Scout Betting

The Fantasy Flutter: Leeds and City to pay the penalty?


Sponsored by bet365


Every Saturday morning, we combine Fantasy football with a flutter as we put a small wager or two on the weekend fixtures.

Focusing exclusively on the Gameweek 4 matches, we’ll be turning to the vast array of data available in our Premium Members Area to inspire a few sensibly staked bets this weekend.

The odds featured in this piece are all provided by our official sportsbook partner, bet365.

Please gamble responsibly and always remember: when the fun stops, stop.

MISFIRING MAGPIES

Unsurprisingly bottom of the shots on target table this season are Newcastle United, who have mustered only three such efforts – and scored from all of them.

The Magpies were indebted to a controversial penalty award in Gameweek 4 in order for them to salvage a point from their clash with Spurs, while they were comprehensively outplayed by Brighton on home soil a week before that.

Only West Bromwich Albion (0.66) are averaging fewer big chances per match than Newcastle (1.00) among Premier League clubs this season.

Burnley are next up for Steve Bruce’s side, with the Clarets recording clean sheets in both meetings with the Tyneside club in 2019/20.

The return of James Tarkowski should help solidify a backline that hasn’t yet recorded a shut-out this season but who kept 15 of them in the campaign just gone.

The Clarets are 15/4 with bet365 to win to nil, with a 1-0 Burnley victory priced at 8/1.

For some reason, bet365’s Bore Draw Money Back offer sprung to mind when we saw this fixture…

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FLOUNDERING FULHAM

Backing against the Premier League whipping boys isn’t big or clever – but who knows, it might be profitable.

Fulham have conceded at least three goals in all three of their Premier League fixtures to date and even did so again in the EFL Cup in midweek, going down 3-0 to Championship side Brentford.

A wounded Wolves outfit are up next for Scott Parker’s beleaguered troops, who will also be without arguably their stand-out performer at the back (an injured Kenny Tete) when they make the trip to Molineux.

Nuno Espirito Santo’s side seldom seem to put teams to the sword and have scored four or more goals only once in their 79 Premier League fixtures since promotion was sealed in May 2018.

Three goals is within their grasp, however: they have managed this on a further nine occasions since they came back up from the second tier of English football.

With uncertainty raging over who will start for Santo’s troops this week, there is at least the knowledge that Raul Jimenez is a ‘nailed’ presence in attack.

The Mexican started 37 of Wolves’ 38 league games in 2019/20 and played a part in 50% of the goals that his club scored when he was on the pitch.

A Jimenez goal at any time in a 3-0 win for Wolves over Fulham this weekend is 13/1 with bet365, with the Jimenez anytime/Wolves 3-1 combo available for 18/1.

SPOT-KICK SURRENDERERS

There has been much talk of penalty awards since the 2020/21 campaign got underway, with a whopping 20 of them arriving in the first 28 fixtures of this season – as many as we had in the first nine Gameweeks of 2019/20.

A softening of the handball rule could come into place this weekend but it won’t stop all of the contentious awards; the one that Spurs conceded last weekend, for instance, would still have been given.

A remarkable eight of the 20 penalties that have been awarded have come in matches involving Leeds United and Manchester City – who just happen to meet each other this weekend.

Bet365 are offering 6/4 for any penalty to be awarded in this game, with the Whites 6/1 to score from the spot and City at 5/2.

Backing the sides to miss from 12 yards returns 20/1 and 10/1 respectively.

SUPER SIX?

This seems like one of those Gameweeks that is too good to be true: your FPL team looks great on paper, there is an abundance of captaincy choices and the fixtures are favourable.

It’s at this point where the universe usually intervenes – but that won’t stop us from going for broke with our sixfold of home wins.

All of the above are matches in which the home side is odds-on to win in Gameweek 4 – and an accumulator not only returns 15/1 with bet365, it also comes with a 15% bonus on top of that.

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For all the latest Premier League odds, visit bet365 and build your personalised football bet. 


Odds subject to fluctuation. 18+. Gamble responsibly: BeGambleAware.org#ad


1,896 Comments Post a Comment
  1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Can't decide - Let Podence be in the 11 and risk him possibly playing a few minutes or just put Lamptey in the 11. Leaning towards the former.

