Martinez

  19. MagicMessi
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    For this week only ?

    Kdb+Adams. Or. Vardy +Ings

    ??

    1. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      3-5-2 with Kdb and Adams

      Or

      3-4-3 with Vardy and Ings

      ?

    2. Old Man
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Tough but it has to be the latter.

      1. MagicMessi
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Help !! I'm on the former just because of Kdb ownership/captaincy whatsoever

  20. davies
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    A) Dunne (new)

    B) Lamptey (eve)

    1. MagicMessi
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  21. Boo Ya Ka Sha
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Not seeing a lot of Salah (c). Are there concerns that the game might get postponed or that some other players may as have it? I'm looking at KDB's minutes the past two weeks and you'd have to imagine he's near the 'red' zone.

    1. Gandalf
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      If game gets postponed, it would go to the vice anyway so wouldn't be that.

      Think it's between Salah and KDB and currently leaning towards Salah. KDB could well end up being highest scorer though

    2. Brosstan
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      0 chance the game is postponed. If Liverpool cant field a team then AVL win on walkover. Its in the rules for this season

  22. George Agdgdgwngo
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    How’s it looking?

    Taa, Robbo, Lamptey, Saiss
    Salah, Kdb, Bruno, Soucek,
    DCL, Jimi
    Forster, Mitchell, Bissouma, Brewster

    1. George Agdgdgwngo
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Martinez in goal

    2. The 12th Man
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Very good. Envious of that double Liverpool defence.

    3. Balls of Steel
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Nice

    4. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Probably the most beautiful and likable team around here

    5. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Love it

      1. George Agdgdgwngo
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Cheers guys

  23. FPLMACKEM
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Is DCL essential. Still debating whether to take a -4 to bring him in for Mitrovic.

    I already took a -4 last week. Really not sure if I'm being too aggressive taking another hit. Any advice here would be appreciated.

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      41% goal conversion is not sustainable (was about 16% last season) so unless he either keeps up that rate or Everton increase their chance output a regression should be imminent.

      1. F_Ivanovic
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        That doesn't mean he's not essential though

        1. FPLMACKEM
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 3 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Do you think he is essential now at the expense of another -4?

      2. FPLMACKEM
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 3 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Yeah I feel like he could potentially be last season's Tammy Abraham. Problem is he's 41% owned and I have no faith in Fulham.

  24. LordEllison
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Son > for my FT Thanks.

    A) Barnes
    B) Havertz
    C) Mahrez

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I would hold but C if I had too choose one for a shot-term punt

  25. Bishopool
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Best 5.0m defender?

    Would replace Egan..

    1. Miguel Sanchez
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Coady

    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Coady I guess
      Long term Lamptey

    3. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Dier from GW5

    4. Big Ping
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Coleman

  26. Sloane426
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    ASM > Neto or save FT?

    1. MikeBravo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Save, ASM potentially fit again

  27. stu92
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Ings or DCL? 4-6 week punt.

    1. NABIL - FPL otai
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      DCL

  28. GOATMEAT
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Fellas, any news about Podence?

    Worth to take him out for -4 hit?

    My 1st sub is Lamptey.

    I have 1.2 ITB so I could get 6.7 mid to replace Podence.

    Here's my midfield now:

    Salah KDB Foden Podence (sub: Alzate

    1. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      not worth a hit, if he's playing Fulham today, there's a chance he bag an assist. Lamptey 1st sub is fine. I think you can use the money later to upgrade Alzate or maybe improve FW

    2. MikeBravo
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Save. If Podence plays, I think there's a chance he'll grab more than an assist, based on how he played against Man City.

  29. Eat my goal!
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Mane not even infected -
    Pool just setting up a ploy to not send out players on intl duty !

    1. Nightrain_
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      whether he's infected or not, he's not gonna play today and there's a chance that news is true so he could be out next GW too against Everton. Holding a 11.9M asset is too risky if he's out 2-3 GWs so moving him out to Sterling, Bruno, or Salah is better

    2. Forza
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      The cost of not having their second best goalscorer against a decent defence surely outweighs the benefit of avoiding international duty.

    3. Werkself
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 10 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I have an aluminum foil hat that will go with those headphones.

  30. Eleven Hag
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    would you change anything with the bench and captaincy? or G2G?

    Martinez
    Robbo Digne Saiss James
    KDB Sterling (c) Barnes
    Jimenez Ings DCL

    - Podence Justin Bissouma