    1. Puntillimon
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Former

    2. Arteta
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I'm starting Podence and Lamptey is my first sub.

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        So it shall be sir! Mr. Arteta says, we follow!

    3. Cowboy John
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Lamptey.

    4. King Kohli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Lamptey always good for an assist

      1. DARK SIDE OF THE LOON
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        But if Podence does play he could score well against this Fulham team. All the best for the afternoon game.

        1. King Kohli
          • 11 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          Indeed, go with your gut.
          Cheers mate and all the best for the gw

  2. FCSB
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Captain:

    1. KDB
    2. Salah

    1. Diedhiou See That?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Egyptian king

    2. Bruin
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      KDB

  3. Pariße
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Captain:
    A) Aubameyang (SHU) SPG: 1.3 CC: 1.3
    B) Salah (avl) SPG: 5.7 CC: 3.7 (shots per game and chances created)

    Obvious on paper but a couple of arguments go against it: first the sample is very small. Aubameyang had these (a bit better) stats last year and still managed to score more (indicating, by my theory, he is the best finisher in the league). The last argument is about the opponents, one is playing home one away and from what we have until now Villa ranks very high in defensive stats, and Sheffield ranks in the bottom.

    Anything to discuss or should I refer myself to the captain’s poll?

  4. Arteta
    • 8 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Exact cash to complete two decent transfers - Salah & Son ➡ Sterling & Bruno for - 4

    Would you pull the trigger?

    1. RamaJama
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Would only sell son

      1. Arteta
        • 8 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Do you think Rashford is a good replacement?

    2. Pariße
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      no

    3. The Senate
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      It’d be brave to sell the gameweek’s most-captained player (and take a hit) but I can see this paying itself off in 1-2 GWs - only do it if you’re feeling very ballsy

    4. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      No way

    5. Cowboy John
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Think it depends if you're going to want Salah back sometime soon? If you've decided to go without long-term, then the hit is fair enough.

    6. Sgt Frank Drebin
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      No. Salah & Son is so much better pair than Sterling & Bruno.

  5. Scout
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Keep or sell shaw?

    If sell who to? Already have saiss and Justin

    1. Von Lipwig
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      This is my problem also. Lamptey seems the best option and can save a little money too. But I think I'm going to hold this week so I have 2FT for the break

      1. Von Lipwig
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        You never know, Shaw haul?

      2. Scout
        • 6 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I have Ryan in goal so not sure if I want brighton def aswell

        1. Von Lipwig
          • Fantasy Football Scout Member
          • 5 Years
          3 years, 5 months ago

          fair

  6. Jay Dal
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Who to start?

    Soucek, ASM or C Taylor?

    1. Peter Ouch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      wow horrible dilemma

    2. Diedhiou See That?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Soucek

  7. Piggs Boson
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    If you could select one player and one fixture to use the TC in, what would you pick?

    E.g. Aguero(FUL)

    1. Pariße
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Salah (FUL)

      1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        This

    2. Pariße
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      or Vardy (MCI)

    3. Bunk Moreland
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Salah FUL

    4. Peter Ouch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Kun wba

    5. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      salah ( fulahm )

    6. Camzy
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Salah (FUL)

  8. corderz
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    GTG?

    McCarthy
    TAA Robbo Justin
    KDB(C) Rodriguez Barnes Podence
    Werner Martial DCL(vc)

    Steer Vinagre Bissouma Mitchell

  9. Winston.
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 10 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    This Son episode... what kind of ”hamstring” injury might allow him to start this weekend? Should be fit at least for GW5?

    1. Peter Ouch
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Hamstring muscle took it's name from the butchers back in the time when they were hanging the pigs fro the strings of their legs.
      Son will eat ham and recover soon

  10. The Red Devil
    • 9 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Mitro to ings/Jimmy (-8)?

    1. Pariße
      • 9 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      nah keep for now

    2. Diedhiou See That?
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Not for -8

  11. el polako
    • 6 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Got Ings, Jimenez and KDB - really captain headache at first glance.
    However...

    Last season taught me a simple lesson - "Just put it on KDB".

  12. RamaJama
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    First sub?

    A) Bissouma
    B) Lamptey

    1. waltzingmatildas
      • 13 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

    2. Cowboy John
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      B

  13. Titchmalpas
    • 3 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Start Reece James (CRY H)
    Or Saiss (FUL H)

    could also drop Mitro to get both in

    1. Scout
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Saiss

    2. Vasily
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 12 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I would drop Mitro

  14. CAPA
    • 5 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Selection dilemma, play Reece James or Zaha, guidance appreciated?

    1. Bunk Moreland
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Zaha . Chelsea concede a lot of goals , I think palace will score

    2. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Zaha

    3. Cowboy John
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Zaha

      1. CAPA
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Unanimous then for Zaha over Reece James, thanks for the steer

  15. # Young Gun SEAMUS #
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Will richarlison start ?

    1. Cowboy John
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      It sounds less than likely....

  16. waltzingmatildas
    • 13 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Sorry if already discussed.
    Already taken a - 4 and just seen Mané news.
    A) swap for Salah (-4)
    B) swap for sterling (-4)
    C) wc???
    D) play bissouma/Mitchell/ayling

    Mccarthy button
    TAA James ayling Taylor mitchell
    Kdb mane Bruno soucek bissouma
    DCL jimmy Adams

  17. Gazzz
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    James + Robbo or

    Justin + TAA?

    On WC

  18. Oggle22
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Martial to Jiminez done ewt worth a -4

    Mccarthy
    TAA KWP Taylor
    Salah KDB Bruno Rodriguez Ceballos
    Jiminez Mitrovic

    Nyland Mitchell Saliba Davies

    Debating Bruno and Ceballos to Sterling and 4.8m mid for -8

  19. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Boring question but Neto or Armstrong for a 1-week punt? (Draft team)

  20. Tomas Brolin ate all Depays
    • 11 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Son to (Max 11 million) ????????

    One week PUNT before I WC

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Mahrez

  21. WenzelK
    • 4 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Help a tripple bad gameweek manager out 🙂
    Pick 2 for this gamweek:

    Doucoure (H vs BHA)
    Justin (H vs WHU)
    Saka (H vs SHU)

    1. CAPA
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Personally I’d go with Justin and Saka

  22. Max City
    • 7 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Play 2 and bench 2 please:

    A) Lamptey (eve)
    B) Wood (new)
    C) Dunne (new)
    D) Foden (lee)

    1. ⚔★Vibudh★⚔
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Play BD

    2. Cowboy John
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Play BD

  23. Mind över Mata
    • Fantasy Football Scout Member
    • 12 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Worth a hit to do:

    ASM -> Barnes?

    1. Max City
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Tough call, but I feel so

    2. Shineonme
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      I'd say so

    3. jimmyabs1987
      • Fantasy Football Scout Member
      • 6 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Yes

  24. manu4life99
    • 14 Years
    3 years, 5 months ago

    Salah or KDB (C).... cannot decide!!

    1. The Truth Is...
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Salah for me

    2. Bunk Moreland
      • 8 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      One week punt before I wildcard;

      A) Jota (avl)
      B) Barnes (WHU)
      C) Mahrez (LEE)

      1. King Kohli
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Mahrez

    3. King Kohli
      • 11 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Best way to shave off 0.1m from this wc team to do Sterling> KDB down the line?
      A. Mitchell > Dunne
      B. Anguissa > Stephens

      Martinez
      TAA Robbo Castagne
      Salah Sterling Barnes Pereira
      Ings DCL Maupay
      Button Anguissa Mitchell Johnson

      1. Cowboy John
        • 11 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        B

    4. abaalan
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Start Podence, Lascelles or Bissouma?

      1. Max City
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Biss

    5. YEAH PITCH!
      • 5 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Werner to Ings?!

      1. Max City
        • 7 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        I personally like Ings, but don't have any money to get him

      2. manu4life99
        • 14 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Werner will score, keep this wk

    6. McSauce
      • 14 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Is no mane good or bad for salah?

      Jota to steal the points???

      1. Eat my goal!
        • Fantasy Football Scout Member
        • 5 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        Historically good

        Jota adds the unknown dimension- a player who likes the ball a lot

    7. Max City
      • 7 Years
      3 years, 5 months ago

      Can't decide to play which 2:

      A) Lamptey (eve)
      B) Wood (new)
      C) Dunne (new)
      D) Foden (lee)

      1. WenzelK
        • 4 Years
        3 years, 5 months ago

        B and